U.S. stocks in free fall

Discuss all general (i.e. non-personal) investing questions and issues, investing news, and theory.
MotoTrojan
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by MotoTrojan » Sat Mar 23, 2019 1:22 pm

revhappy wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 12:15 pm
willthrill81 wrote:
Wed Mar 13, 2019 6:36 pm
LiterallyIronic wrote:
Wed Mar 13, 2019 6:26 pm
Here we go again. 19.8% or 20%, "bear" or "bull", whatever. Is anyone here making an investing decision based on how long it's been since the most recent "bear market"? I hope not.
I certainly hope not as well. Part of the problem I perceive is that many believe that if a bull market goes on long enough, the likelihood of a bear market occurring increases, which is historically false.
Lets put it differently, the more the markets become overvalued, the higher that chances that they crash. Think of it like stretching a rubberband. You cannot stretch it forever, it will break at somepoint and the chances of it breaking are higher when you stretched it more than when you stretched it less.
What metric are you using to quantify overvaluation?

lostdog
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by lostdog » Sat Mar 23, 2019 1:43 pm

This thread is all noise basically. Arm chair experts and market timers.
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yogesh
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by yogesh » Sat Mar 23, 2019 1:44 pm

This thread is better signal than even VIX. My IFTTT gave an alert for frequent chatter on bogleheads "U.S. stocks in free fall".
Emergency: FDIC | Taxable: VTMFX | Retirement: TR2040

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willthrill81
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by willthrill81 » Sat Mar 23, 2019 3:03 pm

revhappy wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 12:15 pm
willthrill81 wrote:
Wed Mar 13, 2019 6:36 pm
LiterallyIronic wrote:
Wed Mar 13, 2019 6:26 pm
Here we go again. 19.8% or 20%, "bear" or "bull", whatever. Is anyone here making an investing decision based on how long it's been since the most recent "bear market"? I hope not.
I certainly hope not as well. Part of the problem I perceive is that many believe that if a bull market goes on long enough, the likelihood of a bear market occurring increases, which is historically false.
Lets put it differently, the more the markets become overvalued, the higher that chances that they crash. Think of it like stretching a rubberband. You cannot stretch it forever, it will break at somepoint and the chances of it breaking are higher when you stretched it more than when you stretched it less.
Valuations have been a terrible market timing indicator because they are not reliably mean reverting.
“It's a dangerous business, Frodo, going out your door. You step onto the road, and if you don't keep your feet, there's no knowing where you might be swept off to.” J.R.R. Tolkien,The Lord of the Rings

H-Town
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by H-Town » Sat Mar 23, 2019 3:27 pm

willthrill81 wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 3:03 pm
revhappy wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 12:15 pm
willthrill81 wrote:
Wed Mar 13, 2019 6:36 pm
LiterallyIronic wrote:
Wed Mar 13, 2019 6:26 pm
Here we go again. 19.8% or 20%, "bear" or "bull", whatever. Is anyone here making an investing decision based on how long it's been since the most recent "bear market"? I hope not.
I certainly hope not as well. Part of the problem I perceive is that many believe that if a bull market goes on long enough, the likelihood of a bear market occurring increases, which is historically false.
Lets put it differently, the more the markets become overvalued, the higher that chances that they crash. Think of it like stretching a rubberband. You cannot stretch it forever, it will break at somepoint and the chances of it breaking are higher when you stretched it more than when you stretched it less.
Valuations have been a terrible market timing indicator because they are not reliably mean reverting.
Agree. The only helpful thing about valuation is to adjust your expectation of future market return in the long run.

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dougger5
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by dougger5 » Sat Mar 23, 2019 5:20 pm

ishkadetto wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 12:29 am
tj wrote:
Fri Mar 22, 2019 10:45 pm
frugalecon wrote:
Fri Mar 22, 2019 3:24 pm
Always happy when this occurs on a payday, so my TSP contribution goes in at a lower price.
Your contributions go in on Friday? I thought mine do on Monday.
My TSP contribution goes in on Thursday.
My SIMPLE IRA contribution goes in any time between the 1st and the 30th of the month, seemingly randomly :annoyed

Although it does skew toward the first 10 days mostly.
"I've been ionized, but I'm okay now." -Buckaroo Banzai

Yooper16
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by Yooper16 » Sat Mar 23, 2019 5:41 pm

Got lucky in the last week or so, as our AA was 10% out of whack with too much in equities. Did a reasonable amount of transfers to the F and G fund and pulled some $ out of an IRA.

