Search found 1104 matches

by GCD
Sun Apr 12, 2020 11:07 am
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 1653
Views: 75459

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

Although categorization may be convenient, it's a bit more difficult to keep an open mind and deal with the problem before laying blame. They'll be plenty of time later for finding villians for those who insist on doing so. Blaming the victims however is never a good look. I hugely disagree with yo...
by GCD
Sat Apr 11, 2020 6:13 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 1653
Views: 75459

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

The number you are looking for is 100 million. 100 million Americans have hypertension, prediabetes, diabetes, COPD, significant obesity or cardiovascular disease. No accusations here, but I've noticed, what to me, is a disturbing trend in this thread and others which IMHO attempts to lay blame for...
by GCD
Sat Apr 11, 2020 12:16 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 1653
Views: 75459

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

AlphaLess wrote:
Sat Apr 11, 2020 11:49 am
People who have, say 30% chance to live in Italy, have 70%+ chance to live in Germany.
Gotta cite for that? That's a pretty disparate result.
by GCD
Fri Apr 10, 2020 2:57 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 1653
Views: 75459

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

AlphaLess wrote:
Fri Apr 10, 2020 2:41 pm

From my point of view, everything that I need is open and working.

Aside from the stock market tanking, I too have hardly been affected by this. That doesn't stop me from seeing the widespread impact this is having on those less able, or unable, to isolate themselves.
by GCD
Fri Apr 10, 2020 2:31 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 1653
Views: 75459

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

Breaking: Google and Apple team up to provide a Trace program for up to 3 billion people globally. This is HUGE. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-04-10/apple-google-bring-covid-19-contact-tracing-to-3-billion-people?srnd=premium Quoting: "Apple Inc. and Google unveiled a rare partnershi...
by GCD
Thu Apr 09, 2020 4:54 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Outside of stocks, what else is a screaming good deal now?
Replies: 64
Views: 7191

Re: Outside of stocks, what else is a screaming good deal now?

I just got an e-mail about a 2020 Leopard 58 Catamaran for $359,000 off. But you need to be in the market for a $1.5 millionish yacht. It's about a 26% discount from what I see on Yachtbroker. Such bad timing. I'm not going to be in the boat buying mode until a couple years from now.
by GCD
Thu Apr 09, 2020 2:53 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 1653
Views: 75459

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

Note that this is looking at a subset of a very small population: patients age 26-49 admitted to ICU for COVID-19. I find this an odd way to approach the question: The CDC published the mortality counts by age group, so we have the relative age risk ratio from that, but the data you're looking at i...
by GCD
Thu Apr 09, 2020 12:58 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 1653
Views: 75459

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

According to Table 5 on page 14 in this April 4 2020 study: 1) about 1/4 of younger patients (age 26-49) admitted to ICU died; and 2) about 1/2 of persons who died in ICU lacked any severe comorbitities. ICNARC Study of Covid-19 in Critical Care . It is not true that "Coronavirus almost exclusively...
by GCD
Thu Apr 09, 2020 11:12 am
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 1653
Views: 75459

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

Here’s the link, which is I think what you were looking at. It’s a report about the first 2200 people admitted to ICU’s for COVID-19 in the NHS system. https://www.icnarc.org/DataServices/Attachments/Download/76a7364b-4b76-ea11-9124-00505601089b Yeah, that's what I was looking at. Reading a little ...
by GCD
Thu Apr 09, 2020 10:06 am
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 1653
Views: 75459

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

[Unsourced medical claim removed by admin LadyGeek] Death rates skew older, but adults who end up in intensive care tend to be pretty much in proportion with their proportion in the population, and have comorbities pretty much in line with the general population. So you might not die, but this is s...
by GCD
Tue Apr 07, 2020 4:16 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 1653
Views: 75459

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

I have a lot to say about that subject, but I think they put up some very strict guidelines about not commenting on medical stuff. They kinda loosened those guidelines for this thread only. From the first post in this thread: We understand that Coronavirus is an important topic and is on everyone's...
by GCD
Sun Apr 05, 2020 2:12 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 1653
Views: 75459

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

I hope early HQC/zpak treatment prevents the disease from advancing. But why this pushback against correcting what can be fixed at the most fundamental physiologic and metabolic level? We have had a complicit "drug pushing" medical establishment backed by Big Pharma, cheap-fast digesting food indus...
by GCD
Sun Apr 05, 2020 1:22 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Pull-ups and Push-ups
Replies: 572
Views: 148378

Re: Pull-ups and Push-ups

My son has lately been interested in becoming a Smokejumper. One of the things I have told my kids for years now is "if you want something, double the standard and meet it." It's kind of hard to double some things, like an SAT score or GPA, so then we talk about beating it by some percentage of a st...
by GCD
Thu Apr 02, 2020 10:39 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: How to allocate 529 contributions among 3 kids?
Replies: 4
Views: 353

Re: How to allocate 529 contributions among 3 kids?

