No need to invest for Europeans?
No need to invest for Europeans?
Living in one of the wealthier countries in Europe, I benefit from:
- universal healthcare
- unemployment insurance which pays 60 % of income for 12 months and then social security
- a pension that will cover about 70 % of my averaged salary
- zero or very low student debt for me and future children, good public education
My basic needs are covered. If I would now add a permanent disability insurance and a life insurance if I plan on having a family, why would I defer consumption now for a likely but not guaranteed capital appreciation so that I can likely but not surely consume in the future? What makes the habit of investing even more questionable is a capital gains tax in Sweden of 30 %, in Germany of 30 %, in France of 25 % and so on.
So except for the very wealthy who can´t get any utility out of spending even more, why invest? The only reason I can think of, that would justify frugal living for maybe 10 years, would be if you could achieve financial independence in this time frame. But in Europe, that is impossible for anyone except maybe the top 0,1 % of earners.
- universal healthcare
- unemployment insurance which pays 60 % of income for 12 months and then social security
- a pension that will cover about 70 % of my averaged salary
- zero or very low student debt for me and future children, good public education
My basic needs are covered. If I would now add a permanent disability insurance and a life insurance if I plan on having a family, why would I defer consumption now for a likely but not guaranteed capital appreciation so that I can likely but not surely consume in the future? What makes the habit of investing even more questionable is a capital gains tax in Sweden of 30 %, in Germany of 30 %, in France of 25 % and so on.
So except for the very wealthy who can´t get any utility out of spending even more, why invest? The only reason I can think of, that would justify frugal living for maybe 10 years, would be if you could achieve financial independence in this time frame. But in Europe, that is impossible for anyone except maybe the top 0,1 % of earners.
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
That might be true with 10 years, but I guess close to 1/3 could achieve it within 20-25 years. Your list is close to what I have in Switzerland. Just 70-80% unemployment for 2 years.TheoLeo wrote: ↑Mon Apr 13, 2020 4:36 pmSo except for the very wealthy who can´t get any utility out of spending even more, why invest? The only reason I can think of, that would justify frugal living for maybe 10 years, would be if you could achieve financial independence in this time frame. But in Europe, that is impossible for anyone except maybe the top 0,1 % of earners.
Why invest? What if you don't get 70% when you retire but 50% due to a much lower working population? What if social security gets lower too? What if you get fired at 50-55 years and you're not able to find a new job? What if the whole system in your country fails?
Why not be independent?
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
You make a good point.
I don't want to go into general socio-economic issues, we can keep it individual.
You invest if you are not satisfied with what you get from the government (retirement age, amounts etc).
You invest if you do not believe that these benefits will last (Europe has major demographic issues coming up, earlier that US).
With education and, partially, health care I think US has completely wrong, so Europeans have a great advantage here.
I don't want to go into general socio-economic issues, we can keep it individual.
You invest if you are not satisfied with what you get from the government (retirement age, amounts etc).
You invest if you do not believe that these benefits will last (Europe has major demographic issues coming up, earlier that US).
With education and, partially, health care I think US has completely wrong, so Europeans have a great advantage here.
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Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
Of the people I know in the richer European countries, exceedingly few defer consumption in order to invest more, so they seem to agree with you or at least act as if they do.
Some of it is just cultural, too. America (and, e.g., Switzerland) seem to have cultures that promote capital appreciation by a wider range of individuals far more than (e.g.) Germany or the UK. I say that without any judgment in either direction (as an American who spends virtually nothing and invests virtually everything but doesn't really know why).
Some of it is just cultural, too. America (and, e.g., Switzerland) seem to have cultures that promote capital appreciation by a wider range of individuals far more than (e.g.) Germany or the UK. I say that without any judgment in either direction (as an American who spends virtually nothing and invests virtually everything but doesn't really know why).
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
I completely agree. Might be smart to have a bit of wealth stashed away in case system fails, but no need to target your retirement income and maybe a reduced need for emergency fund.
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
The funny thing in all these is that the saving rates are smaller in US than in Europe.
So the investing American is more of an exception than the investing European. The investing American usually goes for more aggressive portfolios, as stocks are more common instead of cash and RE.
So the investing American is more of an exception than the investing European. The investing American usually goes for more aggressive portfolios, as stocks are more common instead of cash and RE.
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
Thank you all for the replies so far.
One in 50 thirty year olds won´t live to celebrate their 50 th birthday. Depending on your dreams, maybe you instead want to take a year long sailing trip around the world while you are able bodied and adventurous. Or maybe instead of working 40-50 hours a week you want to work only 30 hours a week while raising a young family.
