Search found 438 matches

by Elbowman
Mon Aug 14, 2017 8:03 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Question about market timing the current market
Replies: 27
Views: 1337

Re: Question about market timing the current market

I am bound to purchase cheaper shares than if I just leave them all in there today at the peak of the market. Well, there's one error at least. How is he "bound" to purchase cheaper shares? It's completely possible that the market will steadily increase for the next decade, and will never again be ...
by Elbowman
Mon Jul 31, 2017 6:09 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Low income: using leverage to reach our goals [EU]
Replies: 10
Views: 1048

Re: Low income: using leverage to reach our goals [EU]

coccodrillo wrote:Both my need and willingness to take risk are very high.
Is retiring in 12 years a need or a want? Could you work a few more years and achieve your goals in a much safer fashion?
by Elbowman
Fri Jul 28, 2017 11:37 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Awarded stock; sell and diversify?
Replies: 27
Views: 1071

Re: Awarded stock; sell and diversify?

I sell my tech employer's stock ASAP. In my reading I've found that most experts implore you not to hold stock in your employer. Too much of your finances are already tied their success.
by Elbowman
Thu Jun 15, 2017 8:21 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Estimated Tax Underpayment Penalty
Replies: 9
Views: 1008

Re: Estimated Tax Underpayment Penalty

Thanks for the replies everyone! There is not actually too much variance in my income. Last year I got married and filed jointly, and it turns out there were no withholdings from my wife's fellowship grants (for grad school), which will not happen this year. What you owe is the safe harbor: lower of...
by Elbowman
Thu Jun 15, 2017 11:04 am
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Estimated Tax Underpayment Penalty
Replies: 9
Views: 1008

Re: Estimated Tax Underpayment Penalty

Thank you flamesabers!
by Elbowman
Thu Jun 15, 2017 9:48 am
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Estimated Tax Underpayment Penalty
Replies: 9
Views: 1008

Estimated Tax Underpayment Penalty

TLDR; Is the Estimated Tax Underpayment Penalty based off your total federal taxes due or the difference between your federal taxes due and your withholdings? Hi folks, I wanted to check my understanding of the Estimated Tax Underpayment Penalty, and would appreciate your help. Last year I had a big...
by Elbowman
Wed Jun 14, 2017 9:51 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Comments on Planned Portfolio
Replies: 8
Views: 513

Re: Comments on Planned Portfolio

3) 50% Total Stock Market (VTSAX) and 50% Long Term Treasury (VUSTX) The entire time period you tested over has been a bull market for bonds, which will make Long Term Treasuries look very good. To get a more complete picture you would need to start in the 1960's and check how this portfolio perfor...
by Elbowman
Fri Jun 02, 2017 4:33 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Time to Move Away from 3-Fund Portfolio?
Replies: 36
Views: 4355

Re: Time to Move Away from 3-Fund Portfolio?

How about all of taxable in Vanguard Tax-Managed Balanced Fund , and all tax-advantaged in an appropriate Target Retirement Fund. You could probably get away with no portfolio changes, ever.
by Elbowman
Thu Jun 01, 2017 10:01 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: New to This--How does my Long-Term Plan/Portfolio Look?
Replies: 4
Views: 714

Re: New to This--How does my Long-Term Plan/Portfolio Look?

Regarding the 403(b), it is possible that you could do much better than the FID Freedom 2050. Are there any really low expense ratio options available (substantially less than the 0.77% you are paying for FFFHX)? Often you will find a handful of low cost index funds in plans like that. Sometimes it ...
by Elbowman
Tue May 16, 2017 9:43 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Tilting vs simplicity -- and where to tilt?
Replies: 12
Views: 1428

Re: Tilting vs simplicity -- and where to tilt?

Rick Ferri seems to believe that you are right choosing real estate next. Perhaps I've spent too much time reading bogleheads debates, but personally I go with small cap value (and a low cost option, like VBR).
by Elbowman
Mon May 15, 2017 8:25 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Anyone else agree with my logic on silicon valley housing?
Replies: 84
Views: 7832

Re: Anyone else agree with my logic on silicon valley housing?

