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REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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Mel Lindauer
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REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Mel Lindauer »

(NOTE: I'm making this post on behalf of my partner-in-crime, Taylor Larimore. Good luck! - Mel)

[The 2024 contest thread is here --admin LadyGeek]

Registration for the 2025 Boglehead Contest

Reply (below) what you think will be the closing price of the S&P 500 Index on December 31, 2025.
Only one guess (no percentages and no changes).
In the event of ties, the first forecast wins.
Post only one forecast and one name
Registration ends 11:00 PM (ET), January 10, 2025.

Happy New Year!

Taylor
Best Regards - Mel | | Semper Fi
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Topic Author
Mel Lindauer
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Posts: 36298
Joined: Mon Feb 19, 2007 7:49 pm
Location: Daytona Beach Shores, Florida
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Mel Lindauer »

I'll take a WAG and say 5041.223 and hope I come in in last place! :)
Best Regards - Mel | | Semper Fi
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Silverado
Posts: 1967
Joined: Fri Oct 18, 2013 6:07 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Silverado »

6125.0
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Stinky
Posts: 15999
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Location: Sweet Home Alabama

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Stinky »

6666.66
Retired life insurance company financial executive who sincerely believes that ”It’s a GREAT day to be alive!”
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eaglesfly
Posts: 18
Joined: Sat Jun 11, 2022 8:29 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by eaglesfly »

I'm feeling optimistic. I'll go with 7089
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toddthebod
Posts: 8412
Joined: Wed May 18, 2022 12:42 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by toddthebod »

5232.00
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Dufus
Posts: 374
Joined: Mon Sep 25, 2023 8:35 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Dufus »

My post didn't meet the minimum character limit, so I added this sentence.
 
6843
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aelfa
Posts: 79
Joined: Fri Jan 09, 2015 12:29 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by aelfa »

My guess is:

6907
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jjgaucho
Posts: 69
Joined: Mon Nov 05, 2018 5:04 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by jjgaucho »

My perfectly correct guess: 6457
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Joe Public
Posts: 230
Joined: Mon Jul 27, 2020 8:36 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Joe Public »

5309.867
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BarbBrooklyn
Posts: 1750
Joined: Fri Aug 24, 2018 9:33 am
Location: NYC

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by BarbBrooklyn »

7491.09
BarbBrooklyn | "The enemy of a good plan is the dream of a perfect plan."
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renter
Posts: 626
Joined: Sat Aug 23, 2008 2:14 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by renter »

6938.10
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BogleTaxPro
Posts: 872
Joined: Sat Apr 04, 2020 6:08 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by BogleTaxPro »

How time flies...5757.57
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bikeeagle1
Posts: 280
Joined: Sat Oct 27, 2018 8:55 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by bikeeagle1 »

My guess is 4460.
75% 3-Fund, 15% Gold, 10% MM Fund
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sycamore
Posts: 7469
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by sycamore »

6282.60
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withrye
Posts: 189
Joined: Mon Feb 29, 2016 12:48 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by withrye »

4680.5
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mtn biker
Posts: 92
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by mtn biker »

5842.5
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HooCares
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by HooCares »

4760.50
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Fiddle-Bow
Posts: 48
Joined: Thu Oct 08, 2015 7:32 pm
Location: USA

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Fiddle-Bow »

6997.4
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LoveTheBogle
Posts: 298
Joined: Tue Aug 13, 2019 5:53 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by LoveTheBogle »

6097.50
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MoonOrb
Posts: 1568
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by MoonOrb »

4998.43
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DYoul
Posts: 11
Joined: Sun Aug 17, 2014 8:27 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by DYoul »

5000, but I hope that I lose. :happy
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alpenglow
Posts: 2040
Joined: Tue May 31, 2011 12:02 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by alpenglow »

I never guess, but 5656.56
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boring-investor
Posts: 3
Joined: Mon Dec 16, 2024 6:07 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by boring-investor »

6839.23
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Watty
Posts: 30492
Joined: Wed Oct 10, 2007 3:55 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Watty »

Sadly 3895.08 which is what it was on 1/1/2023 but I hope that I am wrong.

Way too many investors have never seen a real bear market where giving up two years of gains can be just the beginning. Be careful folks.
Last edited by Watty on Fri Dec 20, 2024 5:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Botnang
Posts: 10
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Botnang »

6304.33
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Nver2Late
Posts: 946
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Nver2Late »

7176

(hoping for another 2017)
"Better is the enemy of good." Good is good.
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JS-Elcano
Posts: 1109
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by JS-Elcano »

6523.85
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Mlm
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Mlm »

5234.00
Mary
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SnakeEyes
Posts: 28
Joined: Tue Dec 27, 2022 12:58 am
Location: Northern California

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by SnakeEyes »

5760.35
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GlennK
Posts: 135
Joined: Tue Mar 26, 2019 7:20 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by GlennK »

6345.10
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IRouteIP
Posts: 116
Joined: Mon Aug 31, 2020 7:51 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by IRouteIP »

6,523.94
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Dottie57
Posts: 13460
Joined: Thu May 19, 2016 5:43 pm
Location: U.S.

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Dottie57 »

5723.03
Last edited by Dottie57 on Fri Dec 20, 2024 5:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Life is more than grinding it out in some drab office setting for an arbitrary number. This isn't a videogame where the higher score is better. -Nathan Drake
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Trapper
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Trapper »

my guess is 6292
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Fly Guy
Posts: 29
Joined: Fri Apr 30, 2021 11:13 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Fly Guy »

I'm guessing 6711
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Thrift Shop
Posts: 104
Joined: Mon Mar 24, 2014 9:32 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Thrift Shop »

6050.00
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Hoi Polloi
Posts: 52
Joined: Tue Aug 12, 2008 10:31 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Hoi Polloi »

5515.

Hope I'm way too bearish.
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Cletus Davenport
Posts: 80
Joined: Sat Dec 14, 2024 6:07 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Cletus Davenport »

6594.16
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samiratinitech
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Location: State of mind

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by samiratinitech »

6404.04
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NYHawkeye
Posts: 199
Joined: Mon May 15, 2023 5:43 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by NYHawkeye »

5812.
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Flobes
Posts: 1816
Joined: Mon Feb 15, 2010 11:40 pm
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Flobes »

5280.
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GuyInFL
Posts: 986
Joined: Thu Aug 04, 2016 7:17 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by GuyInFL »

7000.00
I’ll stick with an even number.
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Raybo
Posts: 2305
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Location: San Francisco

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Raybo »

5700.23
No matter how long the hill, if you keep pedaling you'll eventually get up to the top.
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Cranberry44
Posts: 452
Joined: Sun May 17, 2020 1:46 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Cranberry44 »

6251.0
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Padlin
Posts: 1214
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Location: MA

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Padlin »

4181.46
Regards | Bob
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dougger5
Posts: 505
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Location: Not far from Malvern

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by dougger5 »

6723.43
"I've been ionized, but I'm okay now." -Buckaroo Banzai
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Swee'pea
Posts: 121
Joined: Sun Jan 06, 2019 1:15 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Swee'pea »

7056.7
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02nz
Posts: 11210
Joined: Wed Feb 21, 2018 2:17 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by 02nz »

5762.47
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MidwestMike
Posts: 162
Joined: Fri Jun 30, 2017 10:12 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by MidwestMike »

6601.00
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Nicolas
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2025 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Nicolas »

6969.01
Last edited by Nicolas on Wed Dec 25, 2024 9:38 pm, edited 3 times in total.
Busted for smiling on a cloudy day
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