To answer your question, I´d say it depends on the cost of this independence. I am in the top 15 % of earners in my country and by living very frugally, without supporting a family, I can save about 50 % of my net income. This means that after taxes and various mandatory insurances, I only consume 35 % of my gross income every month. If we assume that FI is achieved at 25 x the yearly expenditures, then I could achieve FI in 15-20 years if I don´t have a family and if I continue to live very frugally, assuming my salary stays the same. By then the average academic in Europe will be 40-50.Stef wrote: ↑Mon Apr 13, 2020 4:51 pm That might be true with 10 years, but I guess close to 1/3 could achieve it within 20-25 years. Your list is close to what I have in Switzerland. Just 70-80% unemployment for 2 years.
Why invest? What if you don't get 70% when you retire but 50% due to a much lower working population? What if social security gets lower too? What if you get fired at 50-55 years and you're not able to find a new job? What if the whole system in your country fails?
Why not be independent?
One in 50 thirty year olds won´t live to celebrate their 50 th birthday. Depending on your dreams, maybe you instead want to take a year long sailing trip around the world while you are able bodied and adventurous. Or maybe instead of working 40-50 hours a week you want to work only 30 hours a week while raising a young family.
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
We wouldn't dream of forcing you to invest if you don't want to. You don't even have to read or participate in this blog if you don't want to.TheoLeo wrote: ↑Mon Apr 13, 2020 4:36 pm ...So except for the very wealthy who can´t get any utility out of spending even more, why invest? The only reason I can think of, that would justify frugal living for maybe 10 years, would be if you could achieve financial independence in this time frame. But in Europe, that is impossible for anyone except maybe the top 0,1 % of earners.
The closest helping hand is at the end of your own arm.
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
I think an investment forum is the right place to discuss the need, ability and willingness to invest. If you are a European investor, then maybe you can share your reasons to invest.123 wrote: ↑Mon Apr 13, 2020 6:12 pmWe wouldn't dream of forcing you to invest if you don't want to. You don't even have to read or participate in this blog if you don't want to.TheoLeo wrote: ↑Mon Apr 13, 2020 4:36 pm ...So except for the very wealthy who can´t get any utility out of spending even more, why invest? The only reason I can think of, that would justify frugal living for maybe 10 years, would be if you could achieve financial independence in this time frame. But in Europe, that is impossible for anyone except maybe the top 0,1 % of earners.
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Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
There is a whole lot range between 50% savings rate and 0%.TheoLeo wrote: ↑Mon Apr 13, 2020 6:08 pm To answer your question, I´d say it depends on the cost of this independence. I am in the top 15 % of earners in my country and by living very frugally, without supporting a family, I can save about 50 % of my net income. This means that after taxes and various mandatory insurances, I only consume 35 % of my gross income every month. If we assume that FI is achieved at 25 x the yearly expenditures, then I could achieve FI in 15-20 years if I don´t have a family and if I continue to live very frugally, assuming my salary stays the same.
People in the US often include pensions and social security as part of their retirement 'income'. So the 25x yearly expenditures is the expenditure in excess of SS/Pension. The other portion is the expenditures between the date you retire and when SS/Pension begins.
Will your 70% pension cover all of your expenses? Will that be the case if you're used to spending 100% of your salary? Or will you need savings to cover amounts in addition to the 70%?
At what age can you start collecting SS/Pension? If it's 65 and that will cover all of your needs, then perhaps you would want the option to retire at 60, and in that case only need 5x yearly expenses.
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
There is not that much difference between US and Europe.
In US you have SS. Yes, it's not great (but it could be decent for people who contributed many years, maximum is ~3000$ a month at full retirmenet age), but also the equivalent "pensions" in Europe are not good.
US has Medicare, so healthcare is not a major issue after a certain age.
So the reasons to invest are very similar in Europe and US.
In US you have SS. Yes, it's not great (but it could be decent for people who contributed many years, maximum is ~3000$ a month at full retirmenet age), but also the equivalent "pensions" in Europe are not good.
US has Medicare, so healthcare is not a major issue after a certain age.
So the reasons to invest are very similar in Europe and US.
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Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
70% pension sounds great but does it have a cost-of-living or inflation adjustment? If not, I would want some equities growing alongside it to compensate.
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Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
In your situation, I would save less. My situation requires more saving and borderline scandalous risk taking. Are y'all taking applications?
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
A few reasons why you might want to invest:
1) You want to increase consumption in retirement over consumption during your working years (i.e. increase travel spending)
2) You are afraid that your society could decline due to a political or environmental event and think money may help
3) The social services in your country are inadequate to old age if you have, say dementia and need 24 hour care. (I have no idea if this applies to your country)
1) You want to increase consumption in retirement over consumption during your working years (i.e. increase travel spending)
2) You are afraid that your society could decline due to a political or environmental event and think money may help
3) The social services in your country are inadequate to old age if you have, say dementia and need 24 hour care. (I have no idea if this applies to your country)
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Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
This is a great point. Jack says, "Invest we must." In the US, I think that it may be uniquely true. I started investing because I want to work in public service in the U.S., and I make about a median salary. There is just no way I can save enough to retire and maintain a semblance of my standard of living in the US when I'm in my 60s and 70s unless I invest, even if I collect all the safety net benefits currently available here. Jack is right. I must invest. This just might not be the case in certain countries due to their safety nets where a constant standard of living can be virtually guaranteed.TheoLeo wrote: ↑Mon Apr 13, 2020 4:36 pm Living in one of the wealthier countries in Europe, I benefit from:
- universal healthcare
- unemployment insurance which pays 60 % of income for 12 months and then social security
- a pension that will cover about 70 % of my averaged salary
- zero or very low student debt for me and future children, good public education
My basic needs are covered. If I would now add a permanent disability insurance and a life insurance if I plan on having a family, why would I defer consumption now for a likely but not guaranteed capital appreciation so that I can likely but not surely consume in the future? What makes the habit of investing even more questionable is a capital gains tax in Sweden of 30 %, in Germany of 30 %, in France of 25 % and so on.