Yes, I did not point this out but that is a key element of my plan, is to transfer my job to one of my companies other offices. Since I'll retain all of my unvested stock in doing so, I'll be pulling in $100k to $150k a year in stock without living in SV. That should put me way ahead. Are you at a ...
by Elbowman
Mon May 15, 2017 9:53 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: New-ish Investor--Advice on strategy
Replies: 13
Views: 1418

Re: New-ish Investor--Advice on strategy

The Three Fund Portfolio page has a section which shows the best Fidelity funds to use for your portfolio. These funds:

32% T. Rowe Price Value (TRVLX) (.82% expense ratio)
26% Fidelity Blue Chip Growth (FBGRX) (.82% expense ratio)

are way too expensive.
by Elbowman
Fri May 12, 2017 10:24 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: 3 found lazy portfolio - where to put bonds
Replies: 4
Views: 627

Re: 3 found lazy portfolio - where to put bonds

Vanguard Intermediate-Term Tax-Exempt Fund Admiral Shares is a common choice for taxable bonds.

*EDIT* It looks like you are at Fidelity. Presumably they have something similar.
by Elbowman
Fri May 12, 2017 10:21 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Rob Arnott [buy emerging market equities vs. US stocks]
Replies: 40
Views: 3348

Re: Rob Arnott

So I can't verify the numbers he is citing (I think it is PE10, 29 for US, 14-15 for developed international, 11-12 for emerging markets), but if they are accurate then I don't think it is unreasonable that by 2047 emerging markets will have outperformed the US. That doesn't mean it is a free lunch ...
by Elbowman
Mon May 01, 2017 12:22 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: What is the purpose of bonds?
Replies: 20
Views: 1192

Re: What is the purpose of bonds?

For example, if you go to Vanguards "asset mix" it will say that a portfolio of 100% bonds has averaged a 5.4% return. How? Bonds will not be returning 5.4% any time soon. In the past the dividends were higher, which is how they returned 5.4% (plus the value of old bonds go up if the retu...
by Elbowman
Fri Apr 28, 2017 10:07 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Allocation help
Replies: 5
Views: 597

Re: Allocation help

-FYI bonds are less tax efficient in the Roth IRA. Might wanna swap these out for equities and switch into more bonds in your SIMPLE. Why is this the case? I have a feeling you are referring to the fact that equities will likely grow faster than bonds, so you will play less taxes with equities in t...
by Elbowman
Thu Apr 27, 2017 7:16 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Allocation help
Replies: 5
Views: 597

Re: Allocation help

Looks pretty good! You can buy ETF versions of the funds if you don't have enough to get admiral shares.
by Elbowman
Mon Apr 10, 2017 8:26 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Help Offsetting Bad 403(b) Options with Index Funds
Replies: 12
Views: 769

Re: Help Offsetting Bad 403(b) Options with Index Funds

Wow, that's a tough one. The 0.59% difference between VMGIX and the target retirement is a big deal, but you would have to endure a lot of tracking error. Still, at 154 different companies VMGIX is reasonably diverse, I wouldn't be surprised if that was the right long term move. Duckie, would your o...
by Elbowman
Thu Mar 09, 2017 8:34 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Preparing information to ask Portfolio questions
Replies: 4
Views: 263

Re: Preparing information to ask Portfolio questions

At the end of the day people are looking for what low cost (ER) options you have available. So if you have a low cost US stock fund available, no one will pay much attention to the high cost US stock funds. But figuring out the lowest cost option for each category might be more work than copy/pastin...
by Elbowman
Fri Feb 24, 2017 11:00 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: US Small Value - Did i just luck out big time?!
Replies: 18
Views: 1099

Re: US Small Value - Did i just luck out big time?!

ZenInvestor wrote:Its a small cap value fund with an ER of 0.51%.

There are people here who would pay 0.51% for SV, but I'm not one of them.
by Elbowman
Wed Feb 22, 2017 12:24 am
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Reconciling history of nominal GDP vs. S&P 500 return
Replies: 16
Views: 2188

Re: Reconciling history of nominal GDP vs. S&P 500 return

I saw an interview with John Bogle today, where he said he wasn't super bullish (my words) on stock returns since GDP is only 2%. This made me realize the relationship between stock returns and GDP was not at clear in my mind as I wanted it to be, so I dug up this old thread. Say we are ignoring the...
by Elbowman
Wed Feb 15, 2017 7:13 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Gotchas for Backdoor Roth AFTER Transfer to Vanguard?
Replies: 2
Views: 428

Gotchas for Backdoor Roth AFTER Transfer to Vanguard?

