US tax pitfalls for a US person living abroad

 lists and describes the major investing difficulties faced by US persons living outside the US. US persons are US citizens and US permanent residents (also known as green card holders). Even if their physical green card has expired, US permanent residents remain fully taxable by the US until their permanent resident status is officially abandoned or rescinded.

The US is unique among developed nations in applying its full tax code both extraterritorially and permanently to US persons who do not live in the US. This creates significant investing problems, expenses, barriers, obstructions, and increased tax burdens for these individuals.

The information in this page describes the situation for current US citizens and green card holders. It also acts as a list of considerations and planning points for people who are not yet US citizens but are contemplating becoming one in future, and who do not plan to live in the US for the rest of their lives, and for US citizens living abroad who do not plan to return to the US to live, and who are considering renouncing their US citizenship to simplify their financial lives.

Introduction
The US taxes citizens and green card holders who do not live in the US, but these people are also within the tax jurisdiction of the country in which they live. Unless they live in a country with no income tax, this means they are subject to at least two overlapping tax regimes. And potentially more that two, where local and state taxes also apply.

The Foreign Earned Income Exclusion (FEIE) and Foreign Tax Credit (FTC) mitigate some of the most obvious cases where double-tax could occur, and there is a commonly held belief that together these eliminate US tax for US persons living abroad.

This belief is false. The FEIE and the FTC are both limited and inadequate, and they do not fully protect from double-tax or from US tax except in the simplest of circumstances. The FEIE is limited to only earned income, and while unused foreign tax credits can be carried over in years when they are not used, the requirement for them to be characterised may mean that excess credits in one category cannot be used to offset tax from income that is in a different category.

The sections below describe cases where you will, as a US person living abroad, face double-tax or added US tax on top of your local tax liabilities, and where there is no protection from the FEIE, FTC, or any tax treaties.

Earnings and salary
Specifically for employment earnings, as a US person living abroad, you can shelter up to a limited amount each year from US tax using the FEIE. Beyond this level though, you have to rely on foreign tax credits to mitigate US tax on foreign earnings.

Because of the stacking rule, the FEIE is less valuable than other deductions and exclusions. This rule requires you to calculate tax so that income above the FEIE is taxed as if no exclusion applied. In other words, it pushes income above the FEIE into higher tax brackets. It is therefore just a credit for the US tax that would have been due on the foreign income.

In addition, note that you must have a tax home in a country other than the US, and that the US does not recognise certain locations as foreign (for example, Antarctica). The FEIE can only be claimed on a timely filed tax return.

Alongside the FEIE, you may be able to obtain some extra protection from US tax on a foreign salary using the Foreign Housing Exclusion.

Where you earn above the FEIE, a foreign tax credit only helps if there is any local tax for you to credit against US tax. If you work in a country with low or no income taxes, you will have no foreign taxes available for credit. In this case, you will pay tax to the US, and your own overall tax bill will be higher than non-US citizens who are otherwise in the same position as you.

Investment income, dividends and interest
You are liable to US tax on interest, dividends, rent, royalties, and any other type of passive income that you receive as a US person abroad, no matter where that passive income is sourced. You can use foreign tax credits to reduce this US tax, but this will be no benefit where your local tax liability on this income is zero.

Some countries have no income taxes at all. And of those that do, some do not tax investment income. Or if they do, they tax it more lightly than other types of income, perhaps relying on sales taxes rather than income taxes for their tax revenue.

In addition, you are required to categorise your foreign tax credits, so that you can only claim credits against US tax where you paid local tax on the same category of income. This means that you may pay local tax on one type of non-employment income, US tax on a different type of non-employment income, and with no means of obtaining a credit for either. Worse, although you can carry unused foreign tax credits forwards, if not used they expire after ten years.

Where your US tax liability on passive income exceeds any local tax liability on the same category of income, you are left with a US tax bill to pay. You cannot claim a foreign tax credit for non-US sales taxes.

