Search found 144 matches

by AnalogKid22
Wed Nov 14, 2018 1:18 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Regret of selling winning stocks early
Replies: 65
Views: 10243

Re: Regret of selling winning stocks early

Texas Pacific Land Trust (TPL) - A retired friend who day-trades as a hobby tipped me off to this in Summer 2014, when oil stocks were plummeting, due to fracking and over-supply. The stock was 225 a few months earlier and I got in at 175. It kept dropping and every week he kept telling me to buy, ...
by AnalogKid22
Mon Nov 12, 2018 4:22 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 7972
Views: 1620090

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

There are too many investors in the market now who haven't experienced a true bear. I was speaking to one of them a couple of weeks ago who complained because his returns for the past year were less than 2%. He has no idea. Lots of new investors have entered the market during the bull, so all they'...
by AnalogKid22
Tue Oct 30, 2018 9:21 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 7972
Views: 1620090

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

Christmas came early this year, folks. Hopefully, we will see another 10% discount before the end of the year. A recession would not hurt either. Yet another statement that an economic downturn is simply an opportunity to buy stocks on sale without any potential impact on one's employment status. A...
by AnalogKid22
Thu Oct 25, 2018 11:00 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Why I'm 100% stocks
Replies: 149
Views: 17242

Re: Why I'm 100% stocks

100% stock is great for some, I am simply not willing to risk a prolonged 50% decline in my life's savings. At least once in the past: stocks have dropped over 20% in a single day, and have dropped about 90% in a few years. Glad to leave some money on the table, or work a bit longer, in exchange fo...
by AnalogKid22
Tue Oct 23, 2018 12:09 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 7972
Views: 1620090

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

willthrill81 wrote:
Tue Oct 23, 2018 12:05 pm
Bogle's animal spirits are still at work methinks. The indicators still do not point to an immediate recession on the horizon.
Agree. With the unemployment rate still at an all-time low, businesses clearly have money to spend and are very much spending.
by AnalogKid22
Tue Oct 23, 2018 8:39 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 7972
Views: 1620090

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

DOW is back below 25,000. Lots of major companies reporting quarterly earnings this week, so expect dramatic swings. Notable companies reporting earnings include McDonald’s (MCD), 3M (MMM), Caterpillar (CAT), Verizon (VZ), Lockheed Martin (LMT), and Harley-Davidson (HOG) on Tuesday; Microsoft (MSFT)...
by AnalogKid22
Thu Oct 18, 2018 11:41 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 7972
Views: 1620090

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

Another big drop incoming it seems! I kinda wanna take out money from my EF and buy more VTSAX today... I am a new investor (only since last October) and don't know if this is wise... If you don't know if it's wise, it probably isn't. Exactly. No one on this board can predict the market or tell you...
by AnalogKid22
Wed Oct 17, 2018 9:32 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 363
Views: 40289

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

watchnerd wrote:
Tue Oct 16, 2018 11:10 pm
So bummed at these gains
Almost half of which have been erased today.
by AnalogKid22
Mon Oct 15, 2018 12:38 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: "Turn Off The Financial News"
Replies: 13
Views: 1920

Re: "Turn Off The Financial News"

Couldn't agree more, but not easy to do.
by AnalogKid22
Fri Oct 12, 2018 11:06 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Who worries about a bear market in stocks?
Replies: 71
Views: 5847

Re: Who worries about a bear market in stocks?

Funny, my answer would be EVERYONE. Young investors as any prolonged bear marked in stocks will lead to layoffs. The most overconfident aspect I have seen from even folks on this site is their confidence of not getting fired when the next downturn occurs. Retirees if timing is poor the sequence of ...
by AnalogKid22
Wed Oct 10, 2018 4:06 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 7972
Views: 1620090

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

Have to wonder what is driving this chaos. We haven't seen similar market drops during previous rate hikes, so I'm loathe to attribute it to that. TSLA's glacially-paced implosion is meaningless because the company isn't large enough to drive a drop of this size. Something something animal spirits,...
by AnalogKid22
Wed Oct 10, 2018 3:50 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 7972
Views: 1620090