So except for the very wealthy who can´t get any utility out of spending even more, why invest? The only reason I can think of, that would justify frugal living for maybe 10 years, would be if you could achieve financial independence in this time frame. But in Europe, that is impossible for anyone except maybe the top 0,1 % of earners.
"I am better off than he is – for he knows nothing and thinks that he knows. I neither know nor think that I know." - Socrates. "Nobody knows nothing." - Jack Bogle
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
These are good points. Will 70 % be enough to cover all of my expenses? I don´t know. But I think it is reasonable to expect it to not miss the mark by a lot. Will I be able to retire earlier if i want to? Yes I could, but there would be deductions to this pension. Will these be big enogh to impact my standard of living significantly? I don´t know, too many variables here. The question I have to ask myself is: Is my safety net reasonably strong to hold in a range of reasonable scenarios?ThriftyPhD wrote: ↑Mon Apr 13, 2020 7:44 pm There is a whole lot range between 50% savings rate and 0%.
People in the US often include pensions and social security as part of their retirement 'income'. So the 25x yearly expenditures is the expenditure in excess of SS/Pension. The other portion is the expenditures between the date you retire and when SS/Pension begins.
Will your 70% pension cover all of your expenses? Will that be the case if you're used to spending 100% of your salary? Or will you need savings to cover amounts in addition to the 70%?
At what age can you start collecting SS/Pension? If it's 65 and that will cover all of your needs, then perhaps you would want the option to retire at 60, and in that case only need 5x yearly expenses.

You are absolutely correct about the range between 0 and 50 % saving rate

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Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
UK has very generous tax shelters for accumulators.aspiringboglehead wrote: ↑Mon Apr 13, 2020 4:58 pm Of the people I know in the richer European countries, exceedingly few defer consumption in order to invest more, so they seem to agree with you or at least act as if they do.
Some of it is just cultural, too. America (and, e.g., Switzerland) seem to have cultures that promote capital appreciation by a wider range of individuals far more than (e.g.) Germany or the UK. I say that without any judgment in either direction (as an American who spends virtually nothing and invests virtually everything but doesn't really know why).
We get 20k per year ISA (Roth) and 40k per year pension (401k) allowance.
In taxable accounts we get 12k per year capital gains allowance and 2k per year dividends tax free.
Downside: high income tax rates. The main sting being 62% tax on earnings between 100 - 125k
Last edited by minimalistmarc on Tue Apr 14, 2020 6:01 am, edited 1 time in total.
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
50 % of it is covered by the income of my future younger colleagues. 50 % is covered by stock/bond/real estate investments. So it does adapt to inflation theoretically, but there are no guarantees.MotoTrojan wrote: ↑Mon Apr 13, 2020 8:43 pm 70% pension sounds great but does it have a cost-of-living or inflation adjustment? If not, I would want some equities growing alongside it to compensate.
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
Thinking about it some more, I think these are the underlying assumptions that make me think Europeans might not need to invest, or at least less:
If you aren´t very wealthy to begin with, then
1. The income from your job determines your standard of living
2. investing and insurances serve to secure this standard of living
3. investing to increase your standard of living above what the income from your work allows for requires taking risks that aren´t adequately compensated for. These risks are either investment risks (stock picking, option trading etc.) or deferral risks (bodily decay and death decreasing the utility of future profits below the utility of your present savings).
I am arguing that No. 2 is covered by the government and the society as a whole in some European countries and so investing privately serves No. 3. Someone quoted Bogle: " Invest me must". I´d say he means " Invest me must - to secure our standard of living" and not "Invest me must - to further increase our standard of living".
I understand this is an investment forum and questioning investing might feel like an attack on peoples life choices. I don´t mean it as an attack, just an opportunity to get a feeling for how other people decide on their need to invest.
Maybe some of you can weigh in on No. 3?
If you aren´t very wealthy to begin with, then
1. The income from your job determines your standard of living
2. investing and insurances serve to secure this standard of living
3. investing to increase your standard of living above what the income from your work allows for requires taking risks that aren´t adequately compensated for. These risks are either investment risks (stock picking, option trading etc.) or deferral risks (bodily decay and death decreasing the utility of future profits below the utility of your present savings).
