What is above/below historical averages "these days"

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quiet_morning
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What is above/below historical averages "these days"

Post by quiet_morning » Wed Feb 08, 2012 1:14 pm

I'd like to know how the values of different asset classes currently stand against their historical averages. I'm interested in both broad indices (the Dow, treasuries), as well as specific metrics (P/E ratios, market sectors, housing prices).

This is not so much for market timing as it is to help me speak intelligently about different assets and better interpret news I read.

Where do Bogleheads turn for such info?

Thanks!

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Sammy_M
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Re: What is above/below historical averages "these days"

Post by Sammy_M » Sun Feb 12, 2012 10:37 am

Last edited by Sammy_M on Sun Feb 12, 2012 10:55 am, edited 4 times in total.

livesoft
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Re: What is above/below historical averages "these days"

Post by livesoft » Sun Feb 12, 2012 10:53 am

How about a chart of 2011 performance:
Image
Blue is LargeCapUS (FUSEX)
Red is small/mid cap US (FSEMX)
Green is LargeCapForeign (FSIIX)
Yellow is SmallCapForeign (VSS)

Full disclosure: I chose these tickers because I own them all.

So it seems one might think that at the end of 2011, one should invest in this order: Yellow, Green, Red, Blue. :)
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livesoft
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Re: What is above/below historical averages "these days"

Post by livesoft » Sun Feb 12, 2012 10:58 am

But wait! Here is the performance since the start of the year:
Image
So it seems one might think that it is too late to invest as suggested by the previous chart. Right now, one should invest in this order: Blue, Green, Red, Yellow. :)
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wbond
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Re: What is above/below historical averages "these days"

Post by wbond » Mon Feb 13, 2012 9:27 am

U.S. equities are priced low relative to U.S. Treasury bonds by historical standards: Gordon Model Update.

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