more mutual fund vs ETF questions

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hudson4351
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more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by hudson4351 »

I've already read the Investing FAQ section regarding mutual funds [1] vs ETFs and the ETFs vs mutual funds page [2] as well as several multi-page forum discussions on the topic but still have questions I have been unable to find answers to:

1. VTIAX has an ER of 0.11% and VXUS has an ER of 0.07%. Based on this I would expect VXUS to outperform VTIAX in any given year by about $40 per $10,000 invested/year, yet this link shows that VTIAX slightly outperformed VXUS over the period shown:

https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/fun ... sisResults

EDIT: correct link: https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/fun ... mbols=VXUS

Why?

2. Vanguard has started sending me emails regarding converting my mutual funds to ETFs (currently I only hold VTSAX, VTIAX, and VWIUX). The quotes in the email say the following:
ETFs (exchange-traded funds) have the built-in diversification of a mutual fund with the trading flexibility and real-time prices of an individual stock.
You'd like more control and visibility of your trade prices. You can trade Vanguard ETFs® in real time and in multiple ways.
This information echoes information in the 2 Bogleheads wiki links I posted, but my question is: Why should the average Vanguard investor be so concerned with real-time prices and having more trading flexibility? Isn't Vanguard about long-term, buy and hold investing?

Is the average investor who makes 1-2 contributions/month toward some long-term goal really going to get ahead by using ETFs so they can carefully time each of those monthly contributions?

If not, then what subset of Vanguard customers stand to benefit from the flexibility of their ETFs? Perhaps I'm not familiar with the full range of funds they offer. I assume they don't offer any of the types of ETFs that are only intended to be held for short periods of time (leveraged, etc.)?

[1] https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Investi ... nds_(ETFs)

[2] https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/ETFs_vs_mutual_funds
Last edited by hudson4351 on Tue Sep 12, 2023 1:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.
muffins14
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by muffins14 »

hudson4351 wrote: Tue Sep 12, 2023 10:24 am
Is the average investor who makes 1-2 contributions/month toward some long-term goal really going to get ahead by using ETFs so they can carefully time each of those monthly contributions?

If not, then what subset of Vanguard customers stand to benefit from the flexibility of their ETFs?
It’s not about carefully timing your monthly contributions or leveraged ETFs etc.

Say you want to do tax-loss harvesting because the price of an ETF is down 2% and you have a 2% short term loss.

With an ETF you can sell at that price and buy the alternative investment at that moment. Whether it’s 9:32am or 1:59 or 3:59

With a mutual fund you cannot. You just ask for the exchange or sale and you get the end of day price. Maybe by the end of the day there is no loss, so you missed out on some tax savings and/or carryover losses

Will that wreck your retirement? No, but I want what I want when I want it.
Crom laughs at your Four Winds
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Artsdoctor
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by Artsdoctor »

Mutual funds and ETFs both have their pros and cons.

There is no ETF version of VWIUX (the tax-exempt intermediate-term fund).

The performances of the mutual fund and ETF versions are going to be very similar, as is the tax efficiency. For performance, you'll have to factor in the vagaries of an ETF's market price, NAV, bid/ask spread but you're still going to have similar results.
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hudson4351
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by hudson4351 »

Artsdoctor wrote: Tue Sep 12, 2023 11:15 am Mutual funds and ETFs both have their pros and cons.
I understand that. My question is who specifically benefits from the advantages of the ETF? As I said in my post above, it isn't really clear to me.
Artsdoctor wrote: Tue Sep 12, 2023 11:15 am The performances of the mutual fund and ETF versions are going to be very similar, as is the tax efficiency. For performance, you'll have to factor in the vagaries of an ETF's market price, NAV, bid/ask spread but you're still going to have similar results.
For VTIAX vs VXUS, why does portfolio visualizer report that VTIAX outperforms VXUS for a single lump sum $10,000 investment when the VXUS ER is 4 bps lower?
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hudson4351
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by hudson4351 »

muffins14 wrote: Tue Sep 12, 2023 10:44 am
hudson4351 wrote: Tue Sep 12, 2023 10:24 am
Is the average investor who makes 1-2 contributions/month toward some long-term goal really going to get ahead by using ETFs so they can carefully time each of those monthly contributions?

If not, then what subset of Vanguard customers stand to benefit from the flexibility of their ETFs?
It’s not about carefully timing your monthly contributions or leveraged ETFs etc.

Say you want to do tax-loss harvesting because the price of an ETF is down 2% and you have a 2% short term loss.

With an ETF you can sell at that price and buy the alternative investment at that moment. Whether it’s 9:32am or 1:59 or 3:59

With a mutual fund you cannot. You just ask for the exchange or sale and you get the end of day price. Maybe by the end of the day there is no loss, so you missed out on some tax savings and/or carryover losses

Will that wreck your retirement? No, but I want what I want when I want it.
Do you have to set up some type of automated buy/sell order in order to capitalize on an intraday 2% dip in prices? That seems like a lot of work to monitor if there's no automated way of doing it.
livesoft
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by livesoft »

If Vanguard can get rid of all its employees dealing with customers and mutual funds, then it can benefit by saving on costs. Vanguard and still exist by providing ETFs to people who use other brokerages to hold those ETFs without bothering Vanguard at all.
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exodusNH
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by exodusNH »

hudson4351 wrote: Tue Sep 12, 2023 12:43 pm
Artsdoctor wrote: Tue Sep 12, 2023 11:15 am Mutual funds and ETFs both have their pros and cons.
I understand that. My question is who specifically benefits from the advantages of the ETF? As I said in my post above, it isn't really clear to me.
Artsdoctor wrote: Tue Sep 12, 2023 11:15 am The performances of the mutual fund and ETF versions are going to be very similar, as is the tax efficiency. For performance, you'll have to factor in the vagaries of an ETF's market price, NAV, bid/ask spread but you're still going to have similar results.
For VTIAX vs VXUS, why does portfolio visualizer report that VTIAX outperforms VXUS for a single lump sum $10,000 investment when the VXUS ER is 4 bps lower?
The fund sponsor is probably the one that benefits the most, which is why the ER is lower.

Customers also benefit from the ability to easily move brokers. While a lot of work has been done to make it look easy, mutual funds work on a whole different mechanism than stocks and ETFs.

"Costs matter" was more important when mutual funds had front end loads of 3-6% and ERs up to 1%. The difference between 0.11 and 0.04 is almost meaningless.

The ETF can trade above or below the NAV of the underlying assets. That will affect the returns.

