We need threads on "100% dry powder."Browser wrote:There are no threads about being 100% bonds because bonds suck as badly as stocks. "Hold" is the only option left -- kinda like a deer frozen in the headlights because it doesn't know which way to jump. Of course, the deer ends up getting run over while it is standing there doing nothing....technovelist wrote:No, there are three states:Browser wrote:If you buy stocks when the indicator is flashing, does that mean you should go short when it's quiet? You should have been short the last couple of years...technovelist wrote:Yes, I think I should open a hedge fund that invests based on that indicator. It would probably do better than a lot of them do!kenyan wrote:The "inverse lots of new posts excoriating bonds and extolling the virtues of 100% stock" indicator is alive and well!
1. When there are many threads about 100% or more stocks being the only correct AA, sell.
2. When there are many threads about never being able to retire, why 100% bonds is the only correct AA, etc., buy.
3. The rest of the time, hold.