REGISTRATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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Taylor Larimore
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REGISTRATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Taylor Larimore »

I am pleased to announce our twelfth annual Boglehead Contest with tracking by Boglehead Ralph Arversen

Last January we had 363 Bogleheads' forecast where the S&P 500 Index would be at the end of 2011. Their guesses ranged from 666.00 to 1927.10. The Index closed at 1257.60 (within 0000.04 of where it began).

2012 (and earlier) BOGLEHEAD CONTESTS

The 2012 contest winner will receive a choice of any one of the two Boglehead Guides AND a choice of any one of Mr. Bogle's great books.

Rules for the 2012 Boglehead Contest:

* Forecast the closing price of the S&P 500 Index on December 31, 2012.
* Only one guess (no percentages).
* Registration ends midnight (forum time), January 10, 20l2
* In event of ties, the first forecast wins
* Winner must PM me by January 10, 2013 to confirm user name and mailing address.
* Post your 2012 S&P Index forecast below

HAPPY NEW YEAR and GOOD LUCK!

Taylor Larimore
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"Simplicity is the master key to financial success." -- Jack Bogle
FillorKill
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by FillorKill »

1316.49
RRP
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by RRP »

1295.33
Wiki
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VictoriaF
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by VictoriaF »

666

Victoria
WINNER of the 2015 Boglehead Contest. | Every joke has a bit of a joke. ... The rest is the truth. (Marat F)
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Salty1
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Salty1 »

I430.96 I'm reusing last year's number...but adjusting for last year :D
I'm going to be in the 10 ten ... in getting my guess in :lol:
nonroom
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by nonroom »

985.96
You cannot control the actions of others. You can only control your reactions to their actions.
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JPH
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by JPH »

1408.44
While the moments do summersaults into eternity | Cling to their coattails and beg them to stay - Townes Van Zandt
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BigFoot48
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by BigFoot48 »

1297.11

Came to me while eating pie.
Retired | Two-time in top-10 in Bogleheads S&P500 contest; 15-time loser
alanf56
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by alanf56 »

1314.00
dbltrbl
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by dbltrbl »

1372.18 :roll:
froggy
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by froggy »

1384.56
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Rick Ferri
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Rick Ferri »

1505

The eternal optimist!

Rick Ferri
The Education of an Index Investor: born in darkness, finds indexing enlightenment, overcomplicates everything, embraces simplicity.
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BTDT
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by BTDT »

1399.99

Actually, I have absolutely no idea but I like 9's

John Clark
If past history was all that is needed to play the game of money, the richest people would be librarians.
The Wizard
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by The Wizard »

1383.36

When I win this contest, i dont want to be in a tie for first.
So in nine days, if anyone else has picked my number, i want to tweak mine by a penny or two to be unique...
Last edited by The Wizard on Sun Jan 01, 2012 10:06 am, edited 1 time in total.
Attempted new signature...
gkaplan
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by gkaplan »

1212.70
Gordon
mikeast
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1412

Post by mikeast »

1412

Happy New Year !
Triple digit golfer
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Triple digit golfer »

1,257.60
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Tortuga
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Tortuga »

1482.71
gailcox
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by gailcox »

1450

Final answer!
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elgob.bogle
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by elgob.bogle »

1313.13

not very optimistic

elgob.bogle
word
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by word »

1401.01
earlyout
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by earlyout »

Same as last year -- 1350
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by abuss368 »

1,324.85
John C. Bogle: “Simplicity is the master key to financial success."
paper200
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by paper200 »

S&P500 31st Dec 2012 - 1450
Having freedom, food and roof is being 90% lucky in life and so is index investing. So, don't let the remaining 10% bother you.
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xystici
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by xystici »

1446.24

Great 2012 for everyone...
Trust yourself, Break the rules, Don't be afraid to fail, Don't listen to naysayers, Work your butt off. "It is in your moments of decision that your destiny is shaped. Choose now and well"
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Higman
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Higman »

1550.

--political comment deleted--
Grt2bOutdoors
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Grt2bOutdoors »

My prediction for 2012 - 1320.48. Here's to a year where pre-tax returns exceeds I bond rates, Mel, hehehe.
"One should invest based on their need, ability and willingness to take risk - Larry Swedroe" Asking Portfolio Questions
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Rob54keep
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Rob54keep »

1355 is a VERY hopeful number.
jj
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by jj »

1373.22 (same as last year's guess)

A Happy New Year to all!
...it is madness to risk losing what you need in pursuing what you simply desire. Warren E. Buffett
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JMacDonald
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by JMacDonald »

Hi,
My prediction: 1490.30
Last edited by JMacDonald on Sun Jan 01, 2012 10:15 am, edited 2 times in total.
Best Wishes, | Joe
livelife
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by livelife »

1390.5
dave2589
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by dave2589 »

1301.04.
Cuzz35
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Cuzz35 »

1397.25
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Majormajor78
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Majormajor78 »

S&P 1356
"Oh, M. le Comte, it is only a loss of money which I have sustained... nothing worth mentioning, I assure you."
AgnosticInvestor
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by AgnosticInvestor »

665 (one below 666, 'Price is Right'-style).
goalie
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by goalie »

1199.99 :evil:
lazyfabs
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by lazyfabs »

1358

cheers :beer
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Dogfather
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Dogfather »

1444

[political comments removed by Mod]
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LadyGeek
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by LadyGeek »

1318.20 = 2011 close * ( 1 + (some number/(some other number)) )

Numbers determined from my astronomy set of lucky numbers.
Wiki To some, the glass is half full. To others, the glass is half empty. To an engineer, it's twice the size it needs to be.
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Sbashore
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Sbashore »

1495.04
Steve | Semper Fi
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paco sabio
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by paco sabio »

1389.65 will most certainly be the number. A little higher than last years prediction but we will have some revision to the mean now when we need it.

Pasc Sabio
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burgrat
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by burgrat »

1353.75
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Sally
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Sally »

1315....for the 3rd year in a row....

Sally
mikep
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by mikep »

1234.56 - Easy to remember.
peppers
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by peppers »

1330.54
"..the cavalry ain't comin' kid, you're on your own..."
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speedbump101
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by speedbump101 »

1351.92
"Man is not a rational animal, he is a rationalizing animal" -Robert A. Heinlein
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Quasimodo
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Quasimodo »

725

John
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Dadarkar
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Dadarkar »

1194.72
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camper
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by camper »

1377.27
r60rider
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Re: REGISTERATION FOR 2012 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by r60rider »

1490.00
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