Search found 422 matches

by roflwaffle
Tue Aug 14, 2018 6:40 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Invest in Tesla?
Replies: 337
Views: 21515

Re: Invest in Tesla?

I agree that car companies are greedy, but that doesn't mean EVs aren't viable. Most car companies have to decades of time and billions of dollars invested in ICEs, and being greedy, they would rather drag their feet on EVs and minimize the risks to those investments than aggressively push a produc...
by roflwaffle
Thu Aug 09, 2018 8:23 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Invest in Tesla?
Replies: 337
Views: 21515

Re: Invest in Tesla?

The other manufacturers will have to be dragged kicking and screaming into electric vehicles, no matter how many models they promise, concept artwork they release, etc. Mitsubishi, Nissan, Ford, and Volvo all had regular production EV's on the market before Tesla (not counting the original roadster...
by roflwaffle
Wed Aug 08, 2018 7:26 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Invest in Tesla?
Replies: 337
Views: 21515

Re: Invest in Tesla?

I don't see a BMW M3 listed there and Elon Musk didn't mention those cars did he but he specifically mentioned and compared to a BMW M3? Nor was our conversation about those cars. Goal post moving. I mean unless you are seriously arguing that a something breaking at some time on a 30 year old BMW i...
by roflwaffle
Wed Aug 08, 2018 7:16 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Invest in Tesla?
Replies: 337
Views: 21515

Re: Invest in Tesla?

The other manufacturers will have to be dragged kicking and screaming into electric vehicles, no matter how many models they promise, concept artwork they release, etc. Mitsubishi, Nissan, Ford, and Volvo all had regular production EV's on the market before Tesla (not counting the original roadster...
by roflwaffle
Sat Aug 04, 2018 12:13 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Invest in Tesla?
Replies: 337
Views: 21515

Re: Invest in Tesla?

I knew you were going to post this! :D In a set up test with the Tesla PR guy under ideal conditions where they don't include lap times it cut power by 3 seconds a lap after just a few laps. That is NOT an M3 my friend. Heat buildup is inevitable. After three or four laps at absolute tire-torturing...
by roflwaffle
Sat Aug 04, 2018 12:04 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Invest in Tesla?
Replies: 337
Views: 21515

Re: Invest in Tesla?

"Tesla reports the biggest loss in its history," looks like Q2 had a $720 million loss and total $1.4 billion this year. So with $2.2 billion cash, Tesla will be bankrupt by this time next year? Is that what you're looking at for recommending people to short the stock? They won’t go bankrupt but th...
by roflwaffle
Sat Aug 04, 2018 11:54 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Invest in Tesla?
Replies: 337
Views: 21515

Re: Invest in Tesla?

The Performance 3 starts at $64,000. It can get near $80k, but only because of EAP and FSD, which BMW doesn't offer. :sharebeer https://3.tesla.com/model3/design#battery HAHAHA! Good point. Tesla offers that stuff but doesn't seem to deliver does it? At least not safely with the former and I don't ...
by roflwaffle
Fri Jul 20, 2018 5:18 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Invest in Tesla?
Replies: 337
Views: 21515

Re: Invest in Tesla?

Some quick research..... Of the 1 Billion cars sold worldwide last year, Tesla produced 100k. Now, my silly graduate engineering and math classes must have failed me here because somehow, I can't figure out where that's 10% or has any hope of every being 10%. Market cap, I'm finding: 10: FCA $36B 9...
by roflwaffle
Fri Jul 20, 2018 11:57 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Invest in Tesla?
Replies: 337
Views: 21515

Re: Invest in Tesla?

BradJ wrote:
Wed Mar 28, 2018 10:14 am
Is it a good time to buy Tesla?
Only if you want to bet on the future of the company. To be fair, the same applies to putting money into any specific company.

If you want to invest, put your money into an index fund, or set of index funds. :beer
by roflwaffle
Fri Jul 20, 2018 11:55 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Invest in Tesla?
Replies: 337
Views: 21515

Re: Invest in Tesla?

