Search found 2573 matches

by heyyou
Sun Apr 23, 2017 2:26 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: What's Wrong With AQR? (Managed Futures)
Replies: 66
Views: 4833

Re: What's Wrong With AQR? (Managed Futures)

Barely on topic: An alternative to wanting investments that perform better during poor markets, is expecting to adapt your retirement spending to your recent portfolio value. If most of your necessary expenses are covered by steady income streams (SS, annuities, pension, bond ladders), variable with...
by heyyou
Sat Apr 15, 2017 3:43 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Is there any reason a buy-and-hold investor would buy gold?
Replies: 121
Views: 6156

Re: Is there any reason a buy-and-hold investor would buy gold?

The best investments for you, are whatever will help you stay the course during the inevitable stock market crashes. Gold suits some for that reason, but not everyone, since gold does not do well most of the time. Taylor would say "There are many roads to Dublin." My experience with gold i...
by heyyou
Tue Apr 11, 2017 6:38 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: You can never go "home" - retirement
Replies: 85
Views: 12063

Re: You can never go "home" - retirement

Paraphrasing Philip Sheridan, if I owned my home town and Hades, I would rent out the town and live in Hades.
by heyyou
Tue Apr 11, 2017 6:20 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Bloomberg - The Math Behind Futility
Replies: 8
Views: 1487

Re: Bloomberg - The Math Behind Futility

This will devolve into a equal weighted vs. cap weighted discussion. Cap weighted is the least expensive way to run a mutual fund, but that gives a large and growth tilt to total market funds. With trading costs shrinking, that problem may fade in the future. Some assume that if low costs are good, ...
by heyyou
Thu Apr 06, 2017 10:28 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Larry-ish Portfolio, But Easier To Implement. Thoughts?
Replies: 58
Views: 5166

Re: Larry-ish Portfolio, But Easier To Implement. Thoughts?

Some of the fixed fee advisors have access to DFA. That path may only be cost effective for retirees who are no longer in 401k plans, but the bond side of the 30/70 allocation would suit a retiree.
by heyyou
Sun Apr 02, 2017 6:11 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Low-earners- What is your profession?
Replies: 262
Views: 23460

Re: Low-earners- What is your profession?

Retired after 30 years of delivering packages, highest annual income was $68K. About a year after getting my first house, I was laid off for 6 weeks, barely keeping the mortgage paid. I thought "never again" so I lived below my means from there forward. When the pension credits equaled our...
by heyyou
Fri Mar 17, 2017 3:51 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Fama-French Factor Premiums for Planning
Replies: 12
Views: 850

Re: Fama-French Factor Premiums for Planning

I assume that in retirement, we will continue to adapt to our income, same as during our work years. So far, so good for the first dozen years of retirement. With ten years of our necessary expenses in bonds, we expect our small and value tilted equity investments to have positive returns for the ne...
by heyyou
Fri Mar 17, 2017 3:32 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Interesting article from John P. Hussman
Replies: 8
Views: 661

Re: Interesting article from John P. Hussman

Someone wrote that we tend to seek confirmation of our current beliefs instead of info that would challenge them. I do that. As mentioned above, Hussman's advice helps him find clients who fear market crashes. Follow the money. A Boglehead could view crashes as a normal rhythm of the stock market. W...
by heyyou
Mon Mar 06, 2017 12:55 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: What are your alternate investments?
Replies: 21
Views: 1579

Re: What are your alternate investments?

My wife is a better tight wad than I am. She recently bought her only Coach handbag, at the thrift store. Our retirement home is paid off, and is in a lower cost of living area. I have a collection of not inexpensive, light weight, backpacking gear that I take for multi-day walks. I owned a share of...
by heyyou
Sat Mar 04, 2017 9:38 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Climate and happiness revisited
Replies: 111
Views: 7393

Re: Climate and happiness revisited

Consider where altitude modifies latitude. The high country of Arizona has a sunny, four seasons climate. When visiting other places, look at what cooling systems are on the roofs of the houses, and look for sun rooms, as clues about what seasons need the most temperature modification.
by heyyou
Fri Mar 03, 2017 11:13 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: What are the big things to get right?
Replies: 91
Views: 12201

Re: What are the big things to get right?