We were going to pull another equity adjustment on Friday to get us to the lower equity range of our AA. That final adjustment was going to be for funding the renovations that start in the next couple of weeks and the "delay SS account" was needing a boost.

Will make Roth conversions a bit less taxing tho.

Trader Joe
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by Trader Joe » Sat Mar 23, 2019 5:59 pm

lostdog wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 1:43 pm
This thread is all noise basically. Arm chair experts and market timers.
Yes this is 100% noise. Stay the course.

H-Town
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by H-Town » Sat Mar 23, 2019 6:02 pm

lostdog wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 1:43 pm
This thread is all noise basically. Arm chair experts and market timers.
I see more satirists on here than anybody.

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ruralavalon
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by ruralavalon » Sat Mar 23, 2019 6:24 pm

H-Town wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 6:02 pm
lostdog wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 1:43 pm
This thread is all noise basically. Arm chair experts and market timers.
I see more satirists on here than anybody.
Correct.
"Everything should be as simple as it is, but not simpler." - Albert Einstein | Wiki article link:Getting Started

revhappy
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by revhappy » Sat Mar 23, 2019 8:51 pm

willthrill81 wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 3:03 pm
revhappy wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 12:15 pm
Lets put it differently, the more the markets become overvalued, the higher that chances that they crash. Think of it like stretching a rubberband. You cannot stretch it forever, it will break at somepoint and the chances of it breaking are higher when you stretched it more than when you stretched it less.
Valuations have been a terrible market timing indicator because they are not reliably mean reverting.
Certainly! and the non US, global investors have found it the hard way by staying out of US markets since they seemed overvalued from 2014 onwards and global markets seems undervalued. US has kept on rallying since then. But what do you do now? Continue to stay in US markets when it looks like finally the wheels are coming off, of the single growth engine in the world? If US slows down the downside for markets in huge and other global markets will just follow even though they didnt go up that much. The 2017 rally was totally fake. I would like to see that whole thing undone and we go back to 2016 levels, before I even think of starting investing for the long term.

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J G Bankerton
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by J G Bankerton » Sun Mar 24, 2019 6:47 pm

letsgobobby wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 10:55 am
harmoniousmonk wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 9:22 am
Monday's S and P futures down 51 or 1.8%
Negative. This is Friday's close. Monday futures don't open for about 36 hours.
S&P up 1.58 points. The free-fall is over. Buy, buy, buy. :greedy

H-Town
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by H-Town » Sun Mar 24, 2019 6:57 pm

J G Bankerton wrote:
Sun Mar 24, 2019 6:47 pm
letsgobobby wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 10:55 am
harmoniousmonk wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 9:22 am
Monday's S and P futures down 51 or 1.8%
Negative. This is Friday's close. Monday futures don't open for about 36 hours.
S&P up 1.58 points. The free-fall is over. Buy, buy, buy. :greedy
You buy when stocks in free fall, no?

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J G Bankerton
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by J G Bankerton » Sun Mar 24, 2019 7:08 pm

H-Town wrote:
Sun Mar 24, 2019 6:57 pm
J G Bankerton wrote:
Sun Mar 24, 2019 6:47 pm
letsgobobby wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 10:55 am
harmoniousmonk wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 9:22 am
Monday's S and P futures down 51 or 1.8%
Negative. This is Friday's close. Monday futures don't open for about 36 hours.
S&P up 1.58 points. The free-fall is over. Buy, buy, buy. :greedy
You buy when stocks in free fall, no?
Buy at the open. I bought at the close.

drk
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by drk » Sun Mar 24, 2019 8:54 pm

J G Bankerton wrote:
Sun Mar 24, 2019 6:47 pm
letsgobobby wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 10:55 am
harmoniousmonk wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 9:22 am
Monday's S and P futures down 51 or 1.8%
Negative. This is Friday's close. Monday futures don't open for about 36 hours.
S&P up 1.58 points. The free-fall is over. Buy, buy, buy. :greedy
We'll see tomorrow, but they look pretty red right now.

