Search found 5549 matches

by grayfox
Wed Jul 08, 2020 7:00 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: You have a second chance to reduce your stock holdIng
Replies: 112
Views: 12994

Re: You have a second chance to reduce your stock holdIng

FYI: Update on Mebane Faber's 10-month SMA. At the end of each month there is a signal that tells you IN or OUT. For July-2020, the 10-month SMA is showing IN for the S&P500: Moving Averages June Update: Market Up 1.8% . Total Stock Market (VTI) is showing IN. Europe (VEU) and U.S. REITS (VNQ) are s...
by grayfox
Sat Jul 04, 2020 11:25 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Gold $1600 Oz - When?
Replies: 370
Views: 25965

Re: Gold $1600 Oz - When?

nevermind
by grayfox
Fri Jul 03, 2020 10:07 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Will ex-US ever revert to good performance? Or is it just a high-risk, low-reward investment?
Replies: 358
Views: 19433

Re: Will ex-US ever revert to good performance? Or is it just a high-risk, low-reward investment?

I'm running portfoliovisualizer from Jan-2007, just before the Great Recession of 2008/2009, to Dec-2019, just before the pandemic of 2020. I think you have a timeframe issue with your analysis. 2007 was a very peculiar year for international. Compare VGTSX (Total International Stock) to VBMFX (Tot...
by grayfox
Fri Jul 03, 2020 7:59 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Will ex-US ever revert to good performance? Or is it just a high-risk, low-reward investment?
Replies: 358
Views: 19433

Re: Will ex-US ever revert to good performance? Or is it just a high-risk, low-reward investment?

I'm running portfoliovisualizer from Jan-2007, just before the Great Recession of 2008/2009, to Dec-2019, just before the pandemic of 2020. The benchmark I'm using is Vanguard Total Bond Market (VBMFX). I looked at Vanguard International Total Stock Market (VGTSX) and all the regions, Europe (VEURX)...
by grayfox
Wed Jul 01, 2020 8:53 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Will ex-US ever revert to good performance? Or is it just a high-risk, low-reward investment?
Replies: 358
Views: 19433

Re: Will ex-US ever revert to good performance? Or is it just a high-risk, low-reward investment?

As I write this post, Vanguard's total-market ex-US fund VTIAX/VXUS is trading below its price of 9.5 years ago . In the same timeframe, Vanguard's total US market VTSAX/VTI nearly tripled in price, even after the recent hit of COVID-19. Ex-US returns have been simply abysmal for the past decade. V...
by grayfox
Tue Jun 30, 2020 7:43 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Finding Middle Ground on the LMP
Replies: 95
Views: 4961

deleted
by grayfox
Fri Jun 26, 2020 5:51 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: 60
Replies: 152
Views: 13002

Re: 60 World Stock Markets

nevermind
by grayfox
Thu Jun 25, 2020 6:05 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: 60
Replies: 152
Views: 13002

Re: 60 World Stock Markets

nevermind
by grayfox
Tue Jun 23, 2020 6:10 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Pac
Replies: 10
Views: 1022

Re: Pacific Stock Funds

nevermind
by grayfox
Mon Jun 22, 2020 7:46 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Nor
Replies: 19
Views: 1749

Re: North American Stock Markets

nevermind
by grayfox
Mon Jun 22, 2020 7:26 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Pac
Replies: 10
Views: 1022

Re: Pacific Stock Funds

nevermind
by grayfox
Mon Jun 22, 2020 6:06 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Nor
Replies: 19
Views: 1749

Re: North American Stock Markets

nevermind
by grayfox
Mon Jun 22, 2020 5:38 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Nor
Replies: 19
Views: 1749

Re: North American Stock Markets

nevermind
by grayfox
Sun Jun 21, 2020 7:50 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Nor
Replies: 19
Views: 1749

Re: North American Stock Markets

nevermind
by grayfox
Sun Jun 21, 2020 6:45 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Nor
Replies: 19
Views: 1749

Re: North American Stock Markets

Here's an idea I had. I have been comparing the foreign stock markets to the U.S. stock market, which is kind of the gold standard of stock markets. That is like comparing all sprinters to Usain Bolt. That is a very high bar. Of course they will all fall short. How about lowering the bar and compari...
by grayfox
Sun Jun 21, 2020 6:09 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Em
Replies: 5
Views: 1028