Finally, it's possible that the ER of VXUS has changed over time. It would not be surprising if it were closer to 0.11 at the beginning.
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arcticpineapplecorp.
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by arcticpineapplecorp. »

hudson4351 wrote: Tue Sep 12, 2023 12:43 pm
Artsdoctor wrote: Tue Sep 12, 2023 11:15 am Mutual funds and ETFs both have their pros and cons.
I understand that. My question is who specifically benefits from the advantages of the ETF? As I said in my post above, it isn't really clear to me.
Artsdoctor wrote: Tue Sep 12, 2023 11:15 am The performances of the mutual fund and ETF versions are going to be very similar, as is the tax efficiency. For performance, you'll have to factor in the vagaries of an ETF's market price, NAV, bid/ask spread but you're still going to have similar results.
For VTIAX vs VXUS, why does portfolio visualizer report that VTIAX outperforms VXUS for a single lump sum $10,000 investment when the VXUS ER is 4 bps lower?
1. always be to use the proper tense. VTIAX may have outperformed but that doesn't mean it will outperform (future). we simply don't know so we shouldn't say what will happen.

2. i don't know what accounts for the difference, though I suggest you read this past post by William Bernstein who set out to compare the returns of some etfs vs mutual funds here: viewtopic.php?t=368277. That being said, I believe etfs don't reinvest on the same date dividends are paid out while I believe mutual funds do. So that might have accounted for some of the lag.

3. the differences between both are likely to be so insignificant to your overall portfolio over time. It's not going to be meaningful, so there are more important things to worry about. Said a different way, just pick whichever you want and get on with your life. I use mutual funds because I've invested before etfs started and I'm not as familiar with the mechanics (buying at discount, marketable limit orders, etc). But if you're comfortable with them use them. They can be more helpful for tax loss harvesting (I think I heard Tim Buckley say that in a webinar once) because you have greater control of what you're buying/selling. If you buy/sell a mutual fund you get the price at close (4 p.m.) but don't know what that is when you take that action. But I've also helped my mom TLH and she only has mutual funds and it was fine.

4. if you're talking about buying in a retirement account the differences are even less important because you can't TLH there.

5. finally, the link you provided did not take you where you think it did. After you get your results at portfoliovisualizer you have to click on "link" next to fund information:

Image

if you click link after you input then list the link you get this:

https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/fun ... mbols=VXUS

Image

statistically insignificant, right?
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SpanishInquisition
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by SpanishInquisition »

I prefer mutual funds. No bid-ask spread and they keep me from tinkering too much.

If I am going to use an ETF on the side primarily for tax loss harvesting I research the bid-ask spread (for me must be .02 or .01 percent), the tax cost ratio, and the expense ratio. But more and more I just move solely to mutual funds, and the great majority of my assets are in zero or extremely low expense ratio Fidelity, Vanguard and TSP mutual funds.

I used only mutual funds for a very long time. ETFs are interesting but I think result in people (a.k.a., me) screwing around too much and basically throwing money in the trash can. Nowadays the mutual fund round trip types of restrictions keep me moving nice and careful and thoughtful and easy and slow, instead of me trying to be too cute by half around the edges with ETFs or fretting about exactly what time a trade executes. I think on one level or another we are all vulnerable to day trader psychology and ETFs amplify that aspect of human nature quite a bit and even if you are superhuman psychologically I think in the end the equivalent ETFs are slightly costlier due to bid-ask spreads, and in my case I have access to certain near-equivalent mutual funds with clearly lower expense ratios. The majority of my money is invested at zero percent expense ratio and with absolutely no trading costs. That’s where I land. Mission accomplished.

To me this back-testing stuff is to some extent a lot of noise—interesting but again playing into the day-trading type of psychology. Understanding the efficient market hypothesis and how it relates to my particular asset allocation going forward is for me the most important thing to study.
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by muffins14 »

hudson4351 wrote: Tue Sep 12, 2023 12:44 pm
muffins14 wrote: Tue Sep 12, 2023 10:44 am
hudson4351 wrote: Tue Sep 12, 2023 10:24 am
Is the average investor who makes 1-2 contributions/month toward some long-term goal really going to get ahead by using ETFs so they can carefully time each of those monthly contributions?

If not, then what subset of Vanguard customers stand to benefit from the flexibility of their ETFs?
It’s not about carefully timing your monthly contributions or leveraged ETFs etc.

Say you want to do tax-loss harvesting because the price of an ETF is down 2% and you have a 2% short term loss.

With an ETF you can sell at that price and buy the alternative investment at that moment. Whether it’s 9:32am or 1:59 or 3:59

With a mutual fund you cannot. You just ask for the exchange or sale and you get the end of day price. Maybe by the end of the day there is no loss, so you missed out on some tax savings and/or carryover losses

Will that wreck your retirement? No, but I want what I want when I want it.
Do you have to set up some type of automated buy/sell order in order to capitalize on an intraday 2% dip in prices? That seems like a lot of work to monitor if there's no automated way of doing it.
Of course not.

Say I log in over lunch. It takes 5 seconds on an iPhone.
I see prices are down. I have a loss.
30 seconds later I am done with TLH. Nothing automated
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by Jack FFR1846 »

Say you decide to leave Vanguard and go somewhere else. How much flexibility will you have with your mutual funds? You certainly can likely keep them and sell them but you probably can't buy more without paying outrageous fees. ETFs are easy and free everywhere.
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by frugal314 »

After many decades as a loyal Vanguard customer, I am preparing to
move my Vanguard holdings to another firm, probably Schwab and/or
Fidelity.

The funds at Vanguard are currently in index mutual funds. The
representatives at Schwab and Fidelity have indicated that there will
be no problem moving those funds over, and that there would be no fees
associated with selling them in the future. I am quite certain that I
will have no need to buy any more of these funds, as I am retired, and
live off the dividends and distributions.

Several posts have alluded to the importance of converting mutual
funds to ETFS prior to transferring to a new brokerage.

So my question is whether there is some reason, that I am missing, for
me to convert these mutual funds to ETFs? If so, what would that
reason be?
exodusNH
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by exodusNH »

frugal314 wrote: Sun Sep 17, 2023 4:17 pm After many decades as a loyal Vanguard customer, I am preparing to
move my Vanguard holdings to another firm, probably Schwab and/or
Fidelity.

The funds at Vanguard are currently in index mutual funds. The
representatives at Schwab and Fidelity have indicated that there will
be no problem moving those funds over, and that there would be no fees
associated with selling them in the future. I am quite certain that I
will have no need to buy any more of these funds, as I am retired, and
live off the dividends and distributions.

Several posts have alluded to the importance of converting mutual
funds to ETFS prior to transferring to a new brokerage.

So my question is whether there is some reason, that I am missing, for
me to convert these mutual funds to ETFs? If so, what would that
reason be?
At some point, they could impose a fee for selling. You could also want to move to a different brokerage in the future.