I am arguing that No. 2 is covered by the government and the society as a whole in some European countries and so investing privately serves No. 3. Someone quoted Bogle: " Invest me must". I´d say he means " Invest me must - to secure our standard of living" and not "Invest me must - to further increase our standard of living".
I understand this is an investment forum and questioning investing might feel like an attack on peoples life choices. I don´t mean it as an attack, just an opportunity to get a feeling for how other people decide on their need to invest.

Maybe some of you can weigh in on No. 3?
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
Honest question—if you don’t invest, what do you plan on doing with excess funds? Just spend more? If a European had invested in US Dollar denominated equities, he/she would have an impressive real return consistently over a very long period. Hard to see what a better alternative would be long term though I am admittedly biased.
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
All investors here have a conflict of interest, i.e. are biased: my spending will increase your returnsmegabad wrote: ↑Tue Apr 14, 2020 6:34 am Honest question—if you don’t invest, what do you plan on doing with excess funds? Just spend more? If a European had invested in US Dollar denominated equities, he/she would have an impressive real return consistently over a very long period. Hard to see what a better alternative would be long term though I am admittedly biased.

Yes, I would spend more or not produce these excess funds in the first place to have more time for something that isn´t work.
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
I guess I wouldn't assume that everyone invests so that they can retire. Maybe I want a portfolio to kick out money on an annual basis now to help me with my expenses or to have a higher standard of living now.
If you're content, you probably don't need to save that much. Still, having some investments and income sources outside of your job/career is a good idea regardless of where in the world you live. Yes, you might have stronger workplace protections but they are not infinite. You can still lose your job. You can still become disabled and receive less than your salary. You could become divorced (if married) and all of a sudden your salary might not be enough to cover expenses on your house/apartment by yourself.
Oh, if you're ok on 70% of your current salary in retirement, save the difference of 30% now
If you're content, you probably don't need to save that much. Still, having some investments and income sources outside of your job/career is a good idea regardless of where in the world you live. Yes, you might have stronger workplace protections but they are not infinite. You can still lose your job. You can still become disabled and receive less than your salary. You could become divorced (if married) and all of a sudden your salary might not be enough to cover expenses on your house/apartment by yourself.
Oh, if you're ok on 70% of your current salary in retirement, save the difference of 30% now

Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
Actually you stated that it is 70% of your average salary. SO how mauch is this from your final (or even current) salary. I assume your salary of the first years in your career was lower, also inflation will eat away on this; while building it and during the 23-30 years of your retiremetn as well.
Also, what is counted in this "salary", and what benefits do you get next to your salary. Benefits that you will have to pay yourself if you stop working.
Who guarantees this pension? How secure is that?
BeBH65. (only an investment enthusiast, not a financial adviser, perform your due diligence). |
Have a look at https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Outline_of_Non-US_domiciles
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
This pension is not tied to one employer. It is a pension for all doctors and dentists working in my country and we all have to contribute to this pension. 50 % is covered by future colleagues income and 50 % is invested in RE/stocks/bonds. So to some extend it adapts to changes in the market and the workforce and should keep up with inflation. They don´t give guarantees on the return. The pension itself is guaranteed by the government. Assuming no dynamic in my contributions and interest rates, inflation etc stay the same, then I would come out with 70 % of my current purchase power. Since I am in the beginnings of my carreer, it will likely be more. Once I stop working, health insurance and long-term care insurance will be covered by the pension (the 70 % number is already after these expenses).BeBH65 wrote: ↑Tue Apr 14, 2020 7:03 amActually you stated that it is 70% of your average salary. SO how mauch is this from your final (or even current) salary. I assume your salary of the first years in your career was lower, also inflation will eat away on this; while building it and during the 23-30 years of your retiremetn as well.
Also, what is counted in this "salary", and what benefits do you get next to your salary. Benefits that you will have to pay yourself if you stop working.
Who guarantees this pension? How secure is that?
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
Definitely! I would do that in a heartbeat.

If I want more money now, then investing it for a fee, giving it no time to make a profit and then selling it again for a fee to use this money is less efficient than just spending it directly. Thats tongue in cheek of course, but the sooner I want to benefit from my money, the less sense it makes to invest it and vice versa. In order to build a portfolio that throws off some money every year for your current needs, you first have to save the money for it and therefore deferring consumption.
Let´s say in five years of frugal living you save 50 000 Euro or Dollar (833/ month). Now you want to profit from that withing the next 5 years. This time frame to me would still feel like improving my "current" living situation. Lets say I now want to get 1000/month out of my investment, because after all, I want this to improve my standard of living now. I invest 70 % US stocks 30 % Total Bond. According to Portfoliovisualizer, the 10 th percentile until you run out of money is 4 years, the 90 th percentile is 6 years. That is without accounting for fees and taxes.

