Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Discuss all general (i.e. non-personal) investing questions and issues, investing news, and theory.
Momus
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by Momus »

watchnerd wrote: Sun Mar 08, 2020 12:13 pm
LFKB wrote: Sun Mar 08, 2020 11:36 am
avecmoi wrote: Sat Feb 29, 2020 4:39 pm Still 100% equities but will have cash infusion in 1-2 months and salivating about the sale prices on stocks.
I don’t know if I’d be salivating. It’s not like we’re at a low P/E ratio on the S&P and we’ve only given back a few months of gains. I’ve been buying recently but I certainly haven’t been salivating. We could still go down quite a bit from here.
+1

Only rookies deploy dry powder on a measly -10% drop.
It's 21% drop now, we are back to January 2019 level. So, any index investment after that date is negative. I'll be picking up some more if we drop 30% but I think the selling is way overdone.
Jon_PassiveInvestor
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by Jon_PassiveInvestor »

Just bought 10k today! This blood bath is refectory for all my cash sitting on the sidelines. Million to go!
100% VTSAX in Taxable Account. | 100% VTSAX in Retirement Accounts
carminered2019
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by carminered2019 »

Jon_PassiveInvestor wrote: Mon Mar 09, 2020 7:05 pm Just bought 10k today! This blood bath is refectory for all my cash sitting on the sidelines. Million to go!
My gut feeling is you might have missed the boat after today.
Jon_PassiveInvestor
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by Jon_PassiveInvestor »

vipertom1970 wrote: Mon Mar 09, 2020 7:15 pm
Jon_PassiveInvestor wrote: Mon Mar 09, 2020 7:05 pm Just bought 10k today! This blood bath is refectory for all my cash sitting on the sidelines. Million to go!
My gut feeling is you might have missed the boat after today.
We shall see! I do weekly buys so that will happen on the way up anyways. Italy just shut down their entire country...
100% VTSAX in Taxable Account. | 100% VTSAX in Retirement Accounts
lostdog
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by lostdog »

100% here.

Down 19%.
ValuationsMatter
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by ValuationsMatter »

Was 100% until October 2018. I will be again. I made 4-5% in the year where most lost about the same. In 2019, I underperformed stocks, only making 20.3% due to gradually shifting away from equities. This year, I am nearly break even with 3% in stocks and 97% in VMMXX and another treasury fund.

The advantage I have is an expected pension which allows a much more aggressive long-term position.
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aj76er
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by aj76er »

drgenefish wrote: Sun Mar 08, 2020 11:08 am I wish there was a service for like $2 per month for someone to just logon and tell me that my deposit went through ok and nothing funny happened in the account. Then I’d never look.
You should be able to set alerts on your account that notify you of deposits.
"Buy-and-hold, long-term, all-market-index strategies, implemented at rock-bottom cost, are the surest of all routes to the accumulation of wealth" - John C. Bogle
Jcdoc107
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by Jcdoc107 »

100% here. Still sleeping like a baby.
Caduceus
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by Caduceus »

watchnerd wrote: Sun Mar 08, 2020 11:12 am
tesuzuki2002 wrote: Sat Mar 07, 2020 6:37 pm I’m just playing with the timing to get closer to the near term bottom...
How will you know when you get to the bottom?

Me, personally, I don't even try to guess, but my IPS says that I can commit unnatural acts if the market gets to -30%.
Now that we're there, I'd like to know the type of unnatural acts in question we're talking about. :beer
minimalistmarc
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by minimalistmarc »

As of today I’m now at 100% + entire emergency fund invested.

As long as I don’t die there is no worry about job security and I have a time frame of 20 years and excellent sick pay benefits.
sd323232
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by sd323232 »

minimalistmarc wrote: Thu Mar 12, 2020 5:50 pm As of today I’m now at 100% + entire emergency fund invested.

As long as I don’t die there is no worry about job security and I have a time frame of 20 years and excellent sick pay benefits.
i only wish i was as courageous as you, and you probably doing the right thing
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Stef
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by Stef »

Almost 100% in stocks as I have more cash to invest from reducing my emergency fund. The only thing I'm asking myself now is where do I get more money to invest? The monthly savings aren't satisfying enough!
Thesaints
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by Thesaints »

I'd put the probabilities of the S&P rapidly reaching 3000 a little below those of rapidly reaching 1300.
Momus
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by Momus »

Stef wrote: Thu Mar 12, 2020 5:53 pm Almost 100% in stocks as I have more cash to invest from reducing my emergency fund. The only thing I'm asking myself now is where do I get more money to invest? The monthly savings aren't satisfying enough!
Enable free money cheat code, buy on margin :twisted:
MoneyMarathon
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by MoneyMarathon »

Stef wrote: Thu Mar 12, 2020 5:53 pm Almost 100% in stocks as I have more cash to invest from reducing my emergency fund. The only thing I'm asking myself now is where do I get more money to invest? The monthly savings aren't satisfying enough!
You might want to switch some money to PPLC (135% the S&P 500) and replenish your emergency fund from your paycheck.

