Search found 399 matches

by gtrplayer
Sun Mar 19, 2023 5:27 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: My company is offering LTC via Trustmark - worth it?
Replies: 15
Views: 1729

Re: My company is offering LTC via Trustmark - worth it?

Hi, my company is offering long-term care benefits through a partnership with Trustmark. Here's what I gather from it: - If I choose death benefit amount, i.e. $200K which is then multiplied 2X for LTC benefit so total LTC benefit = $400K - for this example, it's $385/month - premium should stay the same through my lifetime - there's always the caveat it may go up but from what I gathered, low probability - can use up to 100 years old (don't plan on living that long!) - I'm currently 54. Am single with no children so health care maintenance is a lingering concern esp when I'm older. - My current investment portfolio is ~$2.5M. I put this in here because I'm sure one school of thought is should I just invest that $385/month? I look forward ...
by gtrplayer
Sat Mar 18, 2023 8:57 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Delay house purchase to invest in the stock market?
Replies: 23
Views: 2957

Re: Delay house purchase to invest in the stock market?

Hi! I'd like to invest more in the stock market (esp during times like this) but I am also saving for a down payment. What % of my net pay should I use for investments vs house down payment? Would it be silly to delay purchasing a house so I can invest more of my money in the stock market? Here are the pros/cons I see. Pros Flexibility. Who knows where my career might take me? I can always sell my stocks if I want to purchase a house (stock market could tank when I want to buy a house though) I can take more risks with my career Cons I live in a VHCOL area. House prices may continue to go up. I like having a home of my own FOMO. Friends are buying homes. Stocks and houses are vastly different things. Stocks are numbers on a computer. A hou...
by gtrplayer
Fri Mar 17, 2023 10:35 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: College selection-NEU or OSU
Replies: 82
Views: 5086

Re: College selection-NEU or OSU

I’m not an expert on either school. Ohio State University is definitely well-known in my part of the country and Northeastern is not as well-known. That may not matter if he wants to live in that region.

But I’m a firm believer that excessive college debt is harmful. I went to a private school and it may have had some advantages but if I could go back, I likely would have chosen a cheaper public school. And the college I went to has doubled in price since then.

Without knowing the prices, and knowing that Ohio State is a well-respected public university, I’d go with Ohio State. If NEU comes back with a competitive financial aid package, then I would compare the two programs and decide based on that.
by gtrplayer
Wed Mar 15, 2023 1:04 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: 2023 US stock market return predictions
Replies: 10
Views: 745

Re: 2023 US stock market return predictions

So I know predicting the stock market is extremely challenging but I am having a hard time staying calm and continuing to invest free cash flow month after month into an 80/20 portfolio (equity/bond) given the market results of 2022 and now presumably a potential recession of some magnitude in 2023 due to rising rates and a regional bank crisis. This is especially hard as our portfolio is sizable ($1.7M invested) so the volatility can be pretty material. Looking at history it is fairly uncommon to have 2 consecutive down years in the S&P but clearly this has occurred most recently during the dot com bubble of the early 2000s and also during the 1970s. How do other Bogleheads view the current market outlook? Are you doing anything diffe...
by gtrplayer
Wed Mar 15, 2023 11:50 am
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: Withdrawing Contributions from Roth
Replies: 14
Views: 1036

Re: Withdrawing Contributions from Roth

I think what the question was getting at is whether the rule is that the total amount in the account is less than what they put in, or if any investment had earnings.

For example, if I had 90% in VTI but I also happened to put 10% in a single stock that did earn something last year. The total account value is less than I put in but the single stock does have earnings.

My understanding is it has to do with the total value, so in this case I have no earnings.
by gtrplayer
Tue Mar 14, 2023 7:01 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Index bubble
Replies: 20
Views: 2654

Re: Index bubble

AvocadoDeliberator wrote: Mon Mar 13, 2023 9:59 pm Thank you, from my reading as well I concluded that the price discovery is well and alive due to the trading volumes. Still curious if there is some simple arithmetic composition that can equate price of an index fund to the individual stocks with their weight factor per that index?
Price of stocks in the index fund times * market weight of each individual stock / shares of the fund?

Should preface by saying I’m not a math whiz… but most index funds discussed on here are market weighted and the market weight of a stock is exactly how much the stock price influences the index.
by gtrplayer
Tue Mar 14, 2023 6:06 pm
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: Disappointed in Bonds...
Replies: 208
Views: 17973

Re: Disappointed in Bonds...

