Search found 5936 matches

by staythecourse
Thu Oct 18, 2018 3:00 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: "Why Jack Bogle Doesn't Own Non-U.S. Stocks"
Replies: 173
Views: 8604

Re: "Why Jack Bogle Doesn't Own Non-U.S. Stocks"

...it is relatively speaking, a 'free lunch' for a citizen of a country to own equities priced in their native currency and under a legal regime where they have standing to seek recompense (relative to a foreigner)... it might even be better than a 'free lunch' because there will likely be lower co...
by staythecourse
Thu Oct 18, 2018 10:55 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Top stocks of 2000 trail the market over the next 18 years
Replies: 32
Views: 1811

Re: Top stocks of 2000 trail the market over the next 18 years

willthrill81 wrote:
Thu Oct 18, 2018 9:49 am

You could buy an S&P 500 index fund and zero your position in the top ten stocks with futures contracts.
If I was going to do be more active in my investing I really like this idea. Has anyone done this you know?

Good luck.
by staythecourse
Thu Oct 18, 2018 10:52 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Spoke with a CFP...underwhelming!
Replies: 34
Views: 2207

Re: Spoke with a CFP...underwhelming!

I am interested in working with an extremely wealthy financial advisor who has invested according to his own advice for many years and can provide me adequate documentation he has done so. You might want to read the classic book "Where are the Customers Yachts?" before you hire a wealthy financial ...
by staythecourse
Thu Oct 18, 2018 9:02 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: flat for the year
Replies: 26
Views: 2080

Re: flat for the year

Lucky for you as I am sure negative. With REIT, international small cap, and EM my ship has many holes this year. Reminds me of Mr. Gibson's line from "Asset Allocation"... (paraphasing) "A truly diversified investor will always be unhappy he will hold too many of the losers and not enough of the wi...
by staythecourse
Thu Oct 18, 2018 8:57 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Spoke with a CFP...underwhelming!
Replies: 34
Views: 2207

Re: Spoke with a CFP...underwhelming!

I am interested in working with an extremely wealthy financial advisor who has invested according to his own advice for many years and can provide me adequate documentation he has done so. Do as you want, but would NOT do this. Anybody with a computer can photoshop and make up anything. So what mak...
by staythecourse
Thu Oct 18, 2018 8:38 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Top stocks of 2000 trail the market over the next 18 years
Replies: 32
Views: 1811

Re: Top stocks of 2000 trail the market over the next 18 years

I became aware earlier of research which indicated that the largest companies in a country's stock market, as defined by market capitalization, tend to underperform the rest of the market going forward. But it wasn't until today that I came across such a dramatic example of this in action from Rese...
by staythecourse
Thu Oct 18, 2018 8:33 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Spoke with a CFP...underwhelming!
Replies: 34
Views: 2207

Re: Spoke with a CFP...underwhelming!

My own son who has completed the CFP courses (but has not taken the final exam) and I have had many conversations about investing. I have mentioned this site several times but he just scoff's at it saying it's internet advice from random strangers. I've never understood why folk's care WHERE a piec...
by staythecourse
Thu Oct 18, 2018 8:24 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 7393
Views: 1550361

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

willthrill81 wrote:
Wed Oct 17, 2018 3:28 pm
“Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves.” – Peter Lynch
That should be stickied somewhere. Thanks for the reminder for all of us.

Good luck.
by staythecourse
Thu Oct 18, 2018 8:14 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: "Why Jack Bogle Doesn't Own Non-U.S. Stocks"
Replies: 173
Views: 8604

Re: "Why Jack Bogle Doesn't Own Non-U.S. Stocks"

-International stocks are riskier, and there certainly hasn't been data showing a "risk premium" associated with it Here is the BIGGEST issue that makes no sense. Lets flip that argument around. So you are saying since it is SO OBVIOUS U.S. equities are safer it should be expected to return a bette...
by staythecourse
Thu Oct 18, 2018 8:03 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: "Why Jack Bogle Doesn't Own Non-U.S. Stocks"
Replies: 173
Views: 8604

Re: "Why Jack Bogle Doesn't Own Non-U.S. Stocks"

