HomerJ wrote: ↑Wed Feb 26, 2020 12:38 pm
wolf359 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 26, 2020 10:07 am
pharmermummles wrote: ↑Wed Feb 26, 2020 9:35 am
DesertDiva wrote: ↑Wed Feb 26, 2020 9:00 am
I learned that I’m glad I never embraced the FIRE movement.
I can't imagine why. If the market doesn't make the RE part as easy, you're still better off with your efforts towards FI than if you hadn't saved as much.
I don't understand some people's hostility to FIRE movement on this board. If you're not into saving and investing, or saving for retirement, then why are you here? You get to pick your timeframe, your targeted retirement income level, and how you fund it. All the techniques are the same. This is choose your own adventure.
Getting out at 60? Good for you.
Getting out at 50? Good for you.
Getting out at 40? You did really well. Good for you.
Getting out at 30? Wow, don't know how I'd fill my time, but good for you.
Getting out at 16? …um,.... Not sure how that's.. ..hmm.. Good luck?
I think the reference was to retiring at 35, with just enough for bare-bones survival at 4% withdrawals, and then a market crash happens. A lot FIRE people have never experienced a full crash, and their plans may not be robust enough to survive them.
Except that that doesn't describe the FIRE movement. A 4% SWR will be sufficient for 30 years. It will DEFINITELY support a full crash of 20%+ which may last for 2-3 years. I think a 4% SWR requires flexibility and backup plans, but it actually works in most cases. (You just have to be ready if you're in one of those years that it doesn't work.) I believe that 2000 was one of those years, and the thread following those retirees shows that they STILL haven't run out of money!
Unlike most traditional retirees, FIRE retirees are voluntary. Companies aren't pushing them out the door because they consider them too old or too expensive. If they don't have sufficient resources to support their desired level of income, they don't pull the cord. What you consider bare-bones survival is the budget most middle-income people in the US are living on.
FIRE retirees also have an advantage that older retirees don't have. Since they're younger, they have more human capital. (That is, they're still able to go back to work if the retirement fails.) That may not be an option for someone in their 80's.
It's definitely true that a lot of FIRE people have never experienced a full crash. But that's true for most non-FIRE people as well. It's possible to be a fully trained fiduciary financial advisor with a decade's worth of experience and still have missed 2008.
I'd expect that if someone knew the value of saving and investing for retirement, it'd be a Boglehead. How individuals apply those lessons is up to the individual. That's why it's called PERSONAL finance. If they save and invest early, it is possible to retire early.
Personally, I'd recommend trying to hit your minimum retirement numbers as soon in life as possible. Then you're financially independent (FI) and working by choice, which is very liberating. Achieving FI doesn't mean you should quit. If you then continue a normal career because you enjoy it, you will become wealthy as your nest egg continues to grow and is more than enough. And if you're seeking early retirement, I'd personally choose a target income higher than the US median to give a buffer. But that's me, who has to have 3 backup plans.