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Very cool! If I squint, I make out the pattern of a herd of horses charging forward... a very good omen indeed.The Dan wrote:1818.36
Based on the guesses so far, the average Boglehead is predicting a 2.2% increase in the S&P500 this year.
(The red line shows the 2017 starting value for the S&P500.)
Seriously though, it is interesting to see where our collective darts are being thrown. I see a bit of a bald spot near the red line itself (indicating that people or generally guessing a move upwards or downwards, not towards neutrality), which might make for a bit of a camel-backed distribution (i.e. two humps instead one one).
LOSER of the Boglehead Contest 2015 | lang may yer lum reek
Thx. That will come in handy in the future. BTW, my guess is unique.LadyGeek wrote:The top of each thread (just above the first post, below the thread title) contains a search box for the thread "Seach this topic...". Enter your prediction to see if it's already taken. Precedence goes to the first entry.P&C actuary wrote:2202.99 I don't want to look through the entries. Hopefully this is the first posting.
The Espresso portfolio: | | 16% LCV, 16% SCV, 16% EM, 8% Int'l Value, 8% Int'l Sm, 8% US REIT, 8% Int'l REIT, 20% Inter-term US Treas | | "A journey of a thousand miles begins with a single step."