Most of the techniques above, require patience and perseverance for decades. Yes, in some ways it is a daily choice but you also need to continue to make those same good decisions for consecutive days and for consecutive decades. That is not so easy, but the posters here do show the successes from &...
by heyyou
Fri Mar 03, 2017 10:25 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Paying Zero Income Tax on $100,000 Income? Really? Let's see if we can give new life to this old topic!
Replies: 68
Views: 7973

Re: Paying Zero Income Tax on $100,000 Income? Really? Let's see if we can give new life to this old topic!

by niceguy7376 » Fri Mar 03, 2017 9:34 pm
livesoft wrote:
I work a little bit and almost 100% of my earned income goes into a solo 401(k).
Interested in knowing how to accomplish this.

http://www.irafinancialgroup.com/solo401kcontributionlimits.php
by heyyou
Fri Mar 03, 2017 3:26 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Passive Locomotion
Replies: 1
Views: 370

Passive Locomotion

Adapted from a traditional folk song also sung by W. Guthrie, J. Cash, B. Springsteen. The title could be Passive Locomotion This train is bound for low cost, average returns, this train. And when the average is poor on this train, Still you've got to ride it, stay astride it, as if you like it, Sta...
by heyyou
Fri Mar 03, 2017 1:07 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: How to 'deal' with large swings in withdrawals when using VPW?
Replies: 26
Views: 1847

Re: How to 'deal' with large swings in withdrawals when using VPW?

At the OP: There will always be some risks, somewhere, obvious or not. The slightly uncomfortable risk of variable WDs is better than the alternative risks of "set it and forget it" regardless of returns, until portfolio exhaustion. Then there is the opposite risk of dying with several mul...
by heyyou
Wed Mar 01, 2017 2:58 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Where to go when stocks, bonds overpriced
Replies: 53
Views: 5160

Re: Where to go when stocks, bonds overpriced

Everyone who invests in stocks will lose some money often. Those that learn to patiently tolerate those periodic losses, make significant money in the long run. Prices went up from the early 1980s, then there was a flash crash, then they went up more in the 1990s, prior to the big crash, up some mor...
by heyyou
Tue Feb 28, 2017 7:51 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Why mutual funds could be on their way to another lousy year
Replies: 7
Views: 1498

Re: Why mutual funds could be on their way to another lousy year

Passive investing, most often done through exchange-traded funds, generally carries far lower fees than active mutual funds.

We know what Jack said about fund fees.
by heyyou
Mon Feb 27, 2017 1:06 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Backpackers- weight vs utility question
Replies: 42
Views: 2642

Re: Backpackers- weight vs utility question

There are hanging chairs of hammock fabric that are lighter than framed chairs.
by heyyou
Mon Feb 27, 2017 12:43 am
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Why not to do ROTH Conversion
Replies: 29
Views: 3013

Re: Why not to do ROTH Conversion

Unless you give the traditional IRA assets to charity, you, your spouse, or your children will pay the taxes on your tax-deferred savings. Scott Burns has written about RMDs triggering what he called "torpedo tax" when RMDs bump your income to where your Social Security is mostly taxed, yo...
by heyyou
Sat Feb 25, 2017 10:30 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Backpackers- weight vs utility question
Replies: 42
Views: 2642

Re: Backpackers- weight vs utility question

The insulated, reflective, car sunscreen (mylar on bubble wrap) will serve as a sit pad on lunch breaks if your sleep pad is an inflatable one. In camp, it adds some warmth if wrapped around you under your wind jacket. If your sleeping bag is not warm enough, use the sunscreen on top of you, inside ...
by heyyou
Sat Feb 25, 2017 12:42 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: "The Impending Fiduciary Armageddon Of (Most) Mutual Fund Share Classes" by Michael Kitces
Replies: 8
Views: 1772

Re: "The Impending Fiduciary Armageddon Of (Most) Mutual Fund Share Classes" by Michael Kitces

Dear American Funds, Welcome to the 21st century. Did you notice new retirees leaving your well marketed 401k funds for a less expensive VG IRA in retirement? An amazing coincidence is the news of VG's recent high growth rate. Your board of directors finally saw the future where exclusiveness and hi...
by heyyou
Sat Feb 25, 2017 11:40 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Early Soc Sec or spend down investments/assets?
Replies: 28
Views: 2751

Re: Early Soc Sec or spend down investments/assets?