Converting them now gives you maximum future flexibility.
the_wiki
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by the_wiki »

muffins14 wrote: Tue Sep 12, 2023 10:44 am
hudson4351 wrote: Tue Sep 12, 2023 10:24 am
Is the average investor who makes 1-2 contributions/month toward some long-term goal really going to get ahead by using ETFs so they can carefully time each of those monthly contributions?

If not, then what subset of Vanguard customers stand to benefit from the flexibility of their ETFs?
It’s not about carefully timing your monthly contributions or leveraged ETFs etc.

Say you want to do tax-loss harvesting because the price of an ETF is down 2% and you have a 2% short term loss.

With an ETF you can sell at that price and buy the alternative investment at that moment. Whether it’s 9:32am or 1:59 or 3:59

With a mutual fund you cannot. You just ask for the exchange or sale and you get the end of day price. Maybe by the end of the day there is no loss, so you missed out on some tax savings and/or carryover losses

Will that wreck your retirement? No, but I want what I want when I want it.
There is no way of knowing when the best price to buy and sell is. If you log in and see it is down 2% at 11am, you have no way of knowing if that is the bottom or just the start of a longer dip. It could be down 5% by market close for all you know. Since we cannot know when the lowest or highest price of the day is, there is no benefit to picking a random time vs closing time. Over the long term you are likely to be wrong as often as you are right, which is the same thing that happens with mutual funds.
the_wiki
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by the_wiki »

Jack FFR1846 wrote: Tue Sep 12, 2023 11:10 pm Say you decide to leave Vanguard and go somewhere else. How much flexibility will you have with your mutual funds? You certainly can likely keep them and sell them but you probably can't buy more without paying outrageous fees. ETFs are easy and free everywhere.
If this is a situation you find yourself in, it's not like you are going to be over a barrel. Just buy an alternative free mutual fund at your new broker going forward. Or buy the ETF. Not exactly painted into a corner.
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by muffins14 »

the_wiki wrote: Sun Sep 17, 2023 9:26 pm
muffins14 wrote: Tue Sep 12, 2023 10:44 am
hudson4351 wrote: Tue Sep 12, 2023 10:24 am
Is the average investor who makes 1-2 contributions/month toward some long-term goal really going to get ahead by using ETFs so they can carefully time each of those monthly contributions?

If not, then what subset of Vanguard customers stand to benefit from the flexibility of their ETFs?
It’s not about carefully timing your monthly contributions or leveraged ETFs etc.

Say you want to do tax-loss harvesting because the price of an ETF is down 2% and you have a 2% short term loss.

With an ETF you can sell at that price and buy the alternative investment at that moment. Whether it’s 9:32am or 1:59 or 3:59

With a mutual fund you cannot. You just ask for the exchange or sale and you get the end of day price. Maybe by the end of the day there is no loss, so you missed out on some tax savings and/or carryover losses

Will that wreck your retirement? No, but I want what I want when I want it.
There is no way of knowing when the best price to buy and sell is. If you log in and see it is down 2% at 11am, you have no way of knowing if that is the bottom or just the start of a longer dip. It could be down 5% by market close for all you know. Since we cannot know when the lowest or highest price of the day is, there is no benefit to picking a random time vs closing time. Over the long term you are likely to be wrong as often as you are right, which is the same thing that happens with mutual funds.

sure there is. At least I can know with certainty that I am recording a loss. I can’t do that if I have issue the order but later get the end of day price. You don’t have to be perfect to harvest losses. A dollar is a dollar
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beyou
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by beyou »

livesoft wrote: Tue Sep 12, 2023 1:07 pm If Vanguard can get rid of all its employees dealing with customers and mutual funds, then it can benefit by saving on costs. Vanguard and still exist by providing ETFs to people who use other brokerages to hold those ETFs without bothering Vanguard at all.
But this is unlikely to ever occur since MANY, even the majority of Vanguard funds have no ETF equivalent.
It is very costly to create a new fund, of either kind, so they have to analyze the demand and act accordingly.
Niche and active funds do not have ETF equivalents offered by Vanguard.

Personally I have moved almost completely to ETFs, except I own a Vanguard single state muni fund, for which they sell no equivalent.
There is an ishares similar fund, but at much higher ER compared to the open end Vanguard fund, which I refuse to pay.
When ishares or other ETFs are competitive with Vanguard, I have bought them over a Vanguard open end fund.
For instance, The Inflation-Protected Fund has 2 open end series (Investor and Admiral) but even the Admiral is not competitive with
a nearly identical ETF, SCHP from Schwab. 10bp vs 4 bps. At this point I have ETFs from ishares/BlackRock, this one Schwab fund and VTI etc,
along with 2 Vanguard open end fixed income/mmkt funds. I buy best products available for each asset class, and that happens to often mean buying ETFs as there are many that are priced very low. And only due to my Vanguard fixed income and ETF open end funds, I still hold at Vanguard brokerage.
This is the other often stated benefit, that ETFs are easy to port to other brokers, but I like having the option of buying Admiral open end funds and to me, that means Vanguard brokerage and funds, most of the time (since some Vanguard Admiral funds are available no place else but at Vanguard).
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by the_wiki »

muffins14 wrote: Sun Sep 17, 2023 9:40 pm

sure there is. At least I can know with certainty that I am recording a loss. I can’t do that if I have issue the order but later get the end of day price. You don’t have to be perfect to harvest losses. A dollar is a dollar
I wouldn't be harvesting losses that small, but either way, you can put in your order at 3:58 if you want to be sure.
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beyou
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by beyou »

frugal314 wrote: Sun Sep 17, 2023 4:17 pm After many decades as a loyal Vanguard customer, I am preparing to
move my Vanguard holdings to another firm, probably Schwab and/or
Fidelity.

The funds at Vanguard are currently in index mutual funds. The
representatives at Schwab and Fidelity have indicated that there will
be no problem moving those funds over, and that there would be no fees
associated with selling them in the future. I am quite certain that I
will have no need to buy any more of these funds, as I am retired, and
live off the dividends and distributions.

Several posts have alluded to the importance of converting mutual
funds to ETFS prior to transferring to a new brokerage.