WSJ (Dan Neil) has glowing review of the 450 hp performance version of the Model 3. The article is unlocked, at least I didn't need a password. "First Test Drive of the Tesla Model 3 Performance: A Thrilling, Modern Marvel" https://www.wsj.com/articles/first-ever-review-of-the-tesla-model-3-perform...
by roflwaffle
Fri Jul 13, 2018 2:39 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3
Replies: 1326
Views: 106465

Re: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3

Paint Shop issues: (the factory has two paint shops FWIW). Sure and it looks like only one Regenerative thermal oxidizer (RTO) which can only handle around 5K a week. I'm generally loathe to link to anything from ZeroHedge but they have a great roll up of a detailed tweetstorm on this. Is Elon Musk...
by roflwaffle
Wed Jul 11, 2018 12:49 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3
Replies: 1326
Views: 106465

Re: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3

Ditto on not feeding the trolls (the factory has two paint shops FWIW). Tesla's opening up orders to everyone for the Long Range + PUP versions because that's where margins are highest and odds are Tesla only has until the end of the year to deliver cars that can get the full federal tax credit. The...
by roflwaffle
Tue Jul 10, 2018 10:21 am
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3
Replies: 1326
Views: 106465

Re: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3

Not gonna disagree with current CCS being slower than Super. My Bolt runs 43 kW (actual) below 50%SOC at the best current CCS chargers....its ~75 HW miles added per 30 minute stop. Newer CCS will take my Bolt to 65 kW (actual), about 105 miles added in 30 minutes, I expect to have plenty of those a...
by roflwaffle
Mon Jul 09, 2018 11:53 am
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3
Replies: 1326
Views: 106465

Re: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3

:confused https://www.fueleconomy.gov/feg/Find.do?action=sbs&id=39786&id=39836 As I'm sure you are aware, "long-range" is an option for the model 3. But even the long-range M3 only has 30% more range than the Bolt. I'm not sure how significant a difference that really is, to be honest. I'm having d...
by roflwaffle
Sun Jul 08, 2018 6:30 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3
Replies: 1326
Views: 106465

Re: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3

:confused https://www.fueleconomy.gov/feg/Find.do?action=sbs&id=39786&id=39836 As I'm sure you are aware, "long-range" is an option for the model 3. But even the long-range M3 only has 30% more range than the Bolt. I'm not sure how significant a difference that really is, to be honest. I'm having d...
by roflwaffle
Sat Jul 07, 2018 10:50 am
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3
Replies: 1326
Views: 106465

Re: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3

OK, possible I suppose. Certainly can't rule it out. Doesn't explain an empty track and the general logisitics issue. That tiny track would have to be filled with cars 24/7. It ain't. I'm gonna give roflwaffle the 1 as a courtesy but only as a courtesy for actually watching the video. I hope it is ...
by roflwaffle
Wed Jul 04, 2018 9:30 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3
Replies: 1326
Views: 106465

Re: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3

There is even a drone flyover of the factory on 6/29 for like 7 minutes and not a single car was on that track. They were in full crank out the jams mode. So how is that possible? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oQ2oXD9DW2Q&feature=youtu.be Time will tell. There's a car exiting the test track 1+ mi...
by roflwaffle
Wed Jul 04, 2018 9:07 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Keto Diet
Replies: 16
Views: 1513

Re: Keto Diet

IIRC, there isn't any difference between keto/non-keto in terms of reducing body mass, but going on keto tends to result in larger initial weight loss because people retain less water when on it.

https://www.colorado.edu/intphys/Class/ ... eedman.pdf
by roflwaffle
Wed Jul 04, 2018 2:01 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3
Replies: 1326
Views: 106465

Re: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3

Bypassing tests, including this brake test, is standard when those tests are redundant. Tesla was doing the standard brake test and track testing the cars, which was redundant. Now that they're more confident about their product quality, they're just doing track testing, and plan to eventually just...
by roflwaffle
Wed Jul 04, 2018 1:05 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3
Replies: 1326
Views: 106465