Locally tax-free savings and investment accounts
A common case where US persons living abroad can face tax liabilities in excess of those payable by citizens of other countries is where your country of residence generally taxes investment income, but offers limited tax-free or tax-advantaged local savings accounts and investment wrapper accounts.

Examples include UK Individual Savings Accounts (ISA) and Canadian Tax-Free Savings Accounts (TFSA). For both of these, all capital gains, dividends and interest occurring inside the wrapper are locally tax free. However, the US does not recognise these wrappers as a tax shelter, and so will tax all of the income occurring inside them annually, as if they were normal unwrapped savings or investment accounts.

The result is that you will again pay higher tax than any non-US citizen in comparable circumstances.

Net investment income tax
The Net Investment Income Tax (NIIT) is a tax surcharge of 3.8% on investment income, and is triggered if your total gross income exceeds certain levels. The IRS has explicitly disallowed applying foreign tax credits to reduce the NIIT. As a result, if subject to the NIIT you are likely to face double-tax.

If this investment income is not local-source, it is possible that your residence country may allow a tax credit for US NIIT paid. Otherwise, the result is pure double-tax on this portion of your investment income.

Alternative minimum tax
If you are subject to the alternative minimum tax (AMT), there are additional restrictions on how much foreign tax credit the US will allow you. This again leads to double-tax.

You also need to prepare -- or pay to have prepared for you -- two versions of each foreign tax credit form, one for regular tax and the other for AMT.

Capital gains
Capital gains give rise to several of the most vexing US tax problems for US citizens living abroad. Many countries either do not tax capital gains at all, or if they do then it is either lightly or with a sizeable exemption.

In contrast, the US fully taxes capital gains, and also differentiates between short-term and long-term holdings, so that short-term gains are treated as income and taxed more heavily. It also computes the capital gain for foreign assets based on the exchange rates in effect at the dates of purchase and of sale.

As a result of mismatches between the way the US and many other countries tax capital gains, it is easy for a US person living abroad to find themselves with a US capital gains tax liability that cannot be reduced or offset by any local tax liability.

Phantom currency gains
The US requires you to compute capital gains on foreign assets in USD only, using the exchange rate in effect when the asset was bought to arrive at the basis, and the rate in effect when the asset was sold to give the sale proceeds. This can result in a taxable USD gain, even where there is no local currency gain. And worse, the US taxes foreign currency gains at income tax rates.

For example, suppose you buy a rental property for €200,000 when the exchange rate is €1 = $1, and sell it later for, again, €200,000, but when the exchange rate has become €1 = $1.25. In EUR, your local currency, you have no gain. However, because the EUR/USD exchange rate changed while you owned that asset, you have a USD gain of $50,000. And you now owe US income tax on that $50,000. Because you have no local gain and so no local tax liability, you cannot reduce this US tax liability using foreign tax credits.

It is quite possible to make a local currency loss that nevertheless generates a US taxable gain. Suppose above you had sold the rental property for €180,000. This is a EUR loss to you locally of €20,000, but a taxable USD gain of $25,000.

In the examples above, you are in a worse tax position than a similarly situated non-US citizen.

Sale of primary residence
In most countries, any gains you make on selling your primary home are generally free of tax. However, the US limits tax-free gains on your primary residence to $250,000 ($500,000 if married filing jointly), and also requires you to have lived in the house for two of the past five years before allowing any capital gains tax exemption.

Where you sell your local home and fall outside of these US tax exclusions, you face a US tax liability for the gain on your home's value that again cannot be offset or mitigated by using foreign tax credits. This US tax liability erodes your ability to buy another property, relative to other non-US citizens.

Paying down a foreign loan or mortgage
If you have a non-US loan, repaying it may create a US taxable event. This is a particular issue where the loan is a mortgage. Even superficially entirely normal actions such as remortgaging, changing mortgage provider, and making capital repayments can all lead to a US tax liability.

The culprit is phantom currency gains, already mentioned above. US Tax & Financial Services provides an example:

This can leave you significantly worse off, relative to non-US citizens who take identical actions.

