REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

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SAB
Posts: 24
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by SAB » Sat Jan 02, 2016 12:28 am

1694.27

stussy
Posts: 10
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by stussy » Sat Jan 02, 2016 12:31 am

2134
=)

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speedbump101
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by speedbump101 » Sat Jan 02, 2016 12:38 am

2197.23
"Man is not a rational animal, he is a rationalizing animal" -Robert A. Heinlein

AlanDistro
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by AlanDistro » Sat Jan 02, 2016 12:46 am

2224 is my guess.

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jwillis77373
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by jwillis77373 » Sat Jan 02, 2016 1:13 am

k66 wrote:3294.40
Oh gosh.. Horrors!

I really hope it takes a longer dive, even a black swan.. the real savings to investors would be enormous.. and really help a lot of us post baby boomers in retirement. Come on you short-sighted Nuts on wallstreet.. we need more bargains.

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GreatOdinsRaven
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by GreatOdinsRaven » Sat Jan 02, 2016 1:20 am

2309

Thanks!
"The greatest enemies of the equity investor are expenses and emotions." -John C. Bogle, Little Book of Common Sense Investing. | | "Winter is coming." Lord Eddard Stark.

MnD
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by MnD » Sat Jan 02, 2016 1:33 am

2411.86

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StormShadow
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by StormShadow » Sat Jan 02, 2016 2:07 am

2257.14 :beer

2comma
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by 2comma » Sat Jan 02, 2016 2:25 am

2111.11 hope those books are autographed!
Last edited by 2comma on Sat Jan 02, 2016 2:29 am, edited 1 time in total.
If I am stupid I will pay.

curiousinvestor
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by curiousinvestor » Sat Jan 02, 2016 2:26 am

2001.97

Dovahkiin
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Dovahkiin » Sat Jan 02, 2016 2:34 am

2133.7

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Penn State Bob
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Penn State Bob » Sat Jan 02, 2016 2:37 am

2152.12

westcoast
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by westcoast » Sat Jan 02, 2016 2:42 am

2280.40

FastEd
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by FastEd » Sat Jan 02, 2016 2:49 am

2122.12

Mudpuppy
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Mudpuppy » Sat Jan 02, 2016 3:58 am

2174.51

basspond
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by basspond » Sat Jan 02, 2016 4:34 am

2155.75

red5
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by red5 » Sat Jan 02, 2016 5:28 am

1948.58

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oncorhynchus
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by oncorhynchus » Sat Jan 02, 2016 6:18 am

2125.70
-- Give a man a fish and you feed him for a day; teach a man to fish and you feed him for a lifetime. --

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Cernel
Posts: 275
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Cernel » Sat Jan 02, 2016 6:22 am

2142.90

Well, I had my best year yet in this wonderful contest. I ended up 116th. Usually I am in the 300's.

Given my guess for 2015 was an improvement, on my behalf, I am staying with it for 2016.

Traveller
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Traveller » Sat Jan 02, 2016 6:39 am

2191.

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Bustoff
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Bustoff » Sat Jan 02, 2016 6:44 am

1953

Happy New Year!

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AtlasShrugged?
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by AtlasShrugged? » Sat Jan 02, 2016 6:49 am

2108.15

Happy New Year! May we all have a personally prosperous 2016.
“If you don't know, the thing to do is not to get scared, but to learn.”

tyrnup13
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by tyrnup13 » Sat Jan 02, 2016 6:50 am

1941.76

dustytown
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by dustytown » Sat Jan 02, 2016 6:55 am

2028.69

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Doreamon
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Doreamon » Sat Jan 02, 2016 7:04 am

1972.0

jon-nyc
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by jon-nyc » Sat Jan 02, 2016 7:21 am

1968.9

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stickman731
Posts: 277
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by stickman731 » Sat Jan 02, 2016 7:35 am

2207.31

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ERMD
Posts: 291
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by ERMD » Sat Jan 02, 2016 7:42 am

1979.96
between scotch and nothing, i'll take scotch. -- faulkner

Call_Me_Op
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Call_Me_Op » Sat Jan 02, 2016 7:45 am

2207.12
Best regards, -Op | | "In the middle of difficulty lies opportunity." Einstein

Swampy
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Swampy » Sat Jan 02, 2016 7:51 am

1573.83

But honestly, all I really need to do is pick tonight's lotto numbers to be on easy street :P.

