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2 Questions on Don't Listen to Suze Orman Article

 
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yuag



Joined: 11 Dec 2008
Posts: 44
Location: Middletown, CT

PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 2:09 pm    Post subject: 2 Questions on Don't Listen to Suze Orman Article Reply with quote

MSN recently posted an article blasting Suze Orman at:

http://tinyurl.com/a9mxay

Now I'm not a fan of Suze's recent recommendations, and totally agree with the author on how she secretly markets her products to people, but there were two things the author brought up that sort of go against what I thought was a good way of thinking:

1. The author mentions that she recommends dollar cost averaging, and even if the stock market is going down, it's okay because you are buying stocks on sale. The author says doing this is throwing good money after bad. I don't think this is necessarily a bad idea if you're investing in sound mutual funds (index funds, for example). If you have a plan, and you stick to your plan, you don't worry about the ups and downs. That's the whole point about dollar cost averaging.

2. The author then says listening to her is like listening to financial tabloids which have been pushing 'no-load' mutual funds as the "new" thing. Now I know you can debate about loads vs. no-loads, but why is investing in no-load mutual funds necessarily a bad thing? If you're in Vanguard index funds aren't you paying low expenses, minimal fees compared to high expenses and fees in loaded mutual funds?
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Adrian Nenu



Joined: 12 Apr 2007
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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 2:27 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
1. The author mentions that she recommends dollar cost averaging, and even if the stock market is going down, it's okay because you are buying stocks on sale. The author says doing this is throwing good money after bad. I don't think this is necessarily a bad idea if you're investing in sound mutual funds (index funds, for example). If you have a plan, and you stick to your plan, you don't worry about the ups and downs. That's the whole point about dollar cost averaging.


- actually DCA is a good strategy if you are buying stocks right now because nobody can guess the bottom of this bear market and stocks are on sale. All other times, DCA is a psychological and marketing tool designed to get investors into overly risky asset allocations during bull markets.

- Suzy Orman ranks with Cramer and Kiyosaki as far as I am concerned.

Adrian
anenu@tampabay.rr.com
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etc06



Joined: 24 Apr 2007
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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 3:34 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
...and stocks are on sale.


What do you mean by "on sale"? That they're cheaper now than in October 2007? If so, aren't they cheaper for a reason?

Also, DCA is a wonderful tool for those of us that are contributing money towards a retirement fund as we earn income. What other reasonable choice is there?
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ddb



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 3:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Adrian Nenu wrote:
[
- actually DCA is a good strategy if you are buying stocks right now because nobody can guess the bottom of this bear market and stocks are on sale. All other times, DCA is a psychological and marketing tool designed to get investors into overly risky asset allocations during bull markets.


Sigh. DCA is no better or worse now than it is any other time. DCA has the impact of reducing your average equity exposure over a given time period, and therefore reduces expected returns (provided you agree that equities have an expected rate of return which is greater than that of cash).

I frankly have never understood the concept behind DCA. It's a way of saying: "here is my target allocation that is right for me in my personal situation. However, I'm not really sure it's the right allocation, so I'm going to differ from my target allocation for the next x months while I'm DCA'ing." Makes no sense to me.

Obviously, DCA makes a lot of sense if it is the only available option. I.e. most people don't have $1 million to invest when they get their first job, so instead they systematically invest small amounts of large periods of time.

- DDB
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JaneDoe



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 3:56 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
- Suzy Orman ranks with Cramer and Kiyosaki as far as I am concerned.


The only thing they are all really good at is marketing to "low information" investors. It is sad that so many people listen to them.
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philip



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 3:59 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
"here is my target allocation that is right for me in my personal situation. However, I'm not really sure it's the right allocation, so I'm going to differ from my target allocation for the next x months while I'm DCA'ing." Makes no sense to me.


I don't understand what you are saying here either. Say I have $100 to
invest every month and my allocation is 50% equity and 50% bond.
I'm contributing $50 to my bond fund and $50 to my stock fund. Why should
DCA conflict with my target allocations ?
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ddb



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 4:05 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

philip wrote:
Quote:
"here is my target allocation that is right for me in my personal situation. However, I'm not really sure it's the right allocation, so I'm going to differ from my target allocation for the next x months while I'm DCA'ing." Makes no sense to me.


