REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Discuss all general (i.e. non-personal) investing questions and issues, investing news, and theory.
ShadyOaks
Posts: 4
Joined: Sun Dec 27, 2015 3:34 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by ShadyOaks »

2207.14
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Marker
Posts: 5
Joined: Mon Dec 14, 2015 9:24 pm
Location: Chicago

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Marker »

1997 - the year my daughter was born! And she can be a bit of a bear when she wants.

Happy New Year, y'all.
grok87
Posts: 9279
Joined: Tue Feb 27, 2007 9:00 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by grok87 »

Taylor Larimore wrote:

* Bogleheads are better "guessers" than Wall Street professional "forecasters": The average Boglehead "guess" was 1958.40. The average professional "forecast" was 1949.14.
Hi Taylor,
I think the above numbers may be wrong. as per the 2015 contest website i am seeing these figures

average Bogleheads 2126.93

average Experts 2219.53

Best wishes for a happy New Year!

grok
RIP Mr. Bogle.
hq38sq43
Posts: 424
Joined: Tue Sep 06, 2011 5:25 pm
Location: Bradenton FL

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by hq38sq43 »

2207.5
Harry at Bradenton
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billyo44
Posts: 68
Joined: Wed Nov 12, 2014 11:05 am
Location: 11" from the Course

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by billyo44 »

2209.50
Independence = Financial assets working for you versus you working for them. | "Own an Index Fund, Get a Life Outside of Finance, and Relax"...John C. Bogle
rock581
Posts: 14
Joined: Wed Dec 10, 2014 2:53 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by rock581 »

2162.26
Gropes & Ray
Posts: 1094
Joined: Wed Jul 16, 2014 7:28 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Gropes & Ray »

2078.72
HomoLudens
Posts: 119
Joined: Sat Oct 31, 2015 8:27 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by HomoLudens »

2017.31
"'Thoughts without content are empty, intuitions without concepts are blind." Immanuel Kant
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LAlearning
Posts: 1365
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Location: Los Angeles

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by LAlearning »

2085.
I know nothing!
mbres60
Posts: 1061
Joined: Tue Jul 03, 2007 1:47 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by mbres60 »

2146.32
Chicago60
Posts: 493
Joined: Tue Jan 29, 2013 3:40 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Chicago60 »

1785.28
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Igglesman
Posts: 439
Joined: Fri May 01, 2009 2:20 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Igglesman »

2317.94
Big Mig
Posts: 33
Joined: Wed Oct 15, 2014 9:43 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Big Mig »

2169.44
Frank2012
Posts: 119
Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2013 7:16 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Frank2012 »

The bear in me will guess 1,797....
dbltrbl
Posts: 900
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by dbltrbl »

1647.78 :)) stocks on sale 8-)
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mister_sparkle
Posts: 324
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Location: North Carolina

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by mister_sparkle »

2177.50
bombcar
Posts: 390
Joined: Sun Aug 12, 2007 6:41 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by bombcar »

2295.34
Daryl
Posts: 614
Joined: Thu May 22, 2008 9:34 am
Location: Malvern, PA (I like to sleep near my money!)

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Daryl »

2073.31

The long-term bull market will continue, erasing last year's (0.7)% decline and adding another 0.7% by the end of 2016. It will be a wild ride. The market will go up. The market will go down. Sometimes, the market will go sideways. We'll collect some interest/dividends along the way. I'll max out on many of the tax-free (Roth/HSA) and tax deferred (401k) opportunities available to me. Only 31 more years left till retirement!
ww340
Posts: 164
Joined: Sun Apr 06, 2014 7:33 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by ww340 »

2120.20
krill
Posts: 15
Joined: Sun Dec 13, 2015 8:01 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by krill »

2182.01
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blueblock
Posts: 885
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Location: Wisconsin

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by blueblock »

I'll go with...