-International stocks are riskier, and there certainly hasn't been data showing a "risk premium" associated with it Here is the BIGGEST issue that makes no sense. Lets flip that argument around. So you are saying since it is SO OBVIOUS U.S. equities are safer it should be expected to return a bette...
by staythecourse
Wed Oct 17, 2018 7:49 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: "Why Jack Bogle Doesn't Own Non-U.S. Stocks"
Replies: 173
Views: 8604

Re: "Why Jack Bogle Doesn't Own Non-U.S. Stocks"

-International stocks are riskier, and there certainly hasn't been data showing a "risk premium" associated with it Here is the BIGGEST issue that makes no sense. Lets flip that argument around. So you are saying since it is SO OBVIOUS U.S. equities are safer it should be expected to return a bette...
by staythecourse
Wed Oct 17, 2018 6:09 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 7393
Views: 1550361

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

I'm a relatively young investor here in the beginning years of my retirement portfolio accumulation phase. Been with Vanguard for about 5 years now since I started my career. Currently in 100% equities. And I am EAGERLY awaiting a huge bear market...because it simply means stocks are at a discount....
by staythecourse
Wed Oct 17, 2018 6:03 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Not convinced with insurance
Replies: 45
Views: 3490

Re: Not convinced with insurance

As I discussed an another thread the interesting thing is how folks think about risk. Who cares if the risk shows up 1 out of 1000 if the risk leads to a few thousand dollars. If the risk is 1 in 10,000 and the risk could be in your entire net worth that is a big deal. It is not FREQUENCY that sole...
by staythecourse
Tue Oct 16, 2018 6:08 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: "Why Jack Bogle Doesn't Own Non-U.S. Stocks"
Replies: 173
Views: 8604

Re: "Why Jack Bogle Doesn't Own Non-U.S. Stocks"

All I can say about this argument is the majority of folks who support U.S. centric only investments are: 1. U.S. raised and 2. Old (80+). Sorry but this thought process is nearly (if ever) recommended by anyone outside of those 2 characteristics. It just proves that no matter how intelligent and in...
by staythecourse
Tue Oct 16, 2018 5:18 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Kids not interested in money / allowance
Replies: 50
Views: 4710

Re: Kids not interested in money / allowance

I don't know, having raised several now-grown children who seem to be doing fine. Assigned to a task (parenting or less important ones) it's only human nature I think to believe your own intentions and actions will determine the result. That mindset is at least conducive to trying your best. But it...
by staythecourse
Tue Oct 16, 2018 12:55 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: UC DCO's too high return? [Univ. of CA Defined Contribution Plan]
Replies: 4
Views: 281

Re: UC DCO's too high return? [Univ. of CA Defined Contribution Plan]

samsdad wrote:
Tue Oct 16, 2018 12:21 pm
What are the underlying investments?
That is the correct answer as it is the same as every post on the thread of "What are returns YTD". A simple equation of returns is basically: Asset allocation +/- alpha- fees- taxes. That simple or not simple as it may be to figure out.

Good luck.
by staythecourse
Tue Oct 16, 2018 12:27 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 7393
Views: 1550361

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

I'm a relatively young investor here in the beginning years of my retirement portfolio accumulation phase. Been with Vanguard for about 5 years now since I started my career. Currently in 100% equities. And I am EAGERLY awaiting a huge bear market...because it simply means stocks are at a discount....
by staythecourse
Tue Oct 16, 2018 11:13 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Market timing mistakes relative to joining BH Forum
Replies: 6
Views: 690

Re: Market timing mistakes relative to joining BH Forum

...it seemed common sense that you can't beat the market as a whole. Genuine common sense is surprisingly uncommon. True that. I am guilty of the same, but randomly for this specific issue I don't understand how anyone can think they can time a market that makes no sense on when it goes up, down, o...
by staythecourse
Tue Oct 16, 2018 11:12 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 7393
Views: 1550361

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

I'm a relatively young investor here in the beginning years of my retirement portfolio accumulation phase. Been with Vanguard for about 5 years now since I started my career. Currently in 100% equities. And I am EAGERLY awaiting a huge bear market...because it simply means stocks are at a discount....
by staythecourse
Tue Oct 16, 2018 11:07 am
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Job Offer – bonus details provided after acceptance
Replies: 26
Views: 1767