Re: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3

Hey matjen, I don’t remember where, and perhaps I am misremembering it, but I thought that you had posted that some post ago would be your last about Tesla. Whatever, if you made that promise, I think I will honor it in your stead. This whole thread is so resolutely OT and divisive that I’ve lost t...
by roflwaffle
Wed Jul 04, 2018 10:49 am
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3
Replies: 1326
Views: 106465

Re: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3

I think it is best to read the posts of those that have bought a Model 3, and to a lesser extent those that have bought a Tesla vehicle such as an S or X. Those that say they are shorting the stock, and don't own an EV, are not reliable sources of information IMO. DW and I test drove a Model S twic...
by roflwaffle
Tue Jul 03, 2018 1:46 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3
Replies: 1326
Views: 106465

Re: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3

It’s unlikely that I’ll have an opportunity to do that in the near future, and while I’m sure it is interesting and if I happen to be traveling in an area that has such a plant I’d look into taking a tour, it’s not one of the top things on my list of things to do. Because you have background in thi...
by roflwaffle
Fri Jun 29, 2018 5:45 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Can I buy a Tesla?
Replies: 103
Views: 7139

Re: Can I buy a Tesla?

TimeRunner wrote:
Fri Jun 29, 2018 2:58 pm
Your billable time is too valuable to be hanging around a charging station. Gas and get to work! :D
I was going to say their billable time to too valuable pumping gas (and maybe picking up whatever random virus is on the gas pump). Charge at home and never bother with a gas station! :D
by roflwaffle
Fri Jun 29, 2018 5:35 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3
Replies: 1326
Views: 106465

Re: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3

I think the Bolt's luxuryish. The Premier seems to be going for around $39k OTD if you're OK haggling, so about $10k less than the least expensive 3 currently offered, and it has leather/etc... At the same time, while both cars have options the other doesn't, the 3 is faster, has better range, supe...
by roflwaffle
Fri Jun 29, 2018 3:17 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3
Replies: 1326
Views: 106465

Re: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3

Wow, $61k. That's too much for this vehicle. But that's just me. I was interested at $35k (with $7,500 credit). Perhaps I would consider a few options at $45k max. If you look at Teslas history, nobody should have expected a 35k car. I want to say the Model S was a 55k car when announced:) The ques...
by roflwaffle
Fri Jun 29, 2018 9:00 am
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3
Replies: 1326
Views: 106465

Re: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3

It's great that BYD wants to catch up, but that takes time. Just like it took Tesla and Panasonic time to get the Gigafactory up and running. I think you and I evaluate the production of the competing players differently. :-) Whatever Tesla says will take 2-3 times as long IMO. So even if a year be...
by roflwaffle
Thu Jun 28, 2018 4:29 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3
Replies: 1326
Views: 106465

Re: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3

Are you referring to the net production capacity of other manufacturers, or specific expansions? If other automakers partner with battery manufacturers to build production capacity for their EVs, it'll take them at least a year or so to build their own Gigafactory to catch up to Tesla/Panasonic. I ...
by roflwaffle
Thu Jun 28, 2018 12:22 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3
Replies: 1326
Views: 106465

Re: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3

I used to be excited about upcoming EVs from other traditional car manufactures... It's important to read their press releases critically. For example, Volvo has said that by 20xx, all of his cars will be electrified. When that press release came out, many gave them high props. But note that Volvo ...
by roflwaffle
Sat Jun 09, 2018 3:20 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: AT&T lower-cost data alternatives (is Sprint's $15/mth worth it)?
Replies: 27
Views: 2319

Re: AT&T lower-cost data alternatives (is Sprint's $15/mth worth it)?

