2019 Boglehead Contest Charts

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2019 Boglehead Contest Charts

Post by surfer1 » Wed Jan 16, 2019 11:54 am

Now that the 2019 Boglehead Contest is finalized and all bids have been placed, here are some graphs of the predictions. I posted this last year too. Note, my bid count seems to be off by 4 from the recorded bids, but it should be very close.

Here are the charts and have fun!

Bulls vs Bears Predictions by Year


Sentiment by Year


Are Predictions Bullish or Bearish in 2019?


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Re: 2019 Boglehead Contest Charts

Post by ReformedSpender » Wed Jan 16, 2019 1:13 pm

Interesting data, thanks

Market history shows that when there's economic blue sky, future returns are low, and when the economy is on the skids, future returns are high. The best fishing is done in the most stormy waters.

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Re: 2019 Boglehead Contest Charts

Post by TheHouse7 » Wed Jan 16, 2019 6:48 pm

Awesome way to encourage participation, what happened last year? :beer
"PSX will always go up 20%, why invest in anything else?!" -Father-in-law early retired.

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Re: 2019 Boglehead Contest Charts

Post by develop » Thu Jan 17, 2019 7:30 am

Wow, that's super cool and very well done. It's fun to see it laid out like that. Thank you for sharing!

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Re: 2019 Boglehead Contest Charts

Post by tooluser » Mon Mar 18, 2019 9:55 pm

"Bully!" -- Teddy Roosevelt
The discovery of America, and that of a passage to the East Indies by the Cape of Good Hope, are the two greatest and most important events recorded in the history of mankind. -- Adam Smith, 1776

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Re: 2019 Boglehead Contest Charts

Post by Taylor Larimore » Mon Mar 18, 2019 10:38 pm


Thank you for your charts showing the Bull/Bear sentiment during recent years.

2019 Boglehead Contest

Best wishes.
"Simplicity is the master key to financial success." -- Jack Bogle

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