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soaring

Joined: 18 Nov 2007 Posts: 752 Location: North Central Florida
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Posted: Fri Sep 26, 2008 12:44 pm Post subject: VMMXX (prime) MM vs VMSXX (tax exempt) MM |
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Disregarding the tax consequences of the two funds.
I don't understand the SEC yield difference between these two funds.
Vanguard Prime MM, VMMXX, is 2.2% and Vangurard Tax exempt MM, VMSXX, is 5.0%.
Why such a difference? What are differences in safety? any other thoughts?
average quality:
Exempt MM: MIG-1 with avg maturity 35 days and .10% expense ratio.
Prime MM: Aaa with avg maturity 65 days and .24% expense ratio.
thanks
gene _________________ Desiderata |
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Hemispheres
Joined: 16 Sep 2008 Posts: 567
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Posted: Fri Sep 26, 2008 12:52 pm Post subject: |
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| I believe Vanguard says Prime has ~50% Treasuries and US government holdings. There's your difference. |
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mudfud

Joined: 20 Feb 2007 Posts: 1003
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Posted: Fri Sep 26, 2008 12:56 pm Post subject: |
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Explanation from Vanguard:
What's causing yields to rise for tax-exempt money market funds?
https://personal.vanguard.com/....08_ALL.jsp
| Quote: | The yields of Vanguard's municipal money market funds have risen dramatically in recent days. In a reversal of the usual relationship between yields of municipal and taxable money market funds, the yields of Vanguard Tax-Exempt Money Market Fund and similar state-specific funds have risen far above those of taxable funds, including Vanguard Prime, Federal, and Treasury Money Market Funds.
The unusual situation is being caused by current conditions in the short-term debt market. Many firms that help create and market short-term municipal securities for state and local governments are finding they need to boost yields to create greater demand for these securities. As a result, securities with extremely short maturities—including those that mature in one day or one week—are being offered at exceptionally attractive yields.
--snip---
"These unusually high yields are simply a function of how the money market arena is reacting to events in the credit markets right now," said Pamela Wisehaupt Tynan, who oversees Vanguard's municipal money market funds. "These yields are not coming from lower-quality securities, nor are they related to problems with the creditworthiness of municipalities." |
_________________ "Are you sure you have tested an a priori hypothesis?"
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livesoft
Joined: 01 Mar 2007 Posts: 12466
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Posted: Fri Sep 26, 2008 12:56 pm Post subject: |
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Don't get caught up in the short-term anomalous yield of VMSXX.
Here's my guess at what happened: Some firm(s) that needed cash had to sell their holdings of some tax-exempt paper. In a desperate move to stay afloat, they sold some at half-price to Vanguard. Or maybe a government entity needed some cash quickly to cover hurricane damage or what not. They figure they can pay 5% for 30 days to bridge them over.
In a month, the yields will go back to normal. Let's calculate what you might gain on a $25,000 investment in one month. The difference in yields is 2.8%, but let's say the difference averages 2.4% for the month, so divide by 12 (2.4 / 12 ) = 0.2%. So you make an extra $25K * 0.002 = $50.
$50 is about 1.5 trips to a favorite restaurant for my family. |
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mudfud