Non-US pensions
Pensions are another treacherous area for US citizens living abroad. Some countries' tax treaties with the US cover pensions, at least partly, so in these countries the results might be less bad than in others, but grey areas in the treaty mean that poor tax outcomes are still likely.

The default case, where a non-US pension is not covered by treaty, is for the US to treat it as an ordinary unwrapped investment account, or potentially as a non-US trust. This can lead directly to double-tax, where contributions and gains within the plan are subject to US tax annually, and withdrawals are subject to local tax when taken. Also, full compliance with US tax reporting rules may be impossible, because of lack of information from the pension scheme itself.

Even if you live in a country where there is a treaty covering pensions (and the US does not disallow the pension articles using its saving clause ), you may still face problems.

For example, the US/UK treaty covers some UK pensions reasonably well, particularly employer pensions, but it limits your contributions to only what you would have been able to contribute to a similar plan, a 401k or IRA say, if you were employed in the US. US annual retirement savings limits are generally lower than UK ones, so you cannot save as much for retirement as your non-US citizen peers and colleagues can. You must also watch out for the US highly compensated employee (HCE) rule, something that non-US citizens can of course ignore entirely.

The situation in Australia is particularly poor. Australian superannuation plans are partly compulsory, but are not covered by the US/Australia tax treaty. If you live in Australia, you may have to declare your superannuation plan as a foreign grantor trust, with extreme and onerous US tax and reporting outcomes. One expert explains:

Treaties may offer some protection, so in the best cases you will only be subject to additional rules and restrictions on local retirement savings plans. In the worst cases though, you will face double-tax on your retirement savings, once by the US and then later on by your home country.

Prizes, lottery and gambling winnings
In many countries, prizes and winnings are tax-free. The US however, treats all gambling winnings, prizes, lottery wins, and any other competition wins as taxable income. This would encompass everything, from winning €100 million in the EuroMillions lottery through to winning a cake at the local village fair.

So if you live in the UK and win £1 million in UK premium bonds, you might face paying close to $350,000 in US income tax on this prize, and with no foreign tax credit offset. In contrast, a non-US citizen would pay nothing.

Receipt of gifts and bequests
As a general rule, US persons do not need to report receipt of gifts and bequests to the IRS. However, there is an exception for receipts of gifts and bequests from non-US persons in excess of $100,000 in a year. These need to be reported on Form 3520, under threat of penalties of $10,000 for late filing or noncompliance.

Tax on gift and bequest receipts
US persons do not pay tax on gifts or bequests received, but with one important exception. Gifts and bequests from a covered expatriate (under the US expatriation tax rules) are subject to a 40% transfer tax on receipt, payable by the recipient. The US introduced section 2801 tax in 2008, but as of 2019 the IRS has still not created a route to compliance with this law. This is an impressively long delay, even by the standards of the IRS.

When the IRS does finally get round to implementing section 2801 tax, if you receive a gift or bequest from a covered expatriate you will be much worse off that a non-US person receiving the same gift or bequest. Until then, this tax is officially deferred, meaning that you do not -- in fact, cannot -- pay it now, but you need to budget for it becoming collectable in future.

Controlled foreign corporations
If you are an officer, director, or substantial shareholder in a company registered in your home country, the US may treat that company as a controlled foreign corporation (CFC). This generates extremely onerous US tax reporting requirements, with penalties of up to $60,000 for noncompliance or late filing.

The Subpart F tax rule is particularly unpleasant. Buzzacott explains:

As the owner of a company that the US views as a CFC, you can face a much higher tax burden than a non-US citizen with the same level of ownership.

Partnerships with non-US persons
The controlled foreign corporation (CFC) rules outlined above can also make it difficult for you as a US citizen to enter into partnerships with other non-US citizens. Your participation will embroil the non-US corporation in a lot of US tax reporting that most non-US persons and companies are keen to avoid.