Hi Bogleheads, I have two related questions: 1) I got married this year, and I'd like to transfer my wife's investments accounts from Capital One to Vanguard. I had planned on doing this after I did a backdoor conversion for this tax year (at Capital One), because it seemed like there would be fewer...
by Elbowman
Wed Feb 15, 2017 12:56 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: MetLife Promise Whole Life Select 10
Replies: 16
Views: 1437

Re: MetLife Promise Whole Life Select 10

A bit more information: we've made a very large home purchase in NY (way too much) and my monthly mortgage payment will be around $8k/month (purchasing a $2,500,000 apartment, borrowing $1,800,000). Investing in 401K for both my wife and myself, cost of nanny, paying school - which i did not not fo...
by Elbowman
Tue Feb 14, 2017 10:31 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: MetLife Promise Whole Life Select 10
Replies: 16
Views: 1437

Re: MetLife Promise Whole Life Select 10

Yes, you should post more information. But once you do, we will almost certainly suggest you cancel the policy. The main situation where you many actually need Whole Life (also known as Permanent Life) insurance is if you will still need life insurance after you retire (most people don't). An exampl...
by Elbowman
Mon Feb 13, 2017 9:24 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Switching portfolio - 3-fund with slight tilt to Larry Porfolio
Replies: 16
Views: 1833

Re: Switching portfolio - 3-fund with slight tilt to Larry Porfolio

Two points: 1) I disagree with pezblanco and would in fact suggest the opposite. If I was doing the Larry Portfolio I would use: VBR Vanguard Small-Cap Value VWO Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Keep costs low first and foremost, whatever other shenanigans you are trying to pull off 2) You are proposi...
by Elbowman
Mon Feb 13, 2017 7:47 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Please list value funds you currently use
Replies: 62
Views: 5772

Re: Please list value funds you currently use

VBR.

Have a relatively simple five fund portfolio, and VBR is my one nod to factors.
by Elbowman
Fri Feb 10, 2017 11:38 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Please help me select a 401(k) Investment Option, Thank you!
Replies: 13
Views: 615

Re: Please help me select a 401(k) Investment Option, Thank you!

Is there a reason why FSIIX at .19% is better than the S&P funds at .06%? Dividend? It's not "better" in the sense that you would ever choose 100% FSIIX for your stocks. But it probably adds some amount of diversification, which makes it good to hold some of each. Below is a thread wh...
by Elbowman
Fri Feb 10, 2017 10:54 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Need some insight into my investments - 401k/Roth Vanguard
Replies: 12
Views: 845

Re: Need some insight into my investments - 401k/Roth Vanguard

Hi IMacD, First off I'd drop the "TIAA-CREF Small-Cap Eq Fd Instl". I have nothing against small-caps, I hold Vanguard SCV myself, but only because I can get it for 0.08%. If you really want small-caps you could hold a lower cost option in your Roth IRA. 0.42% is too much of a headwind for...
by Elbowman
Fri Feb 10, 2017 10:28 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Please help me select a 401(k) Investment Option, Thank you!
Replies: 13
Views: 615

Re: Please help me select a 401(k) Investment Option, Thank you!

Fidelity International Index Investor Fund ... 0.19%

This looks fine for international. What's your plan for bonds?
by Elbowman
Thu Feb 09, 2017 8:38 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Portfolio Makeover
Replies: 4
Views: 584

Re: Portfolio Makeover

Thanks for the reply - it makes much sense. Assuming I want to go 70/30 instead of 80/20, I'm thinking the correct location to place the heavier bond weighting would be in the Roth IRA due to the tax exempt nature of the account. In other words, invest my entire Roth IRA into a Total Bond Market fu...
by Elbowman
Thu Feb 09, 2017 11:26 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Portfolio Makeover
Replies: 4
Views: 584

Re: Portfolio Makeover

Hi investor997, The general strategy is to think of all of your accounts as one big portfolio, and then allocate to minimize costs. For your portfolio it might look like this: Assuming you want 80/20 stock/bond, and 60/40 US/international on the stock side, then you want 48/32/20 US stock/internatio...
by Elbowman
Thu Feb 09, 2017 10:50 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: backdoor Roth...
Replies: 8
Views: 863

Re: backdoor Roth...