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J G Bankerton
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by J G Bankerton » Mon Mar 25, 2019 7:52 am

drk wrote:
Sun Mar 24, 2019 8:54 pm
J G Bankerton wrote:
Sun Mar 24, 2019 6:47 pm
letsgobobby wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 10:55 am
harmoniousmonk wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 9:22 am
Monday's S and P futures down 51 or 1.8%
Negative. This is Friday's close. Monday futures don't open for about 36 hours.
S&P up 1.58 points. The free-fall is over. Buy, buy, buy. :greedy
We'll see tomorrow, but they look pretty red right now.
Buy low. :greedy

Bastiat
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by Bastiat » Fri Mar 29, 2019 9:55 am

For all the noise on here, people "going to cash", and the consternation in the last quarter last year, it's worth pointing out that we are getting ready to close the best quarter since Q3 2009, and the best Q1 since 1998.

Of course, that doesn't mean anything at all about the future. What it does mean is that nobody knows nothing: I don't remember hearing all (any?) of the prognosticators confidently foretelling that Q1 2019 was going to be excellent, besting in a single quarter (>12%) the average yearly return.

We have tested the psychological level of 2800 and broken the technical resistance at 2815, so my guess would be we've got some room to run from here. Fortunately, I don't trade on my guesses or those of anyone else.

Stay the course.

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walletless
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by walletless » Fri Mar 29, 2019 10:15 am

Bastiat wrote:
Fri Mar 29, 2019 9:55 am
Stay the course.
We never do that here at bogleheads!😂

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Doom&Gloom
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by Doom&Gloom » Fri Mar 29, 2019 12:09 pm

Bastiat wrote:
Fri Mar 29, 2019 9:55 am
For all the noise on here, people "going to cash", and the consternation in the last quarter last year, it's worth pointing out that we are getting ready to close the best quarter since Q3 2009, and the best Q1 since 1998.

Of course, that doesn't mean anything at all about the future. What it does mean is that nobody knows nothing: I don't remember hearing all (any?) of the prognosticators confidently foretelling that Q1 2019 was going to be excellent, besting in a single quarter (>12%) the average yearly return.

We have tested the psychological level of 2800 and broken the technical resistance at 2815, so my guess would be we've got some room to run from here. Fortunately, I don't trade on my guesses or those of anyone else.

Stay the course.
Get outta here with all of that pollyannish talk. This is the sky is falling thread.

j/k. You make some good points which I think this long-running thread helps to highlight. :sharebeer

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Tycoon
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by Tycoon » Fri Mar 29, 2019 12:52 pm

Bastiat wrote:
Fri Mar 29, 2019 9:55 am
For all the noise on here, people "going to cash", and the consternation in the last quarter last year, it's worth pointing out that we are getting ready to close the best quarter since Q3 2009, and the best Q1 since 1998.
Exactly. So many smart people making emotional decisions. Oh well.
Emotionless, prognostication free investing. Ignoring the noise and economists since 1979. How consistantly wrong do predictions have to be before the faithful learn?

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J G Bankerton
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by J G Bankerton » Fri Mar 29, 2019 1:59 pm

Bastiat wrote:
Fri Mar 29, 2019 9:55 am
For all the noise on here, people "going to cash", and the consternation in the last quarter last year, it's worth pointing out that we are getting ready to close the best quarter since Q3 2009, and the best Q1 since 1998.
So is now the time to go cash? :confused

H-Town
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by H-Town » Fri Mar 29, 2019 2:08 pm

J G Bankerton wrote:
Fri Mar 29, 2019 1:59 pm
Bastiat wrote:
Fri Mar 29, 2019 9:55 am
For all the noise on here, people "going to cash", and the consternation in the last quarter last year, it's worth pointing out that we are getting ready to close the best quarter since Q3 2009, and the best Q1 since 1998.
So is now the time to go cash? :confused
Yeah, cash it out at the top.