Anecdotally, US citizens are now finding it hard to enter into partnerships outside the US, and may find that they are being passed over for senior roles in existing companies.

Extensive and intrusive reporting requirements
As a US person living abroad, you will have to deal with many more, and complex, IRS forms. These are forms that people living in the US will rarely encounter, if ever. These forms are difficult and time-consuming to complete, and costly if you find that you are forced to used a paid preparer. They are also intrusive, since they require you to list not just your taxable and non-taxable income, but also the full details of all your non-US accounts -- income, account number, highest balance during the calendar year, name of non-US financial institution, and so on.

Typical forms you will encounter, above and beyond the normal form 1040 and all of its associated schedules and extra forms, are:
 * Form 2555, for claiming the Foreign Earned Income Exclusion.
 * Form 1116, to claim a Foreign Tax Credit. You might need to complete several of these.
 * Form 8938, Statement of Foreign Assets. Here you list the details, income and balances of all your non-US accounts. Essentially duplicative with FinCEN form 114, but often both must be filed.
 * Form 8833, Treaty-Based Return Position Disclosure. Used to claim tax treaty benefits.
 * Form 5471, Information Return of US Persons With Respect to Certain Foreign Corporation. Used for controlled foreign corporations (CFC).
 * Form 8865, Return of US Persons with Respect to Certain Foreign Partnerships. As above, just more of the same.
 * Form 8621, Information Return by a Shareholder of a Passive Foreign Investment Company (PFIC). Extremely time-consuming, but required if you hold any non-US domiciled funds or ETFs. The IRS's estimated time to complete this form is over 48 hours.
 * Form 3520, Annual Return to Report Transactions With Foreign Trusts and Receipt of Certain Foreign Gifts. For any activity involving non-US trusts, and also for gifts and bequests from non-US sources above $100,000.
 * Form 3520A, Annual Information Return of Foreign Trust with a US Owner. Required if you own a local trust. Another extremely time-consuming and complex form.
 * FinCEN Form 114, Foreign Bank Account Reporting (FBAR). Filed annually with the Financial Crimes Enforcement Center. This form can only be filed electronically. The threshold for filing is very low, just $10,000 in non-US accounts. Essentially duplicative with form 8938, but often both must be filed.

Disadvantageous tax filing status options
If you are married, you have the choice of filing US tax as Married Filing Jointly (MFJ) or Married Filing Separately (MFS). If your spouse is not a US person though, choosing MFJ will subject them to the full extent of difficult and unpleasant US tax laws on all of their own non-US income and financial affairs.

Most non-US spouses (sensibly) wish to keep the IRS entirely out of their personal financial affairs. This means that unless you can use Head of Household status, you will be obliged to use MFS when you file your US taxes. This is generally less advantageous than filing jointly with a spouse, and often also less advantageous than filing Single. In other words, you are pushed into the US tax filing category that has the highest tax rates and the lowest allowances of all the available options.

This usually has the effect of leaving you in a worse tax position than a similarly situated US citizen living in the US.

Expensive tax filings
Unless your finances are extremely simple, using a paid preparer to complete your US tax return will be extremely costly. Typical fees to complete forms such as 3520 and 5471 alone run to between $200 to $600 for each copy needed, in addition to the base cost of completing the 1040 and its associated schedules.

US expats with finances that are entirely regular and vanilla in local terms regularly complain of US tax preparation fees in excess of $2,000 to $3,000 annually. This is an out-of-pocket expense that your non-US citizen peers do not have to pay.

Extreme penalties for noncompliance
The penalties for noncompliance of US reporting rules are draconian, often two orders of magnitude or more above the penalty that would be imposed on a US resident for similar noncompliance or late form filing.

For example, the penalty for a late-filed form 3520 begins at $10,000. Moreover, the IRS has begun aggressively enforcing this penalty. The penalty for non-filing of form 8938 starts at $10,000 and rises to $60,000. And the penalty for non-filing of form 8865 follows the same pattern.