BND has a duration of 6.6 years. Price high low of 2016 $84.70 07/08/2016 $80.02 12/15/2016 Distributions in 2016 were $1.99 so 2.35%-2.49%, roughly. Using the regular 'hold till duration' rule, you'd expect the return to be $10,000 plus the interest over 7 years, so around $11,645 - $11,741 How did BND perform? $10,000 $10,635 0.86% We had hikes from 2016-2020.. and now again. Hence why maybe the 2x duration - 1 rules makes more sense... Scary. Given this, why would anyone invest in a bond fund vs individual bonds? Pricing bond funds makes sense until it doesn’t… In a 401k, it makes sense given limited options but I’m tempted to go with a bond ladder outside of a 401k unless I can understand how getting less than the value of a bond + int...
by gtrplayer
Mon Mar 13, 2023 7:25 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Chase $900 Checking + Savings Bonus
Replies: 95
Views: 12177

Re: Chase $900 Checking + Savings Bonus

MrJedi wrote: Mon Mar 13, 2023 2:01 pm I didn't see it in the fine print either. I'm familiar with the old terms too. I'm not going to risk it though. I will just do the deposit and withdraw song and dance for a few months to avoid the fees and then close after 6 months total.
What do you have to keep in the account? If you withdraw everything but the minimum to avoid fees, are you still good? I got the bonus but don’t want to leave that much in there for six months…
by gtrplayer
Mon Mar 13, 2023 5:52 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: [Bank failure discussion mega-thread]
Replies: 2020
Views: 132658

Re: [Bank failure discussion mega-thread]

trustquestioner wrote: Mon Mar 13, 2023 5:34 pm People want to be outraged but the system is working. Executives and the board are fired, the equity gets nothing, they’ve contained systemic risks.
When people said they didn’t think the banks should have been bailed out in 2008, I never thought people meant the depositors should have been left holding the bag. This thread makes me think they thought the banks should truly fail and everyone loses everything.

This bank was not bailed out - the bank is done, investors will lose everything. Is that really not enough to say we didn’t bail them out?
by gtrplayer
Mon Mar 13, 2023 4:40 pm
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: Safest and most convenient alternative to brokerage Money Market position?
Replies: 42
Views: 3292

Re: Safest and most convenient alternative to brokerage Money Market position?

I see the issue, your reading opinion pieces in the WSJ like it's a fact based report - it's not. Anyone can write a Oped and that one isn't even good. At the beginning it says " The Treasury and Federal Reserve stepped in late Sunday to contain the financial damage from Friday’s closure of Silicon Valley Bank, guaranteeing even uninsured deposits and offering loans to other banks so they don’t have to take losses on their fixed-income assets. This is a de facto bailout of the banking system" As far as I understand it that statement is false. The Fed took over a failed bank and is in the process of restoring FDIC insured bank accounts they are not restoring investment accounts as those people took the risk knowing full well how r...
by gtrplayer
Sun Mar 12, 2023 9:35 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: [Bank failure discussion mega-thread]
Replies: 2020
Views: 132658

Re: SVB Bailout of uninsured deposits by US Government

[Thread merged into here --admin LadyGeek] https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/13/wall-street-not-taxpayers-will-pay-for-the-svb-and-signature-deposit-relief-plans-.html CNBC Article says wall street will pay for SVB uninsured deposit losses not the taxpayer. This is just another way of saying that we will charge them in some way and they will pass on the charge to you in another way. Ultimately the common man pays for all the bad business decisions made by the leveraged financial/systemic institutions Does this mean any un-insured deposits will be bailed out by FDIC going forward in case of any bank failure so basically the 250K threshold does not exist anymore From what I can tell, the math doesn't work out for the DIF to cover all uninsured de...
by gtrplayer
Sat Mar 11, 2023 9:17 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: [Bank failure discussion mega-thread]
Replies: 2020
Views: 132658

Re: Should I be worried about my bank?

There are some fintech companies (assuming they don’t go out of business due to the collapse of SVB) that partner with multiple banks to offer more than $250,000 of FDIC insurance. I believe wealthfront is one.