Now, what is the top is anyone's opinion.

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willthrill81
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by willthrill81 » Fri Mar 29, 2019 2:26 pm

J G Bankerton wrote:
Fri Mar 29, 2019 1:59 pm
Bastiat wrote:
Fri Mar 29, 2019 9:55 am
For all the noise on here, people "going to cash", and the consternation in the last quarter last year, it's worth pointing out that we are getting ready to close the best quarter since Q3 2009, and the best Q1 since 1998.
So is now the time to go cash? :confused
A market doing well hardly seems like a good reason to bail out.
“It's a dangerous business, Frodo, going out your door. You step onto the road, and if you don't keep your feet, there's no knowing where you might be swept off to.” J.R.R. Tolkien,The Lord of the Rings

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oldcomputerguy
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by oldcomputerguy » Fri Mar 29, 2019 2:33 pm

Earl Lemongrab wrote:
Fri Mar 22, 2019 2:59 pm
Is this an ex-dividend day? I thought someone mentioned that. I don't pay a lot of attention to it.
Well, VTSAX showed a Record date of March 21, a re-invest date of March 22, and a dividend payout date of March 25. On the other hand, the Institutional version (VITNX) shows a Record date of March 26, a re-invest date of March 27, and a payout date yesterday. So who knows? But given that ex-dividend day always happens first, before payout or reinvest, I don't think so.
"I’ve come around to this: If you’re dumb, surround yourself with smart people; and if you’re smart, surround yourself with smart people who disagree with you." (Aaron Sorkin)

JimmyD
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by JimmyD » Fri Mar 29, 2019 2:36 pm

My equity allocation is getting too frothy. Pouring all new tax-advantaged contributions into bond funds beginning now.

MotoTrojan
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by MotoTrojan » Fri Mar 29, 2019 3:05 pm

JimmyD wrote:
Fri Mar 29, 2019 2:36 pm
My equity allocation is getting too frothy. Pouring all new tax-advantaged contributions into bond funds beginning now.
Why wait? You could rebalance now.

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TheTimeLord
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by TheTimeLord » Fri Mar 29, 2019 3:25 pm

JimmyD wrote:
Fri Mar 29, 2019 2:36 pm
My equity allocation is getting too frothy. Pouring all new tax-advantaged contributions into bond funds beginning now.
We are still about 4% below the September 20th high for the S&P.
IMHO, Investing should be about living the life you want, not avoiding the life you fear. | Run, You Clever Boy! [9085]

JimmyD
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by JimmyD » Fri Mar 29, 2019 4:07 pm

TheTimeLord wrote:
Fri Mar 29, 2019 3:25 pm
JimmyD wrote:
Fri Mar 29, 2019 2:36 pm
My equity allocation is getting too frothy. Pouring all new tax-advantaged contributions into bond funds beginning now.
We are still about 4% below the September 20th high for the S&P.
Did a large rebalance during the December dip and that paid off nicely.

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AnalogKid22
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by AnalogKid22 » Fri Mar 29, 2019 5:33 pm

JimmyD wrote:
Fri Mar 29, 2019 4:07 pm
TheTimeLord wrote:
Fri Mar 29, 2019 3:25 pm
JimmyD wrote:
Fri Mar 29, 2019 2:36 pm
My equity allocation is getting too frothy. Pouring all new tax-advantaged contributions into bond funds beginning now.
We are still about 4% below the September 20th high for the S&P.
Did a large rebalance during the December dip and that paid off nicely.
And how!

Trader Joe
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by Trader Joe » Fri Mar 29, 2019 5:45 pm

"U.S. stocks in free fall"

Really?

May 29. 2019 market close:
Market Summary > S&P 500 Index
INDEXSP: .INX
2,834.40 +18.96 (0.67%)

Independent George
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by Independent George » Fri Mar 29, 2019 8:07 pm

I've been a bear since 2013; just because I'm 0-6 in predicting market crashes doesn't mean I'll be wrong forever. It'll happen someday.

