Discuss all general (i.e. non-personal) investing questions and issues, investing news, and theory.
JerryK
Posts: 11 Joined: Sun Jan 02, 2011 7:17 pm
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by JerryK » Sun Jan 02, 2011 7:35 pm
1425.25
paco sabio
Posts: 20 Joined: Wed Feb 28, 2007 7:19 am
Location: Citrus County Florida
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by paco sabio » Sun Jan 02, 2011 7:38 pm
My prediction is 1448. May the bond market be kind to us also!
Paco Sabio
Fin In
Posts: 25 Joined: Sat May 10, 2008 9:36 am
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by Fin In » Sun Jan 02, 2011 7:41 pm
1388
rr2
Posts: 1071 Joined: Wed Nov 19, 2008 9:04 pm
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by rr2 » Sun Jan 02, 2011 7:41 pm
1150
MitchL
Posts: 125 Joined: Tue Feb 20, 2007 6:36 pm
Location: Minneapolis
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by MitchL » Sun Jan 02, 2011 9:02 pm
1081.57
VictoriaF
Posts: 20122 Joined: Tue Feb 27, 2007 6:27 am
Location: Black Swan Lake
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by VictoriaF » Sun Jan 02, 2011 9:19 pm
Taylor Larimore wrote:
...
* Registration closes midnight January 10, 20ll
...
I noticed that my prediction (1415.93) is acquiring "neighbors" in the ever-narrowing range. It appears that the best strategy is to wait until late on 10 January and then bet in the middle of the widest gap.
Unless, of course, one actually
knows where S&P 500 will end up.
Victoria
Inventor of the Bogleheads Secret Handshake |
Winner of the 2015 Boglehead Contest. |
Every joke has a bit of a joke. ... The rest is the truth. (Marat F)
RyanC
Posts: 51 Joined: Tue Mar 09, 2010 12:00 pm
Location: USA
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by RyanC » Sun Jan 02, 2011 9:44 pm
1335.6
NightOwl
Posts: 664 Joined: Fri Feb 06, 2009 1:08 am
Location: New York, NY
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by NightOwl » Mon Jan 03, 2011 3:26 am
VictoriaF wrote: Unless, of course, one actually knows where S&P 500 will end up.
I totally know where the S&P will end up! Why else would I participate in this contest? I'm not worried about the prognosticators around me, because they don't know what I do: 1387.87.
NightOwl
"Volatility provokes the constant dread that some investors know more than we do, making us fearful of ignoring such powerful price movements." |
Peter Bernstein, "The 60/40 Solution."
MWCA
Posts: 2820 Joined: Fri Nov 30, 2007 3:21 pm
Location: A wonderful place
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by MWCA » Mon Jan 03, 2011 4:04 am
1346.96
We are all worms. But I believe that I am a glow-worm.
daveUSA
Posts: 5 Joined: Thu Dec 16, 2010 1:11 am
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by daveUSA » Mon Jan 03, 2011 5:06 am
1402.28
NAVigator
Posts: 2545 Joined: Tue Feb 27, 2007 6:24 am
Location: Iowa
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by NAVigator » Mon Jan 03, 2011 5:32 am
My SWAG at this is 1389.6. Any deviations from this value is due to the random actions of wayward investors!
Jerry
"I was born with nothing and I have most of it left."
blink32
Posts: 169 Joined: Tue Dec 04, 2007 6:31 am
Location: None
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by blink32 » Mon Jan 03, 2011 5:36 am
1632.7
gffisher
Posts: 13 Joined: Sun Mar 04, 2007 11:52 am
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by gffisher » Mon Jan 03, 2011 6:39 am
Put me down for 1376.42
Regards,
gordon
RJR00
Posts: 55 Joined: Fri Aug 20, 2010 10:06 am
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by RJR00 » Mon Jan 03, 2011 6:51 am
1486
manuvns
Posts: 1465 Joined: Wed Jan 02, 2008 1:30 pm
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by manuvns » Mon Jan 03, 2011 9:49 am
my guess is 1401
Random Musings
Posts: 6772 Joined: Thu Feb 22, 2007 3:24 pm
Location: Pennsylvania
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by Random Musings » Mon Jan 03, 2011 10:05 am
Swingin' around and ending up at....
