Bogleheads.org

AnalogKid22

Yes, but life is hard enough without having to worry about my money. I got a tip a few years back on an oil/land stock that would have made me millions by now. Over the years, there were also a few periods where the stock lagged significantly, due to demand and changes in management, and investors w...

AnalogKid22

I remember so clearly back in Jan. 2018 when the DOW crossed 25,000 for the first time. There was so much fear about the market being waaaaay overvalued and maybe it was/is. But, here we are, 3 years later, DOW has now crossed 31,000.

AnalogKid22

kinless wrote: ↑Mon Jan 04, 2021 12:19 pm What a wonderful day for annual lump sum investments.

+1

AnalogKid22

z3r0c00l wrote: ↑Tue Dec 15, 2020 8:17 pm
AnalogKid22 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 15, 2020 8:02 pm
Hoping for the same next year. Lots of speculation about the post-pandemic recovery being like the roaring 20s after the Great Depression.
The roaring 20's came before the GD. Do you mean after WWI?

Yes, thanks for correcting me.

AnalogKid22

What are you guys doing with dry powder at this point? I have a good amount left and thought of maybe just popping 100k towards the s&p 500 today Dry powder!? I'm spent... totally spent... No dry powder...all in.. I practice what I preach...been telling everyone to get in before 2021 ...will be...

AnalogKid22

What are you guys doing with dry powder at this point? I have a good amount left and thought of maybe just popping 100k towards the s&p 500 today Complicated question, but, in short, if you don’t need that money for at least 10 years, lump sum is the best option, even if the market tanks tomorr...

AnalogKid22

Quite the prediction for 2021: There's a reason to be bullish on stocks in 2021, too It is for these reasons we expect the US stock market to defy expectations yet again next year and deliver another solid return, as our expectation is for the S&P 500 to finish at 4,200 by 2021 year-end. Our st...

AnalogKid22

Quite the prediction for 2021: There's a reason to be bullish on stocks in 2021, too It is for these reasons we expect the US stock market to defy expectations yet again next year and deliver another solid return, as our expectation is for the S&P 500 to finish at 4,200 by 2021 year-end. Our sto...

AnalogKid22

kinless wrote: ↑Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:05 pm Pitched some more dry powder over to index funds today after the 3-day run down.

It's baffling to me why bonds are not reacting the same way that stocks are. Barely moving...

Nice little discount today for sure. As long as rates remain low, so will bonds.

AnalogKid22

Stinky wrote: ↑Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:39 am Looks like a choppy day ahead.

Futures down 1+%.

2+%

AnalogKid22

Doom&Gloom wrote: ↑Wed Sep 23, 2020 4:09 pm
newyorker wrote: ↑Wed Sep 23, 2020 3:39 pm Today was a bloodbath
You must have a very shallow bathtub.

Today barely qualified as a blip.

Perhaps their portfolio is so large that a 2-3% drop actually breaks the skin.

AnalogKid22

newyorker wrote: ↑Wed Sep 23, 2020 3:39 pm Today was a bloodbath

2-3%? How so?

AnalogKid22

Considering the Fed have been discussing the next round of stimulus and "will not run out of ammunition", do we not expect them to swoop in and "save" the market well in advance of a major correction?

AnalogKid22

I'd feel better about the run up if SP500 PE wasn't sitting at almost 31. This is an expensive market. Maybe. But what is the alternative? Do you plan to stay out of the market until the PE goes down to say 20? What if it doesn't but the market keeps going up? Not trying to be snarky here, but genu...

AnalogKid22

Yeah it is instructive to go back and read the doom and gloom posts from March.... you'd definitely question if this is the Boglehead forum or not! I still hearken back to all the "stocks are overpriced" posts back in 2017. So many people bailing on stocks or sitting on the sidelines. Gra...

AnalogKid22

Wow...

AnalogKid22

People got scared in March and now some people are scared again. I guess the pessimism never ends. There's always reason to worry, and some will never be content, no matter what. Over the last several years on this forum, I've seen this manifested in various posters' (sometimes the same posters') c...

AnalogKid22

rockstar wrote: ↑Mon Aug 17, 2020 6:49 pm The market is getting ridiculously expensive. But what's the alternative?

If you're comfortable with your AA, it shouldn't matter. You should only be concerned if your risk exposure is outside your comfort zone. Why not take a little off the table?

AnalogKid22

I think the big activity will be after the close today with FAAA announcements today. I agree. After this morning's grim news from the Fed, if we get less-than-stellar news from these heavyweights, tomorrow's open could be much lower. Or, they have moderate-to-great news and we see a moderate uptic...

AnalogKid22

jason2459 wrote: ↑Tue Jul 28, 2020 3:25 pm Apple, Amazon, Google, Facebook earnings tomorrow...

Majority of FAANG on the same day.

AnalogKid22

Buckle up, folks. With a week of high profiled earnings announcements, this won't be a boring week for sure. Source: Yahoo Finance Monday (46 earnings): Halliburton, Logitech, IBM... Tuesday (81 earnings): Coca Cola, Lockheed, Novartis, Citi, United, TI, Ameritrade, iRobot, CapitalOne... Wednesday ...

AnalogKid22

See you guys over in the free fall thread I guess... The profit taking started early. Lots of major companies reporting Q2 earnings this week and states reversing reopening as cases continue to climb. Could be a perfect storm for a correction. Or, as usual, nobody knows nothing and we hit new highs...

AnalogKid22

What a rollercoaster! Gains one day, wiped out the next, rinse, repeat. Try to sit back and enjoy it. Certainly can't say this is a boring time to be an investor. Took me years to figure out worrying about the daily ups and downs aren't going to change a thing, at least not positively. You make you...