So my question is whether there is some reason, that I am missing, for
me to convert these mutual funds to ETFs? If so, what would that
reason be?
There are some Vanguard open end funds that cannot be transferred to any other brokerage.
I hold one of them, VNYUX in my case, but there are others. You can generally buy the investor class at higher ER in such cases
when the Admiral and Investor both still exist, at other brokers. Etrade is probably the best in terms of having commission free trading
of Vanguard funds, but they still don't have my VNYUX Admiral fund available nor can I transfer it over to them nor anyplace else I know of.
I could live without this Admiral fund if I really hated Vanguard customer service, but I do not.
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beyou
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by beyou »

I find rebalancing easier with ETFs.
I can see all my holdings value right now and make the change right now, instead of guessing what amount of rebalancing I need
at TBD prices later that day. Lived without this before, but then again people used to drive cars without seatbelts, but I wear mine !
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by the_wiki »

beyou wrote: Sun Sep 17, 2023 9:48 pm I find rebalancing easier with ETFs.
I can see all my holdings value right now and make the change right now, instead of guessing what amount of rebalancing I need
at TBD prices later that day. Lived without this before, but then again people used to drive cars without seatbelts, but I wear mine !
I find it easier to rebalance when prices aren't moving on me while making trade orders.
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beyou
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by beyou »

the_wiki wrote: Sun Sep 17, 2023 9:55 pm
beyou wrote: Sun Sep 17, 2023 9:48 pm I find rebalancing easier with ETFs.
I can see all my holdings value right now and make the change right now, instead of guessing what amount of rebalancing I need
at TBD prices later that day. Lived without this before, but then again people used to drive cars without seatbelts, but I wear mine !
I find it easier to rebalance when prices aren't moving on me while making trade orders.
Easier mechanically yes, but less accurate end result.
The prices ARE moving, you just don't know how much with open end funds.
With ETF you can see how much they moved since prior close unlike an open end fund.
the_wiki
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by the_wiki »

beyou wrote: Sun Sep 17, 2023 10:00 pm
the_wiki wrote: Sun Sep 17, 2023 9:55 pm
beyou wrote: Sun Sep 17, 2023 9:48 pm I find rebalancing easier with ETFs.
I can see all my holdings value right now and make the change right now, instead of guessing what amount of rebalancing I need
at TBD prices later that day. Lived without this before, but then again people used to drive cars without seatbelts, but I wear mine !
I find it easier to rebalance when prices aren't moving on me while making trade orders.
Easier mechanically yes, but less accurate end result.
The prices ARE moving, you just don't know how much with open end funds.
With ETF you can see how much they moved since prior close unlike an open end fund.
It's a pretty moot point, because as soon as you trade, prices will still be moving in between trades. You will already be off before your trades can execute. Not to mention that kind of precision is meaningless anyway.
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jeffyscott
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by jeffyscott »

exodusNH wrote: Sun Sep 17, 2023 5:56 pm
frugal314 wrote: Sun Sep 17, 2023 4:17 pm After many decades as a loyal Vanguard customer, I am preparing to
move my Vanguard holdings to another firm, probably Schwab and/or
Fidelity.

The funds at Vanguard are currently in index mutual funds. The
representatives at Schwab and Fidelity have indicated that there will
be no problem moving those funds over, and that there would be no fees
associated with selling them in the future. I am quite certain that I
will have no need to buy any more of these funds, as I am retired, and
live off the dividends and distributions.

Several posts have alluded to the importance of converting mutual
funds to ETFS prior to transferring to a new brokerage.

So my question is whether there is some reason, that I am missing, for
me to convert these mutual funds to ETFs? If so, what would that
reason be?
At some point, they could impose a fee for selling. You could also want to move to a different brokerage in the future.

Converting them now gives you maximum future flexibility.
Sure, theoretically, Schwab or Fidelity could begin charging transaction fees on mutual fund sales, instead of only on purchases. But then one could simply transfer the mutual funds elsewhere, where fees are not charged. If nothing else, going back to Vanguard would always be an option as they will presumably always allow free trading of their own mutual funds.

But I'm not sure how ETFs protect one from changes like that? Schwab, Fidelity, or Vanguard could return to charging commissions on ETF trades. Again the solution would be to move and Vanguard would presumably always offer free trading of their own ETFs.

Is there any reason to expect either thing to happen? Did Fidelity or Schwab ever charge transaction fees to sell mutual funds or has their model always been to only charge for purchases? We do know that until fairly recently charging commission on ETF trades was the norm, so a return to that does not seem to be impossible.
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by aj76er »

frugal314 wrote: Sun Sep 17, 2023 4:17 pm After many decades as a loyal Vanguard customer, I am preparing to
move my Vanguard holdings to another firm, probably Schwab and/or
Fidelity.

The funds at Vanguard are currently in index mutual funds. The
representatives at Schwab and Fidelity have indicated that there will
be no problem moving those funds over, and that there would be no fees
associated with selling them in the future. I am quite certain that I
will have no need to buy any more of these funds, as I am retired, and
live off the dividends and distributions.

Several posts have alluded to the importance of converting mutual
funds to ETFS prior to transferring to a new brokerage.

So my question is whether there is some reason, that I am missing, for
me to convert these mutual funds to ETFs? If so, what would that
reason be?
Three reasons:

1. Tax gain harvesting potential
2. Rebalancing opportunities (i.e. in the event of a market crash or otherwise)
3. Ability to donate appreciated lots

For #1 and #2 you avoid purchase fees by using ETFs. For #3, this much easier with ETFs, and may not even be possible with mutual funds.
"Buy-and-hold, long-term, all-market-index strategies, implemented at rock-bottom cost, are the surest of all routes to the accumulation of wealth" - John C. Bogle
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by exodusNH »

jeffyscott wrote: Sun Sep 17, 2023 10:10 pm
exodusNH wrote: Sun Sep 17, 2023 5:56 pm
frugal314 wrote: Sun Sep 17, 2023 4:17 pm After many decades as a loyal Vanguard customer, I am preparing to
move my Vanguard holdings to another firm, probably Schwab and/or
Fidelity.

The funds at Vanguard are currently in index mutual funds. The
representatives at Schwab and Fidelity have indicated that there will
be no problem moving those funds over, and that there would be no fees
associated with selling them in the future. I am quite certain that I
will have no need to buy any more of these funds, as I am retired, and
live off the dividends and distributions.

Several posts have alluded to the importance of converting mutual
funds to ETFS prior to transferring to a new brokerage.

So my question is whether there is some reason, that I am missing, for
me to convert these mutual funds to ETFs? If so, what would that
reason be?
At some point, they could impose a fee for selling. You could also want to move to a different brokerage in the future.

Converting them now gives you maximum future flexibility.
Sure, theoretically, Schwab or Fidelity could begin charging transaction fees on mutual fund sales, instead of only on purchases. But then one could simply transfer the mutual funds elsewhere, where fees are not charged. If nothing else, going back to Vanguard would always be an option as they will presumably always allow free trading of their own mutual funds.

But I'm not sure how ETFs protect one from changes like that? Schwab, Fidelity, or Vanguard could return to charging commissions on ETF trades. Again the solution would be to move and Vanguard would presumably always offer free trading of their own ETFs.

Is there any reason to expect either thing to happen? Did Fidelity or Schwab ever charge transaction fees to sell mutual funds or has their model always been to only charge for purchases? We do know that until fairly recently charging commission on ETF trades was the norm, so a return to that does not seem to be impossible.
My point was simply that ETFs a) are the future and b) will give you the most flexibility. This is not to say mutual funds have a particular expiration date.