I don’t do that because I wouldn’t personally keep more than $250,000 in cash, but that’s a personal preference. I would use multiple banks if I did.
by gtrplayer
Fri Mar 10, 2023 11:28 am
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: I lump summed into BND in Aug 2020…now what…
Replies: 39
Views: 5733

Re: I lump summed into BND in Aug 2020…now what…

So when people on this forum are saying "don't time the bond market" they are plain wrong. I did careful research, as did you, on this forum before I invested a large amount in BND. It was a mistake and I am not blaming others. I failed to truly understand what the posters were saying on this forum and bought into the mantra of "don't time the market", "buy and hold", "as long as hold to maturity you can't lose" etc etc. It's more nuanced than that and I hope that future investors on this forum realize some of the pitfalls. You‘ve said this in a number of threads, but you don’t back it up with any justification besides your experience over a time scale much less than the duration of BND, and just bas...
by gtrplayer
Wed Mar 08, 2023 11:04 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: The HRA health insurance plan at my work isbetter than the HSA plan in every way, any point in picking the HSA one?
Replies: 5
Views: 629

Re: The HRA health insurance plan at my work isbetter than the HSA plan in every way, any point in picking the HSA one?

I know in a vacuum a HSA is better, but this just seems like I would be paying more for worse insurance. I'm in my 20's but I do some high risk activities for injury like skiing as well. I have fairly good retirement benefits as well, 15% defined contribution to my 401k that has vanguard index funds. HRA Plan: - $22 semi-monthly - $1,000 in the HRA per year, unlimited rollover to the next year - $1,500 deductible in and out of network - OOP max $2,500/$3,500 out of network - 10% coinsurance in network/40% outside network HSA Plan: - $28 semi-monthly - $1000 in HSA per year - $2,500 deductible in network/$5,000 out of network - OOP Max $5,000/$10,000 in and out of network - Most services 20% coinsurance in network/ 50% outside network How l...
by gtrplayer
Sun Mar 05, 2023 12:02 am
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: What is the best way to invest for kids to be made available when they turn 60?
Replies: 56
Views: 5606

Re: What is the best way to invest for kids to be made available when they turn 60?

Considering their young ages and the myriad of things that can happen to a person over a lifetime, making the money completely inaccessible before age 60 seems like a big risk. If one of them gets cancer at age 30 and you’re no longer around, would you really want the money completely inaccessible to them?

In my mind, the Roth seems like a good idea. If you really want them not to have ownership over the money, could a trust be set up that allows the money to be accessed prior to 60 in certain situations (like for medical reasons or to avoid foreclosure).
by gtrplayer
Fri Mar 03, 2023 9:14 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Should I TRADE the S&P 500 for the Total Market?
Replies: 17
Views: 2543

Re: Should I TRADE the S&P 500 for the Total Market?

So as I've transitioned to all-index portfolio and I have a question. I have S&P 500 index funds in my taxable accounts which I'll be leaving be. However, I also have the S&P in my 401k. I have the Vanguard total market index in my rollover IRA. I could easily sell all the S&P 500 in my 401k and buy Fidelity's total bond, and then sell the equivalent Vanguard total bond in my IRA and buy total market index there. Is it worth it? I know returns are very close. And I'm wondering if I'm just itching to "do something." The only time this will create an inconvenience is on the one or two days per year when you are thinking about tax loss harvesting the S&P 500 fund in your taxable account. You don't want to be buying &...
by gtrplayer
Fri Mar 03, 2023 4:53 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Can we afford $325,000 home
Replies: 110
Views: 9457

Re: Can we afford $325,000 home

I bought an older house but I did buy one well below what I could afford on paper. In addition to fixes, I’ve made some “optional” fixes because I didn’t like everything in it already. The house is definitely the biggest part of my budget. That said - it can be fun to make things how you want. My backyard has been an ongoing experiment and I like it. I don’t see myself renting any time soon even though I tend to think I’d save more money that way. The other issue is the interest rate. The Fed is trying to discourage home buyers right now. You won’t pay much in principal for a while so unless you stay for a while, you won’t actually save over renting. I think home ownership can be fun and isn’t just about finances. It’s just more expensive t...
by gtrplayer
Fri Mar 03, 2023 12:04 am
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: How to Correct Large Cap Growth Funds to Total Market
Replies: 7
Views: 743

Re: How to Correct Large Cap Growth Funds to Total Market

Good afternoon all. We have 3 US large cap growth funds in our portfolio that we would like to neutralize for a total US stock market effect. Large cap growth took a beating and has a larger recent loss than US total market. For example (TRBCX or VIGAX large growth funds). They seemed good at the time before we welcomed our 3 fund index portfolio. US/INTL/Bonds. Our Large cap growth funds are in tax deferred and represent about 20% of stocks. We plan to move the funds to a total market like VTSAX when the market goes back up whenever, but until then, are there any funds we can add to the portfolio to rebalance the assets to a total market? I didn’t want to sell now and lock in losses. I thought of small cap and medium cap but not sure abou...
by gtrplayer
Wed Mar 01, 2023 10:40 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Can We Afford a Disney Cruise for Our 50th Birthdays?
Replies: 80
Views: 7289

Re: Can We Afford a Disney Cruise for Our 50th Birthdays?

