2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Discuss all general (i.e. non-personal) investing questions and issues, investing news, and theory.
neophyte75
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by neophyte75 » Mon Jan 05, 2015 6:55 pm

2,270.97

BoringIsBeautiful
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by BoringIsBeautiful » Mon Jan 05, 2015 8:03 pm

1999.98

MDisciple87
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by MDisciple87 » Mon Jan 05, 2015 8:57 pm

2467.2

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bru
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by bru » Mon Jan 05, 2015 9:10 pm

Had to wait until there was a positive guess before mine. Karma you know.

2219.04

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Ice-9
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Ice-9 » Mon Jan 05, 2015 9:16 pm

1728.65

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victorb
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by victorb » Mon Jan 05, 2015 9:28 pm

2297.11

dolphintraveler
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by dolphintraveler » Mon Jan 05, 2015 10:27 pm

2077.42

indusbull
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by indusbull » Mon Jan 05, 2015 10:41 pm

1350.23

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NightOwl
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by NightOwl » Mon Jan 05, 2015 10:50 pm

2026.50
"Volatility provokes the constant dread that some investors know more than we do, making us fearful of ignoring such powerful price movements." | Peter Bernstein, "The 60/40 Solution."

spth
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by spth » Mon Jan 05, 2015 10:52 pm

2189.51

castlemodesto
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by castlemodesto » Mon Jan 05, 2015 10:53 pm

2121.21

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boo-yah
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by boo-yah » Tue Jan 06, 2015 12:55 am

2207.14

HurdyGurdy
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by HurdyGurdy » Tue Jan 06, 2015 1:05 am

2141.05

PaulOnOrcas
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by PaulOnOrcas » Tue Jan 06, 2015 1:20 am

2255.93

jstash
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by jstash » Tue Jan 06, 2015 4:27 am

2285.01

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Ijim
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Ijim » Tue Jan 06, 2015 7:18 am

1721.19

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Bustoff
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Bustoff » Tue Jan 06, 2015 7:31 am

1953.87

IronHorse1928
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by IronHorse1928 » Tue Jan 06, 2015 7:32 am

2120.88

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mdrileynyc
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by mdrileynyc » Tue Jan 06, 2015 1:40 pm

2182.43

passivestream
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by passivestream » Tue Jan 06, 2015 1:46 pm

2299.67

weisswurst
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by weisswurst » Tue Jan 06, 2015 1:50 pm

1696.96

steve r
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by steve r » Tue Jan 06, 2015 3:10 pm

2292.22
Maximize Diversification - Minimize Costs - Avoid Lotteries

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Peter Foley
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Peter Foley » Tue Jan 06, 2015 4:21 pm

2142.42

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tainted-meat
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by tainted-meat » Tue Jan 06, 2015 4:29 pm

2002.61

Tim Bachmann
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Tim Bachmann » Tue Jan 06, 2015 6:41 pm

1,624.30

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Majormajor78
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Majormajor78 » Tue Jan 06, 2015 7:26 pm

1936.11
"Oh, M. le Comte, it is only a loss of money which I have sustained... nothing worth mentioning, I assure you."

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JerryK
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by JerryK » Tue Jan 06, 2015 7:51 pm

2271.69

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Higman
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Higman » Tue Jan 06, 2015 9:01 pm

1756.22

tekenn
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by tekenn » Tue Jan 06, 2015 10:45 pm

2666.66

RhoRho
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by RhoRho » Wed Jan 07, 2015 3:41 pm

2140.33

donmichael
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by donmichael » Wed Jan 07, 2015 4:11 pm

2141.51
Don

pjtallman
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by pjtallman » Wed Jan 07, 2015 7:41 pm

2450.09

Lake Living
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Lake Living » Wed Jan 07, 2015 8:52 pm

2024.56

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Regal 56
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Regal 56 » Wed Jan 07, 2015 11:10 pm

mickeyd wrote:I always go with an increase of 5%. That’s bound to be a winning strategy in 2015.

2161.85


I picked 2161.845. You’ll be sorry when I beat you by .005. Trust the calculator and never round up.

csimpson
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by csimpson » Thu Jan 08, 2015 12:13 am

2278.2

boglengineer
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by boglengineer » Thu Jan 08, 2015 12:51 am

2059.90

noddinoff
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by noddinoff » Thu Jan 08, 2015 6:19 am

2176.47

district
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by district » Thu Jan 08, 2015 6:22 am

2147.5

kaudrey
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by kaudrey » Thu Jan 08, 2015 9:03 am

2233.33

Markov
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Markov » Thu Jan 08, 2015 9:17 am

2122.55

minesweep
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by minesweep » Thu Jan 08, 2015 10:33 am

neophyte75 wrote:2,270.97

Pick another number. It's been taken (see page 4).