Re: Job Offer – bonus details provided after acceptance

You only have 3 options: 1. Say yes to the offer, get the bonus structure then join. 2. Say yes to the offer, get the bonus structure then say no based on new information that changed your decision. Totally reasonable as they are unwilling to let you know in advance. 3. Say no now as they aren't giv...
by staythecourse
Tue Oct 16, 2018 10:59 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Market timing mistakes relative to joining BH Forum
Replies: 6
Views: 690

Re: Market timing mistakes relative to joining BH Forum

Don't worry it is more important that you learned how to fish then when you learned it. Sounds like you are young in your career and if so you have MANY years to do it correct. Personally, I never market timed or did individual stock selection as it seemed common sense that you can't beat the market...
by staythecourse
Tue Oct 16, 2018 10:54 am
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Sell & Buy New Home Now vs. Next Spring
Replies: 25
Views: 1024

Re: Sell & Buy New Home Now vs. Next Spring

If you goal is to buy before the next school year then that is your deadline. The aspect that changes everything is WHEN you find a house you like. Let that be your guiding point. Don't let agents or bank guys influence you. They ONLY thing they care about is making a dime off you. In real estate th...
by staythecourse
Tue Oct 16, 2018 10:51 am
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Corporate politics/culture
Replies: 34
Views: 3128

Re: Corporate politics/culture

I worked for one particular MegaTechCorp where the executive VP of sales rotated in/out on about an 18 month basis. Every one of them seemed to feel that they needed to make a major change to show how great they were. I'm attached to sales so saw the result of their ego driven stupidity. One VP say...
by staythecourse
Tue Oct 16, 2018 10:45 am
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Single Family Homes in Chicago?
Replies: 33
Views: 3501

Re: Single Family Homes in Chicago?

OP: I wish you good luck. Please be well informed of the property tax situation. They're already very high, and the government-worker pension funds are still very far underfunded, so I think it is a very real risk that the property taxes go up-and-up-and-up even more. I sold off my rental propertie...
by staythecourse
Tue Oct 16, 2018 8:40 am
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Not convinced with insurance
Replies: 45
Views: 3490

Re: Not convinced with insurance

FYI while people can always cook up a scenario in which you get sued, and you can also cook up a scenario in which they will be sued for more than their current umbrella liability limit. The probability of all these events are below the level at which the human mind can discern. We all take risks s...
by staythecourse
Tue Oct 16, 2018 8:30 am
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Kids not interested in money / allowance
Replies: 50
Views: 4710

Re: Kids not interested in money / allowance

I started and stopped the allowances due to lack of interest. The kids could never come up with things they wanted for their birthdays or Christmas, so everyone gives them cash, which they save and invest. When they want something, they use their birthday/Christmas money throughout the year. They s...
by staythecourse
Tue Oct 16, 2018 8:29 am
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Corporate politics/culture
Replies: 34
Views: 3128

Re: Corporate politics/culture

Been in the private sector for 35 years now. It's almost as if there is a play book that they've read, at least in my industry. 1. New CEO comes in. Declares a 90-120 day period of "getting the lay of the land" 2. After that period, large number of second level execs depart nearly simultaneously an...
by staythecourse
Tue Oct 16, 2018 7:34 am
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Kids not interested in money / allowance
Replies: 50
Views: 4710

Re: Kids not interested in money / allowance

She is endlessly broke and always needs more money. Same parents, totally different kids. What can you do? Thanks for the example. I highlighted the above, because from all the observations I have seen there seems to be a HUGE variations in how kids turn out despite what type of "nurturing" environ...
by staythecourse
Mon Oct 15, 2018 6:08 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Kids not interested in money / allowance
Replies: 50
Views: 4710

Re: Kids not interested in money / allowance

She is endlessly broke and always needs more money. Same parents, totally different kids. What can you do? Thanks for the example. I highlighted the above, because from all the observations I have seen there seems to be a HUGE variations in how kids turn out despite what type of "nurturing" environ...
by staythecourse
Mon Oct 15, 2018 3:12 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Kids and Money
Replies: 38
Views: 1743

Re: Kids and Money

Congratulations on your upcoming baby! This is more of a parenting question than a financial question. Your unborn child's first jobs will be controlling their neck, crawling, walking, talking. S/he will work hard at this, with your encouragement and teaching. S/he will continue to work to work upo...
by staythecourse
Mon Oct 15, 2018 3:05 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Kids and Money
Replies: 38
Views: 1743

