There’s the 4% Rule, VPW, Dynamic Withdrawals with Guardrails, Amortization based withdrawals (ABW) etc, etc. There are so many methods, it’s a bit hard to keep up with so many ways to spend retirement funds.

Same here.
We really need a single thread that compares and contrasts the most prominent withdrawal methods, including their operation, pros and cons, etc. in a digestible manner. It would be a lot of work to put it together though.
That would apply to us as well. It's made easier by the fact that we've "over-saved" in traditional retirement terms. Retired 5 years ago in late 50's. Planning to delay my SS until age 70. No pensions. Using ACA subsidies to reduce health insurance costs by managing taxable income and limiting Roth conversions until age 65.
Interestingwillthrill81 wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 7:03 pmWe really need a single thread that compares and contrasts the most prominent withdrawal methods, including their operation, pros and cons, etc. in a digestible manner. It would be a lot of work to put it together though.
I thought this was done already by ERN: https://earlyretirementnow.com/safe-wit ... te-series/willthrill81 wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 7:03 pmWe really need a single thread that compares and contrasts the most prominent withdrawal methods, including their operation, pros and cons, etc. in a digestible manner. It would be a lot of work to put it together though.
Default is the Bogleheads Variable Percentage Withdrawal matrix, which for us suggests a withdrawal rate of about 5.1%.Ckprocker wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 6:15 pm I like surveys and data, and thought it might be interesting to get feedback on what type of methods retirees use here.
There’s the 4% Rule, VPW, Dynamic Withdrawals with Guardrails, Amortization based withdrawals (ABW) etc, etc. There are so many methods, it’s a bit hard to keep up with so many ways to spend retirement funds.![]()
Thank yousmectym wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:00 pmDefault is the Bogleheads Variable Percentage Withdrawal matrix, which for us suggests a withdrawal rate of about 5.1%.Ckprocker wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 6:15 pm I like surveys and data, and thought it might be interesting to get feedback on what type of methods retirees use here.
There’s the 4% Rule, VPW, Dynamic Withdrawals with Guardrails, Amortization based withdrawals (ABW) etc, etc. There are so many methods, it’s a bit hard to keep up with so many ways to spend retirement funds.![]()
https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Variabl ... withdrawal
However, we impose an overlay: if the trailing 12 month return of the S&P is negative, we dial back withdrawals to 3%.
Why? Abundance of caution.
Of course, we’re currently languishing in the 3% withdrawal regime.
Zeno, excellent question. And it is a fact that the withdrawal “crystallizes” the then-current NAV of the withdrawn shares—whatever happens to them afterward, spent or saved.Zeno wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:12 pmThat is pretty much our plan: VPW then go lower (but we would do that whether the markets were up or down).smectym wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:00 pmDefault is the Bogleheads Variable Percentage Withdrawal matrix, which for us suggests a withdrawal rate of about 5.1%.Ckprocker wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 6:15 pm I like surveys and data, and thought it might be interesting to get feedback on what type of methods retirees use here.
There’s the 4% Rule, VPW, Dynamic Withdrawals with Guardrails, Amortization based withdrawals (ABW) etc, etc. There are so many methods, it’s a bit hard to keep up with so many ways to spend retirement funds.![]()
https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Variabl ... withdrawal
However, we impose an overlay: if the trailing 12 month return of the S&P is negative, we dial back withdrawals to 3%.
Why? Abundance of caution.
Of course, we’re currently languishing in the 3% withdrawal regime.
VPW, of course, is an approach for withdrawal, not spend. What I remain confused about VPW is this: is the suggested (or lower in a down market) amount to be withdrawn in fact to be withdrawn as a risk reduction measure in that said amount removes those dollars from the market, even in a down market? I recall livesoft saying somewhere in his terrific thread that that was the idea of VPW — it takes dollars off the table, if you will, thus allowing them to be put in a safer place where, of course, some amount therein would be spent in the current year/month.
