Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

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Miriam2
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Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by Miriam2 » Mon Feb 26, 2018 9:50 am

Nisiprius has now made 35,000 posts on the forum! 8-)

35,000 remarkable posts. Some short and powerful, many long and scholarly, posts carefully documented with helpful graphs and screenshots, posts filled with historical data and commentary and personal experience, all enjoyable to read - and all worth reading and studying and considering and contemplating over and over again.

Nisiprius, thank you for the extraordinary amount of time and effort you have put in to help everyone :D

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by rkhusky » Mon Feb 26, 2018 9:54 am

Wonder what the word count is?

Tamalak
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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by Tamalak » Mon Feb 26, 2018 9:58 am

Nisiprius is my favorite poster here. Always shocked me with the knowledge, clarity, and focus of his words!

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by an_asker » Mon Feb 26, 2018 10:00 am

rkhusky wrote:
Mon Feb 26, 2018 9:54 am
Wonder what the word count is?
Depends on whether you believe in the adage that a picture is worth a thousand words.

BTW, even without the pictures, I think his word count will exceed livesoft's (at 60k+ posts)!

The Wizard
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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by The Wizard » Mon Feb 26, 2018 10:09 am

Three cheers for Nisi!
I should take him out to lunch sometime soon...
Attempted new signature...

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goingup
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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by goingup » Mon Feb 26, 2018 10:14 am

Amazing! At 50,000 let's have a long "Best of Nisi" thread--a retrospective of his best work. Two words: Hindenburg Omen. :D

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by Sandtrap » Mon Feb 26, 2018 10:20 am

Congratulations "Nisiprius" :sharebeer
An even greater accomplishment because of all those cool charts and graphs that go into each post.
And, detailed explanations that create graduate level brain fog......... :D
aloha,
jim :D

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by iWantToLearn » Mon Feb 26, 2018 10:22 am

Tamalak wrote:
Mon Feb 26, 2018 9:58 am
Nisiprius is my favorite poster here. Always shocked me with the knowledge, clarity, and focus of his words!
Agreed! As a way to celebrate, maybe we should all post post some of the posts that we’ve found most insightful?

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by Lynette » Mon Feb 26, 2018 10:25 am

iWantToLearn wrote:
Mon Feb 26, 2018 10:22 am
Tamalak wrote:
Mon Feb 26, 2018 9:58 am
Nisiprius is my favorite poster here. Always shocked me with the knowledge, clarity, and focus of his words!
Agreed! As a way to celebrate, maybe we should all post post some of the posts that we’ve found most insightful?
Thank you for your contributions. I have learnt a great deal from you. Please continue.

Lynette

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dccboone
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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by dccboone » Mon Feb 26, 2018 10:26 am

Congratulation Nisiprius! I believe you have contributed to informed decision making for many (including myself) through your due diligence. Thank you!

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by Emilyjane » Mon Feb 26, 2018 10:30 am

The best. Thanks for your efforts, love to see your posts.
"Real knowledge is to know the extent of one's ignorance", Confucius

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by nisiprius » Mon Feb 26, 2018 11:02 am

Thank you, thank you, thank you... I appreciate the compliment and I'm blushing... but I don't want this sort of attention. You may, if you like, say something when I hit 1,048,576 posts, but, please, not again until then.
Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure nineteen nineteen and six, result happiness; Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure twenty pounds ought and six, result misery.

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by HueyLD » Mon Feb 26, 2018 11:10 am

:thumbsup :thumbsup :thumbsup :beer :sharebeer

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by BogleMelon » Mon Feb 26, 2018 11:16 am

nisiprius is my favorite writer here! As a second English language speaker, I enjoy his simple way of writing yet his very informative and educational way.
I once tried to see if there is an option in the forum to trigger a notification every time he posts anywhere, but I couldn't find such an option. :oops:
"One of the funny things about stock market, every time one is buying another is selling, and both think they are astute" - William Feather

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by Peculiar_Investor » Mon Feb 26, 2018 11:18 am