When you die, she then gets the larger one of your two (his and hers) inflation adjusted SS benefits. balance at beginning of year plus all deposits minus any withdrawals that are transfers to other accounts or investments (i.e. that are not "spending") minus balance at end of year That is...
by heyyou
Wed Feb 22, 2017 11:23 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: 1.3 million dollars in debt
Replies: 36
Views: 8436

Re: 1.3 million dollars in debt

If your tax guy gives the go ahead, open a 2016 Roth IRA before tax day this April, another one sometime for 2017, and one on each of the following years. The tax free growth on what is an annual small amount to you, will be a bright spot after three decades of contributions and growth. What matters...
by heyyou
Wed Feb 22, 2017 3:40 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Tilted in REIT, small cap, health care fund, should I continue or move them into total stock market
Replies: 14
Views: 1493

Re: Tilted in REIT, small cap, health care fund, should I continue or move them into total stock market

Since the 2000 Crash, I tilt away from Large Growth by using equal slices. I'm skeptical of over weighting the most popular stocks. Optimal is only known in retrospect, and the future is usually slightly different. When others find what suits them, it probably won't match my choices. Below is Trev H...
by heyyou
Wed Feb 22, 2017 2:47 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: What are the big things to get right?
Replies: 91
Views: 12201

Re: What are the big things to get right?

Others have mentioned what to do. On how to do it, there is finding satisfaction with your current life, and seeing that passive investing will slowly take care of your future. Having a sense of enough will help you to save, and will reduce (but not eliminate) the frequency of your greedy financial ...
by heyyou
Sun Feb 19, 2017 1:15 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Is a 4% plus CPI withdrawal rate actually aggressive?
Replies: 232
Views: 11131

Re: Is a 4% plus CPI withdrawal rate actually aggressive?

I think that beginning a 30 year (planned) retirement at 4% plus CPI is quite safe. But clearly, others are more pessimistic. Fixed real WDs are so 20th century, for those who remember cars with "3 on the tree" manual transmissions and when asbestos dust was safe to breathe. Use a WD base...
by heyyou
Sat Feb 18, 2017 3:34 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Investment in Limited Partnership?
Replies: 13
Views: 960

Re: Investment in Limited Partnership?

LPs are flawed for retail investors due to the various faults mentioned by each of the above posters.
Boglehead style investing works if you are patient enough. You won't be extremely wealthy, but you will be comfortable in retirement, living on your index fund investments. Patience is fullness.
by heyyou
Fri Feb 17, 2017 7:43 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Stock Market Fears
Replies: 55
Views: 6014

Re: Stock Market Fears

If the stock market crashes, how long could you two live on the $200K cash, then the bonds, before you sold any stock shares at reduced prices? And you already know how to cut back if the crash did last a long time. Ann, you got to where you are by living below your income, those skills do not go aw...
by heyyou
Fri Feb 17, 2017 3:46 pm
Forum: Personal Consumer Issues
Topic: Vietnam
Replies: 31
Views: 2869

Re: Vietnam

Nha Trang, a tourist town on the coast, north of Cam Rahn Bay, is on lists of scenic places to retire well on Social Security sized income. Cam Rahn Bay was okay, but my employer at the time, specified a year's stay. Compass Living has five properties in Saigon/Ho Chi Minh City. Some of them are hig...
by heyyou
Thu Feb 16, 2017 1:18 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: "The Real Reason Big Savers Retire Early: Minimizing Retirement Savings Needs" by Michael Kitces
Replies: 5
Views: 2113

Re: "The Real Reason Big Savers Retire Early: Minimizing Retirement Savings Needs" by Michael Kitces

Saving pay raises is easier if you can adjust your perceptions to accepting "good enough," as in good enough car, good enough house, good enough electronic gadget, in spite of the constant advertising that implies you will be smarter and more attractive if you own a newer car/house/gadget....
by heyyou
Thu Feb 16, 2017 11:33 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Merriman buy and hold strategy
Replies: 43
Views: 5501

