REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST [Entry deadline has passed]

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Taylor Larimore
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REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST [Entry deadline has passed]

Post by Taylor Larimore »

Bogleheads:

Welcome to the 2019 Boglehead Contest designed to demonstrate how difficult it is to forecast future stock prices.

Rules
* Forecast (below) the closing price of the S&P 500 Index on December 31, 2019.
* Only one guess (no percentages and no changes).
* In the event of ties, the first forecast wins.
* Registration ends 12:00 midnight EDT, January 10, 2019.

The winner of the 2019 Boglehead Contest will receive their choice of any one book written by Jack Bogle (12) and their choice of any one Boglehead Book (3).

Happy New Year!

Taylor and Ralph Aversen

[edited thread title to show the entry period has expired - moderator prudent]
"Simplicity is the master key to financial success." -- Jack Bogle
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2506.85
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2,005.48
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2605.58
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2673.61
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by The Wizard »

My guess is 2697.37, which is 7.6% above 2018's close...
Attempted new signature...
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k66
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865.25
LOSER of the Boglehead Contest 2015 | lang may yer lum reek
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2540.19
Tom D.
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2692.36
Best Wishes, | Joe
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2622.99
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2674.74
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2615.37
"Get what you can, and what you get hold, 'Tis the stone that will turn all your lead into gold." | -Benjamin Franklin
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2931.44
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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Hindsight is 2020.20
Best Regards - Mel | | Semper Fi
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2360.00
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3111.11
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3200 for the S&P 500 on closing day for 2019.
A fool and his money are good for business.
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2706.48
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2601.04
Yes, I’m really that pedantic.
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2932.05
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1920.03
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2807.00
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1780.
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2531.92 (Not succumbing to wishful thinking.)
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3127.57
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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2019 S&P 500 value at year end: 2218.56
TSP + Vanguard Roth IRA + Vanguard Taxable: 80% equities / 20% bonds | "I don't shine shoes, I don’t tape ankles, I don't cut checks - straight cash homie!!" --R. Moss
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2626.26
I'm on a streak of bad guesses.
Bob
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2548.9
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2567.89
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2249 close
G.E. Box "All models are wrong, but some are useful."
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2700

Happy New Year! :D
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2732

Johnny
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2222.22
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2712.02
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1905

Since I'm always wrong when I guess anything this should ensure we all have a prosperous year.
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2801.0
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2806.72
Pick up a penny and soon you'll have many.
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1642.33
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2400.42
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2915.29
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3033.33
The discovery of America, and that of a passage to the East Indies by the Cape of Good Hope, are the two greatest and most important events recorded in the history of mankind. -- Adam Smith, 1776
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2574.13
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