REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Discuss all general (i.e. non-personal) investing questions and issues, investing news, and theory.
newuser
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by newuser »

my guess is 1976.
Starting From Scratch
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Starting From Scratch »

1,700.00
My investing "factors" formula: (1) Save More (2) Work Longer (3) Spend Less (4) Reduce Investment Cost
kgressler
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by kgressler »

2171.69
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celia
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by celia »

2316.16
A dollar in Roth is worth more than a dollar in a taxable account. A dollar in taxable is worth more than a dollar in a tax-deferred account.
jpelder
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by jpelder »

2160.65
b42
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by b42 »

2093.67
Not Law
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Not Law »

2351.69
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Qtman
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Qtman »

2121.22
Don’t wear yourself out trying to get rich; be wise enough to control yourself. | Wealth can vanish in the wink of an eye. It can seem to grow wings and fly away | like an eagle. - King Solomon
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Water
Posts: 21
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Water »

2016.00 :D
You might be probably aware of this, human beings do not always behave in a rational manner. - Water
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JerryK
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by JerryK »

2271.69
Molly12
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Molly12 »

First time participant

2345
mptfan
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by mptfan »

2260.00.
Nozzle
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Nozzle »

2187, because reasons
Morik
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Morik »

2214.76
Lake Living
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Lake Living »

2105.26
RyanC
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by RyanC »

2145.3 for a modest 5% gain. Here's hoping I'm too low!
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whatusername?
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by whatusername? »

1958.91
Cheddarhead
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Cheddarhead »

2,115.48
Boglemama
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Boglemama »

2012.83
jchris
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by jchris »

2088.34

jchris
RTR2006
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by RTR2006 »

2142.8

happy new year!!!

RTR
Angst
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Angst »

2030.00
lee1026
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by lee1026 »

2200.
amarone
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by amarone »

2058.9
BoringIsBeautiful
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by BoringIsBeautiful »

1999.98
Arichcrook
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Arichcrook »

2310.01
D Newton
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by D Newton »

1877.50
Regards, | Doug
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NORTON
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by NORTON »

1903.72
Choose a few low cost index funds in different asset classes, rebalance occasionally, and forgetaboutit! - Rick Ferri
stormswami
Posts: 83
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by stormswami »

1730

First-time participant. It seems like history (for what that's worth) suggests it is unlikely to have two relatively flat years in a row, so in that sense, I'd say at least +- 15% for 2016. The crystal ball is always murky, but longer-term chart voodoo suggests to me that a market top could be developing (or perhaps is already in place from 2015). As such, I fear that upside could be quite limited in 2016 with the potential for a major correction or new bear market from 2016 into 2017 as a recession unfolds. My random guess is a 2016 S&P 500 intra-year low of 1590.
chasingadvice
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by chasingadvice »

2228.88
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joe8d
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by joe8d »

2309.42
All the Best, | Joe
friar1610
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by friar1610 »

1994.67
Friar1610 | 50-ish/50-ish - a satisficer, not a maximizer
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RedRose
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by RedRose »

a little late but I'll guess 2084 this year...
Nukie
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Nukie »

2186.99
fourwaystreet
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by fourwaystreet »

My guess is 2312
When someone you love becomes a memory, the memory becomes a treasure.
dh
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by dh »

2199.99
itstoomuch
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by itstoomuch »

Mild to moderate bear. Decumulation mode and positioned to protect retirement income. Not giving a guess. :mrgreen: :greedy
Rev012718; 4 Incm stream buckets: SS+pension; dfr'd GLWB VA & FI anntys, by time & $$ laddered; Discretionary; Rentals. LTCi. Own, not asset. Tax TBT%. Early SS. FundRatio (FR) >1.1 67/70yo
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dianna
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by dianna »

2224.
MilitaryDoc
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by MilitaryDoc »

2233.3
Happygolucky
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Happygolucky »

2056.4
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Kathleen Ryan
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Kathleen Ryan »

2133.41

is my best guess.

Congratulations to Victoria F for winning the 2015 Contest!

And Thank you Taylor for holding these contests.
Best wishes, | Kathleen
m2marti
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by m2marti »

1986.52
AcademicPeds
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by AcademicPeds »

2113.06
Ricky Bobby
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Ricky Bobby »

1799.81
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baa_10
Posts: 61
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by baa_10 »

2222.22

Thanks
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication. ~Leonardo DaVinci
deadlymonkey
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by deadlymonkey »

2173.53
hrc84
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by hrc84 »

1989.88
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etc06
Posts: 78
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by etc06 »

2118.00 :beer
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NateH
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by NateH »

1717

best wishes
4X top-twenty S&P 500 prognosticator. I'd start a newsletter, but it would only have one issue per year. | dumb investor during 1999 tech bubble, current slice & dicer.
Planner
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Planner »

2128.0
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