Search found 98 matches

by zonto
Sat Apr 21, 2018 6:40 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: I’m still not a fan of international bond funds
Replies: 173
Views: 14966

Re: I’m still not a fan of international bond funds

I get the arguments against them, but they simply haven’t played out in reality since the inception of Vanguard’s international bond index fund or over a longer period according to portfolio visualizer. See the discussion here: https://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic.php?t=232920. I’ve been very ...
by zonto
Fri Mar 09, 2018 7:05 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: International Bonds
Replies: 34
Views: 4977

Re: International Bonds

I think the following charts make a pretty convincing case for using USD-hedged international index funds as part of one's fixed income allocation. For reference, VBTLX is Vanguard Total [U.S.] Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares and VTABX is Vanguard Total International Bond Index Fund Admiral Sh...
by zonto
Fri Mar 09, 2018 12:49 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Bonds and Accumulation
Replies: 6
Views: 741

Re: Bonds and Accumulation

I do the same thing. Bonds in 401(k)s, and equities in HSA, Roth IRAs and taxable account. You'll drive yourself nuts rebalancing every time you make a taxable contribution, so I'd just pick a date or two during the year depending on how much you're contributing. For me, I check if rebalance is need...
by zonto
Fri Mar 09, 2018 11:32 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Why International again?
Replies: 224
Views: 20826

Re: Why International again?

I'll throw my $0.02 into the billionth thread on the topic. These are some of my favorite sources, in addition to the quilts posted above. Global Diversification: Accepting Good Enough to Avoid Terrible - A Wealth of Common Sense Diversification is about accepting good enough while missing out on gr...
by zonto
Tue Mar 06, 2018 8:13 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Crypto Index Fund
Replies: 26
Views: 2222

Re: Crypto Index Fund

The SEC is not directly forcing Coinbase to only sell to accredited investors. A company like Coinbase that elects to offer and sale securities, like this crypto index fund, must register those securities with the SEC unless it finds an exemption from those registration requirements. One of those ex...
by zonto
Mon Feb 26, 2018 4:28 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: TCEHY -- "google" of China ?
Replies: 17
Views: 1921

Re: TCEHY -- "google" of China ?

I have looked into it, but only so far as to see that it's the top holding in Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund: https://personal.vanguard.com/us/FundsAllHoldings?FundId=0569&FundIntExt=INT&tableName=Equity&tableIndex=0&sort=marketValue&sortOrder=desc&funds_disable_redirect=true. I hold ...
by zonto
Tue Feb 13, 2018 10:22 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: What's your U.S. : International ratio?
Replies: 199
Views: 36463

Re: What's your U.S. : International ratio?

pascalwager wrote:
Tue Feb 13, 2018 9:59 pm
From what I understand, the VG Life Strategy and Target Date series will eventually go to world market ratios for both stocks and bonds.
Do you have a source for this? It would make sense, but I haven't read anything official.
by zonto
Mon Feb 05, 2018 12:52 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Vanguard REIT fund changes objective, name & index
Replies: 15
Views: 2787

Re: Vanguard REIT fund changes objective, name & index

That's interesting, and it should be noted that the somewhat-alarming title, "REIT fund changes investment objective, name, and index" is Vanguard's own description of what they are doing. I don't know how big a deal it really is. The news item is from their "institutional" site and maybe the chang...
by zonto
Mon Feb 05, 2018 11:13 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Vanguard REIT fund changes objective, name & index
Replies: 15
Views: 2787

Re: Vanguard REIT fund changes objective, name & index

And the index the fund will track over the next six months: https://www.msci.com/documents/1296102/1335386/msci_us_investable_market_real_estate_2550_transition_index_usd_gross-jan-18.pdf/46a0731c-b15f-40da-b26e-6999f5613772. Looks like it may have been created for Vanguard, given the October 2017 i...
by zonto
Sun Feb 04, 2018 8:32 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: why are people saying there is bond issues. BND only down 2% YTD
Replies: 29
Views: 3213

Re: why are people saying there is bond issues. BND only down 2% YTD

livesoft wrote:
Sun Feb 04, 2018 12:24 pm
Stocks and bonds are NOT inverse correlated. They are still positively correlated.
The data disagree: https://tinyurl.com/ya2uwevw

Image
by zonto
Mon Jan 08, 2018 10:41 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: 2017 Callan Periodic Table of Investment Returns
Replies: 35
Views: 5128

Re: 2017 Callan Periodic Table of Investment Returns

While waiting for the Callan table to be updated this past week, I stumbled across something similar from Novel Investor: https://novelinvestor.com/asset-class-returns/. It includes REITs and a diversified portfolio. It is also interactive (at the link above, click on a square to play around). Image...
by zonto
Tue Dec 26, 2017 10:46 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Bond help. 33 year old
Replies: 10
Views: 1508