It doesn't matter whose name it's in, you can spend the 529 money on any family member. You could have it all in one kid's name and spend it on any of your children. So why not spread 24k over 3 accounts and if one account ends up a little light just pull from the others. Definition of family member...
by GCD
Thu Apr 02, 2020 10:11 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Anyone have experience with the I-95 Florida checkpoint?
Replies: 12
Views: 2100

Re: Anyone have experience with the I-95 Florida checkpoint?

You might consider adding the Waze app as another source of data.
by GCD
Thu Apr 02, 2020 1:10 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 195187

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

The equation IS saving lives or saving money and there are no better alternatives to social distancing and lockdowns. It might be a little more complicated than that. "The moral debate is not lives vs money. It is lives vs lives. It will take months, perhaps years, if ever, before we can assess the...
by GCD
Thu Apr 02, 2020 12:29 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 195187

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

smitcat wrote:
Thu Apr 02, 2020 12:18 pm
Some food for thought
- 100 people get exposed to the virus
- 25+ have no symptoms and will never get tested
Or if you believe that Iceland attempt to test the general population it's more like 50% that are asymptomatic.
by GCD
Thu Apr 02, 2020 12:14 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 195187

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

"EMTs have stopped taking people in cardiac arrest to coronavirus-strained hospitals " https://nypost.com/2020/04/02/coronavirus-nyc-emts-stop-taking-cardiac-arrest-patients-to-hospitals/ Is it still just like the flu? I'm not sure what you are driving at. Does it have to be a binary choice? Assumi...
by GCD
Thu Apr 02, 2020 11:58 am
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 195187

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

I'm fully supportive of discussions like this because we need to consider a wide range of societal solutions, especially going forward, balancing COVID-19 measured goals, the economy and the unintended effects of this shutdown. I haven't seen discussion of the secondary effect of prolonged shelteri...
by GCD
Thu Apr 02, 2020 8:22 am
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 195187

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

Every policy response and media narrative in the country should be focussed on how the stop the virus and not what China did/did not do. Boggles my mind that we as a county are spending so much time and energy on actions of China which now have no consequence on how we contain this mess. Stop the v...
by GCD
Mon Mar 30, 2020 3:52 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 195187

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

The 40-140K estimate is only if we maintain the strict social distancing measures we're practicing today. If we relax them the numbers are likely to go up. Newsflash: the USA, by and large, is NOT practicing strict social distancing. Compare what is happening in just about any state with most count...
by GCD
Mon Mar 30, 2020 1:55 am
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Coronavirus Movie Suggestions
Replies: 104
Views: 7154

Re: Coronavirus Movie Suggestions

I just found Flu on Amazon. My son is irritated with me now because I got him to watch the trailer by telling him it was a documentary about how South Korea handled COVID-19.

https://www.amazon.com/FLU-Hyuk-Jang/dp ... 437&sr=8-1
by GCD
Sun Mar 29, 2020 5:41 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: High school money topics
Replies: 23
Views: 1215

Re: High school money topics

I also recommend The Millionaire Next Door. It is a little dated and some take issue with possible issues of “survivorship bias,” but I thought it was fun to read and taught me that the guy in the Lexus isn’t necessarily rich, we just know that he is spending a lot for a car. The guy in the 10 year...
by GCD
Sun Mar 29, 2020 5:11 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: High school money topics
Replies: 23
Views: 1215

Re: High school money topics

In my experience, it’s challenging to get adolescents to contemplate things that don’t affect them directly or immediately. Many adolescents, though not all, will not have much interest in contemplating issues such as paying off student loans or retirement planning. I think we may have cracked this...
by GCD
Sun Mar 29, 2020 12:54 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: The end of cruise ships [cruise line stock prices]
Replies: 246
Views: 26293

Re: The end of cruise ships

Not every experience is like that. We had a total of 3000sqft of private space on the ship. We had dinner each night at a 3-Michelin star chef restaurant (Remy). The Japanese A5 wagyu, lobster, duck, veal, vegetables, wine collection, was all exquisite. Each night we had a unique meal and some nigh...
by GCD
Sat Mar 28, 2020 3:58 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 195187

