2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Discuss all general (i.e. non-personal) investing questions and issues, investing news, and theory.
Skiandswim
Posts: 175
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2010 3:24 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Skiandswim »

2015 just for fun
Display
Posts: 22
Joined: Sun Feb 25, 2007 8:42 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Display »

2140.
Charles
User avatar
Regal 56
Posts: 465
Joined: Thu May 24, 2007 5:47 pm
Location: South Euclid, OH
Contact:

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Regal 56 »

The purpose of this contest, of course, is frivolous. But I take financial prognostication seriously. Thus, I’ve exhaustively researched my prediction, drawing on all resources that don’t require me to move from my recliner. I’ve also sacrificed various small creatures. (Metaphorically, of course. I’m not a monster.) Finally, I’ve consulted an ouija board while intoning Tibetan chant and wearing a tin foil hat. I was also naked and smeared with Brer Rabbit Molasses, but I’ll keep that to myself to spare you a mental image that’ll have you screaming in the night.

2161.845

I’m very confident in my prediction.
bcjb
Posts: 449
Joined: Wed Aug 21, 2013 7:01 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by bcjb »

2172.50

Happy new year to all!
Logan T
Posts: 185
Joined: Sat Sep 06, 2014 1:10 pm
Location: Colorado

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Logan T »

2191.69
You really don't need to begin saving for retirement before you reach 60. At that point, simply save 250 percent of your income each year and you'll be able to retire comfortably at 70. -Jonathan Pond
User avatar
RyeWhiskey
Posts: 864
Joined: Thu Jan 12, 2012 10:04 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by RyeWhiskey »

1724.10
This post was brought to you by Vanguard Total World Stock Index (VTWSX/VT).
Mozart01
Posts: 3
Joined: Fri Jan 17, 2014 1:48 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Mozart01 »

2285.38
froggy
Posts: 58
Joined: Tue Dec 25, 2007 11:54 am

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by froggy »

My guess

2230.87
Anon1234
Posts: 784
Joined: Sat Feb 26, 2011 10:32 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Anon1234 »

2345.67 ...somebody already took 2222.22, :wink:
my2014
Posts: 28
Joined: Tue Dec 16, 2014 11:48 am

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by my2014 »

2336.10
shaX
Posts: 65
Joined: Mon May 12, 2014 2:42 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by shaX »

2102.30
Dave_M
Posts: 235
Joined: Tue Feb 27, 2007 12:16 pm
Location: Colorado

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Dave_M »

2233.91
VortexStreet
Posts: 37
Joined: Sat May 17, 2014 7:39 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by VortexStreet »

2194.71
Emeralds
Posts: 27
Joined: Sat Oct 05, 2013 8:41 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Emeralds »

1881.79
Mudpuppy
Posts: 6710
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2011 2:26 am
Location: Sunny California

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Mudpuppy »

2237.61
minesweep
Posts: 1387
Joined: Fri Mar 02, 2007 9:17 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by minesweep »

2270.97

Mike
Last edited by minesweep on Thu Jan 01, 2015 8:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Time is your friend; impulse is your enemy - John Bogle | Learn every day, but especially from the experiences of others, it's cheaper! - John Bogle
IPer
Posts: 1639
Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 8:51 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by IPer »

2375.48
Read the Wiki Wiki !
sport
Posts: 10086
Joined: Tue Feb 27, 2007 3:26 pm
Location: Cleveland, OH

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by sport »

2242.50
bobble
Posts: 99
Joined: Wed Aug 13, 2014 7:57 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by bobble »

2099.05.
User avatar
Whit
Posts: 54
Joined: Thu Jun 27, 2013 10:25 pm
Location: North

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Whit »

2269.02
555
Posts: 4955
Joined: Thu Dec 24, 2009 7:21 am

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by 555 »

Taylor Larimore wrote:2014 closing price 2058.90.
2173.17
5.55% gain
User avatar
dodecahedron
Posts: 5449
Joined: Tue Nov 12, 2013 12:28 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by dodecahedron »

2236.07

Whatever, in for a dime, in for a dollar as they say.

I decided to look for a nice mathematical constant (and adjust the order of magnitude appropriately to give a plausible value.) Pi and e seemed implausibly high, while phi (the golden ratio) could have worked plausibly but would have been far too depressing to contemplate, so I decided to go with the square root of 5, which is 2.23607 rounded off to six decimal places (and multiplied by 1,000 to scale it reasonably into a plausible upbeat prediction.)

The square root of 5 has many important and beautiful mathematical properties, and comes up in plane geometry in conjunction with the golden ratio, Fibonacci numbers, pentagons, pentagrams, and Penrose tilings. In the 3-d world, the square root of five arises very beautifully and naturally in the volumes and surface areas of various types of dodecahedra, including the great dodecahedron, which is my avatar.

