REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

ShadyOaks · Post by **ShadyOaks** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 4:53 pm

2207.14

Marker · Post by **Marker** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 4:53 pm

1997 - the year my daughter was born! And she can be a bit of a bear when she wants.

Happy New Year, y'all.

grok87 · Post by **grok87** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 4:53 pm

Taylor Larimore wrote:

* Bogleheads are better "guessers" than Wall Street professional "forecasters": The average Boglehead "guess" was 1958.40. The average professional "forecast" was 1949.14.

Hi Taylor,
I think the above numbers may be wrong. as per the 2015 contest website i am seeing these figures

average Bogleheads 2126.93

average Experts 2219.53

Best wishes for a happy New Year!

grok

hq38sq43 · Post by **hq38sq43** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 4:54 pm

2207.5

billyo44 · Post by **billyo44** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 4:54 pm

2209.50

rock581 · Post by **rock581** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 4:55 pm

2162.26

Gropes & Ray · Post by **Gropes & Ray** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 4:57 pm

2078.72

HomoLudens · Post by **HomoLudens** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 4:58 pm

2017.31

LAlearning · Post by **LAlearning** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 4:59 pm

2085.

mbres60 · Post by **mbres60** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:03 pm

2146.32

Chicago60 · Post by **Chicago60** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:03 pm

1785.28

Igglesman · Post by **Igglesman** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:05 pm

2317.94

Big Mig · Post by **Big Mig** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:09 pm

2169.44

Frank2012 · Post by **Frank2012** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:15 pm

The bear in me will guess 1,797....

dbltrbl · Post by **dbltrbl** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:22 pm

1647.78

) stocks on sale

mister_sparkle · Post by **mister_sparkle** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:22 pm

2177.50

bombcar · Post by **bombcar** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:23 pm

2295.34

Daryl · Post by **Daryl** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:23 pm

2073.31

The long-term bull market will continue, erasing last year's (0.7)% decline and adding another 0.7% by the end of 2016. It will be a wild ride. The market will go up. The market will go down. Sometimes, the market will go sideways. We'll collect some interest/dividends along the way. I'll max out on many of the tax-free (Roth/HSA) and tax deferred (401k) opportunities available to me. Only 31 more years left till retirement!

ww340 · Post by **ww340** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:23 pm

2120.20

krill · Post by **krill** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:24 pm

2182.01

blueblock · Post by **blueblock** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:25 pm

I'll go with...

2090

FreeAtLast · Post by **FreeAtLast** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:28 pm

1880.46

(I hate to be a Bear, but there you have it).

vin44 · Post by **vin44** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:30 pm

2090.1

Dan_NoVA · Post by **Dan_NoVA** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:32 pm

All 2's... sign me up for 2222 please... thanks!

renter · Post by **renter** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:32 pm

1250.50

knife-catchers beware!

sport · Post by **sport** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:33 pm

2187.00

Stonebr · Post by **Stonebr** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:37 pm

SP 500 at 2210.00

L.Washington · Post by **L.Washington** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:37 pm

2112.76

Big Snack · Post by **Big Snack** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:39 pm

1967.13

Adam11 · Post by **Adam11** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:40 pm

1985.09

kylevet · Post by **kylevet** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:41 pm

2190.2

PedsDoc · Post by **PedsDoc** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:42 pm

2241.65

madpunster · Post by **madpunster** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:46 pm

2345.67

dolphintraveler · Post by **dolphintraveler** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:46 pm

2009.04

parsi1 · Post by **parsi1** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:47 pm

happy new year to all Bogleheads.
My formula forecasts 2016 for the year 2016

.

stratton · Post by **stratton** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:51 pm

1900.00

cheese_breath · Post by **cheese_breath** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:52 pm

1930.

And I hope I'm waaaay low.

Sally · Post by **Sally** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:54 pm

My "guess"

2166.58

BHCadet · Post by **BHCadet** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:55 pm

2209.49

JoMoney · Post by **JoMoney** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 5:59 pm

2288.88

JDaniels · Post by **JDaniels** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 6:07 pm

2164.53

Thank you!

Marester · Post by **Marester** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 6:09 pm

2108.

letsgobobby · Post by **letsgobobby** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 6:11 pm

1658.74

ridebikeseveryday · Post by **ridebikeseveryday** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 6:11 pm

2084.81

indexfundfan · Post by **indexfundfan** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 6:14 pm

2252.8

Rick Ferri · Post by **Rick Ferri** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 6:16 pm

Every year I make the same go-big-or-go-home guess of up 20%.

2452.73

Note: There is absolutely no science or logic behind this guess.

Rick Ferri

FRANK2009 · Post by **FRANK2009** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 6:19 pm

2125.7

Good luck all!

stlutz · Post by **stlutz** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 6:20 pm

2330.09

Silence Dogood · Post by **Silence Dogood** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 6:21 pm

2055.00

TXJuice · Post by **TXJuice** » Fri Jan 01, 2016 6:25 pm

2126.87

Just used my birthday (remove the first 2)