Search found 41 matches

by quicknss
Sat Mar 20, 2021 6:05 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Bitcoin ETF (GBTC): Is 17% premium irrelevant?
Replies: 58
Views: 7958

Re: Bitcoin ETF (GBTC): Is 17% premium irrelevant?

they will convert to an etf structure
by quicknss
Fri Jan 22, 2021 12:03 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: “New Bitcoin Investors Explain Why They’re Buying at Record Prices“
Replies: 936
Views: 80443

Re: “New Bitcoin Investors Explain Why They’re Buying at Record Prices“

you are right. but the stock market does not go up in the modern day and age because of an increase in productivity and increase in goods and services otherwise PE ratios would not be at crazy extremes. the stock market now goes up because it is the only way to keep up with inflation (not cpi). people now use the stock market as a way to not fall behind
by quicknss
Thu Jan 21, 2021 11:37 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: “New Bitcoin Investors Explain Why They’re Buying at Record Prices“
Replies: 936
Views: 80443

Re: “New Bitcoin Investors Explain Why They’re Buying at Record Prices“

the same can be asked of all bogleheads dollar cost averaging into index funds at record PE ratios and fairly stagnant earnings. I love this post on bitcoinhackers.org:

https://bitcoinhackers.org/@2big2fail/1 ... 7872698745
by quicknss
Thu Jan 14, 2021 12:01 am
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Cloud storage services recommendation.
Replies: 18
Views: 1464

Re: Cloud storage services recommendation.

i second sync.com due to their very good encryption which prevents any access to your data due to hipaa compliant standards
by quicknss
Fri Dec 25, 2020 9:12 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Michael Saylor Discusses Bitcoin on Bloomberg's Odd Lots
Replies: 507
Views: 39110

Re: Michael Saylor Discusses Bitcoin on Bloomberg's Odd Lots

energy consuming activities are not bad.

if we are to flourish as a society we will consume more and more energy and find ways to make production more efficient

bitcoin promotes cheaper and more efficient energy production which is good for humanity
by quicknss
Sun Nov 29, 2020 4:08 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Bitcoin: What is it, in Plain English
Replies: 313
Views: 45996

Re: Bitcoin: What is it, in Plain English

sure, but it is very hard to stop someone from memorizing a private key that controls a million dollars of bitcoin and the flying to europe. this is the single property that will slowly transform the world unless every country bans use st the exact same time.
by quicknss
Sun Nov 29, 2020 3:51 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Bitcoin: What is it, in Plain English
Replies: 313
Views: 45996

Re: Bitcoin: What is it, in Plain English

bitcoin is just money.... nothing more nothing less

many believe it is a better store of value than other money over a long timeframe

many believe it is a good medium of exchange because it is digitally native and does not involve a third party when transferring

it has properties that make confiscation difficult but not impossible

it is also deflationary as terminal supply will be reached in the far future

if those properties make it attractive then owning it as a money can offer a lot of jurisdictional freedom (crossing international boarders with portable cash that is invisible)
by quicknss
Thu Nov 26, 2020 6:52 pm
Forum: Non-US Investing
Topic: I am looking for a crypto-broker! Where do you buy your bitcoin/etherum/etc?
Replies: 49
Views: 7033

Re: I am looking for a crypto-broker! Where do you buy your bitcoin/etherum/etc?

also do not use paypal for same reasons as you cannot self custody if you desire to in the future
by quicknss
Thu Nov 26, 2020 6:51 pm
Forum: Non-US Investing
Topic: I am looking for a crypto-broker! Where do you buy your bitcoin/etherum/etc?
Replies: 49
Views: 7033

Re: I am looking for a crypto-broker! Where do you buy your bitcoin/etherum/etc?

do not use robinhood as the coins cannot ever be moved off the exchange
by quicknss
Thu Nov 26, 2020 6:16 pm
Forum: Non-US Investing
Topic: I am looking for a crypto-broker! Where do you buy your bitcoin/etherum/etc?
Replies: 49
Views: 7033

Re: I am looking for a crypto-broker! Where do you buy your bitcoin/etherum/etc?

river.com is a great company and swan bitcoin offers great DCA options

both are bitcoin only companies which offers a infrastructure focus that improves the security of the brokerage
by quicknss
Thu Nov 26, 2020 6:04 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Bitcoin: What is it, in Plain English
Replies: 313
Views: 45996

Re: Bitcoin: What is it, in Plain English

the nice thing about bitcoin is it continues to work and will continue to work regardless of the people or institutions opinion . eventually everyone will own some either directly or as a part of a treasury reserve asset held by a company in your index.