Sprint's had a promotion where you only pay $10+taxes/month for up to 5 lines, but you have to have specific phones to sign up for it, and it's online/call-in only, not in-store.
by roflwaffle
Sat Jun 09, 2018 12:35 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3
Replies: 1326
Views: 106465

Re: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3

That sounds really low to me. Having said that, if you pick up a base 3 and want to sell it for $15,000+ after driving it for 3 years, I would buy it sight unseen as long as it wasn't wrecked. IMO, the 3 is years ahead of the competition. https://www.reddit.com/r/teslamotors/comments/8nhodw/model_3...
by roflwaffle
Sat Jun 09, 2018 10:19 am
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3
Replies: 1326
Views: 106465

Re: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3

Going back on topic, I think someone should take delivery if they want a new, sporty, efficient EV. The 3 to me has 90+% of the practicality and efficiency of a Prius with 90+% of the performance and appeal of a luxury sports sedan. No other manufacturer's offering anything close right now, and I t...
by roflwaffle
Sat Jun 09, 2018 9:58 am
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3
Replies: 1326
Views: 106465

Re: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3

AFAIK, the only situation where you or any other driver using EAP wouldn't be able to save themselves is if they weren't paying attention and/or weren't conscious. EAP is extremely easy to override with a relatively small amount of force, which can drop the car down to TACC, or completely into manu...
by roflwaffle
Fri Jun 08, 2018 6:42 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3
Replies: 1326
Views: 106465

Re: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3

Going back on topic, I think someone should take delivery if they want a new, sporty, efficient EV. The 3 to me has 90+% of the practicality and efficiency of a Prius with 90+% of the performance and appeal of a luxury sports sedan. No other manufacturer's offering anything close right now, and I th...
by roflwaffle
Fri Jun 08, 2018 6:28 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3
Replies: 1326
Views: 106465

Re: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3

Your comments are interesting. That is what is known as accident reconstruction. This case may eventually be tried before judge and jury so we may be wasting our time here. Key point is when should driver have become aware that car was heading for barrier? Probably when it started to accelerate. An...
by roflwaffle
Thu May 24, 2018 11:58 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Why do so many people quote "You will likely be in a lower tax bracket in retirement"
Replies: 550
Views: 36789

Re: Why do so many people quote "You will likely be in a lower tax bracket in retirement"

My feeling is that not being in a lower tax bracket when you retire is a nice problem to have. :sharebeer
by roflwaffle
Tue May 01, 2018 8:15 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Mango prepaid maybe hacked?
Replies: 5
Views: 993

Re: Mango prepaid maybe hacked?

I've been able to log in by changing my password. I initially thought something shady was going on, but the transaction was initiated by MangoTransition, which I'm guessing is the user they created for this transition. I also tried transferring $1,000 to my savings, which worked, but it was transfer...
by roflwaffle
Wed Apr 25, 2018 11:57 am
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3
Replies: 1326
Views: 106465

Re: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3

emphasis added that's pretty clear and unambiguous. No matter what the autosteer disclaimer says, that tesla MX didn't do what the website claims it would do. And that guy died. I haven't cancelled my reservation. For now I'm sitting on it. I will admit that I was really really looking forward to o...
by roflwaffle
Wed Apr 25, 2018 11:41 am
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3
Replies: 1326
Views: 106465

Re: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3

I think they need to provide consistent positive margins on the 3, like they have on the S and X, but I don't think the company as a whole needs to consistently show profitability. I think they need a couple quarters of profitability, like they did with the S, but after that they'll probably want t...
by roflwaffle
Tue Apr 24, 2018 10:55 am
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3
Replies: 1326
Views: 106465

Re: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3

Its important to remember, re the '$35k Tesla' is that the falling price of batteries means that pure EVS (with long range) will eventually become cheaper than their gasoline counterparts. There will eventually be a really compelling $25k Tesla. That is the endgame. The 3 is just a big hairy step o...
by roflwaffle
Thu Apr 19, 2018 11:45 am
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3
Replies: 1326
Views: 106465

Re: To take or not to take delivery of Tesla 3

There is a $1,000 destination and regulatory doc fee which covers delivery and documentation. And just like every other slime ball dealer, the doc fee is a renamed "Additional Dealer Markup", but in this case, directly from the factory. Note: The first time a dealer charged me a doc fee was in 1991...
by roflwaffle
Thu Apr 12, 2018 11:35 am
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Does it make sense to buy new appliances when there's a good sale before you need them?
Replies: 28
Views: 1994

Re: Does it make sense to buy new appliances when there's a good sale before you need them?