Re: Merriman buy and hold strategy

Executing such a strategy with narrow rebalancing bands and/or frequent withdrawals or contributions might be like having a part time job. Frequent contributions would imply smaller ones. Putting each small one into whatever was down the most would be simple since the allocation slices are equal si...
by heyyou
Wed Feb 15, 2017 7:22 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Merriman buy and hold strategy
Replies: 43
Views: 5501

Re: Merriman buy and hold strategy

To reiterate what livesoft suggested above, his link is to Trev H's four fund Vanguard (VG) version of 8 of the 10 parts of the Merriman portfolio. The remaining two slices are Emerging Markets and REITs, also available at VG. Trev H's four funds are domestic LB, SV, and foreign ILV, ISB, all availa...
by heyyou
Wed Feb 15, 2017 5:19 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: BH thoughts on money gurus
Replies: 12
Views: 1096

Re: BH thoughts on money gurus

They are all people, thus helpful and right sometimes, and sometimes dealing in their own interests. The proportions vary. Dave Ramsey encourages listeners to get out of debt, then advises them to enroll with higher cost investment advisers that send him a fee, when the alternative investment could ...
by heyyou
Wed Feb 15, 2017 8:17 am
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Bogleheads not the norm?
Replies: 116
Views: 10753

Re: Bogleheads not the norm?

Personally I don't aspire to be normal, just average. I aspired to be normal but didn't ever get there. :happy What is not normal in our consumer economy is Living Below Your Means (LBYM), saving to invest. Another filter is, some savers are not willing to risk equity investing (my sister is among ...
by heyyou
Tue Feb 14, 2017 8:54 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Are stock valuations so high because interest rates are so low?
Replies: 28
Views: 2360

Re: Are stock valuations so high because interest rates are so low?

Are stock valuations so high because interest rates are so low? So what if they are? What is actionable? Nothing. Your allocation reflects your tolerance, and you just let it ride, rebalancing as necessary. We don't get to avoid crashes, we just have to accept them as part of being an equity invest...
by heyyou
Tue Feb 14, 2017 2:19 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Does Passive Style of Index Fund create artificial demand?
Replies: 21
Views: 1432

Re: Does Passive Style of Index Fund create artificial demand?

But I feel there is some sort of circular logic in here, if index funds are too big then the demand created by market will be synonymous to the demand of the index funds. This is asked periodically. It is the same question as "If everyone is in indices, no one is setting prices." Count on...
by heyyou
Tue Feb 14, 2017 1:41 am
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Using PE10 to limit withdrawal rate
Replies: 8
Views: 1078

Re: Using PE10 to limit withdrawal rate

I've been toying with the idea to use the retiree's current investment balance, the equities allocation percent, and also the current market's PE10/CAPE, all to calculate a withdrawal rate. So has Michael McClung in Living Off Your Money. From several valuation methods, he divided their results int...
by heyyou
Tue Feb 14, 2017 12:11 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Planning for Retirement: Why do it the recommended way?
Replies: 26
Views: 2742

Re: Planning for Retirement: Why do it the recommended way?

Nick, When investing, often the general advice needs minor adaptation to the individual. As mentioned above, some 401k plans have high expenses and some do not. That is typical of the imprecision that we have to live with. As Taylor Larimore has sagely noted, "There are many paths to Dublin&quo...
by heyyou
Wed Feb 08, 2017 12:28 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: What is the prediction of future long-term returns for your portfolio?
Replies: 63
Views: 5018

Re: What is the prediction of future long-term returns for your portfolio?

You are too late to get a prediction, we are fresh out of them. So far, the future is often slightly different from the past, in unexpected ways. Of the few who were right on a prediction, they noticeably failed on followup attempts. Many of those with predictions have an agenda that they want to sh...
by heyyou
Tue Feb 07, 2017 10:11 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Using DFA small/mid cap value fund in place of completion index?
Replies: 8
Views: 723

Re: Using DFA small/mid cap value fund in place of completion index?