AnalogKid22

TheTimeLord wrote: ↑Fri Jun 26, 2020 9:48 am
AnalogKid22 wrote: ↑Fri Jun 26, 2020 9:46 am What a rollercoaster! Gains one day, wiped out the next, rinse, repeat.
Try to sit back and enjoy it.

Certainly can't say this is a boring time to be an investor.

AnalogKid22

What a rollercoaster! Gains one day, wiped out the next, rinse, repeat.

AnalogKid22

Anyone else think we'll see a modest-to-significant recovery tomorrow? It's certainly been the trend to see a moderate 2-3% correction one day, then investors pour money into stocks returning us to previous levels the next.

AnalogKid22

VTI now down more than 3%... I was promised everything was "priced in". There's a refund system on this forum, right? :-) Seriously though, it seems the market is reacting to increased coronavirus cases, and what I find interesting is that nothing has occurred new that wasn't seemingly in...

AnalogKid22

Probably just discounting stocks prior to the next stimulus bill...

AnalogKid22

Stinky wrote: ↑Fri Jun 19, 2020 7:22 am Futures soaring this morning.

Big day ahead.

1% qualifies as a big day?

AnalogKid22

am wrote: ↑Tue Jun 16, 2020 11:01 am Short term voting machine, long term weighing machine is right.

BOOM!! If this wasn't an election year, you'd see a far different situation.

AnalogKid22

Another example of the market making no sense: Panic selling yesterday over fear about the economy. All the factors that caused the panic are just as prevalent and rising today. Until the next panic... Yes, emotion drove yesterday's selloff, but today people have gone back to their usual selves: em...

AnalogKid22

Another example of the market making no sense: Panic selling yesterday over fear about the economy. All the factors that caused the panic are just as prevalent and rising today. Until the next panic...

AnalogKid22

I'd say OP picked a good "time" to make this move.

AnalogKid22

Totally agree, but, that's why we invest in index funds and, hopefully, have a plan/AA that helps us avoid worrying about where the market ends up. Not easy, I know.

AnalogKid22

dvvader wrote: ↑Fri Jun 05, 2020 9:49 am Yesterday, according to a Yahoo Finance headline, the market dropped due to jobless claims.

Today, according to another Yahoo Finance headline, the market jumps because the US added 2 million jobs.

And Yahoo! got advertising $$$ from both articles!!!

AnalogKid22

Nobody know nuthin' indeed...

AnalogKid22

So many threads on this. The market does not reflect the economy. Investors have an optimistic view as/when we recover. Granted, our deficit is soaring like a bottle rocket in an attempt to help the sick, unemployed, and struggling businesses, which are all on the rise, so you can't help but wonder ...

AnalogKid22

IBM and HPE are both planning major cutbacks and layoffs: https://www.windowscentral.com/hp-ibm-cut-jobs-reduce-salaries-due-coronavirus-concerns Boeing just announced plans to lay off 12,000 employees and thousands more: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-boeing-jobs/boeing-cutting-more-than-12000-...

AnalogKid22

"worst recession since the great depression... it will make 2008-2009 look like a flesh wound."

AnalogKid22

Really interesting interview with Sam Zell from earlier this month: https://youtu.be/tR9qd65EBnc He says the market volatility/uncertainty is causing lots of investors to hold money on the sideline and that there is too much anticipation for a V-shaped recovery . It will take a long time for people ...

AnalogKid22

You mean "facts" like: ...and it might get worse. Real unemployment is probably over 20% and major white collar layoffs are surely coming this summer Maybe higher still. This is going to likely force more lockdowns, stay-at-homes, etc. Schools are likely not to open up in the fall in most...

AnalogKid22

Two issues: 1. The stock market and economy are not the same; 2. The federal government has a strong tendency to financially support corporations more than individuals during financial crises. In the current case for example, corporations are obtaining assistance prior to even reporting financial s...

AnalogKid22

There's also an extremely detailed wiki, linked to at the top of this forum, that should at least provide the basic answers about investing and, more pertinent to this board, the Boglehead's Philosophy, but people can't be bothered to read.

AnalogKid22

grettman wrote: ↑Wed May 13, 2020 5:54 am
guyinlaw wrote: ↑Tue May 12, 2020 6:45 pm Volatility is back!! Too bad, they needed a senate hearing to see the challenges ahead..
Futures are up. Too bad it seems folks over reacted yesterday's events....

Once again, people assume pre-market sets the tone for the day, then it goes the other direction.

AnalogKid22

Hyperchicken wrote: ↑Tue May 12, 2020 2:50 pm Starts looking a bit like proper free fall there, S&P 500 down 2% in the final hour of trading.

Has any notable news break out?

I'd say this was notable: Fauci tells Congress U.S. coronavirus outbreak not yet under control

AnalogKid22

CurlyDave wrote: ↑Tue May 12, 2020 8:25 am S&P futures up 0.42% 5 minutes before the open.

Shaping up to be a good day.

Oh how the tides can so quickly turn.

AnalogKid22

Kookaburra Think about the absurdity of this scenario. The last time unemployment was this high, we were going into the Great Depression and the market was headed down to the tune of an 80+% drop and a down market that would last for years. What’s the difference? The Fed, and it’s unspoken 3rd mand...

AnalogKid22

Over 3 million more people have filed for unemployment (how many haven't filed?). Trump aid said we can expect as much as 20% unemployment - worst since the Great Depression. Yet stocks are up!

AnalogKid22

Timely article: Economy is in Free Fall so Why Isn't the Stock Market?

AnalogKid22

Investors react to current data, regardless of future projections. The Q1 numbers gave us a taste of the impact from the events that took place near the end of the quarter. How will investors react when the Q2 numbers come out, even if the Fed is queuing-up additional rescue packages to avoid major ...

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