Well, you seem to have a handle on the tradeoff. If you convert and the backdoor Roth stays available for 3+ years, you'll come out ahead. If they close it next year, you'll come out behind. No one knows which of those it will be.
by Elbowman
Thu Feb 09, 2017 10:34 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Portfolio Opinions and Thoughts
Replies: 8
Views: 544

Re: Portfolio Opinions and Thoughts

iceport wrote:► The lack of any international exposure, particularly at a time when US equities are so highly valued by comparison, would bother me. It also contradicts the apparent tilt toward an otherwise higher risk/return equity allocation.
+1
by Elbowman
Wed Feb 08, 2017 11:03 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: 3-Fund Portfolio with Option Volume
Replies: 6
Views: 753

Re: 3-Fund Portfolio with Option Volume

Hi bliksem55, You could definitely use SPY in place of the Total Stock Market part of the three fund portfolio. Most people consider the S&P 500 index to be slightly worse, but for most part a reasonable substitute for TSM if you have no better options. What people here are more likely to disagr...
by Elbowman
Mon Feb 06, 2017 12:36 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Anyone have a tilt portfolio similar to this
Replies: 22
Views: 2294

Re: Anyone have a tilt portfolio similar to this

Yes, quite similar: 20% TSM 20% US-SCV 20% Developed International 20% Emerging 20% TBM The reason I don't like the Trev H portfolio is I want to own a piece of everything, i.e. I don't want to be left on the sidelines if the nano-tech / bio-tech / not-yet-invented-tech revolution is dominated by LC...
by Elbowman
Mon Feb 06, 2017 11:52 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Cannot index bonds or international??
Replies: 5
Views: 457

Re: Cannot index bonds or international??

I'll just focus on the most important bit because I should be working . He says that PERFORMANCE NET OF FEES is more important indicator that EXPENSE. Performance net of fees GOING FORWARD is the most important factor. You can't invest in the past, and past performance (net of fees) is not actually ...
by Elbowman
Mon Feb 06, 2017 12:30 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Have a Target Date Fund, What Else Should I Get?
Replies: 2
Views: 443

Re: Have a Target Date Fund, What Else Should I Get?

The point of a Target Date Fund, and mutual funds in general, is they are not "just one basket". You Target Date Fund has over 10,000 stocks and bonds from around the world, and under some very reasonable definitions of "diversification", it is hard to be more diversified than th...
by Elbowman
Fri Feb 03, 2017 11:16 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Aggressive Portfolio and Invest Strategy
Replies: 5
Views: 779

Re: Aggressive Portfolio and Invest Strategy

Hi zenghaidong! Your savings seem to be 100% Roth, which I (and many others here) think is overdoing it. Have you planned out what your retirement tax situation will look like? Given your savings rate I imagine you are at least in the 25% federal tax bracket right now, perhaps 28% or higher. Given t...
by Elbowman
Wed Feb 01, 2017 10:58 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: AAPL: Too much of a good thing?
Replies: 15
Views: 1103

Re: AAPL: Too much of a good thing?

How far are you from retirement? If it is relatively soon (say 5-10 years), you could gamble on Apple's stock staying strong until you reach your retirement tax bracket. If it is a ways away (say 20-30 years), I feel there is a much higher chance of a significant change disrupting Apple's dominance....
by Elbowman
Tue Jan 24, 2017 9:14 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: Can I afford to stop working overtime?
Replies: 56
Views: 5060

Re: Can I afford to stop working overtime?