Re: Emerging Stock Markets

nevermind
by grayfox
Sun Jun 21, 2020 5:56 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Em
Replies: 5
Views: 1028

Re: Emerging Stock Markets

nevermind
by grayfox
Sun Jun 21, 2020 5:43 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Em
Replies: 5
Views: 1028

Re: Emerging Stock Markets

nevermind
by grayfox
Sat Jun 20, 2020 8:02 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Em
Replies: 5
Views: 1028

Em

deleted
by grayfox
Thu Jun 18, 2020 6:09 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Eur
Replies: 1
Views: 1012

Eur

deleted
by grayfox
Thu Jun 18, 2020 5:44 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Pac
Replies: 10
Views: 1022

Re: Pacific Stock Funds

nevermind
by grayfox
Thu Jun 18, 2020 5:16 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Nor
Replies: 19
Views: 1749

Re: North American Stock Markets

nevermind
by grayfox
Thu Jun 18, 2020 4:40 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Nor
Replies: 19
Views: 1749

Re: North American Stock Markets

nevermind
by grayfox
Thu Jun 18, 2020 4:31 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Nor
Replies: 19
Views: 1749

Re: North American Stock Markets

nevermind
by grayfox
Wed Jun 17, 2020 6:53 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Pac
Replies: 10
Views: 1022

Re: Pacific Stock Funds

nevermind
by grayfox
Wed Jun 17, 2020 6:39 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Pac
Replies: 10
Views: 1022

Re: Pacific Stock Funds

nevermind
by grayfox
Wed Jun 17, 2020 6:16 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Pac
Replies: 10
Views: 1022

Re: Pacific Stock Funds

nevermind
by grayfox
Wed Jun 17, 2020 5:04 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Nor
Replies: 19
Views: 1749

Re: North American Stock Markets

nevermind
by grayfox
Wed Jun 17, 2020 4:44 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Nor
Replies: 19
Views: 1749

Re: North American Stock Markets

nevermind
by grayfox
Tue Jun 16, 2020 2:56 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Nor
Replies: 19
Views: 1749

Nor

deleted
by grayfox
Tue Jun 16, 2020 5:41 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Pac
Replies: 10
Views: 1022

Pac

deleted
by grayfox
Fri Jun 12, 2020 5:44 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: 60
Replies: 152
Views: 13002

Re: Investing in International Stocks

moved
by grayfox
Fri Jun 12, 2020 5:27 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: 60
Replies: 152
Views: 13002

Re: Investing in International Stocks

nevermind
by grayfox
Fri Jun 12, 2020 5:21 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Who here is buying stocks today and how much?
Replies: 311
Views: 28802

deleted
by grayfox
Thu Jun 11, 2020 7:44 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: 60
Replies: 152
Views: 13002

Re: Investing in International Stocks

nevermind
by grayfox
Thu Jun 11, 2020 6:54 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Who here is buying stocks today and how much?
Replies: 311
Views: 28802

deleted
by grayfox
Thu Jun 11, 2020 6:51 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: 60
Replies: 152
Views: 13002

Re: Investing in International Stocks

nevermind
by grayfox
Wed Jun 10, 2020 6:36 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: 60
Replies: 152
Views: 13002

Re: Investing in International Stocks

nevermind
by grayfox
Tue Jun 09, 2020 8:38 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: 60
Replies: 152
Views: 13002

Re: Investing in International Stocks

nevermind
by grayfox
Tue Jun 09, 2020 8:32 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: You have a second chance to reduce your stock holdIng
Replies: 112
Views: 12994

Re: You have a second chance to reduce your stock holdIng

If you are going to market time, don't fly by the seat of your pants, i.e. don't I get in or out on gut instinct. Follow a simple set of rules. Use some kind of mechanical system to follow so that you can "stay the course". But easier said than done. One simple system is Mebane Faber's 10-month SMA....
by grayfox
Tue Jun 09, 2020 6:19 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: 60
Replies: 152
Views: 13002

Re: Investing in International Stocks

nevermind
by grayfox
Mon Jun 08, 2020 7:41 pm
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: Vanguard GNMA for emergency fund?
Replies: 8
Views: 845

deleted
by grayfox
Mon Jun 08, 2020 4:11 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: 60
Replies: 152
Views: 13002

Re: Investing in International Stocks

nevermind
by grayfox
Mon Jun 08, 2020 4:04 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: 60
Replies: 152
Views: 13002

Re: Investing in International Stocks

nevermind