edited to remove wrong link
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Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
Not what I meant. Does your annual pension income adjust or is it fixed at the dollar amount of the 1st year?TheoLeo wrote: ↑Tue Apr 14, 2020 5:34 am50 % of it is covered by the income of my future younger colleagues. 50 % is covered by stock/bond/real estate investments. So it does adapt to inflation theoretically, but there are no guarantees.MotoTrojan wrote: ↑Mon Apr 13, 2020 8:43 pm 70% pension sounds great but does it have a cost-of-living or inflation adjustment? If not, I would want some equities growing alongside it to compensate.
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
NonsenseTheoLeo wrote: ↑Mon Apr 13, 2020 4:36 pm Living in one of the wealthier countries in Europe, I benefit from:
- universal healthcare
- unemployment insurance which pays 60 % of income for 12 months and then social security
- a pension that will cover about 70 % of my averaged salary
- zero or very low student debt for me and future children, good public education
My basic needs are covered. If I would now add a permanent disability insurance and a life insurance if I plan on having a family, why would I defer consumption now for a likely but not guaranteed capital appreciation so that I can likely but not surely consume in the future? What makes the habit of investing even more questionable is a capital gains tax in Sweden of 30 %, in Germany of 30 %, in France of 25 % and so on.
So except for the very wealthy who can´t get any utility out of spending even more, why invest? The only reason I can think of, that would justify frugal living for maybe 10 years, would be if you could achieve financial independence in this time frame. But in Europe, that is impossible for anyone except maybe the top 0,1 % of earners.
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
I am not sure how it is now but a few years ago when Greece had a financial crisis a lot of people that were depending on the things you mentioned were looking at a pretty dire situation until they got bailed out. The EU is still really new so I would not want to depend on it existing in its current form in 50 years.
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
At what point can I spend my working years in USA, maximizing human capital, and then move to Europe for retirement for the nice social programs?
I think, at one point, Spain allowed immigration status based on a 300k euro investment, which is basically a small condominium in southern Spain.
I think, at one point, Spain allowed immigration status based on a 300k euro investment, which is basically a small condominium in southern Spain.
70% Global Market Weight Equities | 15% Long Treasuries 15% short TIPS & cash || RSU + ESPP
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
Ok cool. Median salary where I live is 2500 gross income. Married couple, two young kids, one works 50 % and the other 100 %. Leaves them with 2600 combined net income after taxes. To achieve FI in 10 years they need to save 60 % of their net income, so they need to live on 1040 Euro per month for 4 people. A flat for 4 people will cost you maybe 800. Leaves 2 Euro per day per person for food, clothes, books, furniture, electronics etc. Sounds reasonableSchlabba wrote: ↑Tue Apr 14, 2020 9:38 amNonsenseTheoLeo wrote: ↑Mon Apr 13, 2020 4:36 pm Living in one of the wealthier countries in Europe, I benefit from:
- universal healthcare
- unemployment insurance which pays 60 % of income for 12 months and then social security
- a pension that will cover about 70 % of my averaged salary
- zero or very low student debt for me and future children, good public education
My basic needs are covered. If I would now add a permanent disability insurance and a life insurance if I plan on having a family, why would I defer consumption now for a likely but not guaranteed capital appreciation so that I can likely but not surely consume in the future? What makes the habit of investing even more questionable is a capital gains tax in Sweden of 30 %, in Germany of 30 %, in France of 25 % and so on.
So except for the very wealthy who can´t get any utility out of spending even more, why invest? The only reason I can think of, that would justify frugal living for maybe 10 years, would be if you could achieve financial independence in this time frame. But in Europe, that is impossible for anyone except maybe the top 0,1 % of earners.

Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
On the italian islands (Sardinia and Sicily) in the mediterranean sea you can still buy houses for 1 Eurowatchnerd wrote: ↑Tue Apr 14, 2020 10:00 am At what point can I spend my working years in USA, maximizing human capital, and then move to Europe for retirement for the nice social programs?
I think, at one point, Spain allowed immigration status based on a 300k euro investment, which is basically a small condominium in southern Spain.

Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
European from Cyprus here.
I suspect that even in the northern/western countries where you have high wages and high provisions by government, there is a big difference in those provisions.
Eg Cyprus has low wages but free university for those who can get through the entrance exams. Single-payer healthcare. No property taxes. No capital gains taxes on stock. Maximum marginal income tax 35%.
At the same time, wages are generally low for most people. Maximum monthly pension from social security is 2.000 EUR for someone who contributed the maximum, which is rare.
I would say things are different in most countries, as eg some have high property taxes, some have capital gains and high dividend taxes and more generous provisions.
Or less generous. Look at Greece or Romania.
I suspect that even in the northern/western countries where you have high wages and high provisions by government, there is a big difference in those provisions.
Eg Cyprus has low wages but free university for those who can get through the entrance exams. Single-payer healthcare. No property taxes. No capital gains taxes on stock. Maximum marginal income tax 35%.