Joined: 20 Feb 2007 Posts: 1003
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Posted: Fri Sep 26, 2008 1:01 pm Post subject: |
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| livesoft wrote: | | The difference in yields is 2.8%, but let's say the difference averages 2.4% for the month |
Actually the real difference is more than that, since the tax-equivalent yield of the TE fund is higher. But your larger point is well taken. _________________ "Are you sure you have tested an a priori hypothesis?"
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YDNAL
Joined: 10 Apr 2007 Posts: 5772 Location: Biscayne Bay
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Posted: Fri Sep 26, 2008 1:04 pm Post subject: VMMXX (prime) MM vs VMSXX (tax exempt) MM |
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Gene,
Prime has over 80% in CDs and US Gov't.
| Code: | Bankers Acceptances 2.8%
Certificates of Deposit 28.3%
Commercial Paper 14.4%
Other 1.2%
U.S. Government & Agency 53.3%
Yankee/Foreign 0.0%
Total 100.0% |
With VMSXX (Munis) it has to be a demand (too little) issue, not a risk issue.
| Code: | Vanguard Tax-Exempt Money Market Fund (VMSXX)
Investment strategy
The fund invests in a variety of high-quality, short-term municipal securities. To be considered high-quality, a security generally must be rated in one of the two highest credit-quality categories for short-term securities by at least two nationally recognized rating services (or by one, if only one rating service has rated the security). If unrated, the security must be determined by Vanguard to be of quality equivalent to those in the two highest credit-quality categories. The fund invests in securities with effective maturities of 397 days or less, and seeks to maintain a dollar-weighted average maturity of 90 days or less. |
Regards,
Landy
ps. I just saw mudfud's quote from VG posted as I wrote. _________________ Landy
“The business schools reward difficult complex behavior more than simple behavior, but simple behavior is more effective.” - Warren Buffett |
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Eureka
Joined: 05 Apr 2007 Posts: 800 Location: Illinois
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Posted: Fri Sep 26, 2008 4:38 pm Post subject: |
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Looks like free money to me, albeit not likely to last long. So I moved some Prime to Tax-Ex this afternoon. If I didn't already own the latter, I probably wouldn't have bothered.
These are strange days, and it's hard to tell what's safe. |
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nittybitty
Joined: 26 Jul 2008 Posts: 43
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Posted: Fri Sep 26, 2008 6:01 pm Post subject: |
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| Quote: | | In a month, the yields will go back to normal. |
dangerous assumption. these spreads are very, very bad and I hope you are right but the fact that no one has put on a big trade of shorting treasuries and buying munis should frighten people to no end. |
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Eureka
Joined: 05 Apr 2007 Posts: 800 Location: Illinois
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Posted: Fri Sep 26, 2008 7:31 pm Post subject: |
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| Nittybitty, can you elaborate why we should be frightened? |
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mithrandir
Joined: 08 Nov 2007 Posts: 527 Location: Southeastern PA
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Posted: Fri Sep 26, 2008 8:23 pm Post subject: |
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Perhaps I am a fool but one piece of sage investment advice pops in my head at the current moment:
The best time to buy is when the market sentiment is the bleakest.
Just as it's the darkest just before dawn. |
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Eureka
Joined: 05 Apr 2007 Posts: 800 Location: Illinois
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Posted: Fri Sep 26, 2008 8:46 pm Post subject: |
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| mithrandir wrote: | The best time to buy is when the market sentiment is the bleakest.
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I guess the question is: Is this the bleakest? I thought January and July were pretty bleak. |
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jh
Joined: 14 May 2007 Posts: 1319
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Posted: Fri Sep 26, 2008 8:47 pm Post subject: |
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...
Last edited by jh on Thu Dec 11, 2008 6:06 pm; edited 1 time in total |
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Eureka
Joined: 05 Apr 2007 Posts: 800 Location: Illinois
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Posted: Fri Sep 26, 2008 8:53 pm Post subject: |
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| jh wrote: | | I don't believe there can be a 5% before tax yield and risk hasn't gone up. |
I don't believe a lot of things I've seen in the past two weeks. The WaMu failure wasn't even shocking, with all the other stuff going on. (At least we don't have to hear their crummy acronym anymore.)
I'm not making any money in the stock market or bond market (with the notable exception of GNMA). Thought I might as well "play the money market."  |
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Ted Valentine

Joined: 10 Jul 2007 Posts: 1152 Location: Music City USA
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Posted: Fri Sep 26, 2008 9:33 pm Post subject: |
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| jh wrote: | | I'm glad some of you are buying because I'm changing my mmf to treasuries. I don't care if they pay 0% interest. This is my emergency money, I don't want to take any risks with it. I don't believe there can be a 5% before tax yield and risk hasn't gone up. |
No worries, mate. The US Govt will bail Vanguard out if VMSXX goes down (and if VMSXX goes, VMMXX and VMPXX prolly ain't "safe" either). Risk is something our fathers spoke about. _________________ “A bear market is an extended period of time during which people who think this time is different sell all their investments to people who understand that this time is never different.” |
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nittybitty
Joined: 26 Jul 2008 Posts: 43
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Posted: Mon Sep 29, 2008 5:36 am Post subject: |
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| Eureka wrote: | | Nittybitty, can you elaborate why we should be frightened? |
Historic spreads between tbills and munis mean historic risk.
If the market telling you risk is at a near all time high doesn't scare you then you have nothing to lose or you are blind to the consequences of a frozen credit market.
If those spreads stay high for a prolonged period of time, it means things have gotten way worse than they are now.
Good luck. |
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Shireman28
Joined: 02 Nov 2007 Posts: 135
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Posted: Mon Sep 29, 2008 7:40 am Post subject: |
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If states and cities can't pay back 90-day loans, then I'm shifting my emergency money to guns, ammo, and canned goods.
Seriously, if you saw a $100 bill laying in the street, would you pick it up? |
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tdhg566

Joined: 08 Mar 2007 Posts: 630 Location: Spring, TX - Age: 58
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Posted: Mon Sep 29, 2008 7:52 am Post subject: |
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| Shireman28 wrote: | | If states and cities can't pay back 90-day loans, then I'm shifting my emergency money to guns, ammo, and canned goods. |
You should already have your guns, ammo and canned goods purchased. That's just prudent. By the time a person realizes the proverbial material has hit the fan, it will be too late. _________________ My work must be retiree friendly, geographically portable, mentally stimulating and personally profitable |
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uifearaigh
Joined: 10 Dec 2008 Posts: 1
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Posted: Wed Dec 10, 2008 3:20 pm Post subject: high yields reflect DANGER |
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Nitty's right, the high yields reflect the municipalities real risk of default.