The most extreme penalty of all -- and one that may arguably be in violation of the US constitution's eighth amendment excessive fines clause -- is the civil penalty for not filing FinCEN form 114 (also known as FBAR). This is $12,921 if non-wilful, and the higher of $129,210 or 50% of the highest account balance for the year, if wilful. Penalties may apply per year, in the case of multiple year violations, so that in the worst cases the penalties for non-filing may exceed the account balance.

As a US person residing abroad, you have to learn to live with the perpetual risk of these oppressive penalties for simple form errors. Many US expats find that this alone creates considerable emotional and mental stress, quite apart from the bureaucratic nuisance and tax expense of the US's citizenship-based taxation regime.

FATCA, PRIIPs and PFIC
One of the effects of the Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act (FATCA) is that non-US banks and financial institutions are now forced to search their customer bases for 'US indicia' such as a US phone number, US address, or US place of birth, and then report any customers that they suspect of being US persons either to the IRS directly, or indirectly through their own country's tax authority where that country has signed a FATCA Intergovernmental Agreement (IGA) with the US. The threat from the US for noncompliance is a withholding tax of 30% on all payments from the US to that non-US bank or financial institution.

Because this is both a major costly administrative burden and a significant compliance penalty risk, a number of non-US banks and financial institutions have taken the commercial decision to no longer offer services to US persons. This includes those living in the same country as the bank, and who may also be full citizens of that country as well as being US citizens. As further fallout, some US financial institutions now also refuse service to US persons who are not living in the US.

In 2018, an EU regulation known as PRIIPs became operational. It requires funds and ETFs sold to EU residents to provide a Key Investor Information Document (KID, or KIID) in a particular format. As of 2019, no US domiciled fund or ETF produces a KID.

And a US tax law, Passive foreign investment company (PFIC), applies unpalatable tax rules to US persons who own non-US domiciled funds or ETFs. Conversely, if you hold US domiciled funds or ETFs, you might run into difficult or punitive local tax rules for holding 'offshore' funds, leaving you in a no-win situation.

These three tax rules combine in a way that can make it practically impossible for you to own any index funds or ETFs. The only simple viable route is through a US based account with US based broker. Opening one may involve convincing them that you are a US resident, even though not. Otherwise, you run into problems opening a local brokerage account due to FATCA. And if you can find and open one, you will not be able to buy US domiciled funds or ETFs, and will run into the US PFIC tax rules if you use non-US domiciled ones.

Your non-US citizen peers, friends, and family can invest freely through local brokerages, using non-US domiciled index funds and ETFs, without any of these tax drawbacks and limitations.

State tax
US states that have income taxes vary in the way they treat individuals who move outside the US. It is possible, then, that you have a state income tax filing requirement, and perhaps actual tax liability, as well as US federal tax requirements. Details are too diffuse and complicated to go into here, and you will need to investigate your situation with whichever state or states might claim you as a taxpayer.

Not all US states recognise US tax treaties, and so if you are relying on a treaty to protect you from US tax, this treaty may not protect you from any US state tax liability you may have.

As always, non-US citizens in the same situation as you will have none of these difficulties with US state taxes. A non-US citizen who is not living in the US cannot be considered as still resident or domiciled in any US state.

Discrimination
As well as the direct difficulties caused by your US citizenship, there can also be indirect ones. Two have already been mentioned. They are inability to open accounts at many non-US banks and brokerages, and also at some US brokerages, due to FATCA, and possible inability to enter into foreign partnerships.

A less obvious restriction on your employment prospects comes from the requirement to file FinCEN form 114 (also known as FBAR). This form requires you to report

This includes any employer accounts for which you are responsible, and non-US companies generally will not allow their account details to be passed to the IRS.

As a result of this, you can be rejected for, or otherwise unable to take on, certain roles within non-US corporations, particularly any in finance or accounting. These roles will instead be filled by your non-US citizen colleagues.

You may be excluded from non-US trusts. Foreign trusts with a US person owner or a US person beneficiary acquire certain added reporting requirements, either to the IRS or to you, that most will be keen to avoid. The easiest way for them to avoid these reporting requirements is to exclude you from the trust.