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

WhiteMaxima wrote:
Wed Oct 10, 2018 3:47 pm
remember most 10% correction or 20% more crash won't be completed in one day. So a 3% drop might be the prelude of big market correction. The stock won'r always go up, it can go down a lot. If you invest too aggressive, you need to turn down a bit.
DCAing within my DCAing...
by AnalogKid22
Wed Oct 10, 2018 3:46 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 7972
Views: 1620090

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

tony_roach wrote:
Wed Oct 10, 2018 3:35 pm
Good reason for me to add a couple of thousand at closing today into my taxable total market ETF.
I did the same. Watch it drop more tomorrow...
by AnalogKid22
Wed Oct 10, 2018 2:58 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Vanguard website problems [Transactions won't go through, 500 error...]
Replies: 101
Views: 4850

Re: Vanguard site 500 error

Same thing happened last January...
by AnalogKid22
Wed Oct 10, 2018 11:06 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Sears, a 125 year old company is now a penny stock.
Replies: 127
Views: 15365

Re: Sears, a 125 year old company is now a penny stock.

REITs look so undervalued and then you read things like this... But that is always the story of value investing. It is easy to look back and go man that company was so undervalued 10 years ago. They had more cash than the company value for heaven's sake (or any of a zillion other rationalizations)....
by AnalogKid22
Wed Oct 10, 2018 11:03 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Sears, a 125 year old company is now a penny stock.
Replies: 127
Views: 15365

Re: Sears, a 125 year old company is now a penny stock.

The Sears stock has dropped >30% to under 40 cents! Oh, how the mighty have fallen.
by AnalogKid22
Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:40 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 7972
Views: 1620090

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

I'm going to go out on a limb and say that this is only a short-lived drop and not the beginnings of a bear market. Unemployment is trending downward and interest rates are not inverted yet. I certainly don't buy the argument that this is due to yields going up because yields are virtually unchange...
by AnalogKid22
Fri Oct 05, 2018 11:44 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: A little blip - and the media goes crazy
Replies: 16
Views: 2299

Re: A little blip - and the media goes crazy

Yes. They've been calling for a market crash during the entire bull run - that's how they sell advertising space.
by AnalogKid22
Tue Oct 02, 2018 10:23 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Is an emergency fund just about market timing?
Replies: 103
Views: 5712

Re: Is an emergency fund just about market timing?

I consider my Roth my emergency fund, though I do have plenty of cash in a savings account as well. The Roth is 100% invested in equities and large enough that during a huge correction it will still contain enough cash for regular (tax-free) withdrawals if I needed.
by AnalogKid22
Mon Oct 01, 2018 9:20 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Sears, a 125 year old company is now a penny stock.
Replies: 127
Views: 15365

Re: Sears, a 125 year old company is now a penny stock.

Toys R Us, now Sears. There will be many more. The Sears near me took up two floors in the town mall and is now only a single floor with maybe 1/3 the merchandise.
by AnalogKid22
Thu Sep 20, 2018 9:58 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 363
Views: 40289

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

Well, the DOW has been soaring this week, but the S&P 500, which I assume most Boglehead's track, is only eeking upwards. All this media noise around tariffs has appeared to be the primary influencer. Apparently, tariff concerns have eased up this week, increasing investor confidence, but, no one kn...
by AnalogKid22
Thu Sep 13, 2018 12:37 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Ray Dalio’s latest fearmongering round
Replies: 55
Views: 6008

Re: Ray Dalio’s latest fearmongering round

I think fear mongering implies some sort of outcome that benefits the mongerer. For instance when Peter Schiff gets on the radio and predicts all sorts of meltdowns only gold can buttress against and then mentions Schiff gold. This just seems like someone that is pessimistic about the trajectory of...
by AnalogKid22
Tue Aug 28, 2018 8:49 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks continue to soar!
Replies: 363
Views: 40289

Re: U.S. stocks continue to soar!

When the threads pop up about 100% stocks, it tells me that lots of folks have already forgotten the pain of the 2000-2002 and the 2008-2009 bear markets. Could be that the veterans remember this and that maybe these threads are from newer investors and newer forum members. It would be interesting ...
by AnalogKid22
Mon Aug 27, 2018 12:16 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Any metrics that say US Stocks are *NOT* expensive?
Replies: 70
Views: 4831

Re: Any metrics that say US Stocks are *NOT* expensive?