I don't understand what you are saying here either. Say I have $100 to
invest every month and my allocation is 50% equity and 50% bond.
I'm contributing $50 to my bond fund and $50 to my stock fund. Why should
DCA conflict with my target allocations ?


You're talking about a situation where DCA is the only option, which I addressed (i.e. you have $100/month to invest).

Say instead you have $1,200 to invest today. You have the choice of investing it all 50/50 stock/bond today, or doing $100/month into 50/50 stock bond for 12 months. At the end of month 1, you have (assuming no price movements):

Cash: $1,100 (92%)
Stocks: $50 (4%)
Bonds: $50 (4%)

This is the inconsistency I cite. An investor decides 50/50 is appropriate, yet will be nowhere near that allocation for quite awhile.

- DDB
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bearwolf



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 4:05 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

philip wrote:

I don't understand what you are saying here either. Say I have $100 to
invest every month and my allocation is 50% equity and 50% bond.
I'm contributing $50 to my bond fund and $50 to my stock fund. Why should
DCA conflict with my target allocations ?

It's only a conflict if you have a lot of cash and are DCAing because you are afraid of buying high. If you don't have a pile of cash and are investing out of monthly salary then its not.

BearWolf

Edit: Oops, ddb posted just ahead of me. And with a better explanation.
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Harold



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 4:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Suze offers good general personal finance tips to a populace who have never learned to manage their personal finances. For that reason alone, I like her and think she's a good influence to have around.

I find the venomous visceral reaction to her on this forum to be quite interesting (and puzzling).
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philip



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 4:11 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
This is the inconsistency I cite. An investor decides 50/50 is appropriate, yet will be nowhere near that allocation for quite awhile

Ok, Thanks for the explanation.
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FrugalInvestor



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 4:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Harold wrote:
Suze offers good general personal finance tips to a populace who have never learned to manage their personal finances. For that reason alone, I like her and think she's a good influence to have around.

I find the venomous visceral reaction to her on this forum to be quite interesting (and puzzling).


I'm with Harold. I listen to all of the aforementioned TV and radio personalities (plus some) from time to tiime mostly for the entertainment value. However, I think there is value in what Suze and many of the others say for the relatively uneducated (financially). If they can get people to put the maximum in their 401(k)'s and not spend money they don't have then more power to them.

That said, I think reading a quality investing book would be much more valuable for most of those looking for advice but most won't take the time.
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fishndoc



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 4:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Harold wrote:
Suze offers good general personal finance tips to a populace who have never learned to manage their personal finances. For that reason alone, I like her and think she's a good influence to have around.

I find the venomous visceral reaction to her on this forum to be quite interesting (and puzzling).

I agree, and feel the same about Dave Ramsey; while their advise is far from perfect, if you listen to the people that call in, you realize it is light years better than what most of them are currently doing for finances.

Wayne
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daryll40



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 4:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I also vote in favor of Suze. Her attempts at market timing have been bad and her on air persona ("you go girl") attitude sometimes gets on my nerves. But the average viewer keeps hearing her "live within your means" message over and over in many different ways. That, in itself, sets her light years ahead of most of the other financial messages being beamed at all of us every day.
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Adrian Nenu



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 4:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
You're talking about a situation where DCA is the only option, which I addressed (i.e. you have $100/month to invest).


That's PI (periodic investing) not DCA.

DCA is when there is a lump sum choice.

Adrian
anenu@tampabay.rr.com
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yuag



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 4:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Adrian Nenu wrote:
Quote:
You're talking about a situation where DCA is the only option, which I addressed (i.e. you have $100/month to invest).


That's PI (periodic investing) not DCA.

DCA is when there is a lump sum choice.

