Wow. Thank you everyone for the thoughtful responses.
langelgjm wrote: Thu Jan 09, 2025 11:01 pm
If I understand your total asset allocation is 56.5% stocks and 43.5% bonds? That seems too conservative for a very early retiree. Very early retirees need to balance SORR with the risk of inflation over long (50 or 60 year) retirements, so generally need at least 70% stocks. Personally have been 80/20 for the past several years and have recently moved to 75/25 to mitigate SORR.
I mentioned that this is a tactical decision. It may come back to bite me in the butt (mostly in terms of missing out on gains rather than frank losses), but I am concerned with the high valuations in US stocks relative to historical norms, relative to risk free bond yields, and relative to international stocks. It has the 2007 and 1999 kind of feeling that I lived through. The Buffett Indicator, the historical returns relative to starting PE ratio, CAPE ratio, etc. all estimate zero to negative returns for the next 10 years, and significant underperformance vs bonds. It may be overly conservative, but I believe Morningstar ran a section once about a strategy of being heavy bonds in the early phases of retirement and ramping up the equities midway through. A back of the napkin target is for me to rebalance more into US stocks if we reach ~PE ratio of 16.
You may not want to immediately buy a house. We are landing in an AirBNB for a few months to scope out the rental/purchase market. SE France will be relatively expensive but $900k to $1.3 million is a lot of house. You could easily find something more modest and keep more funds invested.
Yeah we thought about that, but the research we did showed that we would be the least preferred kind of tenant for French landlords. We have non-French investment income (volatile). We don't have a CDI steady job. We also have so many assets we can buy a place outright (not long-term renters). Regarding AirBNBs, I thought many European cities have banned them. We're not opposed to renting in the short-medium term, but many people on other expat forums say "just buy" because of how agonizing and hard it is to find a rental. I agree that $900k-$1.3M is a lot of house, but that's the going price for a 3-4 BR apt in a good location (Cimiez, Port) close to the city center in Nice (per Sotheby and Le Figaro properties section).
We will be sending our school-age child to a private Catholic school "sous contrat" (state-subsidized). The tuition is EUR 50 (not a typo, that's fifty) a month. The curriculum is essentially identical to the public school curriculum, except with an hour or two extra each week for optional religious instruction. The teachers are trained and certified in the same way as the public system. By contrast "hors contrat" private schools are substantially more expensive and do not have to follow the national curriculum at all.
I'll look into it. Just FYI the place I looked up is EIB Nice Le Pain d'epices. The tuition for that is about $1000 per child per month, excluding summer vacation. I think that's a private school but not sure if it's sous or hors contrat.
My limited research suggests if you would be doing fully remote work for clients based in the US, payment is received to US accounts, and there is no nexus in France, it seems it really is a gray area whether this counts as self-employment in France.
The French accountant I talked to says that's only true if the work is performed on US soil. Remote work done in France I would actually need to self-incorporate to properly pay the social charges.
Also check out these threads on FIRE in France:
Yup, I actually read both of them before, and independently discovered the low tax nature of the tax treaty prior to that article which set in motion these FIRE plans years ago.
Bashido wrote: Fri Jan 10, 2025 2:01 am
Your budget appears quite rough and incomplete. Health costs? Clothes? Maintenance?
Agreed, but those costs are lumpy and difficult to budget for. I want to go in with a large buffer under the misc section and then see how much our average spending in each of those categories will be.
Certainly go for public school. Hooligan concerns in French public school? Unless you are in the difficult areas (and w 1M+ house buying plan not likely), this is not a concern. French schools are generally more strict, disciplined and orderly than US - and many other - school systems. Also if this is a permanent move and kids are young, they need to learn French in school, otherwise they - and you - will stay isolated
Good point. My concern is that the kids won't learn English well. I really want them to be competently bilingual.