Mutual funds do not trade like ETFs. Each broker that offers a particular mutual fund family has a bespoke connection to the sponsor. (This is confusingly called "network".) Someone has to maintain and monitor that connection.

ETFs trade like stocks. Nothing bespoke. They give you the most future flexibility since a brokerage gets that functionality as an intrinsic part of existing.

Of course, you could transfer back to Vanguard. No guarantee there won't be fees imposed, like they've been slowly adding (by raising the bar for free accounts).
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by beyou »

the_wiki wrote: Sun Sep 17, 2023 10:09 pm
beyou wrote: Sun Sep 17, 2023 10:00 pm
the_wiki wrote: Sun Sep 17, 2023 9:55 pm
beyou wrote: Sun Sep 17, 2023 9:48 pm I find rebalancing easier with ETFs.
I can see all my holdings value right now and make the change right now, instead of guessing what amount of rebalancing I need
at TBD prices later that day. Lived without this before, but then again people used to drive cars without seatbelts, but I wear mine !
I find it easier to rebalance when prices aren't moving on me while making trade orders.
Easier mechanically yes, but less accurate end result.
The prices ARE moving, you just don't know how much with open end funds.
With ETF you can see how much they moved since prior close unlike an open end fund.
It's a pretty moot point, because as soon as you trade, prices will still be moving in between trades. You will already be off before your trades can execute. Not to mention that kind of precision is meaningless anyway.
Depends how much the market has moved, but in any case more accurate than with open end funds. I see no downside to etf reblancing, only for open end funds. Yeah you can live with the precision of open end funds, but you can do better. And just because better is not perfect, it is still better. I see no reason to settle and it is not complicated to do at all.
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by CloseEnough »

I have some of both. My eyes kind of blur over trying to read threads like this about the differences, pros and cons.

I've pretty much decided it does not make all that much difference.
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by nisiprius »

hudson4351 wrote: Tue Sep 12, 2023 10:24 am... 1. VTIAX has an ER of 0.11% and VXUS has an ER of 0.07%. Based on this I would expect VXUS to outperform VTIAX in any given year by about $40 per $10,000 invested/year, yet this link shows that VTIAX slightly outperformed VXUS over the period shown:

https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/fun ... mbols=VXUS

Why?
Interesting, isn't it?

People love to use verbal reasoning and rhetorical debating to come to investing conclusions, and it's really amazing how many of them don't stack up to historical checking. "When X happens, investors react by doing Y, so Z happens." And you check and the last time X happened, Z didn't happen.

The simple "answer" is that the expense ratio is only one of many factors affecting performance, and when expense ratios were commonly in 1%+ territory, they were an important factor, but when they are less than 0.10% or so, they are lost in the noise.
Vanguard has started sending me emails regarding converting my mutual funds to ETFs (currently I only hold VTSAX, VTIAX, and VWIUX). The quotes in the email say the following:
ETFs (exchange-traded funds) have the built-in diversification of a mutual fund with the trading flexibility and real-time prices of an individual stock.... You'd like more control and visibility of your trade prices. You can trade Vanguard ETFs® in real time and in multiple ways.
Why should the average Vanguard investor be so concerned with real-time prices and having more trading flexibility?
They shouldn't. Vanguard wants investors to switch and they are writing to persuade, not to inform.
...what subset of Vanguard customers stand to benefit from the flexibility of their ETFs?...
The ones that do know who they are and already switched, or never used mutual funds in the first place.

It's nonsense. It's all nonsense. It's just that simple. Like Diet Coke versus Coke Zero, You could probably argue for hours about which is better, and each side could muster facts and research, and still be fooled if someone handed them a Diet Pepsi and asked them to identify it.
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by CloseEnough »

nisiprius wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2023 7:29 am
It's nonsense. It's all nonsense. It's just that simple. Like Diet Coke versus Coke Zero, You could probably argue for hours about which is better, and each side could muster facts and research, and still be fooled if someone handed them a Diet Pepsi and asked them to identify it.
Ahh, now this does not make my eyes blur over. Just confirms my thinking.
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by BrooklynInvest »

My typical holding period is decades. I care not one whit about intra-day trading... or trading for that matter so fund or ETF is largely irrelevant.

Absent an analysis of their fund accounting processes and systems, the performance difference is perhaps a result of timing within the portfolio - when incoming cash was invested, same in reverse. One perhaps faster to deploy cash than the other or keeps a different (very small) cash reserve so there'll be a minuscule performance difference relative to the other.

4 bps I'm not worrying about ever.

Both good solutions that clear the primary two hurdles - Are they indexed and are they low cost? The rest is irrelevant to me.
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by calmaniac »

hudson4351 wrote: Tue Sep 12, 2023 10:24 am I've already read the Investing FAQ section regarding mutual funds [1] vs ETFs and the ETFs vs mutual funds page [2] as well as several multi-page forum discussions on the topic but still have questions I have been unable to find answers to:

1. VTIAX has an ER of 0.11% and VXUS has an ER of 0.07%. Based on this I would expect VXUS to outperform VTIAX in any given year by about $40 per $10,000 invested/year, yet this link shows that VTIAX slightly outperformed VXUS over the period shown:

https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/fun ... sisResults

EDIT: correct link: https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/fun ... mbols=VXUS

Why?


You are missing a decimal point. There is an ER difference of 0.04% between VTIAX and VXUS. For 10,000 that comes out to $4 a year difference in expenses.
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by jeffyscott »

hudson4351 wrote: Tue Sep 12, 2023 10:24 am 1. VTIAX has an ER of 0.11% and VXUS has an ER of 0.07%. Based on this I would expect VXUS to outperform VTIAX in any given year by about $40 per $10,000 invested/year, yet this link shows that VTIAX slightly outperformed VXUS over the period shown:
Two things of possible interest, neither of which really explain the results, but do narrow the time frame in which you might look for the explanation:

The ETF shares originally had the same ER as the mutual fund shares. If you change the start date to August 2012, the ETF performance beats the mutual fund by 2 BP. So the better performance of the mutual fund appears to have occurred sometime during the initial 18 months after the creation of the ETF.

Changing the end date to August 2012, gives results of -5.96% for the mutual fund and -6.48% for the ETF:

https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/fun ... F31%2F2012

Oh, at Morningstar I do not see this. For the period 1/31/11 to 8/30/12, they show $10K going to $8995.46 in the ETF and $8995.39 in the mutual fund. M* is using the NAV for the ETF, so perhaps initially the price deviated from the NAV. It looks like they have the NAV going from 50.53 (on 2/2/11) to 43.07 (on 8/30/12) during that period (I can only seem to get the NAV weekly, even though the chart is set to daily).