Adrian
anenu@tampabay.rr.com


That makes sense now...I guess I've always used the two interchangeably without realizing there was a difference between the two. I guess I was interpreting it as PI in the article.
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dm200



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 4:36 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Suze says:

Quote:
If you feel the need to impress people with what you have rather than with who you are, you are at high risk for credit card abuse."


BUT - Suze does:

Quote:
This from a woman who spends half a million dollars a year chartering private jets and who sells "Cruise With Suze" packages on an Italian luxury liner. (She has also hawked for GM, claiming that leasing a luxury car -- you know, the kind that people drive to impress other people -- is a terrific financial decision: "If you ask me, that's smart money!") No wonder she winks more than Sarah Palin, girlfriend.



Suze says

Quote:
And although one of Suze's mantras is how much she loves stocks -- "(S)tocks, in my opinion, are the best investment vehicle for the growth of your money over time"


BUT Suze does

Quote:
less than 3% of Suze's net worth happens to be invested in them. Instead, she's tucked away the vast majority of those royalties ($32 million-plus, after taxes) into insured, government-backed bonds.
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richard



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 4:41 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Counter-point to the article
http://www.portfolio.com/views....n?tid=true

A well written defense of Suze
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FrugalInvestor



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 4:42 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

dm200 wrote:
less than 3% of Suze's net worth happens to be invested in them. Instead, she's tucked away the vast majority of those royalties ($32 million-plus, after taxes) into insured, government-backed bonds.
[/quote]

If I had 32 million to invest (or anywhere close to that) I probably wouldn't bother with stocks either.
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cosmos



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 4:47 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Adrian Nenu wrote:
Quote:
1. The author mentions that she recommends dollar cost averaging, and even if the stock market is going down, it's okay because you are buying stocks on sale. The author says doing this is throwing good money after bad. I don't think this is necessarily a bad idea if you're investing in sound mutual funds (index funds, for example). If you have a plan, and you stick to your plan, you don't worry about the ups and downs. That's the whole point about dollar cost averaging.


- actually DCA is a good strategy if you are buying stocks right now because nobody can guess the bottom of this bear market and stocks are on sale. All other times, DCA is a psychological and marketing tool designed to get investors into overly risky asset allocations during bull markets.

- Suzy Orman ranks with Cramer and Kiyosaki as far as I am concerned.

Adrian
anenu@tampabay.rr.com


we have cnbc on our main area tv's every day. getting a cup of coffee at 3pm is usually quite annoying as you hear cramer and all of his antics in the background. a recent favorite i heard was him urging folks to take out loands/credit card advances to "get in this once in a lifetime" market now.

a week later he was urging folks to get out.
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Adrian Nenu



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 4:53 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/....U35154.DTL

Why Suze? Why All the Hype? Orman's Publicist Goes on the Defense
But best-selling author drags her feet on clearing up the mess


Adrian
anenu@tampabay.rr.com
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Swivelguy



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 5:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

DCA prevents you from making an unlucky inadvertent market-timing move. If you invest a lump sum (inheritance, etc) in stocks all at once, you risk buying on the single market-high day of the year. By DCAing (or gradually adjusting AA) over a reasonable period of time, you reduce this risk substantially.

As for Suze Orman, the problem with her show is that because a viewer might be tuning in for the first time every single week, all she has the opportunity to do is repeat Day 1 of Investing 101. She never gets a chance to talk about asset allocation, the benefits of tax deferral, etc. The same is true of CNBC's On The Money, which is basically the same show but without Suze's coarse personality.

I think Suze's show is a good thing, though, because it gets young people to seek out further information and make the right choices. That's how I ended up here.
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joshm34



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 5:27 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I'm not the biggest fan of Suze Orman, but many of her core messages are sound. This was a horrible article in my opinion.
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ryuns



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 5:30 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I believe the gurus like Suze and Dave Ramsey are popular due to intellectual laziness or ignorance. They probably do, on par, more good than bad. They've motivated a ton of people to actually pay a little more attention to their finances, get out of debt and all that.