Remember taxes. There is a capital gains tax in France that you will be subjected to. Normally is is a flat 30pct tax (!), but you can opt for a progressive tax scheme. There is an example here how a 90k EUR capital gain means 10k taxes for your family size
https://www.service-public.fr/particuli ... 19?lang=en
We would be exempt from this per the US-France tax treaty. All capital gains, dividends, pension payouts for US citizens are exempt from French tax and the social charges. We would only be paying the CSM/PUMA tax of 6.5% on passive income which is an acceptable tax that we can budget for.
Have you taken an extended stay in France before? Why this area? Are kids/spouse as excited? We have changed countries several times, incl France. Amazing adventure but also tough proceds
Yes! We've gone every year for the past 3 years to scope out various regions - Paris, Brittany, Alsace, Lyon, Bordeaux, Toulouse, Provence (Aix and Avignon), and Nice. We're deciding between Toulouse and Nice, with a slight lean towards Nice. Kids (2 and 4) are too young to understand the implications of a move like that. Spouse is excited. We've both lived abroad before in Asia and Europe so we think we can adjust well.
I speak somewhere between A2 and B1 level French. It's not been a problem on our trips there as tourists, but I budgeted for 1 year of intensive classes for both of us when we hit the ground.
You will still owe some taxes or other charges like the cotisation subsidiaire maladie (CSM) after you join the public health system.
Yes, am aware of this. 6.5% on passive income above the PASS unless we generate some local taxable income. Still a bargain compared to US.
cfo wrote: Fri Jan 10, 2025 4:54 am
Welcome to the forum.
How do you think this mental shift would feel in practice if you stayed in the US?
Thanks. I think we'd be more stressed. For comparison, FIRE in most US cities would be even more difficult for us. Our current big expenses in a VHCOL coastal city are $4000 rent, $2400 daycare per child, $1800 groceries, $450 car, $200 insurance, $500 utilities. That would way exceed the income that our investments can generate. And we'd have to pay for our own health insurance which I estimated for our family to be $2300/mo for a silver plan.
As a French resident, you’ll need to navigate French tax authorities no matter what.
Sorry if I wasn't clear. Yes I would still declare but tax filing would be quite simple if I don't generate French source income. Everything goes into the section "Credit d'impôt égal à l'impôt français" which zeroes out all our French tax owed minus the CSM. After that it just becomes an exercise in optimizing US taxes. From the accountant I talked to if I do remote work in France I would have to self-incorporate to properly pay the social charges.
Would this concern feel any different if you stayed in the US instead of relocating?
Yes, see above. We are already quite stressed just living day to day given high expenses in US. FIRE here would be very difficult given high housing, high health care costs, and car dependent nature of most cities.
mecht3ach wrote: Fri Jan 10, 2025 8:53 am
This is perhaps a rather obvious question, but do you have EU citizenship rights to stay in France for longer than 90 days at a stretch? Or plans to get the proper visa (the Profession Liberale Visa, I would guess) by showing you meet those requirements? If it is the Profession Liberale Visa, you would need to show the financial wherewithal both at the beginning and after the first year for the renewal.
Yes, spouse is an EU citizen (non-France) so I can tag along on a spousal reunification permit easily.
TimoFrance wrote: Fri Jan 10, 2025 5:49 pm
I feel your budget is a bit is missing a few items:
Hobbies
Electronics, appliances, furniture, etc.
House Repairs
Cars - Payments, Fuel, Repairs
Clothing
Health Insurance (even in France everyone still buys a Mutuelle).
We are both dual nationals and are planning to move this summer.
Happy to touch base via PM.
Thanks. We don't plan to have a car. Part of the appeal of living in a French city close to the core is giving up the car dependent nature of life in the US, which is a big QOL boost. Other things like appliances, house repairs, clothing are lumpy and difficult to budget for. I plan to fit them into the misc section. Hopefully it still leaves us enough income to travel, eat out, and do some hobbies.
I don't plan on getting a mutuelle. Is it required? My understanding is that the state insurance covers 70% of medical costs. We actually want to leave some out of pocket spending that we can draw down our HSA for. That's ideal from a tax optimization standpoint.