Nobody knows nothing episode [Invested in Microsoft]
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Nobody knows nothing episode [Invested in Microsoft]
Back in the 2010s I went all in with my better half's 401K on MSFT. 24$ a pop because from all I knew they were the gorilla of software then and the future. No diversification what so ever, cardinal sin. The same week a caller on CNBC on the one show that takes call ins asked for the prognostication on MSFT and its future for stock appreciation. The hair impaired MC said "you may make a buck or two" but there was more favorable investment possibilities available. I immediately felt stupid for going whole hog on my putting the entirety of the spouses 410k into it. I stayed put none the less. Nobody knows nothing.
Re: Nobody knows nothing episode
Microsoft is one of the greatest businesses ever invented but nobody really knows how long they will continue to be. I think investors have been thrown for a loop with the great software companies, they rewrote the rules for how to value a business, they stiff-armed the law of large numbers, they made us rethink what is a dominant business and how do governments and regulating bodies grapple with that.
Microsoft is one of the 25 companies that are responsible for nearly 1/3 of all U.S. stock returns above one month T-bills since 1926.
Microsoft is one of the 25 companies that are responsible for nearly 1/3 of all U.S. stock returns above one month T-bills since 1926.
Re: Nobody knows nothing episode [Invested in Microsoft]
I retitled the thread for clarity.
FYI - MSFT is in the news due to hiring the CEO of OpenAI. The stock hit an all-time high today.
FYI - MSFT is in the news due to hiring the CEO of OpenAI. The stock hit an all-time high today.
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- Posts: 116
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Re: Nobody knows nothing episode [Invested in Microsoft]
Thank you Lady Geek for giving my story a proper context.
Re: Nobody knows nothing episode [Invested in Microsoft]
How much did you invest at the low prices? Usually it’s only a few thousand, but it if was a 401k all in I hope it was $50k plus and now there’s a million plus in gains tax sheltered.
- mister_sparkle
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Re: Nobody knows nothing episode [Invested in Microsoft]
I find Jim Cramer entertaining, but find that he's wrong a good % of the time, so I mostly treat him as a contrary indicator. 

Re: Nobody knows nothing episode [Invested in Microsoft]
I missed on Facebook, Apple, Netflix, and Google, (FANG) but did buy in at very low prices on Microsoft in 2005. Then in March, 2009 I purchased quite a bit more at $18 and change. All dividends reinvested. It has been one of my better individual stocks. The company seemed to move forward when Ballmer left.
No more individual stocks for me, I have done extremely well, but luck was probably the biggest issue.
Ed
No more individual stocks for me, I have done extremely well, but luck was probably the biggest issue.
Ed
- Cocoa Beach Bum
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Re: Nobody knows nothing episode [Invested in Microsoft]
There's an ETF for that — https://www.crameretfs.com/mister_sparkle wrote: ↑Mon Nov 20, 2023 8:41 pm I find Jim Cramer entertaining, but find that he's wrong a good % of the time, so I mostly treat him as a contrary indicator.
“How did you go bankrupt?" "Two ways. Gradually, then suddenly.”
Re: Nobody knows nothing episode [Invested in Microsoft]
I purchase Apple in the late 2000’s. I made money on it. But watching ups and downs made me very nervous so I sold in mid 2010’s.
It was a good decision for me. I lost out on $ for not holding steady, but am a happier investor with a boglehead portfolio.
It was a good decision for me. I lost out on $ for not holding steady, but am a happier investor with a boglehead portfolio.
- dogagility
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Re: Nobody knows nothing episode [Invested in Microsoft]
A broken clock is right twice a day.
Make sure you check out my list of certifications. The list is short, and there isn't any. - Eric 0. from SMA
Re: Nobody knows nothing episode [Invested in Microsoft]
I lucked out with Apple in my Roth. I occasionally think about selling it and putting it into VTI but haven’t yet.
Re: Nobody knows nothing episode [Invested in Microsoft]
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Last edited by Nicolas on Wed Nov 22, 2023 3:39 am, edited 1 time in total.
Re: Nobody knows nothing episode [Invested in Microsoft]
Not if it's a Military Clock!
- familythriftmd
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Re: Nobody knows nothing episode [Invested in Microsoft]
So...does this mean that it's time to cash out and do a three-fund?