This aspect of VPW remains uncertain to me. I need to revisit the wonderful VPW thread.
Zeno, thanks for this. And longinvest does make his point.Zeno wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:53 pmI found the quote from the VPW thread I was thinking of above: viewtopic.php?p=2750258#p2750258. Apologies if I have messed up linking to the specific post. There (on Fri Jan 08, 2016 11:28 am) in the VPW thread longinvest posted the following:Zeno wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:12 pmThat is pretty much our plan: VPW then go lower (but we would do that whether the markets were up or down).smectym wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:00 pmDefault is the Bogleheads Variable Percentage Withdrawal matrix, which for us suggests a withdrawal rate of about 5.1%.Ckprocker wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 6:15 pm I like surveys and data, and thought it might be interesting to get feedback on what type of methods retirees use here.
There’s the 4% Rule, VPW, Dynamic Withdrawals with Guardrails, Amortization based withdrawals (ABW) etc, etc. There are so many methods, it’s a bit hard to keep up with so many ways to spend retirement funds.![]()
https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Variabl ... withdrawal
However, we impose an overlay: if the trailing 12 month return of the S&P is negative, we dial back withdrawals to 3%.
Why? Abundance of caution.
Of course, we’re currently languishing in the 3% withdrawal regime.
VPW, of course, is an approach for withdrawal, not spend. What I remain confused about VPW is this: is the suggested (or lower in a down market) amount to be withdrawn in fact to be withdrawn as a risk reduction measure in that said amount removes those dollars from the market, even in a down market? I recall longinvest saying somewhere in his terrific thread that that was the idea of VPW — it takes dollars off the table, if you will, thus allowing them to be put in a safer place where, of course, some amount therein would be spent in the current year/month.
This aspect of VPW remains uncertain to me. I need to revisit the wonderful VPW thread.
Edit: correcting reference to longinvest
"Personally, I would take the full VPW withdrawal and transfer any excess money into a high-interest savings account, instead. Otherwise, the unwithdrawn amount will melt along with the rest of my portfolio during a market downturn, if I leave it invested."
VPW suggests we withdraw 4.6% in Year 1. If we can, instead we only intend to "spend" 2.5% or 3% in Year 1. So if the above thinking is still current (and I don't know if it is) it suggests we go ahead and withdraw 4.6% (unless the lower amount is triggered), put that sum in something like a HYSA, then only withdraw between 2.5% to 3% from the HYSA, thereby "shielding" the remainder from further market volatility.
I'll stop posting in this thread as I don't want to detour it into a discussion of VPW. At the appropriate moment I may post my inquiry in the VPW thread. Apologies for my inadvertent detour of this thread.
This reminded me of two previous threads on Prime Harvesting by M. McClung:livesoft wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 8:29 pm I thought this was done already by ERN: https://earlyretirementnow.com/safe-wit ... te-series/
The Wiki does a pretty good job of describing the various methods, but I don't personally think that it adequately addresses the pros and cons. For instance, I'm a firm believer that rigidly following the constant-real-dollar approach (i.e., SWR) would be incredibly awful in nearly all instances for various reasons.Zeno wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 8:23 pmThe wiki does a great job (although arguably it could be updated with more specifics on more detailed approaches): https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Withdrawal_methods. The wiki’s discussion of dividends is also interesting given all the battles here about what dividends are or are not. The wiki describes living off of dividends as “keep[ing] your principal investment amount intact.”willthrill81 wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 7:03 pmWe really need a single thread that compares and contrasts the most prominent withdrawal methods, including their operation, pros and cons, etc. in a digestible manner. It would be a lot of work to put it together though.
I also really like the following app because it allows one to sort by withdrawal method (while also sorting them into categories): https://ficalc.app/. I believe that the developer is active here, but I don’t recall the user name.