Bet against me. The market usually does the exact opposite of what I 'think' it will do - confirming I don't know nuthin.
If you fail to plan, you plan to fail. | Failure is not an option. | If I have seen further, it is because I was carried on the shoulders of giants.

KarenC
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by KarenC » Sat Jan 02, 2016 8:15 am

2208.71
"How much you know is less important than how clearly you understand where the borders of your ignorance begin." — Jason Zweig

sumi
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by sumi » Sat Jan 02, 2016 8:18 am

My guess: 2145

crg11
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by crg11 » Sat Jan 02, 2016 8:34 am

2300. Thanks!

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fortyofforty
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by fortyofforty » Sat Jan 02, 2016 8:51 am

pondering wrote:It would be nice to make a google sheet of the predictions

It would also be nice to measure the ongoing status as percentage of time left as a multiplier for the delta as well as the raw difference.
I''m not a tech guy (or a LadyGeek) but there must be a way to allow each Boglehead, based on screen name, to enter a value up to two decimal points, and limit the entries to one each.
"In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act." - George Orwell | There are many roads to doublin'. | Original Vanguard Diehard

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BTDT
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by BTDT » Sat Jan 02, 2016 8:58 am

2250.1
If past history was all that is needed to play the game of money, the richest people would be librarians.

Hop
Posts: 7
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Hop » Sat Jan 02, 2016 9:03 am

2207.46

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goingup
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by goingup » Sat Jan 02, 2016 9:04 am

2167.

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rustymutt
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by rustymutt » Sat Jan 02, 2016 9:06 am

2203

In 2016
I'm amazed at the wealth of Knowledge others gather, and share over a lifetime of learning. The mind is truly unique. It's nice when we use it!

moodindigo
Posts: 9
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by moodindigo » Sat Jan 02, 2016 9:25 am

1978.54

Happy New Year!

vested1
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by vested1 » Sat Jan 02, 2016 9:31 am

2105.05

AllenSmith
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by AllenSmith » Sat Jan 02, 2016 9:34 am

2109.38

exoilman
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by exoilman » Sat Jan 02, 2016 9:41 am

:moneybag

2055.26

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elgob.bogle
Posts: 720
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by elgob.bogle » Sat Jan 02, 2016 9:44 am

1993.33

elgob.bogle

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Aptenodytes
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Aptenodytes » Sat Jan 02, 2016 9:57 am

2110.04

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Aptenodytes
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Aptenodytes » Sat Jan 02, 2016 10:01 am

fortyofforty wrote:
pondering wrote:It would be nice to make a google sheet of the predictions

It would also be nice to measure the ongoing status as percentage of time left as a multiplier for the delta as well as the raw difference.
I''m not a tech guy (or a LadyGeek) but there must be a way to allow each Boglehead, based on screen name, to enter a value up to two decimal points, and limit the entries to one each.
Fixing things that aren't broken is not exactly the Boglehead way.

I will share my python script that scrapes the values off of the contest web page and calculates the formula you list (and much more!) if you want it. It refreshes every 15 minutes but you can tweak it if you need something more frequent.

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xystici
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by xystici » Sat Jan 02, 2016 10:03 am

1849.5
Trust yourself, Break the rules, Don't be afraid to fail, Don't listen to naysayers, Work your butt off. "It is in your moments of decision that your destiny is shaped. Choose now and well"

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LiveSimple
Posts: 1090
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by LiveSimple » Sat Jan 02, 2016 10:06 am

2323.23
Last edited by LiveSimple on Sat Jan 02, 2016 1:46 pm, edited 1 time in total.

goalie
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by goalie » Sat Jan 02, 2016 10:09 am

1750.65 please

jf89
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by jf89 » Sat Jan 02, 2016 10:14 am

2225.88

+8.9% after an exhaustive analysis of whether my favorite number divided by ten still qualified
"Save as much as you can, diversify diversify diversify, and you can't go wrong with tech stocks" | -First investing advice I recall from my parents in the 90's (two outta three ain't bad)

minesweep
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by minesweep » Sat Jan 02, 2016 10:18 am

Staying the course with 2270.97. Maybe those the numbers in my head last year were correct (it was just the year wrong). :)

Mike

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