good luck to all the haters and good luck to all the holders
by quicknss
Fri Oct 02, 2020 7:41 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Simplicity on Bond Funds
Replies: 181
Views: 16317

Re: Simplicity on Bond Funds

i treat bonds as cash these days since yield is embarrassing. i hold only as much as i want in cash
by quicknss
Sat Aug 29, 2020 6:43 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin
Replies: 349
Views: 29206

Re: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin

Northern Flicker wrote: Sat Aug 29, 2020 6:31 pm Yes, most of the market cap in VTI is of stocks of companies that generate profits, and yes, the profits of companies in VTI in aggregate have increased over time as a primary driver of its appreciation, though not on a monitonically increasing trajectory. That is in fact the whole point of why Bitcoin will never be an investment. It can be a speculation or a digital currency but not both at the same time.
and at these valuations passive flows into indexes are also a speculation...that is my only point...remember value is based on the price you pay...that is true for individual stocks as well as indexes
by quicknss
Sat Aug 29, 2020 6:14 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin
Replies: 349
Views: 29206

Re: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin

what is supporting VTI right now? is it the ever increasing earnings from the index? (sarcasm).
by quicknss
Sat Aug 29, 2020 4:34 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin
Replies: 349
Views: 29206

Re: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin

reading this thread and many others on bitcoin on bogleheads forum is disheartening because it shows that many of the smart people here are either close minded, stubborn in their ways, or just not thorough in their thinking about bitcoin. this is fine because it means more time to accumulate without competition but also sad that so many here will miss out on taking position in a very valuable asset. hopefully my replies to many of the arguments in this thread will help open readers mind to the fact that they have a very wrong understanding of bitcoin -cheers I think you underestimate this board which is filled with very intelligent people who have a very good understanding of what bitcoin is. Most people here get it that Bitcoin is a specu...
by quicknss
Sat Aug 29, 2020 5:06 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin
Replies: 349
Views: 29206

Re: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin

Stormbringer wrote: Sat Aug 29, 2020 4:50 am Money is:
  1. A medium of exchange.
  2. A unit of account.
  3. A store of value.
Digital currencies just don't do well at any of these. Few places accept them, your bank statement is never going to be expressed in terms of bitcoins, and who wants to hold money that gains or loses 10% of it's value daily?
bitcoin is not the onlything that can gain and lose 10% of its value daily. check out this nice chart and table
https://s.thestreet.com/files/tsc/v2008 ... a747e9.jpg
https://cryptovoices.com/basemoney

but again, i think it is worth stating that as a new asset is monetized volatility is high and then quiets. again it is a speculative store of value. where gold is a historic store of value.
by quicknss
Sat Aug 29, 2020 4:48 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin
Replies: 349
Views: 29206

Re: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin

First and foremost, bitcoin is not a scam. There is not some Madoff type character that is scamming people. Bitcoin is a real thing that has value. It’s value is based on what others are willing to pay for it. This is no different than some rare armor on the World of Warcraft, beanie babies, or gold. Fact of the matter is, there are people on this planet who value bitcoin. Period. What bitcoin really is, is a speculative tool. People who buy it, do so with no other purpose than the hope that one day it will be worth a lot more than the purchase price. That’s why I own a fraction of a coin. I do so because I am enjoying the ride and maybe, if I get lucky, I can sell it for far more than what I bought it for. You never know. What about it's ...
by quicknss
Sat Aug 29, 2020 4:20 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin
Replies: 349
Views: 29206

Re: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin

reading this thread and many others on bitcoin on bogleheads forum is disheartening because it shows that many of the smart people here are either close minded, stubborn in their ways, or just not thorough in their thinking about bitcoin. this is fine because it means more time to accumulate without competition but also sad that so many here will miss out on taking position in a very valuable asset.

hopefully my replies to many of the arguments in this thread will help open readers mind to the fact that they have a very wrong understanding of bitcoin

-cheers
by quicknss
Sat Aug 29, 2020 4:15 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin
Replies: 349
Views: 29206

Re: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin

Why would anyone consider bitcoin to be a "store of value" when nothing in Satoshi Nakamoto's paper says that that was a design goal? The "store of value" and "digital gold" are retconned storylines that were invented only after it became clear that bitcoin had failed completely at it's stated purpose, which was for a) "small casual transactions," b) over the Internet, at c) a much much lower cost than credit cards. The whole argument was that the possibility of reversing transactions was costly because of the need for mediation, and that huge cost savings were possible by designing a system in which transactions were irreversible. here is a quote by satoshi :: "As a thought experiment, imagine ...
by quicknss
Sat Aug 29, 2020 3:21 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin
Replies: 349
Views: 29206