My wife and I are turning 50 next year and are thinking of celebrating by going on a Disney Cruise. We’d be going as a family with our daughter who will be 10 by then. There is a chance that other family/friends will join us. My wife has wanted to do this for several years and I think it would be fun as well. We’re looking at 5-7 day cruises and estimate the cost to be around $7k or so. I have a couple of questions and understand that not everyone may be able to chime in on the second one. 1) Spending this much on a trip is not the norm for us so I want to make sure it’s not ill-advised. Can we afford to do this? (financial details below) 2) If you’ve been on a Disney cruise, what did you think of it? Any pointers or recommendations would ...
by gtrplayer
Wed Mar 01, 2023 10:20 pm
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: Treasuries vs. Treasury Mutual Funds/ETFs
Replies: 24
Views: 2505

Re: Treasuries vs. Treasury Mutual Funds/ETFs

I was in BND.. BND isn't short term, though. Maybe I'm not understanding. Let's say at the end of December 22 I sold $1 million of bnd and bought a 1 year Treasury with that money yielding 1%. Right now I would be down about 100k if I was still in bnd, but instead am getting small interest amount on the Treasury and will roll over the 1 million+ and buy a similar note at a higher rate, likely, in December of 23. I know bnd is longer duration, but it seems to me, bottom line, I'm better off financially. I guess in theory I'm not? I don't know. I just like seeing that million stay a million. The comparison of a medium term bond fund with short term treasuries isn’t a good one. The point is that if you bought a bond maturing in 8 years and yo...
by gtrplayer
Wed Mar 01, 2023 9:38 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Can we afford $325,000 home
Replies: 110
Views: 9457

Re: Can we afford $325,000 home

TropikThunder wrote: Wed Mar 01, 2023 8:48 pm
VoiceOfReason wrote: Wed Mar 01, 2023 12:47 pm There will be things left off the build that you had no idea wouldn't come with a house. (grass, landscaping, appliances, toilet paper holders, towel racks)
A brand new house doesn't come with toilet paper holders? Seriously?
To be fair, the toilet paper holder did break in my house but I haven’t replaced it yet. Toilet paper sits on the edge of the sink for the time being.
by gtrplayer
Wed Mar 01, 2023 3:59 pm
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: How to avoid $1.1M in long term capital gains?
Replies: 82
Views: 19706

Re: How to avoid $1.1M in long term capital gains?

I only saw one fund listed in this thread. Is he going to sell and buy into other funds? Unless these funds are very risky, they may be similar to the index funds he buys instead, albeit with a higher fee… but at this point, is the lower fee going to make up for the huge tax hit on money he doesn’t need?

Unless he needs the money now, I don’t think we have enough information. We’d need to know the funds and what he intends to do with the money. If he’s going from an actively managed broad market fund that pretty closely matches the market and incurs a huge bill to transfer it to VTI, I’m not sure that’s worth it. If he’s in some risky funds that could easily collapse in the next year, that might be a different matter.
by gtrplayer
Wed Mar 01, 2023 9:53 am
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Question about irrevocable trust.
Replies: 19
Views: 1307

Re: Question about irrevocable trust.

Maybe it’s a moot point now, but what was the point of buying the house when he was already beneficiary of the trust and the funds for the sale went into the trust?

What was he trying to gain by doing this? To the extent there was a clear purpose, that may help determine the next steps.
by gtrplayer
Sun Feb 26, 2023 2:15 pm
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: $2.5 million windfall at age 22... seeking advice
Replies: 140
Views: 20814

Re: $2.5 million windfall at age 22... seeking advice

Don’t rush. You can get safe investments that pay 5% right now. This isn’t a few years ago where the money would sit and do nothing.

That’s more money than I may ever have (and 2.5
million more than I had at 22). If you can avoid lifestyle creep, you’ll never have to worry about money again. Avoiding that will be the hard part. There are many people with million dollar homes who are broke.