BogleMelon wrote:
Mon Feb 26, 2018 11:16 am
I once tried to see if there is an option in the forum to trigger a notification every time he posts anywhere, but I couldn't find such an option. :oops:
How about an alternative, bookmark search.php?author_id=2820&sr=posts
Normal people… believe that if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. Engineers believe that if it ain’t broke, it doesn’t have enough features yet. – Scott Adams

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by Dinosaur Dad » Mon Feb 26, 2018 11:32 am

Just incredibly knowledgeable, thoughtful, really knows how to look at all sides of the issue. You've helped so many...like me...realize how we have a lot still to learn! And that's a good thing! Thank you!
"Take calculated risks - that is quite different from being rash." | General George S. Patton

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by John Z » Mon Feb 26, 2018 11:33 am

2^20 back to you!

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cinghiale
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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by cinghiale » Mon Feb 26, 2018 11:45 am

The Wizard wants to take you out to lunch.

If you both go to the Causeway, can I come too?
"We don't see things as they are; we see them as we are." Anais Nin | | "Sometimes the first duty of intelligent men is the restatement of the obvious." George Orwell

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by Sheepdog » Mon Feb 26, 2018 11:49 am

Dinosaur Dad wrote:
Mon Feb 26, 2018 11:32 am
Just incredibly knowledgeable, thoughtful, really knows how to look at all sides of the issue. You've helped so many...like me...realize how we have a lot still to learn! And that's a good thing! Thank you!
I do so agree. Thanks for all of your knowledge and help. God bless!
It's not what you gather, but what you scatter which tells what kind of life you have lived---Helen Walton

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by The Wizard » Mon Feb 26, 2018 11:56 am

cinghiale wrote:
Mon Feb 26, 2018 11:45 am
The Wizard wants to take you out to lunch.

If you both go to the Causeway, can I come too?
Which Causeway did you have in mind?
I'm aware of a few, but mostly not around my home area...

Edit: I see there is one in Gloucester that has good reviews, so that settles that...
Attempted new signature...

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by Peculiar_Investor » Mon Feb 26, 2018 11:59 am

nisiprius wrote:
Mon Feb 26, 2018 11:02 am
You may, if you like, say something when I hit 1,048,576 posts, but, please, not again until then.
Well played sir!
Normal people… believe that if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. Engineers believe that if it ain’t broke, it doesn’t have enough features yet. – Scott Adams

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Taylor Larimore
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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by Taylor Larimore » Mon Feb 26, 2018 12:17 pm

Miriam2 wrote:
Mon Feb 26, 2018 9:50 am
Nisiprius has now made 35,000 posts on the forum! 8-)

35,000 remarkable posts. Some short and powerful, many long and scholarly, posts carefully documented with helpful graphs and screenshots, posts filled with historical data and commentary and personal experience, all enjoyable to read - and all worth reading and studying and considering and contemplating over and over again.

Nisiprius, thank you for the extraordinary amount of time and effort you have put in to help everyone :D
Miriam2:

Thank you for bringing attention to one of our most valuable contributors. It is not just the number of Nisiprius's posts that deserve our accolades, but more important, the exceptional high quality of his posts which you described so well.

Nisiprius has taught me much of what I know about investing. Thank you, Nisi.

Best wishes
Taylor
"Simplicity is the master key to financial success." -- Jack Bogle

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randomizer
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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by randomizer » Mon Feb 26, 2018 12:29 pm

Would be nice to have a "Best of Nisiprius" compendium, but the truth is almost every post is the best of Nisiprius. I have learned much from them (and probably forgotten more).
87.5:12.5, EM tilt — HODL the course!

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by wcombs » Mon Feb 26, 2018 1:52 pm

Nisiprius is also my favorite on Bogleheads. I look at his posts everyday.

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by Lou354 » Mon Feb 26, 2018 2:03 pm

35,000 clear, well-informed and wise posts. A truly valuable body of work. Thanks.