2090
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FreeAtLast
Posts: 718
Joined: Tue Nov 04, 2014 9:08 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by FreeAtLast »

1880.46

(I hate to be a Bear, but there you have it).
Illegitimi non carborundum.
vin44
Posts: 5
Joined: Sun Nov 04, 2012 10:12 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by vin44 »

2090.1
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Dan_NoVA
Posts: 14
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2008 6:56 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Dan_NoVA »

All 2's... sign me up for 2222 please... thanks! :sharebeer
renter
Posts: 375
Joined: Sat Aug 23, 2008 2:14 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by renter »

1250.50

knife-catchers beware!
sport
Posts: 9962
Joined: Tue Feb 27, 2007 3:26 pm
Location: Cleveland, OH

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by sport »

2187.00
Stonebr
Posts: 1472
Joined: Wed Jan 21, 2009 11:19 am
Location: Maine

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Stonebr »

SP 500 at 2210.00
"have more than thou showest, | speak less than thou knowest" -- The Fool in King Lear
L.Washington
Posts: 3
Joined: Mon Aug 25, 2014 7:28 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by L.Washington »

2112.76
Big Snack
Posts: 42
Joined: Sat Dec 28, 2013 8:43 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Big Snack »

1967.13
Adam11
Posts: 97
Joined: Sat Jun 06, 2015 1:12 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Adam11 »

1985.09
kylevet
Posts: 25
Joined: Mon Feb 26, 2007 2:13 pm
Location: Central New York

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by kylevet »

2190.2
PedsDoc
Posts: 31
Joined: Tue Jun 12, 2012 6:37 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by PedsDoc »

2241.65
madpunster
Posts: 130
Joined: Sun Nov 02, 2008 12:58 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by madpunster »

2345.67
dolphintraveler
Posts: 69
Joined: Sun Feb 05, 2012 1:31 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by dolphintraveler »

2009.04
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parsi1
Posts: 282
Joined: Tue May 29, 2012 8:03 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by parsi1 »

happy new year to all Bogleheads.
My formula forecasts 2016 for the year 2016 :D :sharebeer .
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stratton
Posts: 11083
Joined: Sun Mar 04, 2007 5:05 pm
Location: Puget Sound

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by stratton »

1900.00
...and then Buffy staked Edward. The end.
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cheese_breath
Posts: 10202
Joined: Wed Sep 14, 2011 7:08 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by cheese_breath »

1930.

And I hope I'm waaaay low.
The surest way to know the future is when it becomes the past.
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Sally
Posts: 314
Joined: Sun Mar 04, 2007 2:02 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Sally »

My "guess"

2166.58
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BHCadet
Posts: 391
Joined: Sun Jan 15, 2012 12:47 am
Location: SoCal

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by BHCadet »

2209.49
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JoMoney
Posts: 10894
Joined: Tue Jul 23, 2013 5:31 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by JoMoney »

2288.88
"To achieve satisfactory investment results is easier than most people realize; to achieve superior results is harder than it looks." - Benjamin Graham
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JDaniels
Posts: 245
Joined: Sun Sep 14, 2008 7:30 pm
Location: Ponte Vedra Beach, FL

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by JDaniels »

2164.53

Thank you!
"The poor long for riches. The rich long for heaven. But the wise desire tranquility."
Marester
Posts: 26
Joined: Wed Apr 16, 2008 9:38 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Marester »

2108.
letsgobobby
Posts: 12073
Joined: Fri Sep 18, 2009 1:10 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by letsgobobby »

1658.74
ridebikeseveryday
Posts: 66
Joined: Sun Nov 03, 2013 6:28 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by ridebikeseveryday »

2084.81
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indexfundfan
Posts: 3179
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by indexfundfan »

2252.8
My signature has been deleted.
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Rick Ferri
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Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Rick Ferri »

Every year I make the same go-big-or-go-home guess of up 20%.

2452.73

Note: There is absolutely no science or logic behind this guess.

Rick Ferri
The Education of an Index Investor: born in darkness, finds indexing enlightenment, overcomplicates everything, embraces simplicity.
FRANK2009
Posts: 434
Joined: Thu Dec 13, 2007 6:16 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by FRANK2009 »

2125.7

Good luck all!
stlutz
Posts: 5576
Joined: Fri Jan 02, 2009 1:08 am

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by stlutz »

2330.09
Silence Dogood
Posts: 1452
Joined: Tue Feb 01, 2011 9:22 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by Silence Dogood »

2055.00
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TXJuice
Posts: 119
Joined: Fri Apr 03, 2015 8:43 pm

Re: REGISTRATION FOR THE 2016 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST

Post by TXJuice »

2126.87

Just used my birthday (remove the first 2) :beer
Last edited by TXJuice on Fri Jan 01, 2016 6:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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