I’m sorry for your loss. That’s quite a gift they left you.
by gtrplayer
Sat Feb 25, 2023 9:30 pm
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: I lump summed into BND in Aug 2020…now what…
Replies: 39
Views: 5733

Re: I lump summed into BND in Aug 2020…now what…

We received monies that were ear marked to be used starting within 5 years for college. After reading wikis and lurking on BH I lump summed into the 4 fund portfolio in Aug 2020. A 30/70 portfolio was set up with the bulk of bonds as BND . A bond heavy portfolio was determined to protect the funds since the timeline for when the first withdrawal started was fairly close. Now that I’m 2 years from our first withdrawal I’m pondering on how to handle my NAV dropping so much… I’d be appreciative of any advice on how to think through withdrawing with a minimal realized losses as possible. 1. first these two statements side by side are the part that stands out to me. BND is an intermediate term bond fund which has an average duration of 6.6 year...
by gtrplayer
Sat Feb 25, 2023 9:25 pm
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: I lump summed into BND in Aug 2020…now what…
Replies: 39
Views: 5733

Re: I lump summed into BND in Aug 2020…now what…

Correct me if I’m wrong but if you’re looking up only the share price of BND, it’s not showing the reinvested dividends. Portfoliovisualizer shows a much smaller drop which should continue to decrease as the interest payments continue to pay out.
by gtrplayer
Sat Feb 25, 2023 9:16 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: High school choice dilemma
Replies: 78
Views: 4677

Re: High school choice dilemma

The overall school academic performance doesn't matter. What matters are the course options for students at a similar level to your child. If there are no students at a similar level to your child, don't choose it. Also the overall sports strength doesn't matter. What matters is if they have the sport(s) your child wants to play, if your child can make the team, and if the level of the team is good enough for your child. Music can be continued outside of school although of course it is convenient if it can fit in the school day. Are there four years of challenging math with decent instruction and classmates at each school? Depending on where he’s from, music in schools can be just as competitive, if not more, than sports. Band competitions...
by gtrplayer
Sat Feb 25, 2023 2:38 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: "Best Cities To Live In (2023)"
Replies: 44
Views: 3982

Re: "Best Cities To Live In (2023)"

My city is in the top 3rd. Midwest has its advantages. Winter is not one of them.

Right now, it’s bitter cold and the air feels like daggers poking into every pore. I could definitely go for some Miami time right about now!
by gtrplayer
Fri Feb 24, 2023 6:19 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Thinking of pursuing CFP certificate. Any advice from those in the field?
Replies: 11
Views: 933

Re: Thinking of pursuing CFP certificate. Any advice from those in the field?

I had this thought until I realized that the Boglehead-style of investing didn’t need an advisor and if I became an advisor, I’d only make money by telling them a different way to invest. I wouldn’t want to do any job where I sold someone something I wouldn’t buy myself.

Having said that, there are types of financial advice that don’t involve making investing fund choices that may be beneficial, like how to set up trusts, managing trusts, dealing with inheritances, getting out of debt… things like that.

It seems like the money is going to be in sales but if the desire is to help people and not to get rich, there is financial advice people need. Plus, the industry needs some honest people in it.
by gtrplayer
Wed Feb 22, 2023 11:21 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: why would you buy mutual funds when the ETF is cheaper?
Replies: 74
Views: 7046

Re: why would you buy mutual funds when the ETF is cheaper?

M1 makes mutual funds irrelevant because it allows purchases of any amount of an ETF and lets you set up automatic purchases. I suspect this model will become increasingly popular until it’s the standard.
by gtrplayer
Wed Feb 22, 2023 11:48 am
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Small windfall - pay down mortgage or invest? (yes, this again)
Replies: 33
Views: 2805

Re: Small windfall - pay down mortgage or invest? (yes, this again)

Hello, Searched and read through probably 10+ threads on Bogleheads on this topic, as well as several websites/blogs, and still can't come to a decision. Looking for maybe some guidance in decision-making for our specific situation. Basically, came into an unexpected windfall of about $300,000. Question now is what to do with this money given the following situation. Us: Dual income couple, mid to late 30's. Household income $700k. two kids < age 4, no plans for more. Fully funding 401k/457s, Roth IRA. good amount in taxable. 529s well funded for both kids and probably will have leftovers. Plan to "FI" around age 53 with current trends. Probably wouldn't mind continuing to work albeit fewer hours. House: VHCOL. Currently entering...
by gtrplayer
Mon Feb 20, 2023 10:03 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Guaranteed Life Insurance Plans
Replies: 13
Views: 1128

Re: Guaranteed Life Insurance Plans

BigDaddyRich wrote: Mon Feb 20, 2023 9:24 pm
Admiral wrote: Mon Feb 20, 2023 5:06 pm Why not just get term life insurance?