Of course "nobody knows nothin," but this article from last week claims, with some metrics, that the market is far from overvalued: https://seekingalpha.com/article/4200910-stock-market-overvalued-bear-market-nowhere-close While this article from two days ago says the market is "slightly overvalued"...
by AnalogKid22
Mon Aug 27, 2018 9:28 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: The first million is the hardest?
Replies: 46
Views: 9258

Re: The first million is the hardest?

The real problem was that low cost index fund investing is B-O-R-I-N-G, so we all set aside a small amount of "fun money" and would talk about what to do with that, have little competitions in who could get the best returns, shared stories, and talked about financial news. So true. Index funds are ...
by AnalogKid22
Tue Aug 07, 2018 1:23 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: holding bonds-why or why not?
Replies: 19
Views: 2336

Re: holding bonds-why or why not?

Holding bonds makes perfectly good sense for some people, but not everyone. Warren Buffett (whom I admire tremendously) is a perfect example of someone who does not particularly like to hold bonds. Compared to the average investor, if the stock market tanks, someone like Buffet is still a multi-Bil...
by AnalogKid22
Tue Aug 07, 2018 9:08 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: holding bonds-why or why not?
Replies: 19
Views: 2336

Re: holding bonds-why or why not?

I'm planning to retire in 5-10 years. If I was 100% in stocks and there is a significant market correction in the next few years, my retirement plans could be derailed. I hold bonds to reduce this risk. The longer your investment horizon the more risk you should take, so bonds are less important.
by AnalogKid22
Wed Mar 14, 2018 11:03 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Dave Ramsey on Bonds
Replies: 107
Views: 10561

Re: Dave Ramsey on Bonds

From DR website... When you’re choosing your mutual funds, we recommend you invest in funds with a long history—10 years or more--of strong returns. Spread your investments across these four types of funds, with 25% in each type. Growth and Income: These funds have a history of stable growth that a...
by AnalogKid22
Wed Mar 14, 2018 10:23 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Dave Ramsey on Bonds
Replies: 107
Views: 10561

Re: Dave Ramsey on Bonds

I often question the role bonds have played in my portfolio. I am mid 50's with 40% bonds. I don't think that I, along with most Bogelheads, need bonds to keep me invested and "steady at the wheel". I do sometimes question this investing philosophy given how so many times bonds seem to move down in...
by AnalogKid22
Fri Feb 16, 2018 6:43 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 7972
Views: 1620090

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

Helo80 wrote:
Fri Feb 16, 2018 5:59 pm
lostdog wrote:
Fri Feb 16, 2018 12:46 pm
Anyone here admit to emotional selling during that dip?
I emotionally bought some TSM... not a huge amount, but how often does the dow fall 1000 points? Might as well market time a bit.
Me too, but still contributing to TSM every 2-weeks.
by AnalogKid22
Fri Feb 09, 2018 2:42 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 7972
Views: 1620090

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

Fees, savings rate - that’s all I can control and it’s all I worry about The stock market is nothing but a bunch of BS that if you have the stomach for will make you money over time I think this is part of the reason many investors use advisors, so they aren't involved in the day-to-day. They pay s...
by AnalogKid22
Fri Feb 09, 2018 1:39 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 7972
Views: 1620090

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

Funny how the media and folks here are all acting like this is a major event eroding all our portfolios. I suppose its because its the first minor correction that we've seen in a while. All indexes are still much higher than they were this time last year. That said - I'm still trading some bonds fo...
by AnalogKid22
Thu Feb 08, 2018 3:28 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 7972
Views: 1620090

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

Once more international is dropping the same or more than US Why is that? because I've put in like 10K over the last 2 weeks - oh well, buy more i guess Why not just set up auto contributions from your bank for every week, 2 weeks, a month, or whatever your preference? Sometimes you buy high, somet...
by AnalogKid22
Wed Feb 07, 2018 7:29 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 7972
Views: 1620090

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

I'm part of the buyer group. I just cut some discretionary expense and bought equity on sale. This is an advantage of having a budget :greedy This really isn't much of a sale.... Exactly. Equities went up over several years, went way up in a few months, which scared investors, then dropped back to ...
by AnalogKid22
Tue Feb 06, 2018 3:24 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 7972
Views: 1620090

