REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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Calais
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Calais » Tue Jan 10, 2017 4:20 pm

1500.00

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VictoriaF
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by VictoriaF » Tue Jan 10, 2017 4:34 pm

2146

Victoria
WINNER of the 2015 Boglehead Contest. | Every joke has a bit of a joke. ... The rest is the truth. (Marat F)

no humbug
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by no humbug » Tue Jan 10, 2017 4:44 pm

2567.89

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Snikda
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Snikda » Tue Jan 10, 2017 5:00 pm

2216.71

pbjung
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by pbjung » Tue Jan 10, 2017 5:09 pm

1837.08

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snodog
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by snodog » Tue Jan 10, 2017 5:16 pm

2766.91

blu-ray
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by blu-ray » Tue Jan 10, 2017 5:29 pm

2343.

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SurfCityBill
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by SurfCityBill » Tue Jan 10, 2017 7:07 pm

2439.07

Dwayne
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Dwayne » Tue Jan 10, 2017 9:43 pm

2400.05

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smegal
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by smegal » Tue Jan 10, 2017 9:47 pm

2028.68

stormswami
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by stormswami » Tue Jan 10, 2017 11:33 pm

2645.11

pamplemousse
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by pamplemousse » Tue Jan 10, 2017 11:51 pm

2468.01

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Taylor Larimore
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Re: REGISTRATION IS CLOSED

Post by Taylor Larimore » Wed Jan 11, 2017 12:04 am

Bogleheads:

The 2017 Boglehead Contest is closed. You can follow your rank (updated every 15 minutes) HERE.

Thank you for your participation.

Best wishes.
Taylor and Ralph
"Simplicity is the master key to financial success." -- Jack Bogle

bkweathe
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by bkweathe » Wed Jan 11, 2017 4:48 pm


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Taylor Larimore
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Taylor Larimore » Wed Jan 11, 2017 5:10 pm

bkweathe wrote:Why is my entry
viewtopic.php?f=10&t=206949&p=3181038#p3181038
not included in the tracking site
http://www.lostoak.com/ls/diehards/contest/default.aspx
?

Brad


Brad:

Ralph must enter each "guess" by hand and it takes time. I feel confident your entry will show up within a few days.

Best wishes.
Taylor
"Simplicity is the master key to financial success." -- Jack Bogle

likegarden
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by likegarden » Wed Jan 11, 2017 6:20 pm

Mine is also not in the list. It is 2400.

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LadyGeek
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by LadyGeek » Wed Jan 11, 2017 9:48 pm

surfer1 has posted graphs showing the member prediction spreads: 2017 Boglehead Contest Charts
To some, the glass is half full. To others, the glass is half empty. To an engineer, it's twice the size it needs to be.

rarvesen
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by rarvesen » Wed Jan 11, 2017 10:29 pm

likegarden wrote:Mine is also not in the list. It is 2400.


The site has been updated, I verified your guess is 2400.

rarvesen
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by rarvesen » Wed Jan 11, 2017 10:30 pm

bkweathe wrote:Why is my entry
viewtopic.php?f=10&t=206949&p=3181038#p3181038
not included in the tracking site
http://www.lostoak.com/ls/diehards/contest/default.aspx
?

Brad


The site has been updated, I have you down for 2350.78, let me know if that is incorrect.

rarvesen
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by rarvesen » Wed Jan 11, 2017 10:32 pm

The tracking site has been updated. It's a semi-manual (well, more manual) process to enter the guesses, please let me know if you see any problems with your entry. Thanks.

http://www.lostoak.com/ls/diehards/contest

IronHorse1928
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by IronHorse1928 » Wed Jan 11, 2017 11:11 pm

2461.92

RPC1976
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by RPC1976 » Thu Jan 12, 2017 9:11 am

2400.17

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Taylor Larimore
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Re: REGISTRATION CLOSED

Post by Taylor Larimore » Thu Jan 12, 2017 9:18 am

Bogleheads:

Registration for the 2017 Contest closed January 10th.

Enjoy watching the contest unfold and try registering again next year during the first 10 days in January.

Best wishes.
Taylor
"Simplicity is the master key to financial success." -- Jack Bogle

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prudent
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by prudent » Fri Jan 27, 2017 10:18 am

This contest and it's predecessors are now the subject of a wiki article, see Bogleheads® contests.

SurferD
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by SurferD » Thu Feb 23, 2017 1:47 am

Im sorry I missed the 2017 registration being on vacation but I saw this article today which may be of interest to see how your predictions are going.

