Search found 799 matches

by veggivet
Tue Mar 10, 2020 7:24 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 193800

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

Cases in US have grown 5x in the last 5 days. https://coronavirus.1point3acres.com/en Is it because of more testing, or more people starting to get the virus now? Impossible to answer this question definitively, but likely a combination of both. It isn't easy finding out how many people have been t...
by veggivet
Tue Mar 10, 2020 8:52 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Coronavirus and the market
Replies: 3983
Views: 302434

Re: Coronavirus and the market

Do the Bogleheads think that the market has priced in a world wide recession at this point or not?
by veggivet
Tue Mar 10, 2020 7:50 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Coronavirus and the market
Replies: 3983
Views: 302434

Re: Coronavirus and the market

Is it really though? Italy just shut down their entire country and China did the same earlier. Sounds pretty serious to me. China got very good results from shutting their country down. Italy waited too long, probably, and the US is acting like the Keystone Kops. If countries other than China had f...
by veggivet
Mon Mar 09, 2020 12:59 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 193800

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

GaryA505 wrote:
Mon Mar 09, 2020 12:45 pm
I'm just wondering, when this is over what are people going to do will all that extra toilet paper they bought at Costco? I mean, it's mostly only used for one thing, right?
Halloween might not be too far away when all this settles down; can always use extra TP then. :D
by veggivet
Mon Mar 09, 2020 10:34 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Coronavirus and the market
Replies: 3983
Views: 302434

Re: Coronavirus and the market

A worldwide recession could last for several months or potentially longer, depending on how severe the economic impact is. Just to cite one more example, if the Olympics are cancelled, that is billions in lost revenues that won't be made up down the road.
by veggivet
Mon Mar 09, 2020 9:59 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Coronavirus and the market
Replies: 3983
Views: 302434

Re: Coronavirus and the market

Chip Shot wrote:
Mon Mar 09, 2020 9:41 am
veggivet wrote:
Sun Mar 08, 2020 7:08 pm
Tomorrow is looking like another 'peek and shriek' day...futures down over 1000 on the Dow. Sleep well, everybody!
I like that! Peek and Shriek!
It's actually a medical term. You can google it... :shock:
by veggivet
Mon Mar 09, 2020 8:45 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Coronavirus and the market
Replies: 3983
Views: 302434

Re: Coronavirus and the market

First halt of the day as S&P craters 7%.
by veggivet
Mon Mar 09, 2020 8:21 am
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 193800

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

That doesn't sound like something Dr. Fauci would say...he is fastidious in sticking with the scientific facts and is typically reluctant to making predictions based on hunches.
by veggivet
Mon Mar 09, 2020 7:41 am
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 193800

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

JoeRetire wrote:
Mon Mar 09, 2020 7:01 am
veggivet wrote:
Mon Mar 09, 2020 6:54 am
"OK, rich boomer"
Thanks, I enjoyed that.

Should I call you "poor millennial", or something else? :wink:
You're welcome! You can call me rich boomer, but a little less rich after the market gets through with me today! :D
by veggivet
Mon Mar 09, 2020 6:54 am
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 193800

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

"OK, rich boomer"
by veggivet
Mon Mar 09, 2020 6:50 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Coronavirus and the market
Replies: 3983
Views: 302434

Re: Coronavirus and the market

Just think, trillions wiped off the balance sheet because somebody had a craving for some delicious bat soup...perhaps we should be calling this a black bat event instead of a black swan.
by veggivet
Mon Mar 09, 2020 5:59 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Oil ETF VDE
Replies: 26
Views: 2392

Re: Oil ETF VDE

Probably less risky to buy triple levered ETFs on the S&P... :greedy
by veggivet
Mon Mar 09, 2020 5:23 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: S&P500 Futures halted tonight (3/8)
Replies: 233
Views: 16580

Re: S&P500 Futures halted tonight (3/8)

Looks like we may have a '10% OFF SALE' today. The algos will be very busy, I'm sure...

PS. No coupon necessary.
by veggivet
Mon Mar 09, 2020 12:17 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: S&P500 Futures halted tonight (3/8)
Replies: 233
Views: 16580

Re: S&P500 Futures halted tonight (3/8)

watchnerd wrote:
Mon Mar 09, 2020 12:14 am
veggivet wrote:
Mon Mar 09, 2020 12:07 am
30 year Treasury futures up a staggering 3%!
They went up more than that last week.
Yes, they did. This move is occurring in overnight futures.
by veggivet
Mon Mar 09, 2020 12:14 am
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: UPRO
Replies: 12
Views: 768

Re: UPRO

UPRO is designed to fit in with a short term trading strategy, as are other leveraged ETFs. SDS might be a better bet for you on Monday...but just for Monday, or until the next Fed intervention. If you can accurately predict those types of events, you're better than I am, not to mention the algos.
by veggivet
Mon Mar 09, 2020 12:07 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: S&P500 Futures halted tonight (3/8)
Replies: 233
Views: 16580

