Search found 152 matches

by pepys
Thu Aug 06, 2020 11:41 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Money Supply and Velocity
Replies: 12
Views: 975

Re: Money Supply and Velocity

Inflation insurance ie TIPS are expensive right now suggesting the market has some worries. I think TIPS would be expected to be much more expensive even if inflation concerns didn't change at all, because rates have dropped. Their performance relative to treasuries with similar maturity dates is p...
by pepys
Mon Aug 03, 2020 6:31 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Epic Portfolio backtest -- thanks Siamond
Replies: 42
Views: 2458

Re: Epic Portfolio backtest -- thanks Siamond

I really wonder if there is a way to get a handle on this. Is there a way to analyze what changed? I stick with my tail wagging dog question: if I peg the USD to the price of crude oil, is this changing the oil price or the dollar? I am sure prices were stickier pre-1970, but it seems like the mark...
by pepys
Mon Aug 03, 2020 2:14 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Epic Portfolio backtest -- thanks Siamond
Replies: 42
Views: 2458

Re: Epic Portfolio backtest -- thanks Siamond

I'm not a big fan of backtesting gold to 1927, but it seems much more reasonable to backtest to 1927 than to 1970. The policies from 1927-1968 likely put strong downward pressure on the price (price-fixing, purchase restrictions in a large market), and the policies from 1968-1980 likely put strong u...
by pepys
Thu Jul 23, 2020 11:10 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Gold as Part of a Portfolio?
Replies: 161
Views: 8677

Re: Gold as Part of a Portfolio?

Didn't Jack Bogle recommend 5% in gold? Not exactly. He did include 5% gold for a particular endowment portfolio he created to support a school, possibly the Blair School. That's different from recommending it for investors with other purposes. True. However, it does illustrate that Bogle was not u...
by pepys
Fri Feb 21, 2020 10:36 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in free fall
Replies: 20155
Views: 2751718

Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

[deleted]
by pepys
Thu Feb 20, 2020 11:59 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in free fall
Replies: 20155
Views: 2751718

Re: U.S. stocks in free fall

[deleted]
by pepys
Fri Feb 14, 2020 1:10 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: HEDGEFUNDIE's excellent adventure Part II: The next journey
Replies: 6338
Views: 585320

Re: HEDGEFUNDIE's excellent adventure Part II: The next journey

This is very interesting.... anyone have experience with it? Does fidelity allow trading of LETFs? I use IB now but would love to switch to fidelity if I can get comparable income via security lending Yes, they allow LETF trades. But IIRC you are using IBKR margin from time to time to lever your po...
by pepys
Thu Feb 13, 2020 4:58 pm
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: Tax Loss Harvesting help
Replies: 5
Views: 423

Re: Tax Loss Harvesting help

[deleted]
by pepys
Wed Feb 12, 2020 10:03 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 8817
Views: 697248

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

[deleted]
by pepys
Tue Feb 11, 2020 10:31 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Increasingly Large Spreads with NTSX
Replies: 25
Views: 1781

Re: Increasingly Large Spreads with NTSX

Every time I have bought it so far (with market orders) it has bought between the stated spread, for what it's worth. I still don't really understand how the process works, but it seems like the brokerage, when doing price improvement, finds a market maker who will sell very close to the price of th...
by pepys
Fri Feb 07, 2020 6:03 pm
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: SEC Proposing to block leveraged ETF!
Replies: 57
Views: 5505

Re: SEC Proposing to block leveraged ETF!

Swaps and futures help companies manage risk, keeping the economy more stable. Those of us taking the additional risk are doing a great service to the economy. Hedgefundie may be the greatest hero of our age. All joking aside, anecdotes of negative externalities are not enough, because there are als...
by pepys
Tue Feb 04, 2020 12:16 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Tesla Stock
Replies: 301
Views: 16874

Re: Tesla Stock

In my opinion, it's the cybertruck (the greatest design in history), Elon Musk's personality, and the high amount of debt (leverage!).
by pepys
Wed Jan 15, 2020 11:54 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 8817
Views: 697248

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

[deleted]
by pepys
Sat Jan 04, 2020 1:24 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Faith driven investing
Replies: 71
Views: 4983

Re: Faith driven investing

My faith does affect my investing. As a Discordian, my understanding of what Goddess wants is for me to take actions that will, on average, do the most good. As far as I can tell, investing in companies that do things I consider "bad" helps those companies very little, if at all. It's possible that ...