Funny, I've never worried about how my funeral expenses will be paid: I'll be dead. My spouse or kids can figure it out. Plus: cremation is cheap.

Put the money you'd pay for Whole Life into a taxable or Roth account and it will be there to pay for the casket and flowers.
We've already got term life. Just considering getting something extra to help with final expenses and (perhaps) building cash value.
Guaranteed issue is usually a last resort for people who can’t get insurance any other way. If you have term insurance, I don’t see why you’d want this…
by gtrplayer
Mon Feb 20, 2023 9:59 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Negotiating during due diligence?
Replies: 49
Views: 4125

Re: Negotiating during due diligence?

We put a contract to purchase a home. It was built in 2006. Although we got a good amount off asking price (5%), I’m still convinced it’s way over priced. Unfortunately my wife is in love with the place and is extremely emotionally attached. It’s in a fairly rural area with about 12 acres. IMO, it’s hard to value. It has been on the market 6 months. It does have beautiful mountain views, so I’m not sure how to put a price on that. We should have the appraisal back tomorrow, but I will be skeptical if it appraises for our agreed upon price. Now on to the point. We are in our due diligence period. The disclosure stated the age of the hvac and water heater which are original to the home. We knew this when we made our offer. Our home inspectio...
by gtrplayer
Sat Feb 18, 2023 10:54 pm
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: Basically Starting
Replies: 47
Views: 6744

Re: Basically Starting

I know it feels good to retire debt, but average return of S&P 500 is >10% annually. I would encourage you to consider opening up a brokerage account and put your extra car payments towards buying VOO. Once you have enough to pay off the car, make a decision from there. You aren't going to change your cash flow until you pay off the loan in full anyway. Disagree. You aren't going to get a guaranteed 6.34% after-tax return from the stock market. You are guaranteed to get 0% return on extra car payments. Paying the car early reduces interest paid. There is a return to paying off debt early. Whether it’s a good idea comes down to expected market returns vs interest rate in the loan. OP is going to be paying a lot in interest on this car. ...
by gtrplayer
Wed Feb 08, 2023 9:53 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: could chatgpt lead to a world where picking individual stocks outperforms index funds?
Replies: 210
Views: 16505

Re: could chatgpt lead to a world where picking individual stocks outperforms index funds?

Physician101 wrote: Sat Jan 28, 2023 4:54 pm is it possible that chatGPT(future more refined models, not as of current one ) could come up with ways to accurately pick individual stocks by incorporating immense mathematical knowledge and historical data on stocks in a way that is far more accurate than active investment managers? And then it becomes a historical scenario never seen before where the average investor picking individual stocks via chatgpt yields greater returns over index funds over 30 + years, effectively shifting people away from index funds?
There will be competing AI’s, all trying to outdo each other. They can’t all pick the same stocks or they won’t outdo each other. Somewhere in there will be an average of all the AI’s, and indexes will continue to track that.
by gtrplayer
Tue Feb 07, 2023 10:55 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: At what age did you reach your first $1 Million
Replies: 204
Views: 25629

Re: At what age did you reach your first $1 Million

Maverick3320 wrote: Tue Feb 07, 2023 10:28 pm I guess I'll be the curmudgeon here...is there anything actionable about this thread other than to compare yourself to others?

Posts with titles like this could be misconstrued by those that aren't Bogleheads.
Feels an awful lot like a humblebrag to me. “Your first million” implies we’ll have an eventual “I’m 45 and just now reached eight figures, am I doing ok…” This isn’t a get-rich-quick forum.
by gtrplayer
Tue Feb 07, 2023 9:16 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Late Bloomers Club: Share Your Net Worth!
Replies: 54
Views: 8371

Re: Late Bloomers Club: Share Your Net Worth!