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

CULater wrote:
Tue Feb 06, 2018 3:10 pm
Up nearly 500 at end of day. Whaaaatttt!
The mascot for today's market:

[embedded animated GIF removed by admin LadyGeek, here's the link: https://m.popkey.co/9be03d/DQJye.gif]
by AnalogKid22
Mon Feb 05, 2018 6:29 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 7972
Views: 1620090

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

njuser wrote:
Mon Feb 05, 2018 6:23 pm
Vanguard is updated for today. ow.
T'is but a scratch. And people ask why they should hold bonds.
by AnalogKid22
Mon Feb 05, 2018 4:51 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 7972
Views: 1620090

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

For someone 25-30 yrs from retirement, with <100k in 401k, with plans of maxing out 2 401ks starting later this year, am I crazy in thinking this is a good thing? Unless it turns into a recession and you lose your job. People need to stop wishing for a crash. At least out loud. Even if YOU don't ge...
by AnalogKid22
Mon Feb 05, 2018 4:37 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 7972
Views: 1620090

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

Largest gains ever in a few months to largest single-day drop ever - makes sense.
by AnalogKid22
Mon Feb 05, 2018 4:04 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 7972
Views: 1620090

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

Who said index investing is boring?
by AnalogKid22
Mon Feb 05, 2018 3:34 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 7972
Views: 1620090

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

Rather it happens earlier in the year. Hopefully, it provides more time for a rebound.
by AnalogKid22
Fri Feb 02, 2018 4:38 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: TSM believers, defend thyself! (In a good natured, friendly debate.)
Replies: 59
Views: 7389

Re: TSM believers, defend thyself! (In a good natured, friendly debate.)

Boeing, McDonald's, Apple, Chevron, and Facebook are among the companies scheduled to report earnings later this week. VTSAX will most likely go up significantly. One of my main beliefs is "never make return predictions", since reality has a way of smashing them. So true. All of these companies pos...
by AnalogKid22
Fri Feb 02, 2018 4:22 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 7972
Views: 1620090

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

The BH philosophy is to not market time, yet the majority of posts are about just that. There will be a lot of unhappy people when things take an ugly turn. "I know I shouldn't market time, but..." I'll bet that all but the most die-hard BHs would agree, though, that if the market going down causes...
by AnalogKid22
Fri Feb 02, 2018 4:14 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 7972
Views: 1620090

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

The BH philosophy is to not market time, yet the majority of posts are about just that. There will be a lot of unhappy people when things take an ugly turn.

"I know I shouldn't market time, but..."
by AnalogKid22
Fri Feb 02, 2018 3:23 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: U.S. stocks in freefall
Replies: 7972
Views: 1620090

Re: U.S. stocks in freefall

Could the explanation be as simple as rising bond rates make stocks relatively less attractive? I plan on watching Cramer tonight, so I can let you know what it was by tomorrow. He usually knows. https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/video/jim-cramer-weighs-in-on-the-stock-markets-massive-plunge/vi-BBICPBL
by AnalogKid22
Fri Feb 02, 2018 11:47 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Bonds - Am I missing something
Replies: 89
Views: 9412

Re: Bonds - Am I missing something

Is there a guarantee bonds wouldn’t plummet in value as well? Or is the appeal “they’d suck slightly less” There are no guarantees with any investment - that's the whole point of risk and return, otherwise, why invest at all? Did you look at those Vanguard charts showing the return for different al...
by AnalogKid22
Fri Feb 02, 2018 11:33 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Bonds - Am I missing something
Replies: 89
Views: 9412

Re: Bonds - Am I missing something

I've yet to go through a bear market, which is why I've been actively buying bonds the last year to maintain my AA at 75/25. It's been great watching my portfolio rise - I guess that's why they call this the "euphoria" stage - and we hear daily about the market breaking records and all the money pe...
by AnalogKid22
Fri Feb 02, 2018 10:46 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Bonds - Am I missing something
Replies: 89
Views: 9412

Re: Bonds - Am I missing something

I've yet to go through a bear market, which is why I've been actively buying bonds the last year to maintain my AA at 75/25. It's been great watching my portfolio rise - I guess that's why they call this the "euphoria" stage - and we hear daily about the market breaking records and all the money peo...