Re: Kids and Money

My kids, I raise as if they have no money. I don't think I have ever bought either of them a present their whole life that include holidays and their birthday. Now neither ever asks about material objects including toys. You've never purchased a single present for your kids for their entire lives? ...
by staythecourse
Mon Oct 15, 2018 3:02 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Kids not interested in money / allowance
Replies: 50
Views: 4710

Re: Kids not interested in money / allowance

Hi BHs, I have two sons (11 & 8 years). None of them has any interest in money. Each of them has a weekly allowance of $5. 99% of the time they do not ask for it, and even if my wife/I encourage them to take it they don’t. I tried to educate them since they were little (Money doesn’t grow on trees ...
by staythecourse
Mon Oct 15, 2018 1:04 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Kids and Money
Replies: 38
Views: 1743

Re: Kids and Money

Congratulations on your upcoming baby! This is more of a parenting question than a financial question. Your unborn child's first jobs will be controlling their neck, crawling, walking, talking. S/he will work hard at this, with your encouragement and teaching. S/he will continue to work to work upo...
by staythecourse
Mon Oct 15, 2018 12:51 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Kids and Money
Replies: 38
Views: 1743

Re: Kids and Money

My kids, I raise as if they have no money. I don't think I have ever bought either of them a present their whole life that include holidays and their birthday. Now neither ever asks about material objects including toys. You've never purchased a single present for your kids for their entire lives? ...
by staythecourse
Mon Oct 15, 2018 11:46 am
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Kids and Money
Replies: 38
Views: 1743

Re: Kids and Money

Here is worked for me growing up. I grew up with a dad who was a physician. One day I saw on t.v. that his specialty was the top 5 paying job in the whole country (not just among physicians). I asked him, "Wow we are rich" or something like that. His answer, "No I am rich you have nothing and if you...
by staythecourse
Mon Oct 15, 2018 10:48 am
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Lost Job, Need Advice on Next Move(s)
Replies: 5
Views: 380

Re: Lost Job, Need Advice on Next Move(s)

My advice... Keep money liquid. Don't worry about doing IRA anything until you get another job. Sometimes it is 1 day and sometimes not. So right now liquidity is your friend.

Good luck.
by staythecourse
Mon Oct 15, 2018 10:19 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Muscular Portfolios Questions
Replies: 9
Views: 1040

Re: Muscular Portfolios Questions

Welcome to the forum. I can say after several years of reading, debating, reading, debating, etc... investing really comes down to 4-5 things and that is it. Here is my advice after all the waste of time spent on reading about investing: 1. Make as much money as you can so you can save as much money...
by staythecourse
Sun Oct 14, 2018 6:25 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Reducing overall medical costs. Do we do anything?
Replies: 67
Views: 3058

Re: Reducing overall medical costs. Do we do anything?

Now if patients were more responsible and took care of themselves (obesity and smoking as 2 examples) healthcare costs would decrease significantly more then that. Serious question: Would costs really decrease that much? Sure people would live longer but then rather than a quick heart attack they w...
by staythecourse
Sun Oct 14, 2018 6:02 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Reducing overall medical costs. Do we do anything?
Replies: 67
Views: 3058

Re: Reducing overall medical costs. Do we do anything?

For someone claiming to be a doctor I must say I get paid a lot of money to do my job. :D Yes, one small driver of why healthcare is so expensive in the U.S. is this. Um no. Physician reimbursement is something like 10-20% % of ALL The cost of healthcare. If you cut it by 50% you would decrease hea...
by staythecourse
Sun Oct 14, 2018 5:57 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Reducing overall medical costs. Do we do anything?
Replies: 67
Views: 3058

Re: Reducing overall medical costs. Do we do anything?

For someone claiming to be a doctor I must say I get paid a lot of money to do my job. :D Yes, one small driver of why healthcare is so expensive in the U.S. is this. Um no. Physician reimbursement is something like 8-10% of ALL The cost of healthcare. If you cut it by 50% you would decrease health...
by staythecourse
Sun Oct 14, 2018 3:38 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Does anyone invest in commodities through an index?
Replies: 27
Views: 1592

Re: Does anyone invest in commodities through an index?