Of course, my mathematical aesthetic prediction method is entirely bogus but I could use a little fun right now. :sharebeer
Last edited by dodecahedron on Thu Jan 01, 2015 9:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
User avatar
EyeYield
Posts: 656
Joined: Tue Sep 18, 2012 6:43 pm
Location: Extremistan

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by EyeYield »

2326.55
"The stock market is a giant distraction from the business of investing." - Jack Bogle
rock581
Posts: 14
Joined: Wed Dec 10, 2014 2:53 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by rock581 »

2297.62
larrydmsn
Posts: 103
Joined: Thu Aug 28, 2008 8:58 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by larrydmsn »

2000.00
bhsince87
Posts: 2721
Joined: Thu Oct 03, 2013 1:08 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by bhsince87 »

2122.23
"If ye love wealth better than liberty, the tranquility of servitude better than the animating contest of freedom, go home from us in peace." Samuel Adams
User avatar
abuss368
Posts: 24224
Joined: Mon Aug 03, 2009 2:33 pm
Location: Where the water is warm, the drinks are cold, and I don't know the names of the players!
Contact:

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by abuss368 »

2134.68

Thanks Taylor.
John C. Bogle: “Simplicity is the master key to financial success."
kdub
Posts: 29
Joined: Thu Feb 20, 2014 8:17 am

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by kdub »

2205.50
MSchleicher
Posts: 89
Joined: Sun Apr 20, 2014 11:16 am

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by MSchleicher »

2258.15
A_C_E
Posts: 133
Joined: Fri Feb 22, 2013 11:22 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by A_C_E »

1300.
User avatar
gatorman
Posts: 2493
Joined: Wed Oct 31, 2007 9:35 am
Location: The Swamp

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by gatorman »

1379.46
CUBuffs
Posts: 117
Joined: Wed Feb 18, 2009 2:28 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by CUBuffs »

2202.5

Thanks Taylor and Ralph for administering this contest!
weltschmerz
Posts: 437
Joined: Thu Jul 30, 2009 9:17 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by weltschmerz »

deleted
Last edited by weltschmerz on Tue Jan 01, 2019 2:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Savvy
Posts: 314
Joined: Sat May 05, 2012 3:09 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Savvy »

1875.01
Drewman
Posts: 83
Joined: Sat Aug 03, 2013 7:38 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Drewman »

...lower


1884.30
User avatar
jimmyq
Posts: 191
Joined: Wed Apr 17, 2013 6:34 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by jimmyq »

2123.58
michaelsieg
Posts: 591
Joined: Mon Jan 07, 2013 11:02 am

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by michaelsieg »

Bullish crowd this year....
1648
hrc84
Posts: 41
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2014 7:46 am

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by hrc84 »

2176.0
bf0123
Posts: 43
Joined: Wed Jan 09, 2008 7:50 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by bf0123 »

2199.94
TIAX
Posts: 1408
Joined: Sat Jan 11, 2014 12:19 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by TIAX »

1847.3
User avatar
indexfundfan
Posts: 3212
Joined: Tue Feb 20, 2007 11:21 am
Contact:

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by indexfundfan »

2141.61
My signature has been deleted.
westcoast
Posts: 197
Joined: Tue Mar 13, 2012 6:50 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by westcoast »

2347.44
Novine
Posts: 1240
Joined: Mon Nov 17, 2008 9:07 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Novine »

2250.11
User avatar
FreeAtLast
Posts: 721
Joined: Tue Nov 04, 2014 9:08 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by FreeAtLast »

1947.7
Illegitimi non carborundum.
User avatar
tludwig23
Posts: 1665
Joined: Thu Dec 30, 2010 3:27 pm
Location: 48deg46"23"N 122deg28'21"W

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by tludwig23 »

2118.0
That's what I do: I drink, and I know things. --Tyrion Lannister
Pizzasteve510
Posts: 635
Joined: Sun Jul 27, 2014 3:32 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Pizzasteve510 »

1954.75
User avatar
DG99999
Posts: 205
Joined: Fri May 30, 2014 12:30 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by DG99999 »

2192.73
I am not a financial professional. My posts are only my opinion on the topic. You need to do your own due diligence and consult with a professional when addressing your financial questions.
bkh8
Posts: 6
Joined: Thu Sep 06, 2012 1:54 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by bkh8 »

2278.55
bosman
Posts: 7
Joined: Mon May 28, 2012 8:42 am

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by bosman »

2360.65

Happy New Year!
JLJL
Posts: 484
Joined: Wed Jan 08, 2014 11:10 pm

Re: 2015 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by JLJL »

1718.19
Post Reply