When considering employees for foreign assignments, companies look closely at the costs of the assignment. The US's citizenship based taxation makes US citizens more expensive for these assignments, either because salary must be adjusted upwards or because they will need to provide you with 'tax equalisation' as part of the relocation package.

This makes you more expensive to employ that non-US citizens, and so less competitive in the global jobs marketplace. It is a particular problem where relocation will be to a country with low or no income taxes.

Additionally, any 'tax equalisation' package will only cover salary. It will not cover you for any of the other US tax problems you will face, such as double-tax on investment income or tax on phantom currency gains. An employer might cover the cost of your (expensive) US tax filings, but this will itself be a taxable benefit.

Expatriation tax
The US has an expatriation tax that applies to US citizens who renounce their US citizenship. It passed into law in 2008, as part of the mostly unrelated HEART act.

The tax is triggered if you have total assets above $2 million, not indexed for inflation, or if you exceed a given annual federal tax liability over the preceding five years. It also applies to long-term green card holders who formally abandon their US permanent resident status, if they have held a green card in eight years or more. Individuals subject to the expatriation tax are known as covered expatriates.

There are three main provisions to the US expatriation tax, also commonly known as the 'exit tax'. The first can often be mitigated, but the other two are repressive, and at least in one case, usually unavoidable. Because it overrides the provisions of tax treaties the US has signed with other countries, the US exit tax potentially violates the Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties.

Deemed distribution
The US "deems" your assets to have been sold on the date of expatriation. This is a pretend sale of assets, but if these assets have unrealised built-in capital gains then the tax on them has to be paid immediately with real money. There is an sizeable exemption before any tax becomes due.

There are several ways in which you can reduce or counter this tax. Simplest is to give away assets to bring you below the $2 million asset test for the tax. This may involve you filing a US gift tax return and burning through some of your lifetime US gift and bequest allowance, but burning that is not an issue as you will no longer be a US citizen after renouncing, and so free and clear of future US estate taxes, at least provided you organise your assets correctly once you become a US nonresident alien.

You might also consider selling and repurchasing liquid assets, to eliminate unrealised capital gains. This will be harder with illiquid assets though, for example your home or other real estate. This can be particular important where assets will be liable to your home country's capital gains tax later. In this case, the result will be double-tax, because countries do not give tax credits for taxes paid years or decades earlier on "deemed" -- that is, pretend -- asset sales.

Immediate tax on retirement accounts balances
This is an extremely unpleasant exit tax provision. The tax "deems" all your retirement savings accounts to have been distributed fully on the date of expatriation, so that they become taxable as income all in a single year. The exemption mentioned above for the "deemed" distribution of other assets does not apply to this provision. Immediate tax on your entire retirement savings balance will drive up your tax to extreme levels, and could easily destroy your retirement prospects entirely.

It also leads to double-tax on retirement savings. Your home country will almost certainly tax withdrawals from a 401k or IRA, and will not allow you credit for any "deemed" US tax paid perhaps years or decades earlier. This provision of the exit tax arguably violates many US tax treaties.

One possible way to defuse some of the problem here could be to use a Roth 401k or a Roth IRA. The contribution and conversion elements of these will not be taxable, leaving only the earnings and gains to generate a tax liability. However, other countries rarely recognise the tax-free nature of a US Roth account, so you will need to be sure of your local tax position on these.

Tax on future gifts and bequests to US persons
The worst exit tax provision of all. Section 2801 taxes gifts and bequests to a US person from a covered expatriate at a rate of 40%. For more, see Tax on gift and bequest receipts, above.

This captures money made perhaps long after renouncing US citizenship. It also leads to double-tax, and perhaps even to triple-tax. For example, money that has already been taxed by the US under the exit tax or normal income or capital gains tax rules is then taxed a second time when received by a US person from a covered expatriate. If that money also faces local country tax so that it is double-taxed due to another US tax provision, the result is triple-tax.