Commodities are difficult to invest in even if you wanted to since the ETFs normally consist of futures. I would LOVE some product that invests in holding oil direct. Oil spot prices have been a good diversifier to equities, but alas no such product exists. Mind you not an ETF for oil CCF, but the ...
by staythecourse
Sun Oct 14, 2018 1:02 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Does anyone invest in commodities through an index?
Replies: 27
Views: 1592

Re: Does anyone invest in commodities through an index?

Swedroe in his books about alternative investments, chapter 3, he says the following... “COMMODITIES, WHICH FALL within the broad category of hard assets, are an interesting class from a portfolio perspective. Since 1970, they have provided relatively high returns, exhibited negative correlations w...
by staythecourse
Sun Oct 14, 2018 12:00 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Reducing overall medical costs. Do we do anything?
Replies: 67
Views: 3058

Re: Reducing overall medical costs. Do we do anything?

This is a classic example of someone not knowing statistics. Screening tests are meant as high SENSITIVITY tests. That means one is going to find false positives. The key is to not MISS a person with the disease you are screening for, i.e. false negative. For a cancer screening test it has to be sh...
by staythecourse
Sun Oct 14, 2018 11:14 am
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Reducing overall medical costs. Do we do anything?
Replies: 67
Views: 3058

Re: Reducing overall medical costs. Do we do anything?

... since you opted out of the screening tests that have been shown to detect the disease earlier AND shown starting treatment improves morbidity of that disease? Considering BOTH would have been diagnosed earlier as screening tests you will have INCREASED the medical coverage needed to treat both ...
by staythecourse
Sun Oct 14, 2018 9:56 am
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Medical Balance Billed Illegally?
Replies: 14
Views: 994

Re: Medical Balance Billed Illegally?

Yooper16 wrote:
Sun Oct 14, 2018 9:27 am

She said don't pay any bill unto you see the EOB.
I've mentioned this SEVERAL times and agree. Do NOT pay any medical bill until you see your EOB and make sure the numbers match.

Good luck.
by staythecourse
Sun Oct 14, 2018 9:31 am
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Medical Balance Billed Illegally?
Replies: 14
Views: 994

Re: Medical Balance Billed Illegally?

I had an account from a medical group fall into collection status so I paid it to prevent it showing up on my CR. The total amount was near $1600. I went to investigate my claims and it looks like the billed me the original amount (not contracted member rate) minus what the insurance paid. This wou...
by staythecourse
Sun Oct 14, 2018 9:27 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Does anyone invest in commodities through an index?
Replies: 27
Views: 1592

Re: Does anyone invest in commodities through an index?

The problem with investing in commodities is that they have an expected real return of zero. Maybe true or false. CCF have 3 sources of return... collateral, spot price, and roll yield. Collateral are usually t-bills so real return of zero or worse (taxes). Spot price is real return zero as you des...
by staythecourse
Sun Oct 14, 2018 8:59 am
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Reducing overall medical costs. Do we do anything?
Replies: 67
Views: 3058

Re: Reducing overall medical costs. Do we do anything?

I am not going to go for a doctor for a wellness / regular test this year. Two years ago after retired, I went for my first wellness test on Medicare. Due to billing errors, Medicare denied some of the coverage and it was a real hassle sorting it out. So I decided all of these tests were unnecessar...
by staythecourse
Sun Oct 14, 2018 8:27 am
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Weigh in on our Marital Argument =)-- HCOL edition
Replies: 70
Views: 5348

Re: Weigh in on our Marital Argument =)-- HCOL edition

Don't have an answer (if there is a such thing with this type of question) but some answers to the following questions may help come to some answers... Did I miss what the plan with the kid's elementary, middle, and high schooleducation will be if you stayed? Public or private. If it is the former h...
by staythecourse
Sat Oct 13, 2018 5:45 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Neighbor discussing finances with me
Replies: 64
Views: 5888

Re: Neighbor discussing finances with me

I would not touch this with a 10 foot pole. Making suggestions to a family member is better then getting involved with your neighbors finances. What if he listens and loses MORE money. Man, that would be uncomfortable. My advice with neighbors is NEVER get too close as a fallout in that relationship...