OFFICIAL REGISTRATION FOR THE 2020 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
Re: OFFICIAL REGISTRATION FOR THE 2020 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
2971.29
AA- 20+ Years of Expenses Fixed Income/The remainder in Equities.
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Re: OFFICIAL REGISTRATION FOR THE 2020 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
4549.69
You might be probably aware of this, human beings do not always behave in a rational manner. - Water
Re: OFFICIAL REGISTRATION FOR THE 2020 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
S&P 500 on 12/31/2020
3010
3010
Having freedom, food and roof is being 90% lucky in life and so is index investing. So, don't let the remaining 10% bother you.
Re: OFFICIAL REGISTRATION FOR THE 2020 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
$3634.27
Fools think their own way is right, but the wise listen to others.
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Re: OFFICIAL REGISTRATION FOR THE 2020 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
Rick Ferri wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 2:46 pmI have an advanced method of annual forecasting. I flipped a coin. If it’s heads, up 20%. If it’s tails, down 10%. It was tails.

John C. Bogle: “Simplicity is the master key to financial success."
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Re: OFFICIAL REGISTRATION FOR THE 2020 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
3231
Unchanged for the year.
Unchanged for the year.
The stingy man pays the most. - Ray Magliozzi
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Re: OFFICIAL REGISTRATION FOR THE 2020 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
$2080.01
Good thing I’m terrible at stock guessing. I’m looking forward to being wrong again.
Specs
Good thing I’m terrible at stock guessing. I’m looking forward to being wrong again.
Specs
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Re: OFFICIAL REGISTRATION FOR THE 2020 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
Guessing 3575
Allocation : 80/20 (80% TSM, 20% TBM) |
Need to learn fishing sooner
Re: OFFICIAL REGISTRATION FOR THE 2020 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
My guess is 3651
Re: OFFICIAL REGISTRATION FOR THE 2020 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
My preferred guess of 3456.78 is already taken, which is a shame.
Instead, I rolled some dice to make my guess, and came up with:
3866.80
(Methodology: roll 6d10. If the first die was anything but a 2, 3, or 4, reroll all the dice. Repeat until the first die is a 2, 3, or 4. Then, each die represents a digit, with 10 being 0. <3, 8, 6, 6, 8, 10> was the roll, so that's my guess)
Instead, I rolled some dice to make my guess, and came up with:
3866.80
(Methodology: roll 6d10. If the first die was anything but a 2, 3, or 4, reroll all the dice. Repeat until the first die is a 2, 3, or 4. Then, each die represents a digit, with 10 being 0. <3, 8, 6, 6, 8, 10> was the roll, so that's my guess)
- librarianaire
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Re: OFFICIAL REGISTRATION FOR THE 2020 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
2834.31
“Our own experience provides the basic material for our imagination, whose range is therefore limited.” Thomas Nagel, What is it like to be a bat?
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Re: OFFICIAL REGISTRATION FOR THE 2020 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
2907.72
It's the end of the world as we know it. |
It's the end of the world as we know it. |
It's the end of the world as we know it. |
And I feel fine.
Re: OFFICIAL REGISTRATION FOR THE 2020 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
3781.26
You shouldn’t retire until your money starts making more money than you made in your best year.
Re: OFFICIAL REGISTRATION FOR THE 2020 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
3848.45
Based on my proprietary market model.
Important: Before posting, search this thread for your guess to be sure it's not a duplicate. Duplicate entries will go to the first member to post that number. The search box is just under the title when viewing a thread.
Based on my proprietary market model.
Important: Before posting, search this thread for your guess to be sure it's not a duplicate. Duplicate entries will go to the first member to post that number. The search box is just under the title when viewing a thread.
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Re: OFFICIAL REGISTRATION FOR THE 2020 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
2754
Going for a slight downturn, not quite correction.
Going for a slight downturn, not quite correction.
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Re: OFFICIAL REGISTRATION FOR THE 2020 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST
Year end S&P 500: 2881.46
Holla at ya boy.
Holla at ya boy.
TSP + Vanguard Roth IRA + Vanguard Taxable: 80% equities / 20% bonds | "I don't shine shoes, I don’t tape ankles, I don't cut checks - straight cash homie!!" --R. Moss