At the same time, wages are generally low for most people. Maximum monthly pension from social security is 2.000 EUR for someone who contributed the maximum, which is rare.
I would say things are different in most countries, as eg some have high property taxes, some have capital gains and high dividend taxes and more generous provisions.
Or less generous. Look at Greece or Romania.
La nuit semblait profonde. L'hiver interminable.
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
I'm curious, how long do you have to work until you are eligible for that pension? Is it based on age or years working or a combination of the two?TheoLeo wrote: ↑Mon Apr 13, 2020 4:36 pm Living in one of the wealthier countries in Europe, I benefit from:
- universal healthcare
- unemployment insurance which pays 60 % of income for 12 months and then social security
- a pension that will cover about 70 % of my averaged salary
- zero or very low student debt for me and future children, good public education
My basic needs are covered. If I would now add a permanent disability insurance and a life insurance if I plan on having a family, why would I defer consumption now for a likely but not guaranteed capital appreciation so that I can likely but not surely consume in the future? What makes the habit of investing even more questionable is a capital gains tax in Sweden of 30 %, in Germany of 30 %, in France of 25 % and so on.
So except for the very wealthy who can´t get any utility out of spending even more, why invest? The only reason I can think of, that would justify frugal living for maybe 10 years, would be if you could achieve financial independence in this time frame. But in Europe, that is impossible for anyone except maybe the top 0,1 % of earners.
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
Well you only proved that it's not possible to reach FI in 10 years for 50% of the population. You were talking about 99.9% though.TheoLeo wrote: ↑Tue Apr 14, 2020 10:12 amOk cool. Median salary where I live is 2500 gross income. Married couple, two young kids, one works 50 % and the other 100 %. Leaves them with 2600 combined net income after taxes. To achieve FI in 10 years they need to save 60 % of their net income, so they need to live on 1040 Euro per month for 4 people. A flat for 4 people will cost you maybe 800. Leaves 2 Euro per day per person for food, clothes, books, furniture, electronics etc. Sounds reasonable![]()
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
Having 2 kids is a choice. Working part-time is a choice. When I was earning less than median income I was saving 30% of my after tax income. I live in The Netherlands. You should also consider that it is rare for a person to be below average his/her entire life. Normally income moves during the lifetime, and if you do stay low income your entire life it is probably your own fault.TheoLeo wrote: ↑Tue Apr 14, 2020 10:12 amOk cool. Median salary where I live is 2500 gross income. Married couple, two young kids, one works 50 % and the other 100 %. Leaves them with 2600 combined net income after taxes. To achieve FI in 10 years they need to save 60 % of their net income, so they need to live on 1040 Euro per month for 4 people. A flat for 4 people will cost you maybe 800. Leaves 2 Euro per day per person for food, clothes, books, furniture, electronics etc. Sounds reasonableSchlabba wrote: ↑Tue Apr 14, 2020 9:38 amNonsenseTheoLeo wrote: ↑Mon Apr 13, 2020 4:36 pm Living in one of the wealthier countries in Europe, I benefit from:
- universal healthcare
- unemployment insurance which pays 60 % of income for 12 months and then social security
- a pension that will cover about 70 % of my averaged salary
- zero or very low student debt for me and future children, good public education
My basic needs are covered. If I would now add a permanent disability insurance and a life insurance if I plan on having a family, why would I defer consumption now for a likely but not guaranteed capital appreciation so that I can likely but not surely consume in the future? What makes the habit of investing even more questionable is a capital gains tax in Sweden of 30 %, in Germany of 30 %, in France of 25 % and so on.
So except for the very wealthy who can´t get any utility out of spending even more, why invest? The only reason I can think of, that would justify frugal living for maybe 10 years, would be if you could achieve financial independence in this time frame. But in Europe, that is impossible for anyone except maybe the top 0,1 % of earners.![]()
Don't pretend to be a victim for being born in a high tax country. If you are part of the EU you can move wherever you want, even if you are not you still have many options.
Also the goal doesn't have to be 10 years.
--
To answer your original question: I am investing for the freedom. I want to be able to do whatever I want and not have to worry about money. I'd hate to be 50 and working a job I hate just for the money.
Right now I enjoy my work very much, but I am sure this job isn't my last and we will never know what will happen. If I keep enjoying my job I might just end up buying a larger house or a more expensive car, but the goal is freedom.
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
Depends on the country and your own details, but even for a citizen of an EU country who is not ordinarily resident there, moving to the EU doesn't necessarily mean complete or immediate access to all social programs. E.g., eligibility for healthcare and university education will generally be dependent on some version of residency status, while pensions are generally dependent on having paid in. If you have kids, EU resident status for university tuition is generally dependent on being resident at least a few years (although may be three of the prior five, or something like that).watchnerd wrote: ↑Tue Apr 14, 2020 10:00 am At what point can I spend my working years in USA, maximizing human capital, and then move to Europe for retirement for the nice social programs?
I think, at one point, Spain allowed immigration status based on a 300k euro investment, which is basically a small condominium in southern Spain.