Heres an excerpt: "2017 is basically over, at least for the S&P 500 Index.

The market bellwether has already reached the average year-end target of Wall Street analysts with a 5.5 percent gain since December, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The average estimate is 2,364, with the highest and lowest predictions sitting at 2,500 and 2,275. The index touched 2,366.24 Tuesday, an intraday record."

and the full article in case you are interested: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-02-21/s-p-500-is-already-trading-at-wall-street-s-year-end-forecast

lets hope it keeps going up :sharebeer
SurferD

Mudpuppy
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Mudpuppy » Thu Feb 23, 2017 11:19 am

SurferD wrote:Im sorry I missed the 2017 registration being on vacation but I saw this article today which may be of interest to see how your predictions are going.

Heres an excerpt: "2017 is basically over, at least for the S&P 500 Index.

The market bellwether has already reached the average year-end target of Wall Street analysts with a 5.5 percent gain since December, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The average estimate is 2,364, with the highest and lowest predictions sitting at 2,500 and 2,275. The index touched 2,366.24 Tuesday, an intraday record."

and the full article in case you are interested: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-02-21/s-p-500-is-already-trading-at-wall-street-s-year-end-forecast

lets hope it keeps going up :sharebeer
SurferD

I don't put much stock into an article that calls a year over after two months. There's a whole lot of movement that can still happen in the next 10 months. While we'd certainly hope the trend holds steady or keeps going up, it could just as easily plummet. Always something to keep in mind when in the stock market.

SurferD
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by SurferD » Mon May 01, 2017 6:04 am

Good point to bear in mind Mudpuppy ..one should not get carried away in the exuberance :)
Thanks for the reminder..you are right anything can happen
SurferD

MrKnight
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by MrKnight » Thu Oct 05, 2017 6:53 pm

So... I decided to take a look at the chart at noted that I'm at second place.

Nice! I wonder if I was ever first. Hopefully it doesn't move from now until the end of the year.

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BolderBoy
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by BolderBoy » Tue Oct 24, 2017 9:27 am

It was fun to watch myself rise to first place with my outlandish guess at-the-time. And now falling down the ranks as the S&P500 continues to climb and climb and climb...
"Never underestimate one's capacity to overestimate one's abilities" - The Dunning-Kruger Effect

galectin
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by galectin » Tue Oct 24, 2017 9:49 am

While I am (sadly) mired at the 15th percentile, it is due (happily) to my being pessimistic as the market has way outperformed my expectations. I'll take the money over the bragging rights any day. :D

spoco79
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by spoco79 » Tue Oct 24, 2017 11:28 am

2522.69

Da5id
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Da5id » Tue Oct 24, 2017 11:36 am

BolderBoy wrote:
Tue Oct 24, 2017 9:27 am
It was fun to watch myself rise to first place with my outlandish guess at-the-time. And now falling down the ranks as the S&P500 continues to climb and climb and climb...
The year isn't over yet. You could be exactly right still. A correction/selloff will come some day (it always does).

selters
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by selters » Fri Oct 27, 2017 11:30 am

I'm currently in 2nd place. Unfortunately the S&P 500 has to fall by 4 points for me to end up in 1st place :( But I could live with that. Maybe I could make a living out of giving interviews to the financial media just because a complete shot in the dark accidentally hit the target. 8-)

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Mel Lindauer
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Mel Lindauer » Fri Oct 27, 2017 11:57 am

spoco79 wrote:
Tue Oct 24, 2017 11:28 am
2522.69
You're almost a year late. Guesses were closed many moons ago.
Best Regards - Mel | | Semper Fi

bloom2708
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by bloom2708 » Fri Oct 27, 2017 12:26 pm

I'm in first for the next 5 minutes!

My prediction was "out there". It could end up far away, but the trend has been good.
"We are here not to please but to provoke thoughtfulness" Unknown Boglehead

jdb
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by jdb » Fri Oct 27, 2017 5:38 pm

Mel Lindauer wrote:
Fri Oct 27, 2017 11:57 am
spoco79 wrote:
Tue Oct 24, 2017 11:28 am
2522.69
You're almost a year late. Guesses were closed many moons ago.
Oh shoot, and I was waiting for December 30 to put in my estimate.

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packet
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2017 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by packet » Mon Dec 11, 2017 12:49 pm

We're in the home stretch... and it looks like I was too conservative in my guess... yay!
:)

:beerCheers,
packet
First round’s on me.

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