It depends if you are 40 or 70, right? What will your income requirements be in retirement, and how long does that $1,050,000 have to grow before you start withdrawing?
by Elbowman
Wed Jan 11, 2017 11:20 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Tight Budget Noobie help with Retirement
Replies: 31
Views: 2111

Re: Tight Budget Noobie help with Retirement

Hi Autopeep, A couple comments: 1. You should be paying more attention to costs. Out of the four funds you listed for her 401k, the only one I would invest in is VG Institutional Index (VINIX). You can use your IRA (where you have more / lower cost options) to balance your overall portfolio. And spe...
by Elbowman
Tue Jan 10, 2017 11:08 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: New to the Site [457 Roth?]
Replies: 3
Views: 293

Re: New to the Site [457 Roth?]

Hi Jrm3, welcome! Do you have an IRA? One option is to contribute to a Roth IRA (in addition to your 457), and hold you international stocks and your bonds there, giving you a much lower expense ratio overall. As far as Roth vs. Trad 457, you are solidly in the 25% federal bracket, so I would contin...
by Elbowman
Thu Jan 05, 2017 7:54 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Experienced investor: For your portfolio, at what point compound interest really kick in for you? $500k? $1million+?
Replies: 35
Views: 4763

Re: Experienced investor: For your portfolio, at what point compound interest really kick in for you? $500k? $1million+

I don't think it is an absolute number, but is instead relative to your savings rate. I'm excited for the day when my portfolio return is larger than my new contributions, but that is still many years away.
by Elbowman
Thu Dec 22, 2016 2:04 pm
Forum: Personal Finance (Not Investing)
Topic: grad student --> real job - tax issues ?
Replies: 18
Views: 819

Re: grad student --> real job - tax issues ?

Having made that transition, I'd recommend your son do his taxes as early as possible, so he has a couple months to save if he finds he has an unexpected tax bill.
by Elbowman
Thu Dec 22, 2016 1:21 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: A little help please..
Replies: 6
Views: 926

Re: A little help please..

Im just wondering which is the better play of the 3 funds The point is, if the best use of these three funds is something drastically different than your overall AA, then your overall AA is wrong. If the reason you don't want to incorporate this into your AA is just for simplicity, and you don't wa...
by Elbowman
Wed Dec 21, 2016 2:33 pm
Forum: Investing - Theory, News & General
Topic: Help finding the best bond strategy?
Replies: 7
Views: 1278

Re: Help finding the best bond strategy?

If you only have 8% bonds, I'd focus less on returns (which will be dominated by your 92% stocks) and more on diversifying behavior. Compare the performance of BND, LQD, and HYG in 2008. LQD lost 25%, HYG lost 35%... whats the point? You might as well be 100% stocks. When you have <= 10% bonds, I th...
by Elbowman
Wed Dec 21, 2016 1:50 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: A little help please..
Replies: 6
Views: 926

Re: A little help please..

..money to invest in pension acct. dont care how it affects my AA so lets take that factor out of the equation it isnt that large of an amt where it will move the needle one way or another much... As you probably know since you have a good number of posts, the strategy generally recommended on this...
by Elbowman
Tue Dec 13, 2016 10:58 am
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: Helping my parents in bad shape
Replies: 15
Views: 1410

Re: Helping my parents in bad shape

I'm sorry, that sounds very hard. A couple years ago I was also in a situation where my parents were 60, had underfunded their retirement, were making a lot of money, yet were spending nearly all of it and "couldn't figure out how they could live on any less". I just helped them with the p...
by Elbowman
Tue Dec 06, 2016 10:46 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: New to investing: general portfolio suggestions?
Replies: 10
Views: 935

Re: New to investing: general portfolio suggestions?

Vanguard Institutional Index I 0.04 / 0.04 VINIX Vanguard Mid Cap Index Ins 0.07 / 0.07 VMCIX Vanguard Small Cap Index Instl 0.07 / 0.07 VSCIX This is what Duckie was looking for . You can build a Three Fund Portfolio spread across your 401k and IRA. In the 401k you can use the Book Value Fund for ...
by Elbowman
Tue Dec 06, 2016 8:23 pm
Forum: Investing - Help with Personal Investments
Topic: ETF vs. index funds
Replies: 12
Views: 1570

Re: ETF vs. index funds

As others have said, the comparison is not ETF vs. index funds, it is ETF vs. open ended mutual funds. Both ETFs and mutual funds can be designed to track an index, and therefore be an "index fund". The differenced between an ETF and a mutual fund tracking the same index is usually pretty ...