REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Discuss all general (i.e. non-personal) investing questions and issues, investing news, and theory.
PaulW
Posts: 53
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by PaulW »

2379.1
dtee
Posts: 32
Joined: Fri Nov 11, 2016 3:48 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by dtee »

2435.26
User avatar
tainted-meat
Posts: 838
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Location: Kentucky

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by tainted-meat »

2408.69
luckyturtle
Posts: 4
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by luckyturtle »

2291.69
Ksil
Posts: 13
Joined: Mon Apr 21, 2014 7:36 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Ksil »

2427.00
Van
Posts: 1007
Joined: Wed Oct 27, 2010 9:24 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Van »

2520.86

Van
Zackluth
Posts: 3
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2016 8:31 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Zackluth »

2563.97 :D
CalebHenley
Posts: 6
Joined: Wed Jun 29, 2016 9:00 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by CalebHenley »

2341.15
betahat
Posts: 15
Joined: Sun Nov 18, 2012 8:13 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by betahat »

2401.09
qwertyjazz
Posts: 2000
Joined: Tue Feb 23, 2016 3:24 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by qwertyjazz »

2269.00
G.E. Box "All models are wrong, but some are useful."
maniminto
Posts: 154
Joined: Wed Jan 04, 2017 3:50 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by maniminto »

2132.5
likegarden
Posts: 3181
Joined: Mon Feb 26, 2007 4:33 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by likegarden »

2400.00
User avatar
MichaelRpdx
Posts: 365
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by MichaelRpdx »

1989.57 - Here's hoping this guess is way off.
Thanks for hosting the contest!
Be Appropriate && Follow Your Curiosity
Young Fellow
Posts: 110
Joined: Sun Dec 18, 2016 7:48 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Young Fellow »

1900.00
User avatar
timboktoo
Posts: 865
Joined: Sun Mar 31, 2013 3:42 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by timboktoo »

2427.83
peddler12
Posts: 260
Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2011 10:01 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by peddler12 »

2,328.38
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Sally
Posts: 320
Joined: Sun Mar 04, 2007 1:02 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Sally »

Let's go for: 2525.25
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Cosmo
Posts: 1385
Joined: Mon Mar 05, 2007 8:46 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Cosmo »

1842.66
bkweathe
Posts: 232
Joined: Fri Feb 06, 2015 4:02 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by bkweathe »

2350.78

Last year's close + 5% + .01 ('cuz at least 3 others already guessed 2350.77).
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AtlasShrugged?
Posts: 699
Joined: Wed Jul 15, 2015 6:08 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by AtlasShrugged? »

You know what is scary? I just looked at the 330+ entries and not a single one forecasts a decline in the S&P 500 for 2017. Not one. Holy Cow!
“If you don't know, the thing to do is not to get scared, but to learn.”
cdailey9
Posts: 3
Joined: Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:59 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by cdailey9 »

* 2230
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rarvesen
Posts: 82
Joined: Tue Feb 20, 2007 3:34 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by rarvesen »

JCE66 wrote:You know what is scary? I just looked at the 330+ entries and not a single one forecasts a decline in the S&P 500 for 2017. Not one. Holy Cow!
I think there are quite a few decline forecast. Here is a scatter-graph that shows the guesses through page 10 (I think 490 guesses). The large gray line is the closing 2016 S&P 500 closing price.

Image
TheRightKost87
Posts: 312
Joined: Tue Aug 13, 2013 12:25 am
Location: Boston, MA

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by TheRightKost87 »

1987.12
"The problem with diversification is that it works, whether or not we want it to"
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Mlm
Posts: 613
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Mlm »

2168.53
Mary
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mister_sparkle
Posts: 339
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Location: North Carolina

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by mister_sparkle »

2305.51
swellkarl
Posts: 34
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by swellkarl »

My wild guess is 2550.
Curtailment
Posts: 10
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Curtailment »

2419.28
Ninavi
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Ninavi »

2520.00
User avatar
LiveSimple
Posts: 2312
Joined: Thu Jan 03, 2013 6:55 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by LiveSimple »

2423.12
Invest when you have the money, sell when you need the money, for real life expenses...
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gilgamesh
Posts: 1607
Joined: Sun Jan 10, 2016 8:29 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by gilgamesh »

2521.80
User avatar
webslinger
Posts: 96
Joined: Tue Mar 06, 2012 5:38 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by webslinger »

2484

Webslinger
rgs92
Posts: 3436
Joined: Mon Mar 02, 2009 7:00 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by rgs92 »

2345.67
Novine
Posts: 1240
Joined: Mon Nov 17, 2008 8:07 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Novine »

2576.05
sschullo
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by sschullo »

2570.66
Never in the history of market day-traders’ has the obsession with so much massive, sophisticated, & powerful statistical machinery used by the brightest people on earth with such useless results.
jmg229
Posts: 373
Joined: Mon Jan 31, 2011 12:21 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by jmg229 »

2339.58
boglengineer
Posts: 42
Joined: Thu Jun 02, 2011 5:45 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by boglengineer »

2560.32
SunnySeattle
Posts: 52
Joined: Mon Nov 04, 2013 11:17 am
Location: Seattle

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by SunnySeattle »

2480.50
chi_ra
Posts: 4
Joined: Sat Nov 28, 2015 5:06 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by chi_ra »

1982.28
blacklab
Posts: 27
Joined: Sat Nov 12, 2011 4:15 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by blacklab »

2496.98
Norris
Posts: 533
Joined: Tue May 08, 2007 10:04 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Norris »

2250.22
danaht
Posts: 816
Joined: Sun Oct 18, 2015 11:28 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by danaht »

2370.50
MrKnight
Posts: 266
Joined: Fri Dec 19, 2014 11:24 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by MrKnight »

2,551.32
Better2bWise
Posts: 50
Joined: Mon Apr 18, 2016 1:45 pm
Location: Columbus, Ohio

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Better2bWise »

2549.12
gdm129
Posts: 33
Joined: Fri Oct 08, 2010 4:16 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by gdm129 »

2395.
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yukonjack
Posts: 647
Joined: Wed Feb 21, 2007 9:36 pm
Location: Rocky Mountain West

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by yukonjack »

2364.74
User avatar
MNGopher
Posts: 564
Joined: Tue Jun 16, 2015 1:44 pm
Location: Minnesota

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by MNGopher »

2107.0
gks
Posts: 237
Joined: Sat Dec 01, 2012 6:17 pm
Location: Middle Tennessee

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by gks »

2011.55
Daryl
Posts: 616
Joined: Thu May 22, 2008 9:34 am
Location: Texas

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Daryl »

madbrain wrote:36,000
I'm guessing that you don't have any bonds in your porfolio :beer
eldiente
Posts: 11
Joined: Tue Mar 20, 2007 11:45 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by eldiente »

2418.06
slowbutsteady
Posts: 104
Joined: Fri Feb 27, 2015 8:42 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by slowbutsteady »

2458.5
The tortoise wins every time I read that story.
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