Building a non-US Boglehead portfolio

Building a non-US Boglehead portfolio is intended to:


 * Set out at high level the steps needed to build a portfolio suitable for EU Boglehead investors
 * Provide some background for the current Wiki portfolio suggestions (July 2019) for EU investors.

This information can provide a clear and logical path for any new EU investor into the world of Boglehead investing so as to avoid some well known pitfalls. It will lead to the understanding for EU investors, that apart from the fundamental principles; the building blocks, the construction process for their portfolio and its implementation are somewhat different than for US investors. To that end, links and references to the more detailed notes on important underlying subjects are provided. This will assist in linking the technical aspects and the high level investment aspirations.

Some justification for the investor is put forward for the choice of current Wiki suggested portfolios for EU investors.

This article seeks to form a bridge between the Boglehead philosophy as presented in Bogleheads' Guide to Investing and what is applicable to the EU retail investor.

It may also provide some support to an investor's desire to adjust their portfolio by the inclusion of funds other than those suggested in the Wiki portfolios.

Creating an EU version of the Boglehead three-fund portfolio
The Wiki for EU investors includes some suggested portfolios that are considered appropriate for the Boglehead approach in investing. In addition various suggested portfolios are presented under some of the individual country Wiki pages. For example the UK investing page has various suggested portfolios and links to Vanguard target funds.

These solutions should form the outcome of a considered step by step process for the investor in constructing their portfolio taking into consideration all the technical requirements of investing in the EU.

The information in this paper may be of benefit to other non-US retail investors.

The investor should carefullly research all potential investments and seek professional investment advice prior to making any investments.

Outline of Non-US domiciles
Outline of Non-US domiciles is essential reading for the new EU investor and contains content on many of the key technical issues facing the EU-based investor and acts as a base for understanding the complexities of:


 * Domicile
 * Tax
 * Currency

These issues are set out carefully there and can be further researched.

This section contains the links to the various country profiles that will assist the investor in understanding some of the key issues related to each individual jurisdiction listed. Links are included to pages that contain material pertaining to jurisdictions that are outside of the EU and the US.

The section also contains references to pages covering important issues such as:


 * EU investing (describes Bogleheads portfolios for EU investors)
 * EU non-habitual residence (describes tax regimes available in Europe that may be advantageous for retirees and others)
 * Bond basics for Non-US investors (examines the suitability of the fixed income side of the portfolio for EU investors)
 * Cash equivalents for EU investors (examines the cash equivalents available in the EU for retail investors)

Boglehead portfolio
Strictly speaking the original and still entirely relevant 2 or 3 fund Boglehead portfolio is a US-centric construction and many US Bogleheads stick fairly carefully to the original formula notwithstanding the long debate about the introduction of international (non-US) elements to the equities side of the equation.

The 2 fund version uses entirely US assets and the later 3-fund version includes some international equities. In addition Vanguard and Blackrock now include international bonds in their bond fund offerings to those who wish to diversify further. Why change something which has worked in the past and is elegantly simple to construct and maintain?

Basic parameters of a constructing a Boglehead portfolio
The basic parameters for the creation of a simple Boglehead portfolio are to found here: Bogleheads® investment philosophy where the following key steps are set out:
 * 1) Develop a workable plan
 * 2) Invest early and often
 * 3) Never bear too much or too little risk
 * 4) Diversify
 * 5) Never try to time the market
 * 6) Use index funds when possible
 * 7) Keep costs low
 * 8) Minimize taxes
 * 9) Invest with simplicity
 * 10) Stay the course

Original Boglehead fund choice
The original Boglehead portfolio is now based upon the following ETFs:


 * Vanguard Total Stock ETF (VTI)
 * Vanguard Total International Stock ETF (VXUS)
 * Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND)

The original Boglehead portfolio is included here as Jack Bogle and others were very clear that they considered this simplified approach to be best and would reward the patient US investor over time. Our conundrum is how to replicate this approach outside the US.

Portfolio construction process for an EU investor
The general advice contained in the Wiki for the creation of a simple Bogleheads portfolio is entirely relevant to non-US investors and the EU investor should follow this guidance carefully, get comfortable with their risk appetite and prepare an investment policy statement based upon these principles and stick to it.

An excellent guide to the process of building a portfolio is provided by Vanguard and can be accessed here: Vanguard Portfolio Construction Guide.