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

... I am trying not to catastrophize. But our society clearly failed to imagine the current scenario. I'm sure many public health people saw this coming, but I did not. In January if someone claimed that by the end of March the President of the United States would be seriously contemplating a quara...
by GCD
Sat Mar 28, 2020 12:29 am
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: Rick Ferri says to put aside something for "Bingo Money"
Replies: 76
Views: 9309

Re: Rick Ferri says to put aside something for "Bingo Money"

boglehooligan wrote:
Wed Mar 25, 2020 1:32 pm
Curious to know what stocks (or Bingo money) you currently hold? :beer
None. Which is not to say that I don't blow money on frivolous things, I just don't do it picking individual stocks. It's not fun to me like bourbon, books, bullets or other things I'm not allowed to post about.
by GCD
Fri Mar 27, 2020 7:48 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: How are you going to use your stimulus money?
Replies: 222
Views: 13047

Re: How are you going to use your stimulus money?

It's not so black and white. I would have received the full amount based on 2018 taxes, but nothing based on 2019 taxes and I filed early. I just graduated and still have a massive amount of loans to pay off (that are private, no forgiveness). And I just lost my job so have no pay check. But hey, m...
by GCD
Fri Mar 27, 2020 7:27 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: How are you going to use your stimulus money?
Replies: 222
Views: 13047

Re: How are you going to use your stimulus money?

Mlm wrote:
Fri Mar 27, 2020 7:25 pm
Medical bills. It's been a rough year so far.
Sorry to hear that. Best wishes for a better year ahead.
by GCD
Fri Mar 27, 2020 7:21 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: How are you going to use your stimulus money?
Replies: 222
Views: 13047

Re: How are you going to use your stimulus money?

If I get money, I plan to give it away. There are people in true need so all I need to do is figure out where it will doo the most good. Thats really nice of you. I know plenty of people who will be receiving these checks who didn't lose their jobs or who had no job/desire to work in the first plac...
by GCD
Fri Mar 27, 2020 10:54 am
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 195187

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

I finally went to Kroger out of necessity, the quickest "pickup time" was 8 days away. It was too full, they need to limit entry. The shoppers inside were not respectful of the 6 foot rule at all. This was a night and day difference from Costco. I will not go back to Kroger for any reason unless th...
by GCD
Fri Mar 27, 2020 10:37 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: There Is No Gold
Replies: 160
Views: 12497

Re: There Is No Gold

My parents always owned physical gold for "security". When I asked them the question of how that security will come to the rescue in the down times they say they're not sure how, or if they can even sell it. I wonder if this is just a generational thing. Baby boomers loving gold because of a genera...
by GCD
Fri Mar 27, 2020 9:24 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: There Is No Gold
Replies: 160
Views: 12497

Re: There Is No Gold

Can someone explain to me the mindset of the "I need physical gold" people? In order for physical gold (by which I mean: gold I'm keeping AT MY HOUSE) to be a better investment than, say, gold held in a depository, you have to assume a stunning number of things, don't you? Walk me through the logic...
by GCD
Thu Mar 26, 2020 4:29 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: If I were a retiree right now....
Replies: 83
Views: 11669

Re: If I were a retiree right now....

justsomeguy2018 wrote:
Wed Mar 25, 2020 10:39 pm
Your post
Doesn't make sense since it doesn't take into account anyone's personal situation, cash flow needs, investment horizon, etc.
by GCD
Thu Mar 26, 2020 3:22 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Should I have seen this coming?
Replies: 107
Views: 7452

Re: Should I have seen this coming?

For the market timers or those tempted to market time... Did you get back in for this? "The Dow soared 2,112 points to close 11.3% higher, notching its biggest one-day percentage gain since 1933" https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/dow-soars-11percent-in-best-day-since-1933-as-stimulus-deal-nea...
by GCD
Thu Mar 26, 2020 12:03 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 195187

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

Very unfortunately, worldometers is showing worldwide (cumulative) total of over 21k deaths today. I think we know that this count trails action being taken by 3 if not 4 weeks. I am hopeful that this rate slows down - obviously the biggest driver are areas like N Italy. Things look dicey in Spain ...
by GCD
Wed Mar 25, 2020 10:48 am
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 195187

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

This is interesting. So you suspect that air pollution is a confounder for comorbidities and death? Sounds like a theory worth looking into. I think just based on the info you posted that age is the main driver of the mortality risk which wouldn't be surprising. Anyways, I hope demographic and como...
by GCD
Tue Mar 24, 2020 5:59 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Should I have seen this coming?
Replies: 107
Views: 7452

Re: Should I have seen this coming?