Re: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin

imagine if the amount of gold was known...does discovering more platinum impact the scarcity of gold. that is what you are saying...that creating a new coin reduces the scarcity of another coin. Lots of different digital currencies do not decrease the scarcity of bitcoin....does creating new companies decrease the scarcity of apple stock.
by quicknss
Sat Aug 29, 2020 2:04 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Bonds: The situation and near-term perspective
Replies: 31
Views: 4374

Re: Bonds: The situation and near-term perspective

fingoals wrote: Thu Aug 27, 2020 4:12 pm I won't pretend that I decently understand current situation around bonds (especially in light of today's Fed message). What I know is that VBTLX (the fund in which I currently keep my EF) is experiencing slight - but recently more pronounced - downtrend. I would appreciate if knowledgeable people here clarify the situation and relevant near-term (up to a year) perspective for me. Thank you in advance!
with no yield the most viable solution is gold (a zero coupon long/infinite duration asset). Bonds may appreciate as rates go negative but you depend on that appreciation to match inflation to not lose money. gold as a rare asset will appreciate in a no yield bond environment as will stocks due to lack of other areas for yield.
by quicknss
Sat Aug 29, 2020 1:27 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin
Replies: 349
Views: 29206

Re: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin

One difference between bitcoin and a commodity like gold is that there is a very enthusiastic and evangelical community of people working on it and attempting to increase its value (as in intrinsic value of the good by improving the network etc., I don't mean pumping the price although there's a fair share of those people as well...). Just from looking around, it's hopefully clear that one should never underestimate the entrepreneurial spirit and resourcefulness of the open source software community. When you buy bitcoin, you are not just buying a collection of electrons in the cloud that you hope can be offloaded onto some other sucker in the future. I mean, that might be half of it. But you are also investing in the labor of a group of t...
by quicknss
Sat Aug 29, 2020 1:18 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin
Replies: 349
Views: 29206

Re: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin

Why would anyone consider bitcoin to be a "store of value" when nothing in Satoshi Nakamoto's paper says that that was a design goal? The "store of value" and "digital gold" are retconned storylines that were invented only after it became clear that bitcoin had failed completely at it's stated purpose, which was for a) "small casual transactions," b) over the Internet, at c) a much much lower cost than credit cards. The whole argument was that the possibility of reversing transactions was costly because of the need for mediation, and that huge cost savings were possible by designing a system in which transactions were irreversible. all "good" money should be a store of value separate from i...
by quicknss
Sat Aug 29, 2020 1:10 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin
Replies: 349
Views: 29206

Re: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin

GuyLafleur wrote: Fri Aug 28, 2020 1:17 pm Hi all,

I'm agnostic on Bitcoin, but would be interested to know what some of the more economics-minded posters think of the Winklevoss twins' arguments as to why the Dollar, gold, and oil are not long-term stores of value, but Bitcoin is: https://winklevosscapital.com/the-case- ... k-bitcoin/
This very reasonable given the prior modeling https://digitalik.net/btc/
by quicknss
Sat Aug 29, 2020 1:09 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin
Replies: 349
Views: 29206

Re: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin

DDubya wrote: Fri Aug 28, 2020 2:44 pm Some years ago I listened to a podcast with a founder of Xapo, a bitcoin wallet. He said bitcoin had a "non-trivial" chance of being valued at $1 million and a "non-trivial" chance of being valued at $0. This never struck me as the definition of a store of value.
speculative store of value is a better term at this stage in the game although anyone who has purchased in the past short of the bubble top has retained their value if not most likely gained value
by quicknss
Sat Aug 29, 2020 1:06 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin
Replies: 349
Views: 29206

Re: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin

Not really, because security for other systems can be updated. The algorithms for Bitcoin are fixed at inception. [/quote] I thought you might say exactly this but my understanding is that this is incorrect. Bitcoin is not immutable. Changes to Bitcoin simply require consensus. I'm sure someone will chime in if I'm incorrect. [/quote] This is incorrect. the consensus change would require everyone on the network running a node to all agree at once to change the number of hard caped 21million. If some want it changed then they fork off the network and create their own new bitcoin that no one uses. those who want to keep their 21million cap continue running existing bitcoin software and just ignore those who want a larger cap. It is an all or ...
by quicknss
Sat Aug 29, 2020 1:04 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin
Replies: 349
Views: 29206