What he said above, or some of each until you are more definite about which path to follow. The cost mantra is "low expenses," not "the very lowest ERs are the only acceptable choices." Cap weighting is the best way to have a low cost fund, but all of your choices are relatively ...
by heyyou
Mon Feb 06, 2017 11:50 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: What other investment options I can use to save more
Replies: 18
Views: 2103

Re: What other investment options I can use to save more

Many good answers above. Consider some of several of them, i.e. additional but taxable contributions into the employee retirement funds if the fees (fund fees and account fee are reasonable) and opening a conventional taxable account. Pay some extra on your mortgage. After you purchase I bonds, you ...
by heyyou
Sat Feb 04, 2017 9:08 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Anyone have a tilt portfolio similar to this
Replies: 22
Views: 2023

Re: Anyone have a tilt portfolio similar to this

Here is the Trev H thread discussing his VG version of Merriman's Slice and Dice portfolio:
https://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic.php?f=10&t=38374
25% domestic Large Blend
25% domestic Small Value
25% international Large Value
25% international Small Blend
by heyyou
Fri Feb 03, 2017 3:22 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Game won with market up and retire or Not Yet?
Replies: 33
Views: 4981

Re: Game won with market up and retire or Not Yet?

The market will crash but we don't know when, and it will then recover, but we don't know when. What we have seen is, if you annually spend a fixed percentage of the recent remaining portfolio value, you do not risk being impoverished. You risk a somewhat lower standard of living until recovery, to ...
by heyyou
Fri Feb 03, 2017 5:31 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: I'm a Midcap Underweight
Replies: 9
Views: 1121

Re: I'm a Midcap Underweight

A tempest in a tea pot, false precision, 6% is within some rebalancing trigger points, thus a mere rounding error, if that. Midweights have the mixed characteristics of Large and Small stocks, so any difference in the affect of them is muted. What is important is the stock/bond ratio, while the inte...
by heyyou
Fri Feb 03, 2017 4:56 am
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Are Defined Benefit Plans a rip off?
Replies: 49
Views: 4232

Re: Are Defined Benefit Plans a rip off?

Research shows that some enjoyment comes from anticipating a purchase. Thanks. This is a very zen/efficient concept of making the dollar you work for give you the maximum pleasure. It is the anticipation that is part of the pleasure. Is there a book on this? the 2010 paper in pdf format https://sch...
by heyyou
Fri Feb 03, 2017 3:42 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Market Weighted v Equal Split
Replies: 2
Views: 251

Re: Market Weighted v Equal Split

Whichever one you choose, the other will do better immediately, for a while. Either will perform good enough to help you reach your investing goals. How much you contribute is far more important than whether your equity fund choice(s) are solely cap weighted or multi-sliced. Consider using the singl...
by heyyou
Thu Feb 02, 2017 4:26 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: How do you guys ignore this stuff?
Replies: 80
Views: 8490

Re: How do you guys ignore this stuff?

In the late 1970s, the Middle East was in turmoil, there was sabre rattling in Russia, China was a threat in the Far East, and inflation was a concern. Since then, there have been some market crashes, but stocks have grown expansively. The current situation is Middle Eastern turmoil, Russian sabre r...
by heyyou
Thu Feb 02, 2017 4:05 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Are Defined Benefit Plans a rip off?
Replies: 49
Views: 4232

Re: Are Defined Benefit Plans a rip off?

You do have time, long term, so pause and learn now before taking any action. You may benefit from seeing the rookie mistakes that others here, have made. You will be invested from now until you pass, then your assets will continue into your heirs' lives. My former tax guy became affiliated with an ...
by heyyou
Thu Feb 02, 2017 7:44 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Does boglehead style investing benefit from being "Too big to fail"
Replies: 7
Views: 998

Re: Does boglehead style investing benefit from being "Too big to fail"

then I feel like heads would roll, hearings would be held, forces would intervene When the forces intervene, they are only doing what might have worked better than whatever was done the last time that they intervened. So far, the Japanese markets are still trying to recover from the last boom and b...
by heyyou
Tue Jan 31, 2017 10:08 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Kitces' "bond tent" to protect against sequence risk
Replies: 16
Views: 3028

Re: Kitces' "bond tent" to protect against sequence risk

Spending a fixed real amount of the retirement day assets, without ever considering returns for the next 2-3 decades, has risk. Spending as though your retirement is equal to the worst case, has risk. Retirees have lived within their means for 30 years prior to retirement. That needs to continue in ...

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