You might need the emergency fund.
Ari
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by Ari »

Really feeling the urge to buy. I don't really follow the news, but this forum tells me stocks are way down. I'm trying to get as much money as I can invested in stocks right now. However, rbaldini's thread about market dips suggests that returns from today aren't necessarily higher than on any other random day, so it's not a given that we should see this as a "buying opportunity". This helps keep my feelings in check and has so far prevented me from going into more leverage. :D

I'm very tempted to do a first ever departure from simple buy and hold index funds, and buy up some travel companies. I had a look yesterday and companies like TUI, Lufthansa and KLM are trading at very low valuations. (I'm Swedish, so I don't know much about American stocks.) Sure, their earnings are plummeting, but if they don't go under, chances are they'll be worth a lot more in a few years' time when tourism resumes.
All in, all the time.
Caduceus
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by Caduceus »

Ari wrote: Fri Mar 13, 2020 3:29 am Really feeling the urge to buy. I don't really follow the news, but this forum tells me stocks are way down. I'm trying to get as much money as I can invested in stocks right now. However, rbaldini's thread about market dips suggests that returns from today aren't necessarily higher than on any other random day, so it's not a given that we should see this as a "buying opportunity". This helps keep my feelings in check and has so far prevented me from going into more leverage. :D

I'm very tempted to do a first ever departure from simple buy and hold index funds, and buy up some travel companies. I had a look yesterday and companies like TUI, Lufthansa and KLM are trading at very low valuations. (I'm Swedish, so I don't know much about American stocks.) Sure, their earnings are plummeting, but if they don't go under, chances are they'll be worth a lot more in a few years' time when tourism resumes.
It depends on when the income comes back. Warren Buffett had this simple way of explaining why he was so skeptical about companies like Tesla. Say you have a $100 investment and you want a 10% return on your investment. If the company doesn't make $10 in the first year (it earns nothing), it would have to earn $21 in the second year for an annualized 10% return over the first two years. If it still doesn't make any money in the second year, it would have to make $33 in the third year, and so on. If the companies are trading at high multiples to begin with, the arithmetic is impossible even if you pencil in ridiculous amounts of earnings growth.

With airline stocks, you might be right if earnings disappear only for a quarter or two and then return to normal. It seems their multiples are already low.
BanquetBeer
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by BanquetBeer »

There are still people posting that ‘this is like the flu’ or comparing it so we have much further to fall as they find out it is not.

I’m still 100% equity but kind of feel like I was driving a car towards a tree. I saw the tree and said to myself I should turn, but years of ‘stay the course’ talk filled my head. How bad could it be?

I have no problem with risk, the issue I have is missing out on gains I could have made from timing the market. I follow news closely and never had a doubt until Wuhan.

Oh well, too late now. Question is refi/HELOC on the rental to invest? Had planned to sell in the fall.
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Stef
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by Stef »

BanquetBeer wrote: Fri Mar 13, 2020 4:52 am There are still people posting that ‘this is like the flu’ or comparing it so we have much further to fall as they find out it is not.

I’m still 100% equity but kind of feel like I was driving a car towards a tree. I saw the tree and said to myself I should turn, but years of ‘stay the course’ talk filled my head. How bad could it be?

I have no problem with risk, the issue I have is missing out on gains I could have made from timing the market. I follow news closely and never had a doubt until Wuhan.

Oh well, too late now. Question is refi/HELOC on the rental to invest? Had planned to sell in the fall.
Maybe go 100% into SPXU and get back to February 20th level after a further -15% drop? Then buy at -35% discount?
beastykato
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by beastykato »

I'm 90/10. I'm not liking it though lol.

I am surprised though I haven't got that bad feeling to vomit from watching these losses like many said I would.

I've got the urge to buy and filled my IRA up last week.

It dropped more since then and I intend to stay the course and still feel the same. The only thing that could change my trajectory IMO is if I lost my employment in a recession.
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watchnerd
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by watchnerd »

BanquetBeer wrote: Fri Mar 13, 2020 4:52 am There are still people posting that ‘this is like the flu’ or comparing it so we have much further to fall as they find out it is not.

I’m still 100% equity but kind of feel like I was driving a car towards a tree. I saw the tree and said to myself I should turn, but years of ‘stay the course’ talk filled my head. How bad could it be?
Is this your first big correction?