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Que1999
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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by Que1999 » Mon Feb 26, 2018 2:07 pm

Hey Nisiprius, time to start thinking about writing a book finally..... You've already got an established fan base so why not? :beer

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by warner25 » Mon Feb 26, 2018 2:47 pm

BogleMelon wrote:
Mon Feb 26, 2018 11:16 am
I once tried to see if there is an option in the forum to trigger a notification every time he posts anywhere, but I couldn't find such an option.
If you go to his profile you can get a list of all his posts, starting with the most recent. I actually do this sometimes when I'm looking for something interesting to read. His posts are interesting even if I don't care about the thread topic.
Que1999 wrote:
Mon Feb 26, 2018 2:07 pm
Hey Nisiprius, time to start thinking about writing a book finally...
Seriously, I've almost said many times that he should write a book with his ideas about "risk," the financial industry's push to more stock-heavy AAs, and what it really feels like to be retail/401k investor during a crash.

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by SGM » Mon Feb 26, 2018 7:31 pm

Nisi is well read, philosophical and an elegant writer. His charts are well done and he is a real asset to the forum.

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by Artsdoctor » Mon Feb 26, 2018 7:43 pm

I'm going to go out on a limb and say that each of those 35,000 posts has something valuable to offer.

Superb posts and we are all very lucky to have him.

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David Jay
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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by David Jay » Mon Feb 26, 2018 7:57 pm

randomizer wrote:
Mon Feb 26, 2018 12:29 pm
Would be nice to have a "Best of Nisiprius" compendium, but the truth is almost every post is the best of Nisiprius. I have learned much from them (and probably forgotten more).
“Best of” selection is easy for me:

In order to get the "risk premium" you really do have to take the risk. There's no magic formula for vastly reducing the risk of your stock market investments by simply avoiding short periods of obvious danger. If there were, everybody would do it and the stock market would not be risky and there would be no risk premium.

The stock market is risky. It is a form of greed to believe that there is some easy, effective way to get the risk premium without actually taking the risk. Many people go through a stage in which they engage in delusional thinking:
a) The stock market has had high returns. That's good, I'd like that.
b) The stock market has had high risk. I don't like that.
c) I can't accept "a" and "b" are a package deal.
d) The stock market is risky for everybody else, but not for me, because I can do something clever and get the return without the risk.
Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future - Niels Bohr | To get the "risk premium", you really do have to take the risk - nisiprius

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by cfs » Mon Feb 26, 2018 8:08 pm

I just don't have the time to be hanging around here, but whenever I drop by and I see a post from Mister Nisiprius I make the time to read it, nuff said. Gracias por leer ~cfs~
~ Member of the Active Retired Force since 2014 ~

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by curious george » Mon Feb 26, 2018 8:10 pm

Thanks for selflessly sharing your knowledge with others
We have all benefited from your posts.

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by Miriam2 » Mon Feb 26, 2018 9:32 pm

Perhaps this thread A time to EVALUATE your jitters from 2011, when it looked like we were headed back into the great recession, is Nisiprius's Magnum Opus. His opening post begins:

nisiprius wrote:I want to say this carefully. This is not an optimistic "stay the course" post and it's not a pessimistic "OMG do something" post. It's directed at people who are feeling very uncomfortable. I want to point out some things to think about, things that are hopefully truisms that everyone can see are correct once they're pointed out.

Your investment plan needs to be in tune with your own personal willingness to take financial risk. Your tolerance for financial risk is what it is. Only you know what it is. Nobody else can tell you what it should be. Different people are really and truly different. And your tolerance for financial risk is not necessarily the same as your tolerance for other kinds of risk.

You may not know what stock market risk is really like, and you may not know what your own risk tolerance really is. This is, if nothing else, a good opportunity to assess both.

and he ends his opening post with these thoughts:

nisiprius wrote:What I'm saying is that this is a good time for evaluation. The risk is here. Don't exaggerate it--we all love drama, but reality is usually more boring than we expect. Don't brush it aside, look it in the eye as carefully as you can. And then look at how you really feel about it--not how you'd like to feel or how you think you're supposed to feel.

And one final thought. If we're lucky, and the stock market comes back at least part way and seems to stabilize for a while... or if it comes roaring back and soars (yes, that' could happen, too)... don't forget how you feel right now. If you feel that you are close to the edge of your risk tolerance right now, then you have too much in stocks. If you manage to tough it out and we get a calm spell, don't forget how you feel now and at least consider making an adjustment then.
Hard to know how many financial lives nisiprius helped, even saved, with this reassuring post.