After reading through the posts on this forum, I can't help but feel like I may be the only one in my mid-40s with a relatively modest net worth of less than $400,000 (and income of a bit less than $130K). If you're in a similar situation, I'd love to hear from you and know that I am not alone! Not alone. I’m a few years behind and a little behind in income, too. $400,000 is not a modest net worth to most people. Investing has historically been a rich person’s game. And it lends itself to humblebragging. The thing about Boglehead investing is it works just as well for small incomes as large. Another thing to consider about net worth is what you want out of life. Mine could be higher but I like to travel. Do I regret spending money on Europ...
by gtrplayer
Tue Feb 07, 2023 7:39 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Need to spend $10,000 stat!
Replies: 147
Views: 12640

Re: Need to spend $10,000 stat!

thedaybeforetoday wrote: Tue Feb 07, 2023 12:14 pm As others have noted, OP answered his/her own question on his/her second post.
The post is kind of funny, though. How can I start with $10,000 and end with $1000? You can give me $9000.
by gtrplayer
Tue Feb 07, 2023 10:27 am
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Merchants adding surcharges to pay with a credit card
Replies: 184
Views: 10215

Re: Businesses Adding 3% if CC Used Did You Pay Cash Now?

I am in the USA in the Philadelphia suburbs. I am starting to see some business adding 3% to the bill if a CC is used. We only use cash back CC for our purchases so just about everything is on a CC. Have you changed your use of a CC to cash not to be charged the 3%? In Canada they pasted a law that businesses can do this automatically. https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/prince-edward-island/pei-credit-card-surcharge-1.6613958 If I didn’t have a card that can give me 3% cash back for the purchase, I’d change how I pay but I rarely have cash on me so it would take some adjusting. Do they charge 3% for a debit card? I feel like society has moved too much to a cashless society to reverse course now but a 3% discount for using cash would probably d...
by gtrplayer
Mon Feb 06, 2023 12:12 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Capital One--You must be joking (or it's not Capital One)
Replies: 45
Views: 6604

Re: Capital One--You must be joking (or it's not Capital One)

The initial call may very well have been a spoofed spam call. Call the actual Capital One number and confirm whether they called you. You’ll have to answer security questions.
by gtrplayer
Sun Feb 05, 2023 3:48 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: At what age did you reach your first $1 Million
Replies: 204
Views: 25629

Re: At what age did you reach your first $1 Million

SmoothieJ wrote: Sun Feb 05, 2023 3:41 pm [url]viewtopic.php?t=120071&start=50/url]

I found this pole from 2003. Interested in restarting the thread, or posing the same question.

I am 46, wife at 43. We are at this milestone and just curious where we are compared to our peers.
The median networth for a person in their 40’s is somewhere between $127,000-164,000, according to this yahoo finance article. You’re leaps and bounds above your peers.

https://www.yahoo.com/now/average-net-w ... 06631.html
by gtrplayer
Sun Feb 05, 2023 3:27 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Capital One 11-month CD's now earning 5%
Replies: 55
Views: 9915

Re: Capital One 11-month CD's now earning 5%

ronhh wrote: Fri Feb 03, 2023 8:27 am Just as a "heads-up". Capital One is currently offering an 11-month CD earning 5%. Just rolled some funds over from Ally Bank yesterday, and plan to do more next week. The website states that this offer expires March 14th. I've seen some recent threads re: CD rates, and just wanted to share what I had found.
Thanks for the heads-up. I’m not sure I understand some of the comments. I think we all realize an 11 month CD doesn’t earn interest for 12 months. I went for it. I just need to figure out how to turn off auto renewal…
by gtrplayer
Sun Feb 05, 2023 12:01 am
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: Stop Loss and ETFs
Replies: 17
Views: 1053

Re: Stop Loss and ETFs

Stop losses have almost invariably led to me missing out on gains. Order goes through, stock rises, get back in, stock drops again, now you’ve lost twice… repeat until you get frustrated enough to stop.
by gtrplayer
Sat Feb 04, 2023 10:49 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Ashley Furniture store "forgot" to charge CC last year, what are my options?
Replies: 30
Views: 4869

Re: Ashley Furniture store "forgot" to charge CC last year, what are my options?

Hello, I had purchase sofa-set for living room last april, online by using my credit card. The big box furniture store delivered it and emailed me of delivery and email said your credit card has been charged. Once I read that email, we all moved on to our things. Last week, I got an email from their Finance department saying " during our yearly audit, we noticed your payment for your Ashley Furniture Online order has not been processed. Please contact Ashley Furniture to resolve the outstanding balance. We value you as an Ashley Furniture customer and hope to resolve the balance due to avoid any inconvenience". I first thought that this is a spam. Then I looked at the credit card statements and couldn't find the charge from them....
by gtrplayer
Fri Feb 03, 2023 11:02 am
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Primary Residence as a Retirement Asset
Replies: 47
Views: 3764