But I think money is a tremendously important aspect of people's lives, for better or worse. When I started coming to Bogleheads.org (then diehards.org) it was far over my head, but I stuck with it, read the Bogleheads Guide and some other books, and learned. People who listen to Dave and Suze have a very unsophisticated knowledge of finance. A pet peeve of mine is Dave's snowball method for getting rid of debt. I think it's insulting my intelligence to think that I pay off debt in a mathematically sub-optimal way but feel better about it because the accounts are (slowly) disappearing. I think the listeners should respect their own intelligence enough to learn actually learn how to deal with their money. It's not all good feelings and slogans. Sometimes you need to open a book and struggle a little.

That's all to say that we Bogleheads have a far better understanding of finance than most of their listeners, and many probably know more than they themselves. And that's why we throw down the negativity on Suze. That and she seems like kind of meanie.

Ryan
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ruth03



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 5:36 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

joshm34 wrote:
I'm not the biggest fan of Suze Orman, but many of her core messages are sound. This was a horrible article in my opinion.


I absolutely agree. It was nasty and meanspirited.

Maybe her advice ranks with the likes of Kyosaki's, etc, but what has the caliber of her investing advice got to do wth the fact that she is "a bottle blond" or the fact that she is "a former waitress"? And what has her sex life to do with any of this ("a self-proclaimed virgin at 50")?

Tripe that never should have been published.
Ruth
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yuag



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 5:45 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

what are your guys thoughts on the second question, with the author's comments on no-load mutual funds?
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Adrian Nenu



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 6:08 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Orman has no formal training in finance or financial planning and never had clients except during her stint at Merrill Lynch. Everything about her is based on marketing book sales, essentially a cheap & cheesy late-night infomercial. She's a salesperson just like the vast majority of people in the financial planning industry.

Adrian
anenu@tampabay.rr.com
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Adrian Nenu



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 6:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
DCA prevents you from making an unlucky inadvertent market-timing move. If you invest a lump sum (inheritance, etc) in stocks all at once, you risk buying on the single market-high day of the year. By DCAing (or gradually adjusting AA) over a reasonable period of time, you reduce this risk substantially.


- that's the problem with DCA - is entices investors into unsuitably risky asset allocations like 100% stocks. DCA does not require THINKING. Risk is reduced only if you can time the DCA period to start just before a bear market hits or during a bear market and you stick to your DCA plan. If you can't time a bear market and DCA, then odds are better that the bear market will happen after the DCA period. In this case, DCA is useless. DCA has been discredited as a risk reducer for about 30 years:

http://asktheexpert.blogs.mone....averaging/

Adrian
anenu@tampabay.rr.com
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Harold



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 6:18 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Adrian Nenu wrote:
Orman has no formal training in finance or financial planning and never had clients except during her stint at Merrill Lynch. Everything about her is based on marketing book sales, essentially a cheap & cheesy late-night infomercial. She's a salesperson just like the vast majority of people in the financial planning industry.

Adrian
anenu@tampabay.rr.com


So what?

She helps people improve their financial situations, and conveys a positive message. You'd think we'd want more people like that around, rather than complaining about them and denigrating them.
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dbr



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 6:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

yuag wrote:
what are your guys thoughts on the second question, with the author's comments on no-load mutual funds?


I think the author clearly means to refer to stock investing in general while using the term no load mutal funds to represent the current version of the financial services industry saying buy under every circumstance.
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lostcowboy



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 6:44 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think that Susie just repeats things she has heard from other people that she thanks are cool. I am sure she was shown that little table that demonstrates how well DCA works.

I like this comment of her's "As she trilled to The New York Times Magazine a couple of years ago, "I have a million dollars in the stock market, because if I lose a million dollars, I don't personally care."". There is a old saying about the stock market that says only invest what you can afford to lose, looks like she took it to heart.
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richard



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 6:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Harold wrote:
Adrian Nenu wrote:
Orman has no formal training in finance or financial planning and never had clients except during her stint at Merrill Lynch. Everything about her is based on marketing book sales, essentially a cheap & cheesy late-night infomercial. She's a salesperson just like the vast majority of people in the financial planning industry.


So what?