Re: Bond help. 33 year old

Yep. One other thing to consider is that one may be in a lower tax bracket when the initial decision is made, but be in a much higher tax bracket later in their career. I'd prefer to use munis from the beginning if I'm going to put bonds in taxable.
by zonto
Mon Dec 25, 2017 6:12 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: International Investing without knowing governance/accounting details
Replies: 8
Views: 760

Re: International Investing without knowing governance/accounting details

When has the higher risk of international actually yielded higher returns over an extended period of time? Certainly not since 1986 (which is as far back as Portfolio Visualizer will let one compare them). What does “extended” mean in my question? A heck of a lot more than 10, so the 2000s run does...
by zonto
Mon Dec 25, 2017 8:03 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: What ever happened to the Larry portfolio?
Replies: 120
Views: 13358

Re: What ever happened to the Larry portfolio?

There is a difference between saying, "I don't care what [insert person] thinks." and saying, "I disagree with the argument made by [insert person] because [insert counter argument]." One is is a blanket disregard for a person's arguments because of who they are and is a reverse of the appeal to aut...
by zonto
Sat Dec 23, 2017 4:57 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: REIT or No REIT
Replies: 98
Views: 12606

Re: REIT or No REIT

They are traditionally seen as interest-sensitive stocks. I hear this often, but the data do not support the definitive conclusion. See: REIT Stocks: An Underutilized Portfolio Diversifier by Fidelity, specifically pp. 6-7. REITs are sensitive to interest-rate movements. With historically low gover...
by zonto
Sun Dec 17, 2017 12:07 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Clever use of a "C" Corporation
Replies: 23
Views: 3521

Re: Clever use of a "C" Corporation

[delete]
by zonto
Tue Dec 05, 2017 1:59 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Jack Bogle Says ‘Avoid Bitcoin Like the Plague’
Replies: 214
Views: 27822

Re: Jack Bogle Says ‘Avoid Bitcoin Like the Plague’

Would Jack Bogle approve of crypto investing if one does so through a market capitalization weighted index fund?
by zonto
Tue Dec 05, 2017 12:22 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Retreat to cash
Replies: 331
Views: 60847

Re: Retreat to cash

I posted this in another thread yesterday, but thought it relevant here as well. Vanguard published a white paper on November 29 titled As U.S. stock prices rise, the risk-return trade-off gets tricky . In it, Vanguard discusses how, using conventional valuation methods, valuations are unusually hig...
by zonto
Mon Dec 04, 2017 11:35 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Ok reasons for a 37 year old to have a 60/40 mix?
Replies: 61
Views: 9754

Re: Ok reasons for a 37 year old to have a 60/40 mix?

Piggybacking on the above post, Vanguard released a white paper last week titled As U.S. stock prices rise, the risk-return trade-off gets tricky . Not only does it make the case for global diversification, I though the final paragraphs re: the outlook for balanced portfolios were especially relevan...
by zonto
Sat Nov 25, 2017 7:48 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Bonds - Throw it all on the table!!!
Replies: 222
Views: 38620

Re: Bonds - Throw it all on the table!!!

1) List the bond funds, individual bonds, CD's, etc. that you invest in - Vanguard Internediate Term Bond Index (VBILX) - Vanguard Total Bond Market Index (VBTIX) 2) In which account what fixed income securities are held Traditional 401(k)s. Very good Vanguard choices within. 3) Allocation as a per...
by zonto
Tue Nov 14, 2017 4:45 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Backtesting International Bonds (as an aggregate)
Replies: 44
Views: 5127

Re: Backtesting International Bonds (as an aggregate)

. . . Anyhoo, you will probably be interested by this little study. Comments welcome. Thanks for the reminder. I recall we spoke about the study in the international REIT thread, but I forgot its breadth and inclusion of international bonds. The Portfolio Visualizer data set was limited to 2003 due...
by zonto
Tue Nov 14, 2017 3:23 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Backtesting International Bonds (as an aggregate)
Replies: 44
Views: 5127

Re: Backtesting International Bonds (as an aggregate)

I've been researching international bond funds lately, and found the Bogleheads forum to have a general distaste for them. I find this somewhat odd, especially given the forum's relative acceptance of bond funds like Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond Index (VBILX), which is comprised of 50% intermedia...
by zonto
Sun Nov 05, 2017 5:39 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Should one use REITs
Replies: 54
Views: 8348

Re: Should one use REITs

I do and think there is good reason to despite their weighting in broad market indices. Plenty of good threads on the topic. If you decide to, I would diversify globally.