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by PinotGris » Mon Feb 26, 2018 10:20 pm

The Wizard wrote:
Mon Feb 26, 2018 10:09 am
Three cheers for Nisi!
I should take him out to lunch sometime soon...
I would like to join that.
Thank you Nisiprius, for taking the time to share your thoughtful posts and your wisdom with us. It has been a reassuring and excellent education in finance and investments. Thank you.

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by Sandtrap » Mon Feb 26, 2018 10:28 pm

Miriam2 wrote:
Mon Feb 26, 2018 9:32 pm
Perhaps this thread A time to EVALUATE your jitters from 2011, when it looked like we were headed back into the great recession, is Nisiprius's Magnum Opus. His opening post begins:

nisiprius wrote:I want to say this carefully. This is not an optimistic "stay the course" post and it's not a pessimistic "OMG do something" post. It's directed at people who are feeling very uncomfortable. I want to point out some things to think about, things that are hopefully truisms that everyone can see are correct once they're pointed out.

Your investment plan needs to be in tune with your own personal willingness to take financial risk. Your tolerance for financial risk is what it is. Only you know what it is. Nobody else can tell you what it should be. Different people are really and truly different. And your tolerance for financial risk is not necessarily the same as your tolerance for other kinds of risk.

You may not know what stock market risk is really like, and you may not know what your own risk tolerance really is. This is, if nothing else, a good opportunity to assess both.

and he ends his opening post with these thoughts:

nisiprius wrote:What I'm saying is that this is a good time for evaluation. The risk is here. Don't exaggerate it--we all love drama, but reality is usually more boring than we expect. Don't brush it aside, look it in the eye as carefully as you can. And then look at how you really feel about it--not how you'd like to feel or how you think you're supposed to feel.

And one final thought. If we're lucky, and the stock market comes back at least part way and seems to stabilize for a while... or if it comes roaring back and soars (yes, that' could happen, too)... don't forget how you feel right now. If you feel that you are close to the edge of your risk tolerance right now, then you have too much in stocks. If you manage to tough it out and we get a calm spell, don't forget how you feel now and at least consider making an adjustment then.
Hard to know how many financial lives nisiprius helped, even saved, with this reassuring post.
Outstanding!
Thanks "Miriam"
Mahalo,
jim :D

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by fsrph » Mon Feb 26, 2018 11:28 pm

Congrats Nisi. Not only is that a large number of posts but also the quality of your posts are first rate. You certainly are a premier member of this community and I very much enjoy reading what you write.

Francis
"Success is getting what you want. Happiness is wanting what you get." | Dale Carnegie

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by nedsaid » Mon Feb 26, 2018 11:38 pm

Three things come to mind when I think of Nisiprius.

First, I love his informative graphs.

Second, I like that he doesn't just accept opinions even those from distinguished contributors like Larry Swedroe. He will test the assertions from experts using actual funds available to investors. I like the "real life" examples he uses. He does take academic research to task.

Third, he will stand toe to toe with folks like Larry and not back down. He is factual and uses a nice touch of humor to make his points. Yes, I too have learned a lot from him.

It is a real compliment when Taylor Larimore says how much he has learned from Nisiprius. Taylor has probably forgotten more about investing than most of us will ever know.

I have enjoyed interacting with Nisiprius on the forum, it has been good, clean fun.
A fool and his money are good for business.

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by Jacotus » Mon Feb 26, 2018 11:40 pm

Three cheers for Nisi! He has contributed so many well-written and informative posts, with endless patience. I always stop to read Nisi's posts, and a lot of my thinking has been shaped by them. :sharebeer

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by inittowinit » Tue Feb 27, 2018 12:04 am

While we have never met nor spoken directly, I consider Nisiprius a mentor. Since I began reading this forum in my early 20s I have read hundreds (thousands?) of his incredibly thoughtful and well-reasoned posts, and do not think I would have the same critical thinking skills I do today were it not for the example he sets here (along with so many other luminaries like Toons, stlutz, KlangFool, livesoft, etc. -- the list is long).