100% equities is supposed to feel like that.
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alexfoo39
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by alexfoo39 »

100% with how much emergency fund?
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Nicolas Perrault
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by Nicolas Perrault »

Holding the line, 100% stocks here, down 30%. My heart was beating fast for about an hour, then it was all right.
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grabiner
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by grabiner »

I am not 100% equities, but because I overweight riskier stocks, I have about the risk of a typical 100%-stock portfolio. (With a similar portfolio, I lost 60% top to bottom in 2007-2009.)

And since I am only 88% stock, I needed to rebalance into stock yesterday; my bond allocation of 12% had gone over the rebalancing band limit of 15%.
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grettman
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by grettman »

Nearly 100 percent here. “Lost” about 350k so far. But I am fairly positive I’ll get that back in 10 to 15 years..
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TechGuy365
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by TechGuy365 »

Checking in at 100%! The number doesn't tell the full story of the daily gyration this crazy week but ended the week like this:

Early 50s, 100/0
-2.39% YTD with regular contributions
-13% (-$471k) from high
Assets back to December 2019 level

At the lowest point this week I was probably down > $600k from the market high, but this is a long game so I'm continuing to make payroll contributions!!

If there is one thing I learned from these past few weeks is that the wild, 10% market gyrations doesn't scare me so I'm staying the course.
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firebirdparts
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by firebirdparts »

I am watching some things day by day and I am having some sense of deja vu related to 2008, where I was 100% invested in stocks and lost half my net worth. At that time, I obvserved that the company I work for had it stock chopped in half and the dividend yield thus doubled, but our business wasn't dramatically affected. I don't understand how that is fundamentally reasonable, but anyway, we are back there again. The company I work for has a beta of 1.4 according to what I see on the screen but stable earnings. We are planning to stay producing but they are locking a lot of people out. Anyway, in 2008, I looked at the landscape and I looked at what I had available in my 401k. I sold what had the least market beta and I bought what had the most. If you're interested.

Had I, at the time, just invested everything in the S&P500, I would have been just fine, but as it turned out I was better than fine. There might be some things to look at here and now. For one thing, Chinese stocks will rebound ahead of everybody else, you would think. EM stocks were depressed to start with, so they weren't looking for any trigger to start the zombie apocolypse. We have to think of the international stocks as compartmentalized here into areas that are getting better and areas that are getting worse. Here in the USA, things are just starting. Utilities will be utterly unaffected by the zombies. You find some other categories of mutual funds you might trust a little more, like for instance, a health care mutual fund. I used to, before coming here, consider sector mutual funds a fine idea. I am not really going to do that any more, but you might.
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Snowjob
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by Snowjob »

I'm now 100% stock, been buying on the way down. I've been somewhere around 20% cash before. ready to just ride it out now.
expat
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by expat »

I'm glad I wasn't at 100% stocks. :happy
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AnalogKid22
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by AnalogKid22 »

expat wrote: Mon Mar 16, 2020 2:34 pm I'm glad I wasn't at 100% stocks. :happy
Glad I've held my 30% AA in bonds, especially with the announced buyback...
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Artful Dodger
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by Artful Dodger »

Hmmm

Oddly quiet here 30 minutes after the close and a 13% drop in the DOW.

8-)
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Stef
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by Stef »

How do you define 100% equities? Can you really be at 100%?

I keep buying only stocks with everything I have and I feel great!
carminered2019
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by carminered2019 »

Bought another 75K total market today. no worries even with negative 500K+ YTD but looks good in 10 years from now. still up 350% since 1996.
Last edited by carminered2019 on Mon Mar 16, 2020 3:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Cwise
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by Cwise »

Still here. Still buying. Not enjoying the current location but all part of the journey called life.
expat
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by expat »

if you're 100% equities and you're still buying, where's the money coming from?
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Crushtheturtle
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by Crushtheturtle »

expat wrote: Mon Mar 16, 2020 3:41 pm if you're 100% equities and you're still buying, where's the money coming from?
Income?
If you're not having fun, you'll just have to pretend.
z3r0c00l
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by z3r0c00l »

Maxing out 401K 100% equities. Can't touch it for 21 years minimum, I have every confidence stocks will be higher in 21 year than today.
GoldenFinch
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by GoldenFinch »

Stef wrote: Mon Mar 16, 2020 3:33 pm How do you define 100% equities? Can you really be at 100%?