Re: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin

I will also note that the scarcity claim is absurd. There is no scarcity of numbers and no scarcity of cryptocurrencies that can be created. Sorry, but this comment shows a clear misunderstanding of what is meant by Bitcoin's scarcity, especially "and no scarcity of cryptocurrencies that can be created." As I've said in other Bitcoin threads, perhaps the issues that arise on this forum when discussing Bitcoin have little to do with Bitcoin and more to do with the tendency of members to post even though they don't have "informed" opinions. No, I understand the claims. The problem is that as demand for bitcoin increases, there will be an increasing supply of altcoins to temper its price. Any altcoin that has as good or be...
by quicknss
Sat Aug 29, 2020 1:00 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin
Replies: 349
Views: 29206

Re: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin

rkhusky wrote: Fri Aug 28, 2020 9:37 pm Just because something is rare or scarce does not mean it is valuable.
that is true, it is the other properties such as ease of transmission, difficulty in confiscating, censorship resistance, network effects and current and future stock to flow ratios that provide the monetary properties
by quicknss
Sat Aug 29, 2020 12:58 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin
Replies: 349
Views: 29206

Re: Winklevoss: The Case for $500,000 Bitcoin

the argument of no scarcity because of an infinite supply of other cryptocurrencies is incorrect. The network effects, current value, and existing transaction history (chain length) prevent any new coin from achieving the first mover advantage. new chains can be created but they don't dilute existing value they just hope achieve new value. just as other precious metals don't detract from golds already existing stock and monetary properties.
by quicknss
Wed Dec 11, 2019 12:49 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Negative Bond Yields?
Replies: 39
Views: 5216

Re: Negative Bond Yields?

are any of these bonds held by vbtlx?
by quicknss
Wed Dec 11, 2019 9:15 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Negative Bond Yields?
Replies: 39
Views: 5216

Re: Negative Bond Yields?

so which mutual fund products should be avoided to avoid these bonds if I wish to not own negative yields
by quicknss
Wed Dec 11, 2019 6:39 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Negative Bond Yields?
Replies: 39
Views: 5216

Re: Negative Bond Yields?

Can anyone tell me which Vanguard or Fidelity bond funds hold negative yielding bonds? Does VBTLX hold any negative yielding bonds?
by quicknss
Sat Nov 28, 2015 10:08 am
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: How to encrypt files for backup?
Replies: 41
Views: 6795

Re: How to encrypt files for backup?

Veracrypt is the new trucrypt so I would recommend that https://veracrypt.codeplex.com/
by quicknss
Sun Mar 22, 2015 9:15 pm
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: Municiple Fund as Emergency
Replies: 8
Views: 1722

Municiple Fund as Emergency

With interest rates so low does anyone use the Vanguard Intermediate-Term Tax-Exempt Fund as their emergency fund? Historically are there that big of fluctuations that it would be a problem I needed the money for an emergency?
by quicknss
Sun Mar 22, 2015 9:11 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: What Book Are You Currently Reading? Part VI
Replies: 7650
Views: 1723931

Re: What Book Are You Currently Reading? Part VI

Reading an advanced copy of an emergency medicine question book (The Kaji Review). I know, lame. But sometimes it pays to study http://www.amazon.com/Kaji-Review-Emerg ... aji+review
by quicknss
Sat Apr 26, 2014 7:33 am
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: VW TDI Engines
Replies: 48
Views: 16054

Re: VW TDI Engines

Can the TDI be serviced at normal mechanics or does it always need to go to the dealer?
by quicknss
Wed Jan 09, 2013 8:37 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Medical Alert product?
Replies: 14
Views: 1740

Re: Medical Alert product?

As an Emergency Physician in Los Angeles we get many EMS notifications and patients that use the Lifeline system. I am young and only have grandparents that use Philips Lifeline but can at least testify that it works and seems to be incredibly reliable. There are various reviews online as well about the usefulness of the systems. http://medical-alert-systems-review.toptenreviews.com/
by quicknss
Sun Dec 30, 2012 12:39 am
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: What Book Are You Currently Reading? Part V
Replies: 3372
Views: 1565577

Re: What Book Are You Currently Reading? Part V

Just finished Arnold Schwarzenegger's biography "Total Recall" which is quite good on audiobook
by quicknss
Mon Dec 10, 2012 7:48 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Cheaper Internet: Defeating the cable demon
Replies: 28
Views: 4385

Re: Cheaper Internet: Defeating the cable demon

Used to call up Charter every 6 months. They finally let me lock in a 2 year rate only $10 more than my deal but $20 less/month than the monthly rate
by quicknss
Thu Nov 22, 2012 11:27 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: What Book Are You Currently Reading? Part V
Replies: 3372
Views: 1565577

Re: What Book Are You Currently Reading? Part V

Kitchen Confidential by Anthony Bourdain -- interesting insight into the restaurant business