She helps people improve their financial situations, and conveys a positive message. You'd think we'd want more people like that around, rather than complaining about them and denigrating them.

Yep

There are many people on this board with no formal training in finance who make a very positive contribution.
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ruralavalon



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 7:40 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Harold wrote:
Suze offers good general personal finance tips to a populace who have never learned to manage their personal finances. For that reason alone, I like her and think she's a good influence to have around.

I find the venomous visceral reaction to her on this forum to be quite interesting (and puzzling).

Is she the most irritating person on the planet? Or just the most irritating on TV?
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canucknyc



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 8:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I can't stand her personality, but I would agree that I think she does more good than harm and I found it really bizarre that the author chose to pick on DCA (I think he really means PI - what I've heard Suze talk about sounds a lot more like PI than "DCAing in") and no-load mutual funds. Seem like pretty reasonable investing approaches to me!

With regard to the fact that she advocates stocks but only has a small % of her personal wealth in them - I don't see that as hypocritical, but rather strict adherence to the mantra of ability and NEED to take risk.

Lastly and most importantly, she makes for a great character on SNL! Very Happy
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LazyLizard



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 8:53 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

But still...the article's author writes:

Quote:
Of course, Suze is no worse than the financial tabloids, which have been pushing no-load mutual funds as the "new" path to financial security for as long as anyone can remember despite mounting evidence to the contrary.


Does anyone have a clue what he means by the "mounting evidence to the contrary".
Geez I guess all us Bogleheads are missing some new wave of understanding that's proving our investment approach outdated Laughing

Lizard
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Swivelguy



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 9:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Adrian Nenu wrote:
Quote:
DCA prevents you from making an unlucky inadvertent market-timing move. If you invest a lump sum (inheritance, etc) in stocks all at once, you risk buying on the single market-high day of the year. By DCAing (or gradually adjusting AA) over a reasonable period of time, you reduce this risk substantially.


- that's the problem with DCA - is entices investors into unsuitably risky asset allocations like 100% stocks. DCA does not require THINKING. Risk is reduced only if you can time the DCA period to start just before a bear market hits or during a bear market and you stick to your DCA plan. If you can't time a bear market and DCA, then odds are better that the bear market will happen after the DCA period. In this case, DCA is useless. DCA has been discredited as a risk reducer for about 30 years:

http://asktheexpert.blogs.mone....averaging/

Adrian
anenu@tampabay.rr.com


Thanks for the article, that was a good read, but I still disagree. The article makes the point that if you're 100% in cash and decide you want to be 60/40 stocks/bonds, then DCAing into that allocation over a year results in a year of not matching your target asset allocation.

I would argue that it's unnecessarily hasty to change an asset allocation from 0/0/100 to 60/40/0 overnight. If we instead think of the desired asset allocation as a variable that we move linearly with time (over a period of, say, 2 months) and perform rebalancing every week, we gain protection from daily volatility while only losing ~1 month of time in market. If nothing else, one won't end up kicking themself if the market drops 5% the day after a lump-sum buy. That sort of abrupt loss is what causes people to panic and sell low.

In summary, I would say that a few months of easing into an asset allocation for a new investor smooths out the transition into higher risk+return, which is a very important psychological factor. I haven't yet met an investor who was a robot (although I'm sure they are out there!). I welcome any additional comments, I'm trying to not just be stubborn.
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axtec



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 9:44 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Funny... a Google ad to the right of the article caught my eye:

Suze Orman's FICO Kit
Get Suze Orman's FICO Kit now, Learn to put
your FICO score to work.

In an article openly blasting her, they were also advertising (supporting) her.
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JaneDoe



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 10:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
oes anyone have a clue what he means by the "mounting evidence to the contrary"


I'm guessing he means the last ten years performance records for most mutual funds.
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grok87



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2009 10:30 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Swivelguy wrote:
Adrian Nenu wrote:
Quote:
DCA prevents you from making an unlucky inadvertent market-timing move. If you invest a lump sum (inheritance, etc) in stocks all at once, you risk buying on the single market-high day of the year. By DCAing (or gradually adjusting AA) over a reasonable period of time, you reduce this risk substantially.