1221.21
RM
spanky
Posts: 1 Joined: Mon Jan 03, 2011 10:03 am
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by spanky » Mon Jan 03, 2011 10:10 am
:lol: My "guess" 1502
BillRogers
Posts: 126 Joined: Mon Nov 12, 2007 2:19 pm
Location: Charlotte, NC
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by BillRogers » Mon Jan 03, 2011 10:15 am
S&P500 at 12/31/2011 = 1345.68
Best wishes,
Bill Rogers
bodan
Posts: 67 Joined: Fri Dec 31, 2010 11:31 am
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by bodan » Mon Jan 03, 2011 11:29 am
You won't like this:
S&P at years end: 848
bodan
nick22
Posts: 859 Joined: Sun Mar 04, 2007 10:00 am
Location: Ohio
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by nick22 » Mon Jan 03, 2011 11:32 am
1390
Nick22
hollowcave2
Posts: 1790 Joined: Thu Mar 01, 2007 2:22 pm
Location: Sacramento, CA
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by hollowcave2 » Mon Jan 03, 2011 11:33 am
I think I'll go with
1447
And I came to this number completely independently through rigorous research and agonizing thinking, viewing all market news channels and watching CNBC in my sleep.
And I'm still sandwiched in between 1446 and 1448!
Since I won't bother to change it during this edit, it shows you how much value I put in that number.
Last edited by
hollowcave2 on Mon Jan 03, 2011 11:39 am, edited 1 time in total.
Justin618
Posts: 211 Joined: Fri Mar 02, 2007 9:37 am
Location: accumulation phase
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by Justin618 » Mon Jan 03, 2011 11:38 am
1343
"Investing is simple, but not easy" - Buffett.
MIARay
Posts: 168 Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2008 4:15 pm
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by MIARay » Mon Jan 03, 2011 12:04 pm
1398.50
Kashi
Posts: 112 Joined: Wed Apr 28, 2010 4:58 pm
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by Kashi » Mon Jan 03, 2011 1:10 pm
1164
Ody
Posts: 162 Joined: Thu Feb 25, 2010 1:44 pm
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by Ody » Mon Jan 03, 2011 1:10 pm
1414.39
Brevity is the soul of wit
gotherelate
Posts: 845 Joined: Wed May 28, 2008 6:57 pm
Location: Texas
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by gotherelate » Mon Jan 03, 2011 1:34 pm
blink32 wrote: 1632.7
I see I'm not the only wild-eyed optimist out there.
-Grandpa |
I'd rather see where I'm going than see where I've been.
wde
Posts: 285 Joined: Sat Jul 21, 2007 7:14 pm
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by wde » Mon Jan 03, 2011 3:00 pm
1359.1
"Next to knowing when to seize an opportunity, the most important thing in life is to know when to forgo an advantage." -Benjamin Disraeli
Finn
Posts: 70 Joined: Sun Jan 27, 2008 2:04 pm
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by Finn » Mon Jan 03, 2011 3:05 pm
1407
kuttolas
Posts: 179 Joined: Tue May 06, 2008 4:11 am
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by kuttolas » Mon Jan 03, 2011 3:54 pm
My prediction is 1324
leod
Posts: 606 Joined: Tue Sep 22, 2009 2:54 pm
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by leod » Mon Jan 03, 2011 3:57 pm
1025
Reubin
Posts: 413 Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2010 2:39 pm
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by Reubin » Mon Jan 03, 2011 4:23 pm
1482
zonto
Posts: 272 Joined: Tue Aug 24, 2010 3:45 pm
Location: Boston, MA
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by zonto » Mon Jan 03, 2011 4:52 pm
1401
exoilman
Posts: 881 Joined: Wed Oct 15, 2008 1:38 pm
Location: New Jersey
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by exoilman » Mon Jan 03, 2011 4:53 pm
1327.31
Sam
dave2589
Posts: 48 Joined: Thu Apr 02, 2009 7:49 pm
Location: Bethlehem PA
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by dave2589 » Mon Jan 03, 2011 5:09 pm
1395.38
dave2589
Posts: 48 Joined: Thu Apr 02, 2009 7:49 pm
Location: Bethlehem PA
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by dave2589 » Mon Jan 03, 2011 5:10 pm
1395.38