Search found 366 matches

by ReformedSpender
Wed Mar 28, 2018 9:13 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Does anyone feel they missed out on AMZN, NFLX,TSLA?
Replies: 113
Views: 15673

Re: Does anyone feel they missed out on AMZN, NFLX,TSLA?

munemaker wrote:
Wed Mar 28, 2018 8:46 am



The bus came back around. Tesla stock is on sale today. If you liked it at the high, you should love it now. Still interested?
45 billion dollar valuation (even after a 30% decline from ATH's) and zero profit.

Have at it


:beer
by ReformedSpender
Tue Mar 27, 2018 7:28 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Are we missing recession /bear market beginning
Replies: 174
Views: 20574

Re: Are we missing recession /bear market beginning

Jimsad wrote:
Tue Mar 27, 2018 5:39 pm
Are Bear markets usually preceded by volatility ?
If so , what we are seeing in the last few weeks seems to be indicating the bear Market Beginning .Any thoughts ?
2011 and 2015 were recent years with volatility/corrections and look at the outcome

:beer
by ReformedSpender
Tue Mar 27, 2018 8:24 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in free fall
Replies: 12071
Views: 2056177

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

RRAAYY3 wrote:
Tue Mar 27, 2018 7:53 am
Welp, it’s back to being called a “buying opportunity” by the talking heads ...
So far, what we know is that yesterday was a 'relief rally'. We also know, the S&P, DOW and NAS are still trading under the 13, 20 and 50dma.

Seems premature...but they usually are imo.

:beer
by ReformedSpender
Mon Mar 26, 2018 10:28 am
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: VTI vs. VTSMX
Replies: 32
Views: 24064

Re: VTI vs. VTSMX

VTI > VTSMX as far as volatility is concerned This is false. VTSMX experiences the same volatility that VTI does. It is true that the price of VTSMX is only calculated daily, but that is not the same as the value of VTSMX fluctuating less than in real time. For all practical purposes, VTSMX fluctua...
by ReformedSpender
Mon Mar 26, 2018 10:20 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in free fall
Replies: 12071
Views: 2056177

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

So far, market hasn't made a higher high from Friday's close
by ReformedSpender
Sun Mar 25, 2018 9:35 am
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: VTI vs. VTSMX
Replies: 32
Views: 24064

Re: VTI vs. VTSMX

VTI > VTSMX as far as volatility is concerned
by ReformedSpender
Sun Mar 25, 2018 9:31 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Argument Supporting Strong Future Equity Returns (?)
Replies: 29
Views: 3074

Re: Argument Supporting Strong Future Equity Returns (?)

What's nice about that figure is you can see that we are below the trend line. And you can see that the latest bull market is simply digging us out of a hole produced by the last couple of bear markets. As of Jan 2018 we were (quite a bit) above the historic trend line. The Feb/Mar pullback has sim...
by ReformedSpender
Fri Mar 23, 2018 3:16 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in free fall
Replies: 12071
Views: 2056177

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

Decent spot to do some DCA near the 200 day moving average, in my humble opinion

:beer
by ReformedSpender
Fri Mar 23, 2018 3:11 pm
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: Should I sell Wellington Fund Today?
Replies: 30
Views: 4674

Re: Should I sell Wellington Fund Today?

Not sure why you feel so down. You took a gamble and it worked out. In retrospect, you could have moved that 90k into Wellington last February and incurred negative returns month after month.

Profit is profit :moneybag

:beer
by ReformedSpender
Thu Mar 22, 2018 3:01 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in free fall
Replies: 12071
Views: 2056177

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

aj76er wrote:
Thu Mar 22, 2018 2:32 pm
cfs wrote:
Thu Mar 22, 2018 2:10 pm
So, what excuses do we have for the latest down market? Gracias por leer ~cfs~
From what I can tell, it is all due to potential trade wars and Facebook.
A sad (and scary) reality when FAANG was allowed to become such a heavy weighted component in stock indices.

:beer
by ReformedSpender
Wed Mar 21, 2018 2:16 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: [Federal Reserve hikes interest rate]
Replies: 34
Views: 4649

Re: Fed raises the fed rate, markets do not look efficient

3 of the last 4 rate peaks had recessions AND equity drawdowns https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DY0jUJeWkAAPi9x.jpg Couple that with the fact that GDP is slated to decrease through 2020 all the while the Fed indicates increasingly aggressive future hikes and you get the right mix for market volatility. :...
by ReformedSpender
Wed Mar 21, 2018 10:54 am
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: If you knew a recession was coming, what would you do?
Replies: 57
Views: 8943

Re: If you knew a recession was coming, what would you do?

No one knows for certain what the future holds, however, one can use current and past data to analyze past behavior. Big correlation break currently https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DY0hKJLXkAE43lF.jpg Eerie similar correlation break in 2000 when you had the Fed hiking to essentially tame an asset price ...
by ReformedSpender
Wed Mar 21, 2018 7:59 am
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: Affect of Rising Interest Rates on Vanguard Total Bond Index
Replies: 43
Views: 9434

Re: Affect of Rising Interest Rates on Vanguard Total Bond Index

Great posts by nisiprius in this thread. Consider this a free 'bump'


:beer
by ReformedSpender
Tue Mar 20, 2018 1:22 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Facebook's slide cost Mark Zuckerberg $6.06 billion in one day
Replies: 42
Views: 5498

Re: Facebook's slide cost Mark Zuckerberg $6.06 billion in one day

peterinjapan wrote:
Tue Mar 20, 2018 1:14 pm
Facebook is a ridiculous buy now.
Relative to what? Valuation currently sits at half a trillion dollars for a social media platform. For reference Twitter sits at $25B


:beer