That depends on your current appliances. If you have something that uses a lot of electricity/water/etc... replacing it might be worthwhile financially. We recently upgraded our washer/dryer when they went on sale. We also have utility rebates to reduce the cost further. The new washer cleans far be...
by roflwaffle
Mon Apr 09, 2018 3:08 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: New Lexus LS or Tesla Model S
Replies: 63
Views: 4911

Re: New Lexus LS or Tesla Model S

I'd go with the Tesla because of lower operating costs, a (subjectively) better driving experience, and what seems to be similar reliability overall. Initial quality with a Tesla will almost certainly be worse, and it's a pain to have stuff fixed at the service centers, but it's one of the trade-off...
by roflwaffle
Tue Feb 27, 2018 10:14 am
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Harbor Freight fold-able trailer
Replies: 24
Views: 16315

Re: Harbor Freight fold-able trailer

That's good to know! I have a couple tires and a spare to check and maybe take back. :beer
by roflwaffle
Mon Feb 26, 2018 12:12 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: used Prius (or Chevy Volt?)
Replies: 51
Views: 4682

Re: used Prius (or Chevy Volt?)

What kind of price range are you looking in? Trying for under $12,000. Realize I may not be able to make it. You might be able to get the last gen plug-in Prius for about $12k if you're patient. It doesn't have as much range as a 1st gen Bolt at < 10 miles, but it gets way better mpg, and is a litt...
by roflwaffle
Mon Feb 26, 2018 10:26 am
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Harbor Freight fold-able trailer
Replies: 24
Views: 16315

Re: Harbor Freight fold-able trailer

They recalled the lights a while back. I sent in a form and got a set of replacements in the mail a couple weeks later. There's also a recall for tires, but I believe that's just for replacements, not the tires on the trailers themselves. I could be wrong thought. https://slickdeals.net/f/11077335-h...
by roflwaffle
Tue Feb 20, 2018 7:03 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Auto Ins. Drop Comprehensive and Collision?
Replies: 13
Views: 1062

Re: Auto Ins. Drop Comprehensive and Collision?

I would shop around before dropping coverage. DW's car is worth maybe $12k-$14k according to KBB (dealer/PP), and we pay $5/month for zero deductible comprehensive and $20/month for collision with a $1000 deductible. My old Honda Insight (maybe worth a few grand) is $3/month for $0 comprehensive and...
by roflwaffle
Fri Feb 02, 2018 11:06 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 6752
Views: 1467684

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

My 401K contribution goes in tomorrow. This is awesome news! If it's troubled water ahead, just be careful what you wish for. Nope, not worried. Stay the course. I have a 50-year horizon. If it dropped 50% tomorrow and I lost my job, we’d still be fine for years. I'm admittedly a total novice, but ...
by roflwaffle
Thu Feb 01, 2018 11:43 am
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Help! Insurance company wants new roof after closing!
Replies: 20
Views: 4174

Re: Help! Insurance company wants new roof after closing!

I'd push them on what specifically needs repair. It's reasonable for an insurer to point out defects and request they be fixed, which in my experience they do to cover themselves, but requiring replacement of the whole roof seems extreme unless it's literally falling apart.
by roflwaffle
Thu Feb 01, 2018 11:32 am
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Is this new car the smarter option?
Replies: 24
Views: 1907

Re: Is this new car the smarter option?

I believe I have spent less purchasing used vehicles and driving them a *lot, but the big caveat is that I also go out of my way to do my own maintenance. If I didn't do that, I likely would have purchased a new vehicle by now.

*I have yet to sell/junk a car, but I probably should at this point.
by roflwaffle
Thu Feb 01, 2018 11:12 am
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Quit jobs to gain lower EFC [Expected Family Contribution]
Replies: 111
Views: 9805

Re: Quit jobs to gain lower EFC [Expected Family Contribution]

OP, what's net your net per hour, including time spent getting ready for work/commuting? That IMO is a clearer metric than gross. Combined, my wife and I work about 2,325 hours/year and will gross about 150k this past year. Net about $52/hour before commuting and getting ready. If you add in that t...