This Vanguard guide provides high level information on the process for the creation of a portfolio, however it doesn't provide any particular guidance as to the choice of particular funds relevant to an EU investor which information is key to the implementation phase of building a portfolio. Before starting the build process for your EU portfolio it is worthwhile to review what aspects of the process differ for an EU investor.

Non-US aspects of approach to portfolio construction
Certain aspects of the build up of the Bogleheads portfolio cannot be so easily applied to and adopted by the DIY retail investor in the EU. It is essential for the new DIY investor to be aware of these differences to the original Boglehead approach before starting their investment journey, this should help to avoid costly mistakes, delay and avoid undue complexity in the construction of their portfolios. Examples of these differences such as the choice of funds based upon geography and currency are fairly obvious.

Blackrock in a recent survey Portfolio insights Q1 2019 Blackrock of their major clients in Europe (EMEA 600 clients) concluded that the two main risks to their clients’ portfolios are:

Equity risk affects all investors in stocks.
 * Equity risk
 * Currency exchange risk

For non-US investors the Wiki suggested portfolios propose global aggregate equity ETFs and global aggregate and/or global government hedged bond ETFs as the basis for building a Boglehead style portfolio. These suggestions as noted above are not strictly in conformance with the original Boglehead portfolio particularly as expressed in the 2 or 3 fund portfolios. Below some of the main differences that may affect each individual EU DIY investor are reviewed, some or all of these issues will be covered elsewhere in the appropriate Wiki section.

Currency risk
Concentration and the currency issue immediately impact the choice of bonds and equity funds for the non-US investor should they choose US assets only. Therefore a more diversified range of assets are included in the non-US portfolios. As an aside any evidence for the comparison of this approach and the original Boglehead portfolio is difficult to access for the retail investor.

The bond elements which form the basis for the ballast side of the portfolio are generally hedged back to the investors local currency to remove additional currency volatility where a global aggregate or global government fund is used. The hedging while reducing volatility will also reduce the returns of the bond fund.

The advice to include or base your fixed income side of your portfolio on bonds in your country would lead some retail investors to include local bonds either government or aggregate in their portfolios. This approach introduces bias, has lower diversity and may lead to lower returns in the long run.

Geographical spread
The geographical spread of the global funds is entirely different to the original 2 and 3 fund approach.

On the one hand over reliance on US equities such as is represented in the total stock market fund of the original Boglehead 2 or 3-fund would expose the non-US investor to additional risks and on the other hand over emphasis in the allocation to an EU investors home country introduces a different bias that may also lead to reduced returns.

The choice of a global aggregate asset for the EU investor becomes a necessity in order to avoid bias to either the US market or to an individual country preference. This is unlike the situation for an US investor who can concentrate on the largest market in the world and feel comfortable.

Diverse and multiple countries
The EU consists of 27 different countries with different legal and regulatory systems. In addition the savings and investment industries are not aligned and the taxation, level of costs and the quality of services can be quite different.

Pension systems across the EU are different and the take up of the existing pension schemes varies. This results in varying levels of interest in DIY investing. In addition pension legislation across the EU is under revision, however this process will take many years and in the meantime the differences in access to DIY investing across the EU continue. One example of this situation is the freely available self investment and tax advantaged ISA system in the UK, this freedom to invest is not available consistently.

Tax issues
The EU as a collection of individual countries with disparate tax regimes, presents the investor with a range of differences to the US approach, the tax issues are set out here: Outline of Non-US domiciles. The immediately obvious difference is that EU investors in the main can access and use accumulating versions of the same funds that are available only in distributing versions in the US. Thus the EU suggested Boglehead portfolios come in two versions: accumulating and distributing to be chosen to suit the local tax laws or to the investors preference.

In the case of individual investors across the EU each one needs to be aware of the tax implications of investing from their own country and this will affect the choice of sub assets. These choices may affect the returns of that investor.

EU legislation
The introduction of EU-wide legislation, see this section: EU legislation : UCITS, MiFID II and PRIIPs in respect to investment has introduced significant hurdles for EU investors in regards to their access to US domiciled funds and introduces complexity in respect to various matters including taxation.

Weak support for understanding the EU investors portfolio strategy
So what you might ask, but without empirical evidence to demonstrate the quality of the returns it is not a given that the non-US versions are equal to or superior to the original versions. How do the non-US investors’ portfolios perform in comparison to the US Boglehead approach?