Karsten's done great work to be sure, but it would take many hours to read his series, a great deal of which is just describing why the '4% rule' is not good for early retirees.livesoft wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 8:29 pmI thought this was done already by ERN: https://earlyretirementnow.com/safe-wit ... te-series/willthrill81 wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 7:03 pmWe really need a single thread that compares and contrasts the most prominent withdrawal methods, including their operation, pros and cons, etc. in a digestible manner. It would be a lot of work to put it together though.
I guess that’s us also (retirement deferred again
I use the JoeRetire Method, also known as the "I withdraw what I need, when I need it" method.Ckprocker wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 6:15 pm I like surveys and data, and thought it might be interesting to get feedback on what type of methods retirees use here.
There’s the 4% Rule, VPW, Dynamic Withdrawals with Guardrails, Amortization based withdrawals (ABW) etc, etc. There are so many methods, it’s a bit hard to keep up with so many ways to spend retirement funds.![]()
We did not have a budget while I was working. Except for retirement savings, and required expenses. We just spent or saved what was left over. But now we have to essentially figure out what our salary will be. It is strange!TomatoTomahto wrote: ↑Tue Jul 05, 2022 6:05 amI guess that’s us also (retirement deferred again).
I wonder whether there’s a high correlation of those who budgeted while working and those with fancy-pants withdrawal plans. We just spent what we didn’t save. In retirement the plan is the same.
I guess I can say that my own retirement is sorta deferred as well, even though I've given notice to retire. I agreed to stay as long as needed, within reason, to help find and train my replacement. As such I really have no idea when this will happen, but I hope it's within the next couple of months. I would really hate for it to linger so long that we're approach 2023 RSU vesting, corporate bonus, etc and have my last day happen just before those events. Better to either get agreement that I'll be there through those events (mostly in Q1) or so far away from them that I won't miss them.TomatoTomahto wrote: ↑Tue Jul 05, 2022 6:05 amI guess that’s us also (retirement deferred again).
I wonder whether there’s a high correlation of those who budgeted while working and those with fancy-pants withdrawal plans. We just spent what we didn’t save. In retirement the plan is the same.
I recently took out a car loan. They asked what my income was. I told them "whatever I need". They said "that is common with most retirees". I used the number we withdrew last year. I guess people with the ability to buy a new car have the ability to pay for it. Hopefully.
Interestingly we also do a couple of formal 'checks' to our plan each year - we have this written up as a couple of simple rules to check.curmudgeon wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 8:12 pmThat would apply to us as well. It's made easier by the fact that we've "over-saved" in traditional retirement terms. Retired 5 years ago in late 50's. Planning to delay my SS until age 70. No pensions. Using ACA subsidies to reduce health insurance costs by managing taxable income and limiting Roth conversions until age 65.
I do have some rough guardrails in the back of my mind relative to potential scenarios. They aren't something that I actively evaluate, but if I'm feeling uncomfortable about the situation, it's what I would pull out for guidance. When we hit SS, I'll probably reformulate. It goes something like this:
1. If the 12-month rolling average value of our investments drops down to $X, we will go to a 4% WR, and stay there for at least 5 years. That's a perfectly comfortable income level for us with paid-off house, and still gives a chunk for extras, but would probably limit some of the travel we currently do. With SS down the road, it's still pretty conservative.
2. If the average is between $X and $1.5X, we limit ourselves to 5% of current balance for next years spending.
3. Between $1.5X and $2X, we spend whatever we feel like (we aren't extravagant by nature, so this tends to be more like #2)
4. Above $2X, we actively look to move funds to the next generations or charitable causes.
None of this is set into a formal plan, but it gives me some mental anchor points when I do my quarterly summing up of account values.
I do not like surveys. do what makes you happy.Ckprocker wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 6:15 pm I like surveys and data, and thought it might be interesting to get feedback on what type of methods retirees use here.