According to yahoo finance the closing price of VXUS was $50.95 on 2/1/11 and $50.69 on 2/2/11. Then on 8/30/12, they show a closing price of $43.02. So maybe these early deviations from the NAV are the explanation? (assuming PV is using the price :?: )

From 2/2/11 to 8/30/12 the price change was -15.13% and NAV change was -14.76% for VXUS.
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by the_wiki »

beyou wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2023 6:03 am
the_wiki wrote: Sun Sep 17, 2023 10:09 pm
beyou wrote: Sun Sep 17, 2023 10:00 pm
the_wiki wrote: Sun Sep 17, 2023 9:55 pm
beyou wrote: Sun Sep 17, 2023 9:48 pm I find rebalancing easier with ETFs.
I can see all my holdings value right now and make the change right now, instead of guessing what amount of rebalancing I need
at TBD prices later that day. Lived without this before, but then again people used to drive cars without seatbelts, but I wear mine !
I find it easier to rebalance when prices aren't moving on me while making trade orders.
Easier mechanically yes, but less accurate end result.
The prices ARE moving, you just don't know how much with open end funds.
With ETF you can see how much they moved since prior close unlike an open end fund.
It's a pretty moot point, because as soon as you trade, prices will still be moving in between trades. You will already be off before your trades can execute. Not to mention that kind of precision is meaningless anyway.
Depends how much the market has moved, but in any case more accurate than with open end funds. I see no downside to etf reblancing, only for open end funds. Yeah you can live with the precision of open end funds, but you can do better. And just because better is not perfect, it is still better. I see no reason to settle and it is not complicated to do at all.
I use both ETFs and Mutual funds in different accounts. So I'm not just trying to blindly defend mutual funds. I simply do not think what you are saying is true.

1 trading day later the percentages will have moved a fraction. Whether this happens right before the trades are executed, or it happens directly after, it makes no difference. Especially over more time.

The thing mutual funds have going for them is exact dollar amount trades/swaps and no bid/ask spread. And since you are trading in dollars, it doesn't really matter what the executed price is. You just say swap $20k of Fund A for Fund B. With an ETF it might be $20,045.37 due to the spread and small price movements during execution. And then you buy Fund B and it works out to be 19979.21 due to share price and spreads. Now you have some spare change rolling around in your account. It just doesn't seem like you can talk precision when the trading process is so imprecise.
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by beyou »

the_wiki wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2023 9:49 am
beyou wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2023 6:03 am
the_wiki wrote: Sun Sep 17, 2023 10:09 pm
beyou wrote: Sun Sep 17, 2023 10:00 pm
the_wiki wrote: Sun Sep 17, 2023 9:55 pm

I find it easier to rebalance when prices aren't moving on me while making trade orders.
Easier mechanically yes, but less accurate end result.
The prices ARE moving, you just don't know how much with open end funds.
With ETF you can see how much they moved since prior close unlike an open end fund.
It's a pretty moot point, because as soon as you trade, prices will still be moving in between trades. You will already be off before your trades can execute. Not to mention that kind of precision is meaningless anyway.
Depends how much the market has moved, but in any case more accurate than with open end funds. I see no downside to etf reblancing, only for open end funds. Yeah you can live with the precision of open end funds, but you can do better. And just because better is not perfect, it is still better. I see no reason to settle and it is not complicated to do at all.
I use both ETFs and Mutual funds in different accounts. So I'm not just trying to blindly defend mutual funds. I simply do not think what you are saying is true.

1 trading day later the percentages will have moved a fraction. Whether this happens right before the trades are executed, or it happens directly after, it makes no difference. Especially over more time.

The thing mutual funds have going for them is exact dollar amount trades/swaps and no bid/ask spread. And since you are trading in dollars, it doesn't really matter what the executed price is. You just say swap $20k of Fund A for Fund B. With an ETF it might be $20,045.37 due to the spread and small price movements during execution. And then you buy Fund B and it works out to be 19979.21 due to share price and spreads. Now you have some spare change rolling around in your account. It just doesn't seem like you can talk precision when the trading process is so imprecise.
When there are extraordinary events (like Black Monday, Oct 1987), the change in value from prior evening can be quite extensive.

The bid/ask spread on major ETFs is also very tiny, not enough to matter. I try to avoid thinly traded ETFs where that would matter. And you do realize that when you sell an open end fund, if the manager sells shares of underlying investments, the fund loses to bid/ask spreads of underlying securities (which could be large or small depending on asset class). The bid ask spread is way overdone in bh discussions.

Ease of use is a matter if opinion, I find both easy to trade.
But accuracy, there is no doubt which is more reliable.
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by jeffyscott »

^ Accuracy of what? :confused

It appears this particular debate is about rebalancing? If so, then I'm not sure why you think "accuracy" matters? If your portfolio is targeting 50/50 do you actually care (and think it's important) that it's precisely 50/50 for brief moment in time, before the prices change again? And do you think it really matters if it's 51/49 or 49/51, instead?

(For me it doesn't really matter anyway, since I no longer do any rebalancing, aside from whatever is done for me inside of some balanced and asset allocation mutual funds.)
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by the_wiki »

jeffyscott wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2023 2:34 pm ^ Accuracy of what? :confused

It appears this particular debate is about rebalancing? If so, then I'm not sure why you think "accuracy" matters? If your portfolio is targeting 50/50 do you actually care (and think it's important) that it's precisely 50/50 for brief moment in time, before the prices change again? And do you think it really matters if it's 51/49 or 49/51, instead?

(For me it doesn't really matter anyway, since I no longer do any rebalancing, aside from whatever is done for me inside of some balanced and asset allocation mutual funds.)
That's kind of what I was trying to argue. But even if you do care about perfect precision, as I was saying above, it's going to move as soon as you are done trading anyway.
beyou wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2023 12:23 pm

When there are extraordinary events (like Black Monday, Oct 1987), the change in value from prior evening can be quite extensive.

That seems to be against everything Bogle held dear to be rebalancing during a market crash! :oops:
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by beyou »

jeffyscott wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2023 2:34 pm ^ Accuracy of what? :confused

It appears this particular debate is about rebalancing? If so, then I'm not sure why you think "accuracy" matters? If your portfolio is targeting 50/50 do you actually care (and think it's important) that it's precisely 50/50 for brief moment in time, before the prices change again? And do you think it really matters if it's 51/49 or 49/51, instead?

(For me it doesn't really matter anyway, since I no longer do any rebalancing, aside from whatever is done for me inside of some balanced and asset allocation mutual funds.)
So now we are arguing AGAINST accuracy and FOR use of stale data to make financial decisions.
Best of luck to you with that.
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by beyou »

the_wiki wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2023 3:07 pm
beyou wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2023 12:23 pm

When there are extraordinary events (like Black Monday, Oct 1987), the change in value from prior evening can be quite extensive.