Sources of information in regards to the basis for the construction of portfolios following the boglehead philosophy or their subsequent performance are not readily available or accessible for the non-US investor with the exception of Canada and perhaps to a lesser extent Australia where Vanguard sells direct product.

Outline of investing
Outline of investing contains a comprehensive list of pages showing the investor how to begin see: Getting started. The steps laid out in the these pages help the investor to understand the principles of Risk tolerance and Asset allocation.

Bogleheads investment philosophy
At the earliest point read the Bogleheads® investment philosophy so as to fully understand the approach underpinning your investment decisions.

In addition the section on The twelve pillars of wisdom provides a good introduction to the investment philosophy of John Bogle. See here: The twelve pillars of wisdom for the text itself.

Sample portfolios
Two sample tables are included below as examples of the EU version of a Boglehead portfolio. The choice of suggested portfolios is divided in to two general categories, the first table showing accumulating and the second table showing distributing suggestions. Please refer to: Accumulating/capitalizing vs. distributing ETF share classes

Both of the tables include a selection of bond ETFs and a selection of stock ETFs.

Individual country portfolios
The individual country pages that are included in Wiki where they exist may suggest alternative ETFs. See here: Outline of Non-US domiciles

How do these sample portfolios fit in with the Boglehead philosopy?
The different circumstances of the EU investor in comparison to the US investor using the 3 fund portfolio have been pointed out above. The following logic underpins the sample EU portfolios:


 * Index funds - The sample funds are constructed holding all the index securities in the same weight as the index chosen. Either (replicating) or using an optimised subset of index securities (sampling) in order to efficiently track the performance of the index.


 * Passively managed - The sample funds are all passively managed by well known asset managers such as Vanguard or Blackrock.


 * Low cost - The sample funds are all competitively priced within the EU market. AGGH for example has an ongoing charges figures of 0.10%.


 * Diversified - The sample funds follow specific global or regional indices. Therefore they are globally diversified rather than just following the US market with additional International tilting. For example with a global aggregate bond fund the assets are weighted to the proportion of developed world countries (including the US) all in proportion to the individual market capitalisations and contain both government and corporate investment grade assets.


 * Hedged - The base currency of the fixed income funds are dollars where they are global funds and they are hedged back to the Euro or Sterling dependent upon the spending currency of the investor. While US investors holding a total bond market fund do not require hedging. The hedging of the EU investors fund will reduce the returns by the hedging costs.


 * Simplicity - The sample EU investor portfolios are either 2 (distributing without the benefit of a small cap fund) or 3 fund versions.

Accumulating
Accumulating ETFs are available to EU investors who can avail of taxation policies that do not require declaration of dividend income. This allows the fund manager to automatically reinvest the dividends and the investor to capture the gains. Certain countries do not tax dividend income.

In the accumulating table an emerging market ETF is put forward.

Distributing
Where a country requires the investor to declare dividend income distributing ETFs are provided.

For the distributing stocks a single world ETF is listed, which contains emerging market stocks.

Fixed income
The bond selection includes both world government bonds and alternatively global aggregate bonds. The main difference being that the aggregate bond includes investment grade corporate bonds.

Hedging
All of the bond ETFs are hedged back to the users currency, in these cases either to euros or to sterling.

Equities
The stock selection includes a global developed market ETF including large and mid caps.

Emerging markets
Emerging market assets are included in both accumulating and distributing stock ETF choices.

Small cap
And a world small cap option is included for those who want to include that category. No small cap ETF is currently available for the distributing category.

Tilting
In addition other specific ETFs can be added to the core holding stock ETF by the investor should they seek to amend or "tilt" their selection.


 * Value
 * Small cap

See Value tilting - stock where the pros and cons of tilting are discussed.

Boglehead compliance
In constructing a portfolio the principles of the Boglehead approach are based upon the tenets noted above

Some of these tests are aimed at behavioural issues however it is a good idea to check any proposed purchase of an asset against these criteria in order to give yourself reassurance that you are acting within the parameters of Boglehead style investing and that your returns should reflect the indices your individual portfolio assets are following less the drag of costs.

In the case of the Boglehead portfolio suggestions unlike our US based friends we have little or no ability to compare the performance of our Boglehead style portfolios for EU investors as this information isn't available and the bases for comparison are as wide and varied as pointed out in the section above regarding the Non-US aspects of approach. Even anecdotal evidence isn't readily available however individuals can assess these returns for themselves.