REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST [Entry deadline has passed]

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Taylor Larimore
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REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST [Entry deadline has passed]

Post by Taylor Larimore » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:24 pm

Bogleheads:

Welcome to the 2019 Boglehead Contest designed to demonstrate how difficult it is to forecast future stock prices.

Rules
* Forecast (below) the closing price of the S&P 500 Index on December 31, 2019.
* Only one guess (no percentages and no changes).
* In the event of ties, the first forecast wins.
* Registration ends 12:00 midnight EDT, January 10, 2019.

The winner of the 2019 Boglehead Contest will receive their choice of any one book written by Jack Bogle (12) and their choice of any one Boglehead Book (3).

Happy New Year!

Taylor and Ralph Aversen

[edited thread title to show the entry period has expired - moderator prudent]
"Simplicity is the master key to financial success." -- Jack Bogle

stlutz
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by stlutz » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:25 pm

2506.85

Triple digit golfer
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Triple digit golfer » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:25 pm

2,005.48

02nz
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by 02nz » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:26 pm

2605.58

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theduke
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by theduke » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:26 pm

2673.61

The Wizard
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by The Wizard » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:28 pm

My guess is 2697.37, which is 7.6% above 2018's close...
Attempted new signature...

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k66
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by k66 » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:30 pm

865.25
LOSER of the Boglehead Contest 2015 | lang may yer lum reek

tomd37
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by tomd37 » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:31 pm

2540.19
Tom D.

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JMacDonald
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by JMacDonald » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:32 pm

2692.36
Best Wishes, | Joe

Tristan
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Tristan » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:33 pm

2622.99

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Tourne
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Tourne » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:34 pm

2674.74
Plans are nothing; planning is everything - Dwight D. Eisenhower

Therapist Investor
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Therapist Investor » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:36 pm

2615.37
"Get what you can, and what you get hold, 'Tis the stone that will turn all your lead into gold." | -Benjamin Franklin

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Midnight Schooner
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Midnight Schooner » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:36 pm

2931.44

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Mel Lindauer
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Mel Lindauer » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:38 pm

Hindsight is 2020.20
Best Regards - Mel | | Semper Fi

KarenC
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by KarenC » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:38 pm

2360.00
"How much you know is less important than how clearly you understand where the borders of your ignorance begin." — Jason Zweig

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EyeYield
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by EyeYield » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:40 pm

3111.11
"The stock market is a giant distraction from the business of investing." - Jack Bogle

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nedsaid
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by nedsaid » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:40 pm

3200 for the S&P 500 on closing day for 2019.
A fool and his money are good for business.

latebloomer2
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by latebloomer2 » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:40 pm

2706.48

quantAndHold
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by quantAndHold » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:42 pm

2601.04

MP1233
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by MP1233 » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:43 pm

2932.05

SerenityBlue
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by SerenityBlue » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:44 pm

1920.03

abner kravitz
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by abner kravitz » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:44 pm

2807.00

ge1
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by ge1 » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:48 pm

1780.

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GerryL
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by GerryL » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:50 pm

2531.92 (Not succumbing to wishful thinking.)

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Johnsson
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Johnsson » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:52 pm

3127.57

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JamalJones
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by JamalJones » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:53 pm

2019 S&P 500 value at year end: 2218.56
TSP + Vanguard Roth IRA + Vanguard Taxable: 80% equities / 20% bonds | Yap, yap, yap, yap, - the bottom line is ya gotta buckle up the chin strap!

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CABob
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by CABob » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:53 pm

2626.26
I'm on a streak of bad guesses.
Bob

DesertDiva
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by DesertDiva » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:53 pm

2548.9

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tuningfork
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by tuningfork » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:54 pm

2567.89

qwertyjazz
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by qwertyjazz » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:54 pm

2249 close
G.E. Box "All models are wrong, but some are useful."

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Artful Dodger
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Artful Dodger » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:55 pm

2700

Happy New Year! :D

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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by TheAccountant » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:56 pm

1806.85
Making cents out of every dollar.

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pfrank
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by pfrank » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:56 pm

2830.1

Johnny Sharp
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Johnny Sharp » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:57 pm

2732

Johnny

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Kahuna
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Kahuna » Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:58 pm

2628.98

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vitaflo
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by vitaflo » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:01 pm

2222.22

AQ
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by AQ » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:02 pm

2712.02

Scooter57
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Scooter57 » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:04 pm

1905

Since I'm always wrong when I guess anything this should ensure we all have a prosperous year.

dreamrrr
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by dreamrrr » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:05 pm

2801.0

Compound
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Compound » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:05 pm

2323.23

fanmail
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by fanmail » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:07 pm

2716.50

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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by 5th_Dimension » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:09 pm

2806.72
"My idea of rich is ordering the most expensive thing at Denny's"

TdF fan
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by TdF fan » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:11 pm

1642.33

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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by spin_echo » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:11 pm

2400.42

Texgal17
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Texgal17 » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:14 pm


2915.29

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tooluser
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by tooluser » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:14 pm

3033.33
"Budget: A mathematical confirmation of your suspicions” is a jocular quotation that was credited to A. A. Lattimer in 1949. Nothing else is known about the author besides this quotation.

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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by warowits » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:14 pm

2950.10

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Post by miasma » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:17 pm

2574.13

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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by r60rider » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:20 pm

2606.24

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stemikger
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR 2019 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by stemikger » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:20 pm

2406.85
Choose Simplicity ~ Stay the Course!! ~ Press on Regardless!!!

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