Re: S&P500 Futures halted tonight (3/8)

30 year Treasury futures up a staggering 3%!
by veggivet
Mon Mar 09, 2020 12:06 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Coronavirus and the market
Replies: 3983
Views: 302434

Re: Coronavirus and the market

We still have a ways to go before we get to 2018 levels and have an official bear. Yup, the S&P is still up over 20% from its December 2018 low. Give it a couple weeks... Or maybe just a few days. Wonder how many relatively small oil companies will be declaring bankruptcy in the next month or so......
by veggivet
Sun Mar 08, 2020 11:54 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: S&P500 Futures halted tonight (3/8)
Replies: 233
Views: 16580

Re: S&P500 Futures halted tonight (3/8)

I know I'm supposed to buy when there's 'blood in the streets', but what about when there's oil in the streets? Monday should be a very interesting day, to say the least. Looks like the market has caught a virus or something... :(
by veggivet
Sun Mar 08, 2020 7:08 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Coronavirus and the market
Replies: 3983
Views: 302434

Re: Coronavirus and the market

Tomorrow is looking like another 'peek and shriek' day...futures down over 1000 on the Dow. Sleep well, everybody!
by veggivet
Sun Mar 08, 2020 5:40 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 193800

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

Huge thank you to Lady Geek for keeping the three threads sorted out...
by veggivet
Sun Mar 08, 2020 2:44 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 193800

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

Not to mention the fact that Italy's health care system is close to maxing out, according to firsthand reports.
by veggivet
Sun Mar 08, 2020 2:37 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 193800

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

US Surgeon General, (anyone know his name?) said on "State of the Union" that he thinks "the coronavirus outbreak is being contained in certain areas of the country". I have a different 'hunch', based on the map of newly diagnosed cases. Statements like this just undermine other 'data' and opinions...
by veggivet
Sun Mar 08, 2020 2:23 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 193800

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

:D :D :D

True indeed, ResearchMed!
by veggivet
Sun Mar 08, 2020 2:16 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 193800

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

US Surgeon General, (anyone know his name?) said on "State of the Union" that he thinks "the coronavirus outbreak is being contained in certain areas of the country". I have a different 'hunch', based on the map of newly diagnosed cases. Statements like this just undermine other 'data' and opinions...
by veggivet
Sun Mar 08, 2020 1:32 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Coronavirus and the market
Replies: 3983
Views: 302434

Re: Coronavirus and the market

The Fed is rapidly running out of ammo. Even if you think they'll go negative, they can't go too negative. They can go as negative as they want. For example if fed rates are - 1 % then banks can lend at - 0.5% and profit (as seen in Denmark, one of the richest countries in the world) Let’s not forg...
by veggivet
Sun Mar 08, 2020 1:21 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Coronavirus and the market
Replies: 3983
Views: 302434

Re: Coronavirus and the market

The Fed is rapidly running out of ammo. Even if you think they'll go negative, they can't go too negative.
by veggivet
Sun Mar 08, 2020 12:56 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 193800

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

US Surgeon General, (anyone know his name?) said on "State of the Union" that he thinks "the coronavirus outbreak is being contained in certain areas of the country". I have a different 'hunch', based on the map of newly diagnosed cases. Statements like this just undermine other 'data' and opinions ...
by veggivet
Sun Mar 08, 2020 12:45 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 193800

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

This will be a catastrophic event, both economically and from a human health perspective. None of the news is good. People will die due to a lack of medical support and a dearth of proper medical equipment. It's not something any of has seen in our lifetimes. lol Literally just had a physical / blo...
by veggivet
Sun Mar 08, 2020 11:12 am
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: [Locum tenens or permanent position - Cardiology]
Replies: 9
Views: 1609

Re: DECISION, PLEASE HELP ME!!!

+1 for locus. Can't beat the flexibility or the pay.
by veggivet
Sun Mar 08, 2020 10:57 am
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 193800

Re: Coronavirus and the market

Has the market priced in the following? This is considered a "best guess" from Dr. James Lawler presented from a webinar from American Hospital Association. A 'leaked' slide.Bold my emphasis. -4.8 million hospitalizations associated with the novel coronavirus -96 million cases overall in the US -48...
by veggivet
Sun Mar 08, 2020 9:11 am
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: REITs in taxable?
Replies: 12
Views: 1124

Re: REITs in taxable?