Of course, when it happens, I'll still be rebalancing to my target AA (which is 90/10 for the next three years).

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J G Bankerton
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by J G Bankerton » Sat Mar 30, 2019 10:51 am

Trader Joe wrote:
Fri Mar 29, 2019 5:45 pm

May 29. 2019 market close:
Market Summary > S&P 500 Index
INDEXSP: .INX
2,834.40 +18.96 (0.67%)
Was that listed in the Wall Street Psychic? :P

sabhen
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by sabhen » Wed Apr 17, 2019 4:22 pm

Big drop in healthcare ETFs. Could be a good time to buy for the long term.

motorcyclesarecool
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by motorcyclesarecool » Wed Apr 17, 2019 4:24 pm

Nyet, tovarisch.
Understand that choosing an HDHP is very much a "red pill" approach. Most would rather pay higher premiums for a $20 copay per visit. They will think you weird for choosing an HSA.

Hyoga
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by Hyoga » Wed Apr 17, 2019 7:57 pm

Trader Joe wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 5:59 pm
lostdog wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 1:43 pm
This thread is all noise basically. Arm chair experts and market timers.
Yes this is 100% noise. Stay the course.
Actually this whole forum is noise, because the answer to just about any question is "stay the course".
よろしくお願いします

tmcc
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by tmcc » Wed Apr 17, 2019 8:00 pm

Hyoga wrote:
Wed Apr 17, 2019 7:57 pm
Trader Joe wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 5:59 pm
lostdog wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 1:43 pm
This thread is all noise basically. Arm chair experts and market timers.
Yes this is 100% noise. Stay the course.
Actually this whole forum is noise, because the answer to just about any question is "stay the course".
Stay the course :D

Silk McCue
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by Silk McCue » Wed Apr 17, 2019 8:19 pm

tmcc wrote:
Wed Apr 17, 2019 8:00 pm
Hyoga wrote:
Wed Apr 17, 2019 7:57 pm
Trader Joe wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 5:59 pm
lostdog wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 1:43 pm
This thread is all noise basically. Arm chair experts and market timers.
Yes this is 100% noise. Stay the course.
Actually this whole forum is noise, because the answer to just about any question is "stay the course".
Stay the course :D
Read the course. Believe the course. Implement the course. Follow the course, Stay the course, Share the course. Then, at a very old age - Complete the course.

Cheers

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Earl Lemongrab
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by Earl Lemongrab » Wed Apr 17, 2019 9:12 pm

Hyoga wrote:
Wed Apr 17, 2019 7:57 pm
Actually this whole forum is noise, because the answer to just about any question is "stay the course".
For market-timing, sure. But there are a wealth (heh) of other topics. Like wash sales! We haven't discussed that in several minutes.

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TheTimeLord
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by TheTimeLord » Wed Apr 17, 2019 9:17 pm

Earl Lemongrab wrote:
Wed Apr 17, 2019 9:12 pm
Hyoga wrote:
Wed Apr 17, 2019 7:57 pm
Actually this whole forum is noise, because the answer to just about any question is "stay the course".
For market-timing, sure. But there are a wealth (heh) of other topics. Like wash sales! We haven't discussed that in several minutes.
Bogleheads need to retire because managing their portfolios and future taxes is a near full time job.
IMHO, Investing should be about living the life you want, not avoiding the life you fear. | Run, You Clever Boy! [9085]

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dogagility
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by dogagility » Thu Apr 18, 2019 4:25 am

Silk McCue wrote:
Wed Apr 17, 2019 8:19 pm
tmcc wrote:
Wed Apr 17, 2019 8:00 pm
Hyoga wrote:
Wed Apr 17, 2019 7:57 pm
Trader Joe wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 5:59 pm
lostdog wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 1:43 pm
This thread is all noise basically. Arm chair experts and market timers.
Yes this is 100% noise. Stay the course.
Actually this whole forum is noise, because the answer to just about any question is "stay the course".
Stay the course :D
Read the course. Believe the course. Implement the course. Follow the course, Stay the course, Share the course. Then, at a very old age - Complete the course.
Cheers
:D Reminds me of an old Young Ones episode in which Neil says "This self-sufficiency thing really is amazing. We sow the seed, right. Nature grows the seed, and then, we eat the seed."
"The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient" -- Warren Buffett