That seems to be against everything Bogle held dear to be rebalancing during a market crash! :oops:
Bogle was against ETFs, so of course. But ETFs are a great innovation, further reducing cost and giving flexibility and accuracy to trade.

Many on this site are against active funds, yet Bogle sold active funds before he latched onto indexing (that was really pioneered by others before him). Read the book Trillions if you have not already.

As to whether that is a good day to rebalance, depends how you rebalance.
If you do so to maintain a risk profile, then you would rebalance at a tolerance from your target.
On such a day you are likely to breach your target, so why NOT rebalance ?
I don't believe in using a set schedule to rebalance, I believe in focusing on the risk profile and rebalance when necessary.
And if I do rebalance, how could it possibly be superior to do so with stale data ?
You are just arguing to support your preference for a perceived ease of mutual funds.
There is no logical argument that stale data is superior to current data in making financial decisions.
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by the_wiki »

beyou wrote: Tue Sep 19, 2023 11:42 pm
jeffyscott wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2023 2:34 pm ^ Accuracy of what? :confused

It appears this particular debate is about rebalancing? If so, then I'm not sure why you think "accuracy" matters? If your portfolio is targeting 50/50 do you actually care (and think it's important) that it's precisely 50/50 for brief moment in time, before the prices change again? And do you think it really matters if it's 51/49 or 49/51, instead?

(For me it doesn't really matter anyway, since I no longer do any rebalancing, aside from whatever is done for me inside of some balanced and asset allocation mutual funds.)
So now we are arguing AGAINST accuracy and FOR use of stale data to make financial decisions.
Best of luck to you with that.
No, arguing against pretending that you can time the market with intraday price swings or that several hours of price data matters long term.
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by exodusNH »

the_wiki wrote: Wed Sep 20, 2023 9:42 am
beyou wrote: Tue Sep 19, 2023 11:42 pm
jeffyscott wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2023 2:34 pm ^ Accuracy of what? :confused

It appears this particular debate is about rebalancing? If so, then I'm not sure why you think "accuracy" matters? If your portfolio is targeting 50/50 do you actually care (and think it's important) that it's precisely 50/50 for brief moment in time, before the prices change again? And do you think it really matters if it's 51/49 or 49/51, instead?

(For me it doesn't really matter anyway, since I no longer do any rebalancing, aside from whatever is done for me inside of some balanced and asset allocation mutual funds.)
So now we are arguing AGAINST accuracy and FOR use of stale data to make financial decisions.
Best of luck to you with that.
No, arguing against pretending that you can time the market with intraday price swings or that several hours of price data matters long term.
Yes, barring some sort of flash crash, getting even a $0.10 price improvement on $1,000,000 of VTI is only about $450. $450 is more than $0, but if you've got $1M to rebalance, it's really just noise.
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by alex_686 »

the_wiki wrote: Wed Sep 20, 2023 9:42 am
beyou wrote: Tue Sep 19, 2023 11:42 pm
jeffyscott wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2023 2:34 pm ^ Accuracy of what? :confused

It appears this particular debate is about rebalancing? If so, then I'm not sure why you think "accuracy" matters? If your portfolio is targeting 50/50 do you actually care (and think it's important) that it's precisely 50/50 for brief moment in time, before the prices change again? And do you think it really matters if it's 51/49 or 49/51, instead?

(For me it doesn't really matter anyway, since I no longer do any rebalancing, aside from whatever is done for me inside of some balanced and asset allocation mutual funds.)
So now we are arguing AGAINST accuracy and FOR use of stale data to make financial decisions.
Best of luck to you with that.
No, arguing against pretending that you can time the market with intraday price swings or that several hours of price data matters long term.
My 2 cents. I have worked with pricing. I have struck a NAV. Both methods are highly robust, but each has its strengths and weakness. So nuances. However I think the majority or weight goes to ETFs. During times of crisis then generate higher quality price data and thus less likely to be gamed.

I also strongly favor ETFs. In most areas they have a slight but distinct technical advantages. Lower operating costs, lower tracking errors, portability. Lets say a few bps per year.
Former brokerage operations & mutual fund accountant. I hate risk, which is why I study and embrace it.
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by beyou »

the_wiki wrote: Wed Sep 20, 2023 9:42 am
beyou wrote: Tue Sep 19, 2023 11:42 pm
jeffyscott wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2023 2:34 pm ^ Accuracy of what? :confused

It appears this particular debate is about rebalancing? If so, then I'm not sure why you think "accuracy" matters? If your portfolio is targeting 50/50 do you actually care (and think it's important) that it's precisely 50/50 for brief moment in time, before the prices change again? And do you think it really matters if it's 51/49 or 49/51, instead?

(For me it doesn't really matter anyway, since I no longer do any rebalancing, aside from whatever is done for me inside of some balanced and asset allocation mutual funds.)
So now we are arguing AGAINST accuracy and FOR use of stale data to make financial decisions.
Best of luck to you with that.
No, arguing against pretending that you can time the market with intraday price swings or that several hours of price data matters long term.
I never asserted that I could time the market, just that I find having accurate timely data better than using stale data.
Rebalancing when I hit my variance from target is NOT marketing timing.
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by jeffyscott »

beyou wrote: Tue Sep 19, 2023 11:42 pm
jeffyscott wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2023 2:34 pm ^ Accuracy of what? :confused

It appears this particular debate is about rebalancing? If so, then I'm not sure why you think "accuracy" matters? If your portfolio is targeting 50/50 do you actually care (and think it's important) that it's precisely 50/50 for brief moment in time, before the prices change again? And do you think it really matters if it's 51/49 or 49/51, instead?

(For me it doesn't really matter anyway, since I no longer do any rebalancing, aside from whatever is done for me inside of some balanced and asset allocation mutual funds.)
So now we are arguing AGAINST accuracy and FOR use of stale data to make financial decisions.
Best of luck to you with that.
No, arguing against worrying about the precision of rebalancing at the moment you do it, since it's going to change when the prices change and there's nothing magical about whatever precise allocation targets you may have. Unless I misunderstood, your concern with mutual funds is that when you rebalance the results might be off your target allocations when you do your rebalancing, because you don't know the exact prices.

Back when I did rebalancing with mutual funds, I actually did very small increments. So, I might do something like move 1% of stocks to bonds, if I were targeting 50/50 and allocation was 55/45 and then I would repeat small moves like that. I think doing a lot of trades like that is easier with mutual funds, so I think my style of rebalancing was easier with mutual funds. In addition, my rebalancing often involved offetting moves in different accounts, we had two employer accounts and two IRA accounts, which is easier to do with mutual funds since all trades entered will execute at the same time.
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Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by beyou »

jeffyscott wrote: Wed Sep 20, 2023 10:44 am Unless I misunderstood, your concern with mutual funds is that when you rebalance the results might be off your target allocations when you do your rebalancing, because you don't know the exact prices.

