2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

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Taylor Larimore
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2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Taylor Larimore »

Bogleheads:

We are pleased to announce Registration for the 2015 Boglehead Contest. But first, let's learn from the 2014 Boglehead Contest:

* Our Boglehead S&P 500 guesses ranged from a high of 3146 to a low of 960. Can anyone really forecast the stock market except by luck? Of course not, as this contest is designed to demonstrate.

* The S&P 500 Index on December 31, 2014 had closing price of 2058.90. This represents a 12-month gain of +11.4% (+13.7% if dividends are included).

* The average Boglehead guess was 1958.40 -- better than professional Wall Street guesses averaging 1949.14.

Financial Dave won our 2014 Boglehead Contest with his remarkably close guess of 2057.36. He has chosen Mr. Bogle's excellent book, Don't Count On It. Dave has read both Boglehead books, including the latest edition of our Bogleheads' Guide to Investing, so I am pleased to give him, as an alternative, his choice of any book in our Collection of Investment Gems (please give him your suggestion).

The 2015 winner will receive the same prizes of a book of choice from Mr. Bogle plus one of our Boglehead books.

Rules for the 2015 Boglehead Contest:

* Forecast the closing price of the S&P 500 Index on December 31, 2015.
* Only one guess (no percentages and no changes).
* Registration ends 12:00 midnight ET January 10, 2015.
* In the event of ties, the first forecast wins.
* Post your forecast below.

HAPPY NEW YEAR and GOOD LUCK!!

Taylor Larimore and Ralph Arvesen (programmer)

BOGLEHEAD CONTEST TRACKING SITE
"Simplicity is the master key to financial success." -- Jack Bogle
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cfs
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

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2311.95
~ Member of the Active Retired Force since 2014 ~
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JDaniels
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

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2185.95
"The poor long for riches. The rich long for heaven. But the wise desire tranquility."
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BigFoot48
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by BigFoot48 »

2123.58 (pi theorem)
Retired | Two-time in top-10 in Bogleheads S&P500 contest; 15-time loser
kumar6851
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by kumar6851 »

2470.00
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TheTimeLord
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by TheTimeLord »

2523.62
IMHO, Investing should be about living the life you want, not avoiding the life you fear. | Run, You Clever Boy! [9085]
Compound
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Compound »

1997.13
sgrapevine
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Post by sgrapevine »

2222.22
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Aptenodytes
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Post by Aptenodytes »

2102.10
madpunster
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Post by madpunster »

2300.01
mptness
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Post by mptness »

2172.00
renter
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Post by renter »

2149.56
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Post by Ged »

2269.69
L.Washington
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Post by L.Washington »

2020.20
chw
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Post by chw »

2404 or thereabouts
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

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1933.9
All that truly matters in the end is that you loved.
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by theduke »

2058.90
tomd37
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by tomd37 »

tomd37 "guesstimates" 2211.37
Tom D.
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by mc7 »

2198.6
AQ
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Post by AQ »

2109.87
stan1
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Post by stan1 »

2015.00
FlyOverState
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Post by FlyOverState »

2387.15
Thanks, | John | | FlyOverState
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1731.54
Most of my posts assume no behavioral errors.
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1873.60
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Post by david9117 »

2200.11
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Post by phantom »

1933.41
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Miriam2
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Miriam2 »

2060.00 :happy
John Bogle, "The Twelve Pillars of [Financial] Wisdom"- Pillar 7: The Powerful Magnetism of the Mean. Reversion to the mean prevails, sooner or later, in the financial jungle.
RyanC
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by RyanC »

2223.22
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2144.44
gator15
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2209.34
jon-nyc
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Post by jon-nyc »

1968.0
wades1
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1942.42
gdm129
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

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2170.52
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JamesSFO
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2,223.61
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by FrugalInvestor »

2225.72
Have a plan, stay the course and simplify. Then ignore the noise!
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Post by investor »

2351.251
SunnySeattle
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Post by SunnySeattle »

2174.20
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Post by Tortuga »

2367.74
chaz
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by chaz »

2301.25 Happy New Year!
Chaz | | “Money is better than poverty, if only for financial reasons." Woody Allen | | http://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/index.php/Main_Page
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parsi1
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by parsi1 »

1979.00

the same as my last forecast.
best wishes to everyone.
jmg229
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by jmg229 »

2157.72
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Post by Groundhog »

2302.15
Sriracha
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Post by Sriracha »

1804.63
Don't reach for yield.
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by FrugalFrida »

2220.00
chahn1
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Post by chahn1 »

2676.55
csage
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Post by csage »

2131.41
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Mel Lindauer
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Mel Lindauer »

1313.13 (the same WAG I've used for years, based on nothing more than unlucky "13", hoping it never wins). :D
Best Regards - Mel | | Semper Fi
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Sally
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Post by Sally »

2119.5
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LiveSimple
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Post by LiveSimple »

2265.68
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simplesimon
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1853.01
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