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AnalogKid22

not excited about this run up as the market is getting way too expensive... not good for those of us in the accumulation phase. +1 Ive got more than 25 years of accumulation to go and i'd rather do it on the cheap. If this bull continues for another 5+ years or more, 2020 stock prices will have bee...

AnalogKid22

not excited about this run up as the market is getting way too expensive... not good for those of us in the accumulation phase. +1 Ive got more than 25 years of accumulation to go and i'd rather do it on the cheap. If this bull continues for another 5+ years or more, 2020 stock prices will have bee...

AnalogKid22

2020 is off to a great start...

AnalogKid22

Another +30% year? :mrgreen: Without getting into a political discussion, the current administration will do everything in its power to keep this market soaring as a strong economy is key to winning re-election end of this year. Too many unpredictable, external factors that could send the market so...

AnalogKid22

What a year for stocks! Let's do this again in 2020! Happy New Year!

AnalogKid22

Well, the melt-up hasn't been wrong so far...

AnalogKid22

lostdog wrote: ↑
Thu Dec 12, 2019 12:08 pm
A quick jump to 1% and now fizzling out...

I expect many more “close to reaching a deal with China” announcements, followed by sharp, albeit short-lived spikes in the market.

AnalogKid22

What happened to the recession we were told we were going to have in 2019? Looking at GDP and jobs I am not sure what’s going on. Did it get postponed? Cancelled? I must have lost the memo. What about the bear market, falling knives, the death cross, dead cat bounces, crashes and the like? If all t...

AnalogKid22

oldzey wrote: ↑
Tue Dec 03, 2019 12:10 pm
Nice - hopefully equity index funds will be on sale for my January 2020 Roth IRA contribution.

My thoughts exactly.

AnalogKid22

JoeRetire wrote: ↑
Fri Nov 15, 2019 4:33 pm

aristotelian wrote: ↑
Fri Nov 15, 2019 4:24 pm

AnalogKid22 wrote: ↑
Fri Nov 15, 2019 1:29 pm
In less than 2 years the DOW has climbed nearly 3000 points and could reach a new all-time high of 28,000!
Correction, it already did.
Even better - it broke 28,004!

I'll take it! Pop another bottle!

AnalogKid22

In less than 2 years the DOW has climbed nearly 3000 points and could reach a new all-time high of 28,000!

AnalogKid22

Run, buuuuull, ruuuuuunnn!

AnalogKid22

Days like today make me recall friends, and some posters here in Bogleheads land, that stated 2 or 3 years ago they were pulling out of the stock market since there was surely a big crash coming soon that they wanted to buy back into. It's been a nice run-up I am surely glad I haven't missed. Indee...

AnalogKid22

Dang, I can't live without bacon. Imma headin' to the store tomorrow and stock up. Actually, there is a glut of bacon on the market. Classic by-product problem. China doesn't consume much bacon so when they import pork from the US there is a lot of surplus bacon. It's mainly the trade war generatin...

AnalogKid22

The higher we soar the harder we fall?

AnalogKid22

The free fall thread needed some love today, so... I don’t think today’s intraday uptick will last. Even the idea that vague “news” items can push the S&P500 up by 1.6% in a single morning helps reinforce the notion that my 30/70 AA is the right choice. I get to avoid most of this roller coaster ri...

AnalogKid22

There's also more to a recession than just the stock market. The first signs of the "2008 financial crisis" were in April 2007. The problem is, the signs may be there, but whether they will have actual impact is unknown. For example, there are signs of tension between the two largest economies in t...

AnalogKid22

As other have said, I think tuning out the noise (i.e. the news), which is mostly gloom and doom to attract attention, is even harder. If you have a long investing horizon of 5 or more years, you shouldn't care at all about the market. It's only when you're nearing retirement or need the money in th...

AnalogKid22

Stinky wrote: ↑
Wed Sep 11, 2019 3:02 pm
S&P closed above 3,000 today.

Happy days are here again!

"Nobody knows nuthin" couldn't be truer. It could all collapse tomorrow, but the bull just keeps on running.

AnalogKid22

Bluce wrote: ↑
Fri Aug 30, 2019 8:45 am
Well the markets are up about a half a percent as I type.

Dang, I'm getting tired of this thread. I wonder when we can get back to the "Free fall" thread again?

The bull needed a break, but it's running again.

AnalogKid22

I don't see this standoff with China ending anytime soon. We can probably expect big market swings for the rest of the year. Anyone getting excited about "stocks are on sale" or "I missed the dip" will have a rough investing life. There's a reason Bogleheads create and stick to plans.

AnalogKid22

It's just a general bucket thread for general discussion and, typically, rants. If you can't see the humor around a thread specific to a random market event on a Boglehead forum, you miss the point.

AnalogKid22

Goes to show the importance of not selling. .... I'm confused. When people cheering for soaring market, aren't they selling at all? Very often, probably most of the time around here, no. I think it's mostly those who have yet to be invested during a bear market, myself included. I remember the cras...

AnalogKid22

I rent and invest the difference. Ultimately, when I retire, unless I buy a property outright, which I might do if I find the "right place", I'll still have a rent/mortgage payment, but who cares - my portfolio will more than cover these and other expenses until I die.

AnalogKid22

DanMahowny wrote: ↑
Wed Aug 14, 2019 2:42 pm

squirm wrote: ↑
Wed Aug 14, 2019 1:21 pm
Maybe S&P is finally headed to 1550. 50% drop and a test of the previous major resistance seems reasonable.
Yep. That's how I see it.

Then we reach a deal with China, the market skyrockets to all-new highs, and we all live happily, ever after.

AnalogKid22

CULater wrote: ↑
Wed Aug 14, 2019 12:01 pm
Whoops. My stocks fell down and can't get up!