Back when I did rebalancing with mutual funds, I actually did very small increments. So, I might do something like move 1% of stocks to bonds, if I were targeting 50/50 and allocation was 55/45 and then I would repeat small moves like that. I think doing a lot of trades like that is easier with mutual funds, so I think my style of rebalancing was easier with mutual funds. In addition, my rebalancing often involved offetting moves in different accounts, we had two employer accounts and two IRA accounts, which is easier to do with mutual funds since all trades entered will execute at the same time.
When you say "my concern with mutual funds" that is not a correct characterization of my comments.
I invested in mutual funds for decades before I ever traded an ETF, and have no "concerns" with them.


But the op asked
"Why should the average Vanguard investor be so concerned with real-time prices and having more trading flexibility? Isn't Vanguard about long-term, buy and hold investing?"

I have been a long-term buy and hold investor for a couple of decades now, before I ever traded an ETF, and still consider myself a long term buy and hold investor even now that I use ETFs. Picking stocks, sectors, paying taxes on gains etc are have similar pros/cons using ETF or open end funds, no reason to be labeled from buy/hold to day trader just because one uses ETFs.

But there absolutely ARE benefits even if you are not a day trader.

1) How can one argue that rebalancing with stale data is better than rebalancing with current data ?

2) As Alex_686 pointed out, the actual valuation is slightly more representative of real world valuation compare to end of day open end valuations.
Not to say open end valuations are not as accurate as they can be, but think about it, every day fund companies gather closing prices after market hours and calculate the value at which you'll trade shares of the fund. For highly liquid US stocks, this is pretty accurate, using an exchange close.
For less liquid securities and especially international securities, there is much more estimation as to what the actual value of an open end mutual fund would be when computed after market hours. I like Alex_686, actually worked on systems to gather, compute such valuations and transmit them to mutual fund accountants like him, for such NAV daily computation. I won't go into all the details but depending on the type of fund, the value is more an estimation than a precise value. ETF prices you trade at are actually what the market will bear for your portion of the basket, nothing more accurate than what people are actually willing to pay you right now.

3) On especially volatile days I would check my account, and see if my asset allocation is way out of whack, and in my case, I will either not rebalance at all (if no threshold has been breached) or I will do the rebalance all in one shot, and I prefer to make such decisions with the most accurate data I can get. This does not make me a market timer nor day trader but I still benefit from price timeliness and accuracy. I am not trying to guess the price later but use the current price now for rebalancing. In fact with open end funds, I used to wait to rebalance after 3pm so that I have a good idea where the market is and can be a bit more accurate than having no idea where the market would close. Now I can do the trade anytime when the market is open and have even more accurate info and ease of rebalancing since I don't have to do any math to figure out the unreported change in values from prior open to today's almost closing valuations. All changes are reported and easily utilized.

4) As to "having more trading flexibility" I appreciate the idea that there are no trading restrictions, not so I can day trade, but also this eliminates any fund manager restrictions such as holding periods. Also eliminates restrictions from holding a fund at a particular broker, I can trade ETFs at any broker I want. Fidelity zero funds are cheap but I can't trade them anywhere but Fidelity. ETFs aren't zero ER but some are pretty close without any such restrictions as to WHERE I can trade them. Same goes for Vanguard Admiral funds where there is an equivalent Investor series. Many brokers will allow only the Investor shares not Admiral shares to be traded, so to get the low ER, one has to either stick with Vanguard brokerage OR convert to ETFs. In many cases there is no exact equivalent ETF, such as my NY Muni fund, where I hold Admiral at Vanguard, but could trade ishares NY muni fund and trade at any broker. In that case the ER is higher for the ETF, so one must decide whether were you trade is more important than having the lowest ER, but no doubt ETFs give you more flexibility as to where to trade. In most cases there is no trade-off, the ETFs are usually cheaper alternatives and have more trading flexibility, a win win situation often. The fact I now hold an admiral fund is due to my preference first to get the right exposure and tax ramifications (NY munis in open end fund vs VTEB ETF with different tax ramifications), lowest fees (so Admiral not ishares high fee NYF) and lastly I do prefer ETF (so if they ever create an ETF of the Vanguard NY tax exempt I would convert in a second). But given no good ETF out there, I am happy to own open end funds, and especially for bonds where the intraday price movements are lower. All my equities are now ETF, and some of my fixed income is in open end but most in ETF (as feasible to meet other goals of cost and strategy). So yeah, I gave up the ability to move from Vanguard, but given it's a bond fund, I could sell it and buy something else if I really want to move, gains aren't often huge on a bond fund. But if it was an ETF, no need to sell, so in such case an ETF can actually allow one to do LESS trading and report LESS capital gains.
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jeffyscott
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Joined: Tue Feb 27, 2007 8:12 am

Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by jeffyscott »

beyou wrote: Wed Sep 20, 2023 10:26 am I never asserted that I could time the market, just that I find having accurate timely data better than using stale data.
Rebalancing when I hit my variance from target is NOT marketing timing.
Agree it is not market timing, but let me give an example to show why I don't think this matters as much as you seem to think it does:

Suppose you have 5000 shares of "stock fund" at $110 and 5000 shares of "bond fund" at $90, so you currently have $550K in stock and $450K in bond. Your target is 50/50. You put in your ETF trades and sell 454.545 shares of stock fund and buy 555.556 shares of bond fund, so you now have $500K in each fund.

But at the close, the stock fund price goes to $120 while bond stays at $90, now you have $545,455 in stock and $500,000 in bond, so you are actually at 52.2% stock rather than your target of 50%.

Now let's say it's mutual funds and I put in my order to sell $50K stock and buy $50K bond. The price again changes from $110 to $120 for stock fund. So at the close my 5000 shares are now worth $600K and after the trade, I have $550K in stock and $500K in bond. So I am at 52.4% stock, all of 0.2% higher than your allocation.

If you do the same exercise, but with stock fund going from $110 to $100, you would be at 47.6% stock and I would be at 47.4%. Again, an insignificant difference of 0.2% in the allocation percentage.
invest4
Posts: 1673
Joined: Wed Apr 24, 2019 2:19 am

Re: more mutual fund vs ETF questions

Post by invest4 »

* I prefer the flexibility of ETFs. I can buy / sell whenever I want, for whatever reason. Of course, I am not prone to tinker / bad behaviors.

* I believe mutual funds are not the future and they will eventually disappear (however long that takes). I already see that Vanguard slowly moves in this direction as it doesn't make economic sense to offer both products and the associated expenses managing each.
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