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The Dan wrote:1818.36
Based on the guesses so far, the average Boglehead is predicting a 2.2% increase in the S&P500 this year.
(The red line shows the 2017 starting value for the S&P500.)
Very cool! If I squint, I make out the pattern of a herd of horses charging forward... a very good omen indeed.
Seriously though, it is interesting to see where our collective darts are being thrown. I see a bit of a bald spot near the red line itself (indicating that people or generally guessing a move upwards or downwards, not towards neutrality), which might make for a bit of a camel-backed distribution (i.e. two humps instead one one).
LOSER of the Boglehead Contest 2015 | lang may yer lum reek
LadyGeek wrote:P&C actuary wrote:2202.99 I don't want to look through the entries. Hopefully this is the first posting.
The top of each thread (just above the first post, below the thread title) contains a search box for the thread "Seach this topic...". Enter your prediction to see if it's already taken. Precedence goes to the first entry.
Thx. That will come in handy in the future. BTW, my guess is unique.
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