More than any other, this exit tax provision encourages covered expatriates to exclude US persons for gifts and bequests, and also motivates entire families to expatriate together.

Reed amendment
The Reed Amendment attempts to create a permanent entry ban on covered expatriates ever returning to the US, even for a short visit.

Since its passage in 1996, the Reed amendment has so far proven to be mostly unenforceable. There have been multiple attempts over the years to shore it up so that it can be enforced, but so far none has achieved much success.

However, this does not mean that it will not be enforced in future, and potentially retroactively. As a US person living abroad, if you are considering renouncing your US citizenship to free yourself from the difficulties caused by US taxes, you will need to bear this in mind.

Retroactive US tax laws
The US expatriation tax, passed in 2008, is arguably a retroactive tax provision. It adversely alters the taxation of retirement savings made years or decades earlier, based on characteristics (such as holding a green card) that might not have been entered into had the law existed at the time. It can also capture gains that accrued long before a covered expatriate became a US person. And also, under section 2801, gains that accrue long after ceasing to be a US person. It results in double-tax that would not have occurred before.

A more recent example is the Global intangible low-taxed income tax (GILTI), passed in the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) in 2017. This tax was marketed as being aimed at global multinational corporates, but as written it also applies to individual CFCs being managed by US person entrepreneurs abroad. Its "deemed" (that word again) repatriation tax provision looks back 31 years, and taxes earnings and profits retained in CFCs and accumulated from 1986 to 2017, even if there is no actual flow of funds back to the shareholder. Because these profits will be taxable locally when actually distributed or taken, the likely result is double-tax.

The US both enacts retroactive tax laws and uses "deeming" as a fictive way of creating a tax liability in the absence of any actual taxable event or income. As a US citizen abroad, you will need to be on constant lookout for these types of laws, and be ready to reorganise your assets, or perhaps your entire life, to avoid being financially damaged by them.

Unknown future US tax laws
Nobody knows what new taxes the US will create that cause further problems for US persons living abroad. If the past is a guide though, the direction of travel does not appear promising. And there are two areas where attempts to worsen tax laws further for US persons abroad can already be seen.

Ex-PATRIOT act
As a reaction to Eduardo Saverin renouncing US citizenship, in 2012 an attempt was made to pass the Ex-PATRIOT Act. The main effect of this act would have been to impose a permanent US entry ban on specified expatriates (essentially, the same people who are covered expatriates under the US exit tax). In other words, banishment for renouncing citizenship if you have a certain level of assets or wealth.

Crucially, the Ex-PATRIOT act includes the following text:

This is overtly retroactive. Ex-PATRIOT did not pass in 2012, but there have been attempts since to try to pass it again. So far none has succeeded, but this is not to say that it will never pass.

Repeal of the FEIE
The foreign earned income exclusion is a regular target for repeal or abolition in congressional bills. For the moment, it is still in place, but it may be a matter of time before you are left with only imperfect foreign tax credits to protect you from US tax on your non-US earnings and salary.

Effects on other family members
Your US citizenship can have tax effects on other members of your family. Some are avoidable, but others are not.

Entangling a non-US spouse in US tax laws
If you hold any joint accounts with your spouse, these need to be reported on both Form 8938 and FinCEN form 114. Understandably, most non-US persons are unhappy with having details of their personal finances sent annually to the IRS and to FinCEN.

This occurs independently of which US tax filing status you use. It may be unwise for you as a US citizen to maintain any joint accounts with a non-US spouse.

Entangling children in US tax laws
If you meet the necessary US residency and marital status requirements, any children you have that are born abroad will nevertheless automatically become US citizens. This means that they immediately acquire all of the tax problems described in this page.

You cannot renounce your children's US citizenship on their behalf. Only they can do this, and generally not earlier than age 18. Because of the cruel way this law operates, it is impossible for individuals with "developmental or intellectual disabilities" to ever renounce US citizenship, leaving them trapped for life.