For the market timers or those tempted to market time... Did you get back in for this? "The Dow soared 2,112 points to close 11.3% higher, notching its biggest one-day percentage gain since 1933" https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/dow-soars-11percent-in-best-day-since-1933-as-stimulus-deal-nea...
by GCD
Tue Mar 24, 2020 4:40 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Should I have seen this coming?
Replies: 107
Views: 7452

Re: Should I have seen this coming?

For the market timers or those tempted to market time... Did you get back in for this? "The Dow soared 2,112 points to close 11.3% higher, notching its biggest one-day percentage gain since 1933" https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/dow-soars-11percent-in-best-day-since-1933-as-stimulus-deal-near...
by GCD
Mon Mar 23, 2020 10:34 pm
Forum: Personal Investments
Topic: 100 percent stock investors: any of you adding bonds now?
Replies: 51
Views: 3483

Re: 100 percent stock investors: any of you adding bonds now?

My wife and I are retired. We were 100% stock until about a year ago when we reached our number for the kids' 529. We put the 529 50/50 in bonds and cash. Other than that we are 100% stock in "our" investible assets and not planning on changing. Full disclosure, my wife and I both have federal pensi...
by GCD
Mon Mar 23, 2020 9:56 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 195187

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

Are any experts predicting anywhere close to 10M US deaths? Nope. In my opinion, it's sensationalism. The Worldometer is reporting 483 deaths as of this morning. It shows only 12 states with new deaths with most reporting 1. New York is reporting 43 which brings their total deaths to 157. That's go...
by GCD
Mon Mar 23, 2020 9:50 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 195187

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

wshang wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 9:40 pm
I would like to see more open mindedness to those who offer opposing views...
There's more open mindedness toward market timers around here than there is toward the CV reaction/response skeptics.

But thanks for fighting the good fight.
by GCD
Mon Mar 23, 2020 9:23 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 195187

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

There seem to be a number of people on here who are exasperated that they can't convey the concept of exponential growth. So let me give you a bit of insight. The concept of exponential growth (from a cursory online search) appears to be taught in 9th grade. I think everybody on here can grasp 9th ...
by GCD
Mon Mar 23, 2020 6:57 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 195187

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

Looks like the governor shut down Virginia schools for the rest of the school year. This is getting ridiculous. Things are really going to diverge here. Some kids are going to have a sort of 6 month vacation where their brain will rot. Talk about "summer slide", "corona slide" is gonna be worse. The...
by GCD
Mon Mar 23, 2020 6:50 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: New Amazon order & delivery processes?
Replies: 30
Views: 3194

Re: New Amazon order & delivery processes?

One day delay on some almonds I ordered Prime. Coffee and a book arrived in normal time Prime. A lot of stuff is out of stock and unavailable. But if it is in stock it seems to be fairly normal. I ordered my mom 3 cases of Ensure and some candy. She lives in small town South Dakota and it was delive...
by GCD
Mon Mar 23, 2020 6:35 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 195187

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

There seem to be a number of people on here who are exasperated that they can't convey the concept of exponential growth. So let me give you a bit of insight. The concept of exponential growth (from a cursory online search) appears to be taught in 9th grade. I think everybody on here can grasp 9th g...
by GCD
Mon Mar 23, 2020 2:36 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Thoughts on Berkey Water Filters
Replies: 20
Views: 1500

Re: Thoughts on Berkey Water Filters

We've had one for years and love it. We got it when we were on a well and wanted another layer between us and bad water. The well was okay and passed state standards, but had a bit of impurities (I don't remember what). We solved that with a mechanized chlorine pellet dropper. We added the Berkey be...
by GCD
Mon Mar 23, 2020 12:46 pm
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 195187

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

Nope. In my opinion, it's sensationalism. The Worldometer is reporting 483 deaths as of this morning. It shows only 12 states with new deaths with most reporting 1. New York is reporting 43 which brings their total deaths to 157. That's good news. I think it's worth repeating. According to the CDC:...
by GCD
Mon Mar 23, 2020 11:08 am
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 195187

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

Unemployment? I'm not currently up on the reality of collecting unemployment. But about 35 years ago I had a roommate that took about 4 months to get his unemployment rolling due to all kinds of administrative hiccups. I think people working under-the-table are going to have trouble documenting the...
by GCD
Mon Mar 23, 2020 10:52 am
Forum: US Chapters
Topic: [Archived] Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus
Replies: 4963
Views: 195187

Re: Bogleheads community discussion - Coronavirus

IMO, many of these orders are overly broad and go beyond achieving any governmental objective. I also predict a wave of lawsuits from bankrupted or nearly bankrupted businesses that were forced to close. In Virginia, counties, cities, towns, authorities and employees are insured through a self insu...