I keep buying only stocks with everything I have and I feel great!
I think you are the poster child for a positive attitude in a down market! :happy

I never feel great when it keeps going down, but I am optimistic about the stock market for the long run. I remember throwing my hands up in the air after losing 53% in 2008-9 and thinking this whole investing thing is a sham (we were also getting bad advice and paying high fees). What made those losses worse was that as newer investors none of that was gains. I lost confidence in the process, but I didn’t quit. I kept putting the money in per my autopilot schedule. It worked out well for us and I learned a lot. I was 100% stocks until sometime in 2014 when I started buying bonds because I found this site and decided it was not a bad idea for us. We are 53, so more risk averse.
carminered2019
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by carminered2019 »

z3r0c00l wrote: Mon Mar 16, 2020 3:47 pm Maxing out 401K 100% equities. Can't touch it for 21 years minimum, I have every confidence stocks will be higher in 21 year than today.
+1
:sharebeer
mrwalken
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by mrwalken »

60/40 here, mobilizing cash reserves on the way down. Set up the ramp today to go to 100% equity at s&p 1000. Hope it doesn't go that low, but I'm ready for it. If it goes below 1000, I'm not ready lol.
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watchnerd
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by watchnerd »

mrwalken wrote: Mon Mar 16, 2020 4:37 pm mobilizing cash reserves on the way down.
What does mobilizing cash reserves mean?

When I want to buy stuff, I just buy it....
70% Global Market Weight Equities | 15% Long Treasuries 15% short TIPS & cash || RSU + ESPP
mrwalken
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by mrwalken »

watchnerd wrote: Mon Mar 16, 2020 5:03 pm
mrwalken wrote: Mon Mar 16, 2020 4:37 pm mobilizing cash reserves on the way down.
What does mobilizing cash reserves mean?

When I want to buy stuff, I just buy it....
Moving cash from HYS to an account that can send money to vanguard, basically.
fwellimort
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by fwellimort »

Emergency Fund + Some Checkings/Savings + 100% Equities.
Let's go.


To the next era of the biggest bull market to come.
2009-2019 was quite something. It was said to be the biggest bull market we have seen.

What will the next bull markets to come be?
What kind of crazy bull will we go through that stampedes all previous records in our lifetime.

:sharebeer
Hope you all stay employed and are healthy. And stick to the plan as we ride this wave.
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watchnerd
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by watchnerd »

fwellimort wrote: Mon Mar 16, 2020 5:19 pm Emergency Fund + Some Checkings/Savings + 100% Equities.
Let's go.


To the next era of the biggest bull market to come.
2009-2019 was quite something. It was said to be the biggest bull market we have seen.

What will the next bull markets to come be?
What kind of crazy bull will we go through that stampedes all previous records in our lifetime.

:sharebeer
Hope you all stay employed and are healthy. And stick to the plan as we ride this wave.
We're not even done with this bear and the exuberance for the next bull is already starting?

LOL....we are so far from the bottom yet....
70% Global Market Weight Equities | 15% Long Treasuries 15% short TIPS & cash || RSU + ESPP
Shael_AT
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by Shael_AT »

My 401k and HSA had their automatic deposits done today, as well as my weekly 70/30 VTSAX/VTIAX mix in my brokerage account.

I'm 28. Ride or Die time :twisted:
1776RedBeard1976
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by 1776RedBeard1976 »

It's interesting how many friends and co-workers think they are losing money. I have to constantly remind them gains/losses are only realized if they sell.

Most investors don't panic when they buy at the top of the market. I never hear conversations about selling when multiples are sky high.

My advice is to follow Jack's, invest in low cost index funds and don't peek for 20 years. Have a doctor nearby when you do!
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dziuniek
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by dziuniek »

30-35% stocks or so since mid2018. 70% stocks prior to that.

Still need 5.5 years of work to vest minimum pension. I think that once I do... I'll ratchet stocks back up.

All new contributions are 100% stock...

Need to stop being so risk averse. I really, really do.

I've run the math and if I was 100% stock before... I would still have more money now - even with current drop.
March2009
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by March2009 »

All of you at 100% are more brave than me. I always like having some dry powder.

Just keep in mind the current CAPE isn't really all that low. Yes lower than a month ago but just a little below it's 30 year average. Also I would not compare the current pricing to what it was last month. Last month was an all time high and more importantly, the CAPE was 32, the only time it was higher since 1872 was during the dotcom bubble.

https://www.multpl.com/shiller-pe
In bear markets, stocks return to their rightful owners. - J.P. Morgan
Invest4Life2882
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by Invest4Life2882 »

Pretty close to 100% here. Using Target 2055 in 401k so do have a portion of bonds for rebalancing in the Target. By, overall currently at 93% stocks and plan to stay there.
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ReformedSpender
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Re: Where My 100% Equities Peeps At?!?

Post by ReformedSpender »

Peformance YTD

Image

:beer
Market history shows that when there's economic blue sky, future returns are low, and when the economy is on the skids, future returns are high. The best fishing is done in the most stormy waters.
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