Thank you Nisiprius, for freely sharing your time and wisdom! You'll never truly know how many lives you've touched with your chart-laden posts. I feel grateful to have the privilege of learning from you, and all of the other Bogleheads here.

:sharebeer

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by stlutz » Tue Feb 27, 2018 1:04 am

This thread, originally titled "An Imaginary Active Fund--Good Enough to Make You Switch?" was my favorite nisiprius thread ever:

viewtopic.php?t=83364

The honesty, nuance, and thoughtfulness to the experiment was quintessential nisiprius.

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by GoldenFinch » Tue Feb 27, 2018 5:06 am

Nisiprius’ posts are truly useful and thought provoking. I especially like the ones that have some interesting historical facts, a story, or some literary context. Obviously he spends a lot of time writing his posts and his contributions add tremendous value of this site.

So three cheers for Nisiprius at 35K! :beer :beer :beer

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by Tamarind » Tue Feb 27, 2018 6:23 am

Nisiprius's posts are a cut above the rest, particularly for their succinct and clear explanations, and charts that make the math and history of investing easier to absorb for everyone. Thank you!

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by oldcomputerguy » Tue Feb 27, 2018 7:02 am

nisiprius wrote:
Mon Feb 26, 2018 11:02 am
You may, if you like, say something when I hit 1,048,576 posts, but, please, not again until then.
Apparently Nisiprius is one of those folks who speaks binary.
:D
It’s taken me a lot of years, but I’ve come around to this: If you’re dumb, surround yourself with smart people. And if you’re smart, surround yourself with smart people who disagree with you.

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by sadie wess » Tue Feb 27, 2018 7:07 am

nedsaid wrote:
Mon Feb 26, 2018 11:38 pm
Three things come to mind when I think of Nisiprius.

First, I love his informative graphs.

Second, I like that he doesn't just accept opinions even those from distinguished contributors like Larry Swedroe. He will test the assertions from experts using actual funds available to investors. I like the "real life" examples he uses. He does take academic research to task.

Third, he will stand toe to toe with folks like Larry and not back down. He is factual and uses a nice touch of humor to make his points. Yes, I too have learned a lot from him.

It is a real compliment when Taylor Larimore says how much he has learned from Nisiprius. Taylor has probably forgotten more about investing than most of us will ever know.

I have enjoyed interacting with Nisiprius on the forum, it has been good, clean fun.
+1 !!!!

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Soul.in.Progress
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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by Soul.in.Progress » Tue Feb 27, 2018 8:01 am

I join all the others in thanking you, Nisi!

Your well-written, educational posts have taught me so much over the years.

Thank you.
Start by doing what is necessary; | then do what is possible; | and suddenly you are doing the impossible. | -- Francis of Assisi

tarmangani
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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by tarmangani » Tue Feb 27, 2018 8:04 am

I admit that, in a long thread, sometimes I'll just ctrl+f "nisip" to try and get at the good stuff.

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by drdrgolf » Tue Feb 27, 2018 8:12 am

Nisi, I raise my glass of two-buck Chuck to you. BTW inflationary pressures have also hit Mr. Krug and $2. is now $3. wine but your worth it. Thanks for being you.
Dominic
Dominic

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nisiprius
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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by nisiprius » Tue Feb 27, 2018 9:04 am

Taylor Larimore wrote:
Mon Feb 26, 2018 12:17 pm
...Nisiprius has taught me much of what I know about investing. Thank you, Nisi...

Best wishes
Taylor
Thank you for the kind words. Taylor Larimore has taught me most of what I know about investing. What I have been doing, mostly, is learning to ignore everything else!
Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure nineteen nineteen and six, result happiness; Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure twenty pounds ought and six, result misery.

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by 2b2 » Tue Feb 27, 2018 9:34 am

As the curtain falls on the first 35K, we anticipate the next 35K with bowed heads and gleeful anticipation.
Thank you, Nisi

2b2

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Re: Nisiprius at 35,000 posts

Post by petercooperjr » Tue Feb 27, 2018 9:35 am

I'd love to see an updated graph of the 10 year return of the Nisiprius Federal Reserve Note Index Fund.

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