ABT= Anyplace But Taxable!
by veggivet
Sun Mar 08, 2020 6:41 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Coronavirus and the market
Replies: 3983
Views: 302434

Re: Coronavirus and the market

Folks, There are still plenty "just a flu" and " it is not coming to my area" people. When those people wake up, there will be a market correction. KlangFool It's probable it's just a flu. It spreads too easy. It's probably infecting a lot more people than we know, and it's probable its death rate ...
by veggivet
Sun Mar 08, 2020 6:34 am
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 193800

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

My concern continues to be respirator numbers and distribution, as mentioned several pages back. I saw a reference stating that there are a total of 70,000 respirators in the entire country. I wonder if a triage plan has been developed to decide which patients qualify for one when the number of pat...
by veggivet
Sat Mar 07, 2020 5:54 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 193800

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

My concern continues to be respirator numbers and distribution, as mentioned several pages back. I saw a reference stating that there are a total of 70,000 respirators in the entire country. I wonder if a triage plan has been developed to decide which patients qualify for one when the number of pati...
by veggivet
Sat Mar 07, 2020 8:07 am
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 193800

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

It wouldn't just be mass transit affected. Does anybody think Ubers and Lyfts would be any less of a risk? In fact, the risk might be higher since the enclosed area is so much smaller. A city like New York would simply grind to a halt if commuters were to avoid using mass transit. With respect to ge...
by veggivet
Sat Mar 07, 2020 7:27 am
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 193800

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

Dr. William Schaffner, a Vanderbilt University professor and advisor to the CDC was quoted in a CNN article. I should have been clearer in my previous post that the specific advice came from this source, and not from the CDC directly.
by veggivet
Sat Mar 07, 2020 7:21 am
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 193800

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

I, for one, am very impressed with the 'numbers'. COVID-19 has received some very high ratings...some might say the highest in history.
by veggivet
Sat Mar 07, 2020 6:43 am
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 193800

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

CDC has released an advisory recommending that 'older Americans and those with chronic health conditions' stay home and avoid any large gatherings. They listed going on airplanes, attending large family gatherings, going to malls (what are those?) and movie theaters, houses of worship, etc. They def...
by veggivet
Fri Mar 06, 2020 10:59 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Coronavirus and the market
Replies: 3983
Views: 302434

Re: Coronavirus and the market

Yes, bond prices rise as interest rates fall. Prices also rise during periods of uncertainty, when there is a 'flight to quality'. Just check out the charts of TLT or EDV today.
by veggivet
Fri Mar 06, 2020 9:25 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 193800

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

Does anybody know how much the test costs the South Korean government? Over there, it is free for any citizen, and tens of thousands have been tested in drive-thru setups to reduce potential exposure to health workers.
by veggivet
Fri Mar 06, 2020 8:34 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Coronavirus and the market
Replies: 3983
Views: 302434

Re: Coronavirus and the market

There is no quick fix, as drug manufacture has been highly concentrated in just a couple of countries. China is the SOLE supplier of raw materials used in the manufacture of cephalexin, one of the most commonly used antibiotics. Don't be surprised to hear about massive price increases for generic dr...
by veggivet
Fri Mar 06, 2020 6:37 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 193800

Re: Coronavirus and the market

Some posters on this thread have a 'flair' for minimizing the current situation. Just to put things back into perspective: 300 million students out of school worldwide; less than 2000 Americans tested; first college closed (Washington State University); multiple events/meetings/conferences cancelle...
by veggivet
Fri Mar 06, 2020 6:21 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Retirement in AZ-suggestions please
Replies: 104
Views: 7177

Re: Retirement in AZ-suggestions please

If you're into astronomy, Flagstaff has a great observatory and dark skies.
by veggivet
Fri Mar 06, 2020 6:19 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 193800

Re: Coronavirus and the market

Some posters on this thread have a 'flair' for minimizing the current situation. Just to put things back into perspective: 300 million students out of school worldwide; less than 2000 Americans tested; first college closed (Washington State University); multiple events/meetings/conferences cancelled...
by veggivet
Fri Mar 06, 2020 5:37 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Retirement in AZ-suggestions please
Replies: 104
Views: 7177

Re: Retirement in AZ-suggestions please

I thought it wasn't the heat, but the humidity! :oops:
by veggivet
Fri Mar 06, 2020 4:18 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: I once held a stock that went to zero
Replies: 24
Views: 2207

Re: I once held a stock that went to zero

If you've only had one go to zero, you are lucky! I've had quite a few, including Worldcom. Fortunately, most were pretty small positions that didn't move the needle much, but still not fun to see a stock circle the drain, then finally get flushed.
by veggivet
Fri Mar 06, 2020 4:14 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 193800

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

I think his comments will age better than yours, Unladen_Swallow, fwiw. Over 250 cases in the US, and that's without any meaningful testing occurring. We are just beginning the steep logarithmic growth section of the curve...
by veggivet
Fri Mar 06, 2020 4:11 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Coronavirus and the market
Replies: 3983
Views: 302434

Re: Coronavirus and the market

Back to Michael Maoubussin's books - the cost of missing a handful of best days in the market is brutal to long run returns. It's almost impossible to get in before the turn. When things do decisively turn (and I expect there will be several false dawns) then markets will move up, a lot. I've never...