See: viewtopic.php?f=1&t=218459.
by zonto
Sat Nov 04, 2017 7:43 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: International REIT
Replies: 37
Views: 5780

Re: International REIT

Hey zonto, thanks for sharing all those interesting data points. Do keep sharing, please! . . . As to P/CF valuations, well, I would be skeptical about the author you mentioned (his CAPE views seriously lacking coherence), but anyhoo, your AA decision should be made irrespective of current valuatio...
by zonto
Tue Oct 31, 2017 10:46 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: MA 529 plan fund question
Replies: 8
Views: 761

Re: MA 529 plan fund question

You're aware that you can invest in the 529 plan of ANY state, right? Or roll-over from one to the other? I live in MA, I chose the NY 529 plan for my children. Great Vanguard funds with low ER. At the time, the MA 529 plan was pretty bad. This was a while ago though, I have no idea how the situati...
by zonto
Sat Oct 28, 2017 2:15 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: ETF Vs Admiral
Replies: 16
Views: 1717

Re: ETF Vs Admiral

by zonto
Wed Oct 25, 2017 7:11 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: How much international stock? A suggestion.
Replies: 250
Views: 58663

Re: How much international stock? A suggestion.

Why not just look at the fact sheet for the FTSE All World index? As of 9/29/17, the United States comprised 51.28% of global market cap.

Or avoid the tedium and use a total world index fund or get close enough with a 50/50 split.
by zonto
Tue Oct 24, 2017 9:59 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Can one have too much money in tax-deferred
Replies: 128
Views: 13294

Re: Can one have too much money in tax-deferred

I disagree with the generality of his statement, but if an investor is able to save enough to max a 401(k), backdoor Roth IRA, HSA, and still put money in taxable, I would (and do) consider RMDs heavily in where I locate my assets. I and many others fill our tax-exempt space with equities, tax-defer...
by zonto
Mon Oct 23, 2017 7:17 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: 100% equity allocations v.s equity-bond allocations
Replies: 29
Views: 3211

Re: 100% equity allocations v.s equity-bond allocations

Age and risk tolerance aren't the only factors here. Consider principles 3 and 5 here: http://www.schwab.com/public/schwab/investing/why_choose_schwab/investing_principles Even though stock have historically had a higher CAGR than bonds, that doesn't mean that a 100% equity portfolio always comes ou...
by zonto
Sun Oct 22, 2017 8:58 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Table 11.3 of The Bogleheads' Guide to Investing
Replies: 4
Views: 723

Re: Table 11.3 of The Bogleheads' Guide to Investing

The question you should be asking is why a 7% bond return was used in the calculations...
by zonto
Sun Oct 22, 2017 7:03 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: New Schwab Index Fund - SCHK, better than SCHB?
Replies: 6
Views: 1234

Re: New Schwab Index Fund - SCHK, better than SCHB?

SCHK includes large and mid-cap, but not small cap. It covers 90% of the investable U.S. market. SCHB tracks the broad U.S. stock market so also includes small cap. It basically covers 100% of the investable U.S. market. See: https://www.schwab.com/resource-center/insights/content/innovations-indexi...
by zonto
Sat Oct 21, 2017 10:05 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: International REIT
Replies: 37
Views: 5780

Re: International REIT

Thanks siamond. My IPS states to allocate ~20% of equity to global real estate (14% of overall portfolio), but is not more specific than that (yet). The rest of equities are 50/50 total market indices. I was using a 50/50 SCHH / VNQI split in my Roth IRA at Schwab, but got tired of the commission on...
by zonto
Sat Oct 21, 2017 5:29 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Why do I need bonds? (I'm 30)
Replies: 70
Views: 8090

Re: Why do I need bonds? (I'm 30)

You may not need bonds, but wouldn't you want them after reviewing ##3 and 5 here: http://www.schwab.com/public/schwab/inv ... principles ?
by zonto
Thu Oct 19, 2017 1:12 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: International REIT
Replies: 37
Views: 5780

Re: International REIT

Thank you all for your input above. I've been researching this topic extensively recently and found it to be a great help. I thought I'd share a few more of my findings as of today. Correlation to Vanguard Total Stock Market (VTSMX) : VNQ (Vanguard REIT Index) - 0.60 REET (iShares Global REIT Index)...
by zonto
Tue Oct 17, 2017 7:38 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Hold bonds in taxable or tax-deferred accounts? I am confused
Replies: 12
Views: 2461

Re: Hold bonds in taxable or tax-deferred accounts? I am confused

I agree with the general sentiment above, and recently researched this topic so much I got sick of it. I wanted to share my favorite resource I found on the topic in case you also find it helpful: https://www.betterment.com/resources/research/tax-coordinated-portfolio-white-paper/. Betterment uses p...
by zonto
Sun Oct 15, 2017 12:30 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Help me pick a fund for my HSA in California
Replies: 9
Views: 1003