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
True. The same calculation for a top 1 % income housold would actually already work. It would leave 14 euro per person per day for food, clothes etc.Stef wrote: ↑Tue Apr 14, 2020 10:57 amWell you only proved that it's not possible to reach FI in 10 years for 50% of the population. You were talking about 99.9% though.TheoLeo wrote: ↑Tue Apr 14, 2020 10:12 amOk cool. Median salary where I live is 2500 gross income. Married couple, two young kids, one works 50 % and the other 100 %. Leaves them with 2600 combined net income after taxes. To achieve FI in 10 years they need to save 60 % of their net income, so they need to live on 1040 Euro per month for 4 people. A flat for 4 people will cost you maybe 800. Leaves 2 Euro per day per person for food, clothes, books, furniture, electronics etc. Sounds reasonable![]()
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
10 years is just not enough for compounding to work. 20 years are way more realistic. Reaching FI within 20 years should be possible for 1/3 of the population. We aren't even taking SS and pension into account, you'll get that too eventually.
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
Having 2 kids is the default choice. If it wasn´t, lots of things we take for granted (like a safe retirement from whatever source) would not be sustainable. How you arrange taking care of the kids is a choice, but in one way or another, you will have to pay for it (daycare and/ or working part time).Schlabba wrote: ↑Tue Apr 14, 2020 10:59 am Having 2 kids is a choice. Working part-time is a choice. When I was earning less than median income I was saving 30% of my after tax income. I live in The Netherlands. You should also consider that it is rare for a person to be below average his/her entire life. Normally income moves during the lifetime, and if you do stay low income your entire life it is probably your own fault.
Don't pretend to be a victim for being born in a high tax country. If you are part of the EU you can move wherever you want, even if you are not you still have many options.
Also the goal doesn't have to be 10 years.
--
To answer your original question: I am investing for the freedom. I want to be able to do whatever I want and not have to worry about money. I'd hate to be 50 and working a job I hate just for the money.
Right now I enjoy my work very much, but I am sure this job isn't my last and we will never know what will happen. If I keep enjoying my job I might just end up buying a larger house or a more expensive car, but the goal is freedom.
Thanks for offering your perspecitve on why you try to achieve FI

Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
Very true and made me thinkWatty wrote: ↑Tue Apr 14, 2020 9:58 am I am not sure how it is now but a few years ago when Greece had a financial crisis a lot of people that were depending on the things you mentioned were looking at a pretty dire situation until they got bailed out. The EU is still really new so I would not want to depend on it existing in its current form in 50 years.

Last edited by TheoLeo on Tue Apr 14, 2020 12:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
Pension funds can get closed too, it happened. Sometimes they only got 2/3 of what was theoretically inside. Whole states can go bankrupt. Currencies can lose their value.
As a global investor you don't have to worry about any of these things. You just depend on the world as a whole doing good.
As a global investor you don't have to worry about any of these things. You just depend on the world as a whole doing good.
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
Stef, living in Switzerland, I think you are goodStef wrote: ↑Tue Apr 14, 2020 11:52 am Pension funds can get closed too, it happened. Sometimes they only got 2/3 of what was theoretically inside. Whole states can go bankrupt. Currencies can lose their value.
As a global investor you don't have to worry about any of these things. You just depend on the world as a whole doing good.

Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
In many European countries, it is important to have a certain amount of emergency money available to pay for private health care, rather than waiting for the state health care system to provide you with the scan/procedure that you need. State-sponsored health-care is wonderful, but not when you have to wait four months for that MRI you urgently need. But since you said you are in the health care field, I guess you know the situation in your country quite well.
The same goes for retirement/nursing homes. While state-sponsored nursing homes are available (in the UK) for my Mother in Law, there is absolutely no way we are putting her into a state-sponsored nursing facility - so we have invested money to prepare for that contingency in the future.
Many/most EU countries have raised their state retirement age from 62-64 to 65-67 in recent years. Demographics dictate that this trend will continue. If one is lucky enough to have excess capital after taxes and (modest) expenses, why not aim for early retirement, and then defer your state pension until the full retirement age?
As for myself, I'd much rather have 3-5 extra years of financial independence when I am 50 than that Porsche 911 now. But maybe that's just me.
The same goes for retirement/nursing homes. While state-sponsored nursing homes are available (in the UK) for my Mother in Law, there is absolutely no way we are putting her into a state-sponsored nursing facility - so we have invested money to prepare for that contingency in the future.
Many/most EU countries have raised their state retirement age from 62-64 to 65-67 in recent years. Demographics dictate that this trend will continue. If one is lucky enough to have excess capital after taxes and (modest) expenses, why not aim for early retirement, and then defer your state pension until the full retirement age?
As for myself, I'd much rather have 3-5 extra years of financial independence when I am 50 than that Porsche 911 now. But maybe that's just me.