- that's the problem with DCA - is entices investors into unsuitably risky asset allocations like 100% stocks. DCA does not require THINKING. Risk is reduced only if you can time the DCA period to start just before a bear market hits or during a bear market and you stick to your DCA plan. If you can't time a bear market and DCA, then odds are better that the bear market will happen after the DCA period. In this case, DCA is useless. DCA has been discredited as a risk reducer for about 30 years:

http://asktheexpert.blogs.mone....averaging/

Adrian
anenu@tampabay.rr.com


Thanks for the article, that was a good read, but I still disagree. The article makes the point that if you're 100% in cash and decide you want to be 60/40 stocks/bonds, then DCAing into that allocation over a year results in a year of not matching your target asset allocation.

I would argue that it's unnecessarily hasty to change an asset allocation from 0/0/100 to 60/40/0 overnight. If we instead think of the desired asset allocation as a variable that we move linearly with time (over a period of, say, 2 months) and perform rebalancing every week, we gain protection from daily volatility while only losing ~1 month of time in market. If nothing else, one won't end up kicking themself if the market drops 5% the day after a lump-sum buy. That sort of abrupt loss is what causes people to panic and sell low.

In summary, I would say that a few months of easing into an asset allocation for a new investor smooths out the transition into higher risk+return, which is a very important psychological factor. I haven't yet met an investor who was a robot (although I'm sure they are out there!). I welcome any additional comments, I'm trying to not just be stubborn.


I agree with you. DCA helps in minimizing regret. If you move suddenly to a new asset allocation and it goes against you, you will experience regret (what if I had waited a week/month/ etc.) BY DCAing you are spreading your timing risk over a longer period and you are less likely to experience regret.
I've always found the arguments against DCA unconvincing. Yes I'm sure it does not maximize returns. But hey if we wanted to maximize returns we would be 100% in stocks, instead of having a balanced 80/20, 60/40 asset allocation to begin with.
cheers,
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ddb



Joined: 26 Feb 2007
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PostPosted: Thu Feb 12, 2009 9:45 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

grok87 wrote:
I've always found the arguments against DCA unconvincing. Yes I'm sure it does not maximize returns. But hey if we wanted to maximize returns we would be 100% in stocks, instead of having a balanced 80/20, 60/40 asset allocation to begin with.
cheers,


My comments about DCA have nothing to do with return-maximization, but target allocation-matching. DCA may lead to less regret, but it also may lead to more regret if there is a sharp upward movement in the market on day 1. We obviously have no way of knowing in advance whether it is the right strategy. Better than, to stick with the target allocation, provided it is suitable to begin with!

- DDB
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EmergDoc



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PostPosted: Thu Feb 12, 2009 10:39 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Once more the concepts of dollar cost averaging and periodic investing are confused in this thread. You can only DCA if you have a lump sum now. If you don't have the money yet, you have no choice but to periodically invest. The debate is allways DCA vs Lump Sum. If there is no lump sum, you are periodically investing. Same benefits as DCA, it's just that you have no choice.
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grok87



Joined: 27 Feb 2007
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PostPosted: Thu Feb 12, 2009 8:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

ddb wrote:


My comments about DCA have nothing to do with return-maximization, but target allocation-matching.


Well it's really the same thing since cash has the lowest expected return- by deviating from target allocation into cash you are lowering returns...

ddb wrote:

DCA may lead to less regret, but it also may lead to more regret if there is a sharp upward movement in the market on day 1.


I agree- now we are getting to the heart of the argument. Behavioral Finance states that people are more regretful of incurring $X of investment losses by being in the market than they are of missing $X of investment gains by being out of the market. While this may seem silly, it is nevertheless true. By being aware of this going in and DCAing most investors will find it easier to "stay the course"!

cheers,
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chaz



Joined: 27 Feb 2007
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PostPosted: Fri Feb 13, 2009 1:18 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

At least Suze Orman, who authors books, made her most recent book available free by an online download.

However, people on this forum do not need her most recent book.
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