Rules for the 2015 Boglehead Contest:

* Forecast the closing price of the S&P 500 Index on December 31, 2015.
* Only one guess (no percentages and no changes).
* Registration ends 12:00 midnight ET January 10, 2015.
* In the event of ties, the first forecast wins.
* Post your forecast below.

Mike

PaulW
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by PaulW » Thu Jan 08, 2015 11:02 am

2138.02

P&C actuary
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by P&C actuary » Thu Jan 08, 2015 11:03 am

2229.79

ready20
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by ready20 » Thu Jan 08, 2015 11:04 am

2211.67

tacster
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by tacster » Thu Jan 08, 2015 11:08 am

2253.61
INSERT PITHY QUOTE HERE

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tnbison
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by tnbison » Thu Jan 08, 2015 11:27 am

2248.74

YDNAL
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by YDNAL » Thu Jan 08, 2015 12:24 pm

My guess.... 1231.15

Back to the Future!.... don't say I did not warn y'all to always be cognizant of potential large market drops. :D

Code: Select all

Date          Open       High       Low      Close       Volume       Adj Close 

1-Dec-10    1,186.60   1,207.61   1,186.60   1,206.07   4,548,110,000   1,206.07
2-Dec-10    1,206.81   1,221.89   1,206.81   1,221.53   4,970,800,000   1,221.53
3-Dec-10    1,219.93   1,225.57   1,216.82   1,224.71   3,735,780,000   1,224.71
6-Dec-10    1,223.87   1,225.80   1,220.67   1,223.12   3,527,370,000   1,223.12
7-Dec-10    1,227.25   1,235.05   1,223.25   1,223.75   6,970,630,400   1,223.75
8-Dec-10    1,225.02   1,228.93   1,219.50   1,228.28   4,607,590,000   1,228.28
9-Dec-10    1,230.14   1,234.71   1,226.85   1,233.00   4,522,510,000   1,233.00
10-Dec-10   1,233.85   1,240.40   1,232.58   1,240.40   4,547,310,000   1,240.40
13-Dec-10   1,242.52   1,246.73   1,240.34   1,240.46   4,361,240,000   1,240.46
14-Dec-10   1,241.84   1,246.59   1,238.17   1,241.59   4,132,350,000   1,241.59
15-Dec-10   1,241.58   1,244.25   1,234.01   1,235.23   4,407,340,000   1,235.23
16-Dec-10   1,236.34   1,243.75   1,232.85   1,242.87   4,736,820,000   1,242.87
17-Dec-10   1,243.63   1,245.81   1,239.87   1,243.91   4,632,470,000   1,243.91
20-Dec-10   1,245.76   1,250.20   1,241.51   1,247.08   3,548,140,000   1,247.08
21-Dec-10   1,249.43   1,255.82   1,249.43   1,254.60   3,479,670,000   1,254.60
22-Dec-10   1,254.94   1,259.39   1,254.94   1,258.84   1,285,590,000   1,258.84
23-Dec-10   1,257.53   1,258.59   1,254.05   1,256.77   2,515,020,000   1,256.77
27-Dec-10   1,254.66   1,258.43   1,251.48   1,257.54   1,992,470,000   1,257.54
28-Dec-10   1,259.10   1,259.90   1,256.22   1,258.51   2,478,450,000   1,258.51
29-Dec-10   1,258.78   1,262.60   1,258.78   1,259.78   2,214,380,000   1,259.78
30-Dec-10   1,259.44   1,261.09   1,256.32   1,257.88   1,970,720,000   1,257.88
31-Dec-10   1,256.76   1,259.34   1,254.19   1,257.64   1,799,770,000   1,257.64
Landy | Be yourself, everyone else is already taken -- Oscar Wilde

selftalk
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by selftalk » Thu Jan 08, 2015 8:34 pm

1040.40

VTSAX
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by VTSAX » Thu Jan 08, 2015 8:46 pm

2187.24

cb474
Posts: 780
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Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by cb474 » Thu Jan 08, 2015 10:03 pm

2161.87

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