Plans are nothing; planning is everything - Dwight D. Eisenhower
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
I think it is risky to assume what exists today will exist during your later years.TheoLeo wrote: ↑Tue Apr 14, 2020 6:31 am Thinking about it some more, I think these are the underlying assumptions that make me think Europeans might not need to invest, or at least less:
If you aren´t very wealthy to begin with, then
1. The income from your job determines your standard of living
2. investing and insurances serve to secure this standard of living
3. investing to increase your standard of living above what the income from your work allows for requires taking risks that aren´t adequately compensated for. These risks are either investment risks (stock picking, option trading etc.) or deferral risks (bodily decay and death decreasing the utility of future profits below the utility of your present savings).
I am arguing that No. 2 is covered by the government and the society as a whole in some European countries and so investing privately serves No. 3. Someone quoted Bogle: " Invest me must". I´d say he means " Invest me must - to secure our standard of living" and not "Invest me must - to further increase our standard of living".
I understand this is an investment forum and questioning investing might feel like an attack on peoples life choices. I don´t mean it as an attack, just an opportunity to get a feeling for how other people decide on their need to invest.![]()
Maybe some of you can weigh in on No. 3?
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
OP,
Let's say you go from 50% savings to 20% (or less). What would you do with the 30%?
Saving is future spending. The benefits you outline likely put you at the "exist" level. You can probably make it. Do you want to just exist and get by? Most don't.
If your plan is to take the 30% and buy stuff or travel (not a great example at this moment in time), then you have to weight the opportunity cost of spending now vs spending when retired.
No guarantees in this life.
Let's say you go from 50% savings to 20% (or less). What would you do with the 30%?
Saving is future spending. The benefits you outline likely put you at the "exist" level. You can probably make it. Do you want to just exist and get by? Most don't.
If your plan is to take the 30% and buy stuff or travel (not a great example at this moment in time), then you have to weight the opportunity cost of spending now vs spending when retired.
No guarantees in this life.
"We are here to provoke thoughtfulness, not agree with you." Unknown Boglehead
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
Very globalized economy with some big players like Nestle, Novartis and Roche. 90% of the revenues from Switzerland are made abroad, so the country is not dependent on domastic revenues. Low taxes and no taxes on capital gains, just on interest and dividends (great for investing). Basically free school and universities, big inflow of high skilled workers from abroad, great political system, great welfare system, low criminality, good health care system with a massive amount of doctors and hospitals. On top of that it's very beautiful in the Alps, great for hiking or skiing. Only 0.1% of the global population lives here, so I feel very privileged for being born here. In my opinion one of the best places in the world to live, at least before retiring.
But I still started investing because the feeling of being financially independent 10-15 years prior to the official retirement age will be great!
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
From the additional 30 % I would propably move into a bigger flat (now its one room, no balcony or garden) or save it for three years and then be gone sailing for a yearbloom2708 wrote: ↑Tue Apr 14, 2020 12:50 pm OP,
Let's say you go from 50% savings to 20% (or less). What would you do with the 30%?
Saving is future spending. The benefits you outline likely put you at the "exist" level. You can probably make it. Do you want to just exist and get by? Most don't.
If your plan is to take the 30% and buy stuff or travel (not a great example at this moment in time), then you have to weight the opportunity cost of spending now vs spending when retired.
No guarantees in this life.

Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
Many people, all over the globe save less to have better housing. More space, closer to work/shops.TheoLeo wrote: ↑Tue Apr 14, 2020 1:08 pm From the additional 30 % I would propably move into a bigger flat (now its one room, no balcony or garden) or save it for three years and then be gone sailing for a yearAssuming I will work until 65, then the pension will allow me to more than just exist. It will most likely be worth more than what I live on now.
Also, saving might mean you can retire at 55 or 57 or 60 instead of 65. Buy back a few years.
I think it completely fine to pull back on saving to upgrade your flat. It sounds like you can do both and still be in good shape for options.
"We are here to provoke thoughtfulness, not agree with you." Unknown Boglehead
Re: No need to invest for Europeans?
Hmm...
There's also the % of life you have left, which you don't know. What if your 'end date' is 66? (pension start at 65?). Would saving some % of your pay to buy your workforce exit sooner not make sense?
Would you save 5% of your salary so you can retire at 60, instead of 65? (knowing end* at 66?) - buy 5 years.
Would you save 10% of your salary so you ca retire at 57, instead of 65? (knowing end* at 66?) - buy 8 years.
What about 50%? Some people do. I am not one of them, but still, they exist!
There's also the % of life you have left, which you don't know. What if your 'end date' is 66? (pension start at 65?). Would saving some % of your pay to buy your workforce exit sooner not make sense?
Would you save 5% of your salary so you can retire at 60, instead of 65? (knowing end* at 66?) - buy 5 years.
Would you save 10% of your salary so you ca retire at 57, instead of 65? (knowing end* at 66?) - buy 8 years.
What about 50%? Some people do. I am not one of them, but still, they exist!