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J G Bankerton
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by J G Bankerton » Thu Apr 18, 2019 5:57 am

Hyoga wrote:
Wed Apr 17, 2019 7:57 pm
Trader Joe wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 5:59 pm
lostdog wrote:
Sat Mar 23, 2019 1:43 pm
This thread is all noise basically. Arm chair experts and market timers.
Yes this is 100% noise. Stay the course.
Actually this whole forum is noise, because the answer to just about any question is "stay the course".
98% of the threads are noise. The personal questions forums are useful wile the page after page of charts are total "noise".

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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by LadyGeek » Thu Apr 18, 2019 3:21 pm

Several off-topic posts have been removed. The thread was starting to derail on the definition of a Boglehead. Please stay on-topic, which is the stock market.
Wiki To some, the glass is half full. To others, the glass is half empty. To an engineer, it's twice the size it needs to be.

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Stinky
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by Stinky » Mon Apr 29, 2019 1:02 pm

Wanted to bump this thread.

No posts here for 11 days now. Wonder where all of the bears are hibernating?

(S&P currently at 2947)
It's a GREAT day to be alive - Travis Tritt

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J G Bankerton
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by J G Bankerton » Mon Apr 29, 2019 1:40 pm

Stinky wrote:
Mon Apr 29, 2019 1:02 pm
Wanted to bump this thread.

No posts here for 11 days now. Wonder where all of the bears are hibernating?

(S&P currently at 2947)
The bears will be back but when? Is it too late to get in or is this just the start of bigger thing to come? If there was a way to invest where one doesn't have to worry about market timing that would be grate.

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Doom&Gloom
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by Doom&Gloom » Mon Apr 29, 2019 2:16 pm

I took a little off the top today to get my AA back where it belongs. That should doom this thread to free fall for a while longer as the market will certainly continue to climb.

Meanwhile, I'll sleep fine while I look forward to my next re-balancing in either direction when the time comes.

Independent George
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by Independent George » Mon Apr 29, 2019 3:59 pm

I'm weird - I am more bearish today than I was in December. I actually felt relieved when the market tanked before Christmas.

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AerialWombat
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by AerialWombat » Mon Apr 29, 2019 4:55 pm

Independent George wrote:
Mon Apr 29, 2019 3:59 pm
I'm weird - I am more bearish today than I was in December. I actually felt relieved when the market tanked before Christmas.
I agree. I wouldn’t normally rebalance right now, but I’m holding more than my 30% in stocks. Today makes me twitch and wanna take some gains off the table in ye olde 401k.

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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by sailaway » Mon Apr 29, 2019 5:55 pm

AerialWombat wrote:
Mon Apr 29, 2019 4:55 pm
Independent George wrote:
Mon Apr 29, 2019 3:59 pm
I'm weird - I am more bearish today than I was in December. I actually felt relieved when the market tanked before Christmas.
I agree. I wouldn’t normally rebalance right now, but I’m holding more than my 30% in stocks. Today makes me twitch and wanna take some gains off the table in ye olde 401k.
We have started chanting "one more month," since we will rebalance when RSUs hit next month.

Independent George
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by Independent George » Mon Apr 29, 2019 10:30 pm

Just to be clear - I'm not deviating from my investment plan (which has me at 90/10 until 2023). I'm just way more comfortable when things are going badly than when we're at all-time highs.

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Portfolio7
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Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

Post by Portfolio7 » Tue Apr 30, 2019 12:10 am

Stinky wrote:
Mon Apr 29, 2019 1:02 pm
Wanted to bump this thread.

No posts here for 11 days now. Wonder where all of the bears are hibernating?

(S&P currently at 2947)
I appreciate all the bears that balance folks like me: because of them the market advance has been measured and manageable, and despite some short term 20% drops here and there, the economy has been steady and the bull market has been climbing that wall of worry for the past decade... :beer
"An investment in knowledge pays the best interest" - Benjamin Franklin

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