Re: Primary Residence as a Retirement Asset

I consider the paid off home as an asset which could be used for LTC if needed. Same here, the equity of a paid off home will serve as reserve for LTC but not as part of retirement asset. I don't understand the distinction. If there is money being held in retirement assets that could be used for LTC if there wasn't other money available, how does that differ from if home equity were to be available if there was no other money available? That just seems to be a labeling difference, mental accounting, etc. RM Sounds like using it more as insurance… hoping that LTC isn’t needed, where the other assets will be used as part of regular retirement. I don’t necessarily see the distinction but that might be because almost all of my relatives have n...
by gtrplayer
Thu Feb 02, 2023 4:05 pm
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: Is Vanguard's Recommendation For International Exposure Still ~40% VXUS?
Replies: 57
Views: 6133

Re: Is Vanguard's Recommendation For International Exposure Still ~40% VXUS?

FIREGuy88 wrote: Thu Feb 02, 2023 11:03 am But sometimes I wish I had just gone full 100% VTI[/list]
  • Is this the wrong way to think about this?
To make it not another international thread, above is the most important quote.

You only know the past. You don’t know the future. If you change now and international beats US this year, you could come back with a post saying you wish you hadn’t changed.

You can change but don’t do it based on regret because of past performance.
by gtrplayer
Thu Feb 02, 2023 1:47 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: What makes someone an "Expert" Investor?
Replies: 51
Views: 2646

Re: What makes someone an "Expert" Investor?

Because of the Efficient Market Hypothesis and the ared Queen’s Race. The reason why passive investing works is because the market is efficient. The reason why it is efficient is because experts are squeezing out all of the inefficiencies in the market . But if all that the experts are doing is Buy-n-Hold, how are they squeezing out all of the inefficiencies in the market? A lot of what goes on in stock trading is gambling. You can make more than you can at a casino by correctly betting on the right stock. As long as this is the case, people will continue to try. The “experts” are talking to us non-gamblers. I really do not know why people keep equating stock trading to gambling. One is paying to take someone's risk away and hopefully make...
by gtrplayer
Thu Feb 02, 2023 1:17 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: What makes someone an "Expert" Investor?
Replies: 51
Views: 2646

Re: What makes someone an "Expert" Investor?

Because of the Efficient Market Hypothesis and the ared Queen’s Race. The reason why passive investing works is because the market is efficient. The reason why it is efficient is because experts are squeezing out all of the inefficiencies in the market . But if all that the experts are doing is Buy-n-Hold, how are they squeezing out all of the inefficiencies in the market? A lot of what goes on in stock trading is gambling. You can make more than you can at a casino by correctly betting on the right stock. As long as this is the case, people will continue to try. The “experts” are talking to us non-gamblers. There is a difference between buy and hold three fund investors and people with other portfolios. You could argue Ray Dalio is an exp...
by gtrplayer
Wed Feb 01, 2023 4:31 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: What will happen to mutual funds vs ETFs
Replies: 78
Views: 5016

Re: What will happen to mutual funds vs ETFs

Hi, Many articles and papers say that ETFs will overtake mutual funds. I am under the age of 30, and all my friends use ETFs. Etfs will overtake mutual funds and keep going. I have looked at old threads but all of them are mutual funds vs ETFs. I am not looking for the advantages and disadvantages as both have their own benefits. My question is I’m the future. Let’s say 2050. When inflows are all going to etfs. There outflows on mutual funds. What happens? -will mutual funds crash? -will they just be closed and sold? I prefer personally the ease of using mutual funds but I am worried what will happen to them? My investments are all 100% in mutual funds. Assuming there’s not another innovation in investing before 2050, I’d imagine that mutu...
by gtrplayer
Sun Jan 29, 2023 1:38 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Is It Too Late To Add International Stocks?
Replies: 42
Views: 3432

Re: Is It Too Late To Add International Stocks?

I have no FOMO without international funds in my portfolio. Here's an excellent video from Rob Berger on the subject : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2uMNwOTZU70 Spoiler alert : Rob does hold international funds and as always, presents both sides in a thoughtful way. While he seems nice enough, as an investor Berger is a rank amateur. Felix is more scientifically credible. https://www.pwlcapital.com/for-investors-a-little-home-country-bias-goes-a-long-way/ If you ascribe to the theory that individual investing does not have to complex, you don’t need to run a capital management company to be credible. Berger is an amateur in the way most Bogleheads are amateurs. The Felix article is interesting, though. I always attributed home country bi...