REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST [Entry deadline has passed]

Discuss all general (i.e. non-personal) investing questions and issues, investing news, and theory.
Hockey10
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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2635.69
SUP3RMAN 131
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2,657.17
goblue100
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by goblue100 »

3000.
Financial planners are savers. They want us to be 95 percent confident we can finance a 30-year retirement even though there is an 82 percent probability of being dead by then. - Scott Burns
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Info_Hound
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Info_Hound »

When I am optimistic, the numbers go down. When I am pessimistic, the numbers go up.

I may never 'win' this contest but I might as well be very pessimistic this year and hope the trend continues so I can be pleased with my closing $$$ balance at the end of the year. I was a optimist in 2018, so I am to blame for the cruddy returns of 2018. Sorry about that.

I know nothing....but my 2019 number is

2119
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UpsetRaptor
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2167.
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jimmyq
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2413.12
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SmileyFace
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3030.30
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2929.29
crobux
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2952.80
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2463.47
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matjen
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Post by matjen »

My WAG is 2399
A man is rich in proportion to the number of things he can afford to let alone.
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AllMostThere
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2716.2
It is not about how much you make, it is about how much you keep and how well you invest it. - Author Unknown
bsdsecprof
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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2167.46
25% VMCPX (VO), 25% VTPSX (VXUS), 25% AVUV, 12.5% AVDV, 12.5% AVEM
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JerryK
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2697.4
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sergeant
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Post by sergeant »

2089.25
AA- 20+ Years of Expenses Fixed Income/The remainder in Equities.
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Elsebet
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2999.99
"...the man who adapts himself to his slender means and makes himself wealthy on a little sum, is the truly rich man..." ~Seneca
noupdjm
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2577.77
TheRightKost87
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1987.12
"The problem with diversification is that it works, whether or not we want it to"
bac573
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2282.01
One thing to know about this town; not a person doesn't want me underground.
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2,497.61
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Portfolio7
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2,882.00
"An investment in knowledge pays the best interest" - Benjamin Franklin
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3249.15
dknightd
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2498.20
If you value a bird in the hand, pay off the loan. If you are willing to risk getting two birds (or none) from the market, invest the funds. Retired 9/19. Still working on mortgage payoff.
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2718.05
Banjoman
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2633.50
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runner9
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2411 is my entry
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meowcat
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2999.90
More people should learn to tell their dollars where to go instead of asking them where they went. | -Roger Babson
TagmoreClock
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3099.89
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Spinola
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2767.19
TaxExempt
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2124.84
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2620.46
Adam11
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3,019.85
:moneybag
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Milo Bloom
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2585.33
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SoonerD
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by SoonerD »

Well, I never got an answer to my questions (Below). I would really appreciate it if someone can offer answers or point me to where I can find the answers.

So my SWAG is 3305.28.
SoonerD wrote: Wed Jan 02, 2019 12:23 am Taylor or other BHs, what is the ticker you track for the contest and does it include dividends reinvested or is it just a price return tracker?
Taylor Larimore wrote: Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:24 pm Bogleheads:

Welcome to the 2019 Boglehead Contest designed to demonstrate how difficult it is to forecast future stock prices.

Rules
* Forecast (below) the closing price of the S&P 500 Index on December 31, 2019.
* Only one guess (no percentages and no changes).
* In the event of ties, the first forecast wins.
* Registration ends 12:00 midnight EDT, January 10, 2019.

The winner of the 2019 Boglehead Contest will receive their choice of any one book written by Jack Bogle (12) and their choice of any one Boglehead Book (3).

Happy New Year!

Taylor and Ralph Aversen
amarone
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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2,507.11
lukestuckenhymer
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by lukestuckenhymer »

SoonerD wrote: Wed Jan 02, 2019 12:23 am Taylor or other BHs, what is the ticker you track for the contest and does it include dividends reinvested or is it just a price return tracker?
S&P 500 ticker = ^GSPC, INX or $SPX. They're all identical.
SoonerD
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by SoonerD »

lukestuckenhymer wrote: Wed Jan 02, 2019 5:57 pm
SoonerD wrote: Wed Jan 02, 2019 12:23 am Taylor or other BHs, what is the ticker you track for the contest and does it include dividends reinvested or is it just a price return tracker?
S&P 500 ticker = ^GSPC, INX or $SPX. They're all identical.
Thank you lukestuckenhymer
david9117
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2257.531
timmydink
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2828.28
BobDaBlob
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2775.75
Too much of everything is just enough...
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mudfud
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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2093.28
"Are you sure you have tested an a priori hypothesis?" | | Image
MarkNYC
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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2323.0
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CollegePrudens
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2205.68
We need to learn to want what we have, not to have what we want, in order to get stable and steady happiness - The 14th Dalai Lama
BluesH
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2710.83
MidMNtom
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2606.66
Thrift Shop
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2384.2
hirlaw
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Post by hirlaw »

12/31/19 will be......

2331
FireHorse
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Post by FireHorse »

2635.5
justsomeguy2018
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2289.10
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aspirit
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by aspirit »

2767.4
Time & tides wait for no one. A man has to know his limitations. | "Give me control of a nation's money and I care not who makes it's laws" | — Mayer Amschel Bauer Rothschild ~
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