2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

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Taylor Larimore
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2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Taylor Larimore »

Bogleheads:

We are pleased to announce Registration for the thirteenth annual Boglehead Contest.

2012 Boglehead Contest
Last January, we had 396 Bogleheads forecast where the S&P 500 Index would be at the end of 2012. Their guesses ranged from 12579 to 600. The Index closed at 1426.19 for a gain of 12.4% (16% if dividends were included). The average Boglehead guess was 1384. Fourteen of Wall Street "experts" did worse with their average forecast of 1368. Anyone in the top half of Boglehead guesses should be smiling.

http://www.lostsprings.com/diehards/con ... index.html

Boglehead, Tainted-Meat, won our 2012 Boglehead Contest with an almost perfect guess of 1426.31. He wrote:
I'm 26 and started investing in the company 401k after I graduated from college four years ago. I found this site about a year and a half ago after a few promotions allowed me to have more income to invest and wanted to become more educated. This is hands-down the best site on the web.
Tainted-Meat will receive the latest edition of The Bogleheads' Guide to Investing. He will also receive his choice of an autographed copy of any of Jack Bogle's books. The 2013 winner will receive the same prizes.

Rules for the 2013 Boglehead Contest:

* Forecast the closing price of the S&P 500 Index on December 31, 2013.
* Only one guess (no percentages).
* Registration ends 12:00 am midnight ET January 10, 2013.
* In the event of ties, the first forecast wins.
* The winner must PM Taylor by January 10, 2014 to confirm your username and mailing address.
* Post your forecast below.

HAPPY NEW YEAR and GOOD LUCK!
Taylor and Ralph Arvesen (programmer)
"Simplicity is the master key to financial success." -- Jack Bogle
STC
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by STC »

1604.24

I got this one in the bag!
555
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by 555 »

1468.36
FillorKill
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by FillorKill »

1492.55
goalie
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by goalie »

Our Boglehead expertise tells us 1313.13
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Average Investor
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Average Investor »

1567.82
Tomorrow never knows.
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BigFoot48
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by BigFoot48 »

1,471.00

Year end 2012 escalated by pi.
Retired | Two-time in top-10 in Bogleheads S&P500 contest; 14-time loser
HardSphere
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by HardSphere »

1534.56
NYBoglehead
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by NYBoglehead »

1580.35
CoastieLifer
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by CoastieLifer »

1584.65
sunnyday
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by sunnyday »

1444.44
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englishgirl
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by englishgirl »

1611.38
Sarah
ks289
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by ks289 »

1483.00
nonroom
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by nonroom »

1555.2
You cannot control the actions of others. You can only control your reactions to their actions.
earlyout
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by earlyout »

1563.19 What good is a guess if it is not precise?
Dave_M
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Dave_M »

1547.43
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FrugalInvestor
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by FrugalInvestor »

1601.25
Have a plan, stay the course and simplify, but most importantly....Ignore the Noise!
nolabogle
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by nolabogle »

1515 - Fifteen, fifteen.
LynnC
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by LynnC »

1600.06

LynnC

Thanks, Taylor
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Sally
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Sally »

1517.83
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k66
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by k66 »

Rearranging the digits comprising 2012's closing value naturally provides an indication of 2013's, ergo:

2061.24
LOSER of the Boglehead Contest 2015 | lang may yer lum reek
Sam I Am
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Sam I Am »

Message deleted.
Last edited by Sam I Am on Mon Oct 07, 2013 12:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by abuss368 »

1464.25
John C. Bogle: “Simplicity is the master key to financial success."
mark18068
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by mark18068 »

1,614.88
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Boglenaut
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Boglenaut »

1585.
serge
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by serge »

1633.99

One can only hope.

Serge
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JMacDonald
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by JMacDonald »

1554.67
Best Wishes, | Joe
Drew31
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Drew31 »

1501.01
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elgob.bogle
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by elgob.bogle »

1313.13 Apparently, I was a year early when I guessed this last year, so I'll try again.

elgob
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Boglenaut
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Boglenaut »

k66 wrote:Rearranging the digits comprising 2012's closing value naturally provides an indication of 2013's, ergo:

2061.24

I hope you win. :)
investor
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by investor »

1640.12 is my bullish guess.

investor
shantster
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by shantster »

1504.31
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mlewis
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by mlewis »

1568.50
hudson
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by hudson »

1497

up 5%
ftobin
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by ftobin »

1533.15
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xystici
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by xystici »

1547.42

To a great 2013. :wink:
Trust yourself, Break the rules, Don't be afraid to fail, Don't listen to naysayers, Work your butt off. "It is in your moments of decision that your destiny is shaped. Choose now and well"
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wilpat
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by wilpat »

1531.21
Contrary to the belief of many, profit is not a four letter word!
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pennstater2005
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by pennstater2005 »

1594.26

Thanks Taylor and Ralph.
“If you think nobody cares if you're alive, try missing a couple of car payments.” – Earl Wilson
MitchL
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by MitchL »

1300.
longinvest
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by longinvest »

1654.32
Bogleheads investment philosophy | One-ETF global balanced index portfolio | VPW
Cuzz35
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Cuzz35 »

1602.46

Congrats to TaintedMeat and good luck to everyone in 2013.
HawkeyeMike
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by HawkeyeMike »

1550.98
jaekwilson
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by jaekwilson »

1575.50
Steve K
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by Steve K »

1500.35
RTR2006
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by RTR2006 »

1528.91

Good luck to all...

RTR
dad2000
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by dad2000 »

1616.16
mikeast
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1529

Post by mikeast »

1529.
tim1999
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by tim1999 »

1355.74
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theduke
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by theduke »

1555.0
rr2
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Re: 2013 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION

Post by rr2 »

1283.63
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