Re: Help me pick a fund for my HSA in California

You're exactly right and should ignore that advice. I believe what was meant was that when it's time to use the account, one may want to have it in low-risk investments to preserve accumulated principal (but do not see why this is any different from any other retirement account). If you aren't going...
by zonto
Sun Oct 15, 2017 7:31 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Investing in private companies
Replies: 31
Views: 2359

Re: Investing in private companies

Does the JOBS Act apply at all? That was intended by the legislators to open up private companies to funding from individuals? (note: not a US citizen, no discussion here by any party should be construed as legal advice or guidance). I suppose if the founders wanted to crowdfund for some reason: ht...
by zonto
Sun Oct 15, 2017 7:19 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: HSA investment [use guaranteed 4% or use equities]
Replies: 22
Views: 1872

Re: HSA investment [use guaranteed 4% or use equities]

I disagree. Roth accounts and HSAs should be filled with equities, with bonds being in tax-deferred or taxable (with municipals). Due to the tax-free growth and tax-free withdrawals (without RMDs), we want those accounts to be the largest. Only if you have filled your tax-deferred and taxable space ...
by zonto
Sun Oct 15, 2017 7:11 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Help me pick a fund for my HSA in California
Replies: 9
Views: 1003

Re: Help me pick a fund for my HSA in California

Just like a Roth 401(k)/IRA, you want your HSA fund to be as large as possible in retirement as you may never need to pay tax on the money. Roth accounts and HSA accounts should be 100% equity in accumulation phase, with bonds held in tax-deferred or taxable (municipals). Even if you are taxed on th...
by zonto
Sun Oct 15, 2017 6:25 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Investing in private companies
Replies: 31
Views: 2359

Re: Investing in private companies

Please read here: http://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/accreditedinvestor.asp. An entity is an accredited investor if it is a private business development company or an organization with assets exceeding $5 million. An organization cannot be formed with a sole purpose of purchasing specific securitie...
by zonto
Sat Oct 14, 2017 4:47 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Investing in private companies
Replies: 31
Views: 2359

Re: Investing in private companies

Do I need to be accredited investor to invest in private companies? And what happens if group of people pool their resources? How should this partnership set up (LLC, s-corp, ...)? thank you! 1. Yes. Every purchase agreement I've worked on for U.S. investors requires an investor/purchaser to make n...
by zonto
Mon Oct 09, 2017 8:30 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Bond help. 33 year old
Replies: 10
Views: 1508

Re: Bond help. 33 year old

I thought taxable accounts were a good place for equities since both long term capital gains and dividends receive favorable tax treatment, whereas bond interest is (with some exceptions) fully taxable. So taxable bonds do not belong in taxable accounts (if you have a choice). All of what you said ...
by zonto
Mon Oct 09, 2017 6:13 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Bond help. 33 year old
Replies: 10
Views: 1508

Re: Bond help. 33 year old

Don't put bonds in a Roth unless all you have are Roth accounts. Better to keep your equities there and put bonds in tax-deferred or taxable, in that order, depending on factors like savings rate, desired asset allocation and size of portfolio. You want Roth accounts to grow as much as possible.
by zonto
Sun Oct 01, 2017 8:07 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: REITs as "pseudo diversification"
Replies: 44
Views: 4666

Re: REITs as "pseudo diversification"

Nothing "pseudo" about the diversification here. Public REITs perform more like private real estate, and their correlation to the broad stock market drops, over longer periods. See: Heitman, “Why REITSs? – Five Reasons to Invest in Real Estate Through Public Markets” at: http://www.heitman.com/news/...
by zonto
Mon Sep 11, 2017 3:47 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Financial Page: REITs and International/Emerging Bonds
Replies: 25
Views: 2938

Re: Financial Page: REITs and International/Emerging Bonds

Apologies for my oversight. That extra $700 at the end could make all the difference! I'd bet that upping the percentage from 20% to 30% as recommended by Vanguard wouldn't sway things significantly either.

Thanks for all the time you put into this!
by zonto
Mon Sep 11, 2017 3:11 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Financial Page: REITs and International/Emerging Bonds
Replies: 25
Views: 2938

Re: Financial Page: REITs and International/Emerging Bonds

I think the conclusion drawn re: USD-hedged international bonds is incorrect (at least since 1999, the earliest date the asset class data is available on Portfolio Visualizer). Building on Vanguard's research, I posted an analysis about a month ago here: https://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic.ph...
by zonto
Fri Sep 08, 2017 9:21 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Where to put short term investment?
Replies: 6
Views: 972

Re: Where to put short term investment?

What is your marginal federal tax rate and how much is your state income tax? In which state do you live?