There’s the 4% Rule, VPW, Dynamic Withdrawals with Guardrails, Amortization based withdrawals (ABW) etc, etc. There are so many methods, it’s a bit hard to keep up with so many ways to spend retirement funds.![]()
+1Zeno wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:12 pmThat is pretty much our plan: VPW then go lower (but we would do that whether the markets were up or down).smectym wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 9:00 pmDefault is the Bogleheads Variable Percentage Withdrawal matrix, which for us suggests a withdrawal rate of about 5.1%.Ckprocker wrote: ↑Mon Jul 04, 2022 6:15 pm I like surveys and data, and thought it might be interesting to get feedback on what type of methods retirees use here.
There’s the 4% Rule, VPW, Dynamic Withdrawals with Guardrails, Amortization based withdrawals (ABW) etc, etc. There are so many methods, it’s a bit hard to keep up with so many ways to spend retirement funds.![]()
https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Variabl ... withdrawal
However, we impose an overlay: if the trailing 12 month return of the S&P is negative, we dial back withdrawals to 3%.
Why? Abundance of caution.
Of course, we’re currently languishing in the 3% withdrawal regime.
VPW, of course, is an approach for withdrawal, not spend. What I remain confused about VPW is this: is the suggested (or lower in a down market) amount to be withdrawn in fact to be withdrawn as a risk reduction measure in that said amount removes those dollars from the market, even in a down market? I recall longinvest saying somewhere in his terrific thread that that was the idea of VPW — it takes dollars off the table, if you will, thus allowing them to be put in a safer place where, of course, some amount therein would be spent in the current year/month.
This aspect of VPW remains uncertain to me. I need to revisit the wonderful VPW thread.
Edit: correcting reference to longinvest
I am not sure no or only highly voluntary withdrawals is in the list of withdrawal methods either though it is not uncommon for people who post here to be in that method.AlohaBill wrote: ↑Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:28 am Before full retirement, we lived on $33,000 to about $45,000 per year. We figured on $55,000 as a good sum to live on. We would use 4% and VPW.
However, we have ended up following Taylor Larimore’s advice: take out what we need when we need it. Pension and social security cover more than 100% of our expenses. We are only withdrawing from our portfolio to pay for taxes on Roth conversions. We spent $75,000 last year after buying a car so I guess our range now is $33000 to $75,000 per year. We could easily double that if we had to.
There is no need for voodoo math formulas. There is definitely no worries about running out of money. If anything, my wife will be able to fund our grandchildren’s college educations with ease. Life is good.
and among older retirees (at least in my area) it isn't that uncommon, even for retirees with modest wealth. Quite a few retired military and public employees (teachers, cops, state employees) who have significant pensions and social security. Especially the retired military and law enforcement also had "second careers" which earned them a private pension.dbr wrote: ↑Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:44 amI am not sure no or only highly voluntary withdrawals is in the list of withdrawal methods either though it is not uncommon for people who post here to be in that method.AlohaBill wrote: ↑Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:28 am Before full retirement, we lived on $33,000 to about $45,000 per year. We figured on $55,000 as a good sum to live on. We would use 4% and VPW.
However, we have ended up following Taylor Larimore’s advice: take out what we need when we need it. Pension and social security cover more than 100% of our expenses. We are only withdrawing from our portfolio to pay for taxes on Roth conversions. We spent $75,000 last year after buying a car so I guess our range now is $33000 to $75,000 per year. We could easily double that if we had to.
There is no need for voodoo math formulas. There is definitely no worries about running out of money. If anything, my wife will be able to fund our grandchildren’s college educations with ease. Life is good.
InterestingAlohaBill wrote: ↑Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:28 am Before full retirement, we lived on $33,000 to about $45,000 per year. We figured on $55,000 as a good sum to live on. We would use 4% and VPW.
However, we have ended up following Taylor Larimore’s advice: take out what we need when we need it. Pension and social security cover more than 100% of our expenses. We are only withdrawing from our portfolio to pay for taxes on Roth conversions. We spent $75,000 last year after buying a car so I guess our range now is $33000 to $75,000 per year. We could easily double that if we had to.
There is no need for voodoo math formulas. There is definitely no worries about running out of money. If anything, my wife will be able to fund our grandchildren’s college educations with ease. Life is good.