REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
- tainted-meat
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
2520.86
Van
Van
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
2269.00
G.E. Box "All models are wrong, but some are useful."
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- MichaelRpdx
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
1989.57 - Here's hoping this guess is way off.
Thanks for hosting the contest!
Thanks for hosting the contest!
Be Appropriate && Follow Your Curiosity
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
Let's go for: 2525.25
Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
2350.78
Last year's close + 5% + .01 ('cuz at least 3 others already guessed 2350.77).
Last year's close + 5% + .01 ('cuz at least 3 others already guessed 2350.77).
- AtlasShrugged?
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
You know what is scary? I just looked at the 330+ entries and not a single one forecasts a decline in the S&P 500 for 2017. Not one. Holy Cow!
“If you don't know, the thing to do is not to get scared, but to learn.”
Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
I think there are quite a few decline forecast. Here is a scatter-graph that shows the guesses through page 10 (I think 490 guesses). The large gray line is the closing 2016 S&P 500 closing price.JCE66 wrote:You know what is scary? I just looked at the 330+ entries and not a single one forecasts a decline in the S&P 500 for 2017. Not one. Holy Cow!
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
1987.12
"The problem with diversification is that it works, whether or not we want it to"
- mister_sparkle
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
My wild guess is 2550.
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- LiveSimple
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
2423.12
Invest when you have the money, sell when you need the money, for real life expenses...
- webslinger
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
2484
Webslinger
Webslinger
Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
2570.66
Never in the history of market day-traders’ has the obsession with so much massive, sophisticated, & powerful statistical machinery used by the brightest people on earth with such useless results.
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
I'm guessing that you don't have any bonds in your porfoliomadbrain wrote:36,000
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
2458.5
The tortoise wins every time I read that story.