NEW Vanguard Life Alert Fund

AnalogKid22

I know market timing is stupid, but I've been at my 1st job now for 1.5 years and it's felt like my portfolio has been spinning the wheels with the rest of the market. I've got a 401(k) and Roth with about even funds 85/15. Does anyone here think I need to move out of stocks until the big drop happ...

AnalogKid22

Time to buy, market timers! You just know tomorrow the market will be up 3%, followed by another 1-2% drop.

AnalogKid22

Bluce wrote: ↑
Tue Aug 13, 2019 9:21 am
I guess we're in this thread today?

It's hard to keep up -- I'm glad I'm a Buy & Holder!

+1 - Attempting to buy the dip or catch a falling knife during these major market swings can wreak havoc on one's portfolio.

AnalogKid22

Hello free fall thread, my old friend. :| This is almost a soaring market considering the "news". I'm watching a CNBC talking head as I type; he says buy the dip. This has happened often enough recently that I fear that it's time for Mr. Market to shows us that buying the dip doesn't always work. I...

AnalogKid22

That's the point I was trying to make. This message board is intended for "Bogleheads" who should know that market-timing goes completely against Bogle's philosophy. But, for many, the temptation to buy when the market appears down is just too great. Would you be surprised to know Bogle himself rea...

AnalogKid22

Dow is down only just over 200 now; barely a flesh wound. Now just over 300... This is like watching the big wheel spin at Resorts in Atlantic City. If VTI hits 143 it will be a good time to buy but remember, investing is like baseball where nobody knows nothing. :mrgreen: That's the point I was tr...

AnalogKid22

ImUrHuckleberry wrote: ↑
Wed Aug 07, 2019 9:53 am
Dow is down only just over 200 now; barely a flesh wound.

Now just over 300...

AnalogKid22

ruralavalon wrote: ↑
Wed Aug 07, 2019 9:05 am

ImUrHuckleberry wrote: ↑
Wed Aug 07, 2019 8:55 am
And we're off and falling. Seems like a lot of lay people are very scared so this could be a big one if some of the weak hands start folding.
Perhaps the 100% stock investors are learning something about risk.

Perhaps anyone who made big moves on Monday or Tuesday also learned something.

AnalogKid22

DOW futures set to fall over 600 tomorrow: https://www.cnbc.com/2019/08/05/dow-fut ... treet.html

AnalogKid22

Some of the folks participating in this forum are not Diehards. Some? I would venture to say the "large majority," considering how many of us regular posters check the market multiple times every day and how people react to the slightest market correction, when Bogleheads are supposed to have a pla...

AnalogKid22

How many besides me are cheering for a round 1000 fall on the DOW (or more)? It's just so exciting, and I'm looking forward to seeing Cramer freak out after I get home from work. With such a long bull run, we're certainly due for a substantial correction. With a long investing horizon, I'm all for ...

AnalogKid22

Next week we reach a deal with China, stocks recover, and people complain about missing the dip. Stay the course.

AnalogKid22

livesoft wrote: ↑
Mon Aug 05, 2019 9:42 am
Hmm, does anybody think today might be an RBD for some things?

Really Bad Day or Really Big Discount?

AnalogKid22

The starting point should be that none of us know which asset class will outperform in the next 5, 10, or 20 years. If we have seen a history that has 20 years of international outperformance, we can't casually use a recent period of US outperformance to neglect what could happen for the next 20 ye...

AnalogKid22

I assume that with the amount he chose to invest, compounded by the long bull run, his wife's inheritance has done quite well. "What I advise here is essentially identical to certain instructions I’ve laid out in my will. One bequest provides that cash will be delivered to a trustee for my wife’s b...

AnalogKid22

I have to admit, this thread is one of the better "why international?" threads we've had. There's some concern about what we, as a forum, are offering new investors in terms of asset allocation. I think that the concern is valid, especially when you look at how this thread started. When you're talk...

AnalogKid22

Interesting perspective on USA vs China and who needs who more: https://youtu.be/DxN12jzHrqI

AnalogKid22

A 2% uptick after recent downticks of about the same is nothing to get excited about. Just relax, folks... Exactly. Anyone getting excited about a 1-2% increase in one day should be prepared to be extremely upset about a 20%+ decrease. Corrections are part of investing and any RGD can be completely...

AnalogKid22

Total US market is equivalent to having all ones savings bet on the fortunes of the Dow 30. Even US large cap is only 29% of this mega cap strategy. That assessment is a bit over the top. How so? The returns are basically identical. I think UpperNwGuy's point is that since the US does so much inter...

AnalogKid22

unclear why these types of threads are started except to cause controversy. I wish everyone good luck in whatever is chosen to invest. I think it’s because international funds have been performing poorly while US continues to set records. International could take off at anytime, but, as long as the...

AnalogKid22

Here’s Kevin O’Leary mentioning that the S&P500 has 46% in foreign revenue: https://youtu.be/uran2Ev4I34

This is up from 44% in 2017.

AnalogKid22

Kevin O”Leary predicts the bull will run for another two years. https://youtu.be/uran2Ev4I34 O'Leary is why the US should build a northern wall. He said 46% of the S&P is in foreign earnings. That is why I don't need VXUS. I liked that bit as well. The percentage of foreign revenue in the S&P500 wa...

AnalogKid22

Kevin O”Leary predicts the bull will run for another two years.
https://youtu.be/uran2Ev4I34

AnalogKid22

I was blessed to have parents who set the example of working hard and investing. They get most of the credit. Funny, my parents too get most of the credit but because they set terrible examples and so I was determined not to make the same mistakes. My dad asked me a few years ago: where did you lea...

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