REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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Taylor Larimore
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REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Taylor Larimore »

Bogleheads:

Ralph and I are pleased to announce Registration for the 2017 Boglehead Contest.

In 2016 we had 600 Bogleheads register. "Riverdog" (ranked 191 in 2015) was our overall winner and will receive two books: Choice of a Jack Bogle book and choice of a Boglehead book.

The Rules:

*Forecast the closing price of the S&P 500 Index on December 31, 2017.
*Only one guess (no percentages and no changes).
*In the event of ties, the first forecast wins.
*Registration ends 12:00 midnight ET, January 10, 2017
*Post your forecast below.

HAPPY NEW YEAR and GOOD LUCK !!

Taylor and Ralph Arvesen (programmer)
"Simplicity is the master key to financial success." -- Jack Bogle
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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2686.60
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2394.66
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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2417.94
snottypie
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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2385.71
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Saphomd »

2350.77


:beer thanks
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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2248.99 :moneybag :moneybag
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2332.
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2168.49
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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2425.26
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2126.89
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by k66 »

3328.28
LOSER of the Boglehead Contest 2015 | lang may yer lum reek
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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2663.00
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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2345.67
Last edited by SquawkIdent on Sun Jan 01, 2017 11:25 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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2330.62
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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2323.23
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2435.06
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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2288.08
Best Wishes, | Joe
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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2126.94
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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2654.30

B-O-G-L-E by phone!
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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2413.46
My signature has been deleted.
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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2238.83
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2295.27
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1875.00
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2138.00
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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1789.19
A portfolio is like a bar of soap. The more you handle it the smaller it gets.
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2555.55

Post by mikeast »

2555.55
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by MnD »

2565.16
70/30 AA for life, Global market cap equity. Rebalance if fixed income <25% or >35%. Weighted ER< .10%. 5% of annual portfolio balance SWR, Proportional (to AA) withdrawals.
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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1791.06
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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2126.

Lev
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2420.00
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Roverdog »

2449.05

Thanks to Taylor and Ralph!
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2142.75 thanks
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2354.54
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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1689.50
Pick up a penny and soon you'll have many.
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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2222.22
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2364.10
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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2418.94
Last edited by tacster on Mon Jan 02, 2017 7:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
INSERT PITHY QUOTE HERE
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by EyeYield »

2326.55 - Same as the last two years.
Maybe I'll be able to say I was right, just early. :mrgreen:
"The stock market is a giant distraction from the business of investing." - Jack Bogle
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by hornet96 »

I hope I'm wrong, but here is my guess:

2013.41
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by tennisplyr »

2385.99

Thanks and have a happy and a healthy new year
“Those who move forward with a happy spirit will find that things always work out.” -Retired 13 years 😀
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by LadyGeek »

2358.13

My highly precise scientific analysis is based on my 367th place finish from 2016.

offset = 3 = 367 - (100*3 + 2^6 + 0*7)

Fibonacci series starting at an offset of 3 = 2, 3, 5, 8, 13
Wiki To some, the glass is half full. To others, the glass is half empty. To an engineer, it's twice the size it needs to be.
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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2491.34
Quod vitae sectabor iter?
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by mickeyd »

2350.77 has to be the winner this year as I continue to use my "add 5%" rule that has not worked yet...
Part-Owner of Texas | | “The CMH-the Cost Matters Hypothesis -is all that is needed to explain why indexing must and will work… Yes, it is that simple.” John C. Bogle
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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2140.34
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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2126.1
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Mel Lindauer »

1835.35. Hope I'm way off on the downside.
Best Regards - Mel | | Semper Fi
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by jjbychko »

2017.17
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2188.46
Tom D.
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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2306. Thanks!
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