Nobody knows nothing episode [Invested in Microsoft]

Discuss all general (i.e. non-personal) investing questions and issues, investing news, and theory.
Post Reply
Topic Author
forwhatiknow
Posts: 116
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2022 11:21 am

Nobody knows nothing episode [Invested in Microsoft]

Post by forwhatiknow »

Back in the 2010s I went all in with my better half's 401K on MSFT. 24$ a pop because from all I knew they were the gorilla of software then and the future. No diversification what so ever, cardinal sin. The same week a caller on CNBC on the one show that takes call ins asked for the prognostication on MSFT and its future for stock appreciation. The hair impaired MC said "you may make a buck or two" but there was more favorable investment possibilities available. I immediately felt stupid for going whole hog on my putting the entirety of the spouses 410k into it. I stayed put none the less. Nobody knows nothing.
GP813
Posts: 1113
Joined: Wed Dec 11, 2019 9:11 am

Re: Nobody knows nothing episode

Post by GP813 »

Microsoft is one of the greatest businesses ever invented but nobody really knows how long they will continue to be. I think investors have been thrown for a loop with the great software companies, they rewrote the rules for how to value a business, they stiff-armed the law of large numbers, they made us rethink what is a dominant business and how do governments and regulating bodies grapple with that.

Microsoft is one of the 25 companies that are responsible for nearly 1/3 of all U.S. stock returns above one month T-bills since 1926.
User avatar
LadyGeek
Site Admin
Posts: 93434
Joined: Sat Dec 20, 2008 4:34 pm
Location: Philadelphia
Contact:

Re: Nobody knows nothing episode [Invested in Microsoft]

Post by LadyGeek »

I retitled the thread for clarity.

FYI - MSFT is in the news due to hiring the CEO of OpenAI. The stock hit an all-time high today.
Wiki To some, the glass is half full. To others, the glass is half empty. To an engineer, it's twice the size it needs to be.
Topic Author
forwhatiknow
Posts: 116
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2022 11:21 am

Re: Nobody knows nothing episode [Invested in Microsoft]

Post by forwhatiknow »

Thank you Lady Geek for giving my story a proper context.
er999
Posts: 1167
Joined: Wed Nov 05, 2008 10:00 am

Re: Nobody knows nothing episode [Invested in Microsoft]

Post by er999 »

How much did you invest at the low prices? Usually it’s only a few thousand, but it if was a 401k all in I hope it was $50k plus and now there’s a million plus in gains tax sheltered.
User avatar
mister_sparkle
Posts: 337
Joined: Wed Dec 11, 2013 4:58 pm
Location: North Carolina

Re: Nobody knows nothing episode [Invested in Microsoft]

Post by mister_sparkle »

I find Jim Cramer entertaining, but find that he's wrong a good % of the time, so I mostly treat him as a contrary indicator. :sharebeer
MP173
Posts: 2560
Joined: Fri Dec 07, 2007 5:03 pm

Re: Nobody knows nothing episode [Invested in Microsoft]

Post by MP173 »

I missed on Facebook, Apple, Netflix, and Google, (FANG) but did buy in at very low prices on Microsoft in 2005. Then in March, 2009 I purchased quite a bit more at $18 and change. All dividends reinvested. It has been one of my better individual stocks. The company seemed to move forward when Ballmer left.

No more individual stocks for me, I have done extremely well, but luck was probably the biggest issue.

Ed
User avatar
Cocoa Beach Bum
Posts: 215
Joined: Thu Jan 12, 2023 12:47 pm
Location: Florida

Re: Nobody knows nothing episode [Invested in Microsoft]

Post by Cocoa Beach Bum »

mister_sparkle wrote: Mon Nov 20, 2023 8:41 pm I find Jim Cramer entertaining, but find that he's wrong a good % of the time, so I mostly treat him as a contrary indicator.
There's an ETF for that — https://www.crameretfs.com/
“How did you go bankrupt?" "Two ways. Gradually, then suddenly.”
Dottie57
Posts: 12075
Joined: Thu May 19, 2016 5:43 pm
Location: Earth Northern Hemisphere

Re: Nobody knows nothing episode [Invested in Microsoft]

Post by Dottie57 »

I purchase Apple in the late 2000’s. I made money on it. But watching ups and downs made me very nervous so I sold in mid 2010’s.
It was a good decision for me. I lost out on $ for not holding steady, but am a happier investor with a boglehead portfolio.
User avatar
dogagility
Posts: 2987
Joined: Fri Feb 24, 2017 5:41 am

Re: Nobody knows nothing episode [Invested in Microsoft]

Post by dogagility »

A broken clock is right twice a day.
Make sure you check out my list of certifications. The list is short, and there isn't any. - Eric 0. from SMA
ad2007
Posts: 233
Joined: Wed Nov 29, 2017 4:59 am

Re: Nobody knows nothing episode [Invested in Microsoft]

Post by ad2007 »

Dottie57 wrote: Tue Nov 21, 2023 10:43 am I purchase Apple in the late 2000’s. I made money on it. But watching ups and downs made me very nervous so I sold in mid 2010’s.
It was a good decision for me. I lost out on $ for not holding steady, but am a happier investor with a boglehead portfolio.
I lucked out with Apple in my Roth. I occasionally think about selling it and putting it into VTI but haven’t yet.
Nicolas
Posts: 4680
Joined: Wed Aug 22, 2012 7:41 am

Re: Nobody knows nothing episode [Invested in Microsoft]

Post by Nicolas »

Deleted
Last edited by Nicolas on Wed Nov 22, 2023 3:39 am, edited 1 time in total.
RetiredAL
Posts: 3202
Joined: Tue Jun 06, 2017 12:09 am
Location: SF Bay Area

Re: Nobody knows nothing episode [Invested in Microsoft]

Post by RetiredAL »

dogagility wrote: Tue Nov 21, 2023 4:06 pm A broken clock is right twice a day.
Not if it's a Military Clock!
User avatar
familythriftmd
Posts: 668
Joined: Fri Sep 18, 2020 10:15 am
Location: Wisconsin

Re: Nobody knows nothing episode [Invested in Microsoft]

Post by familythriftmd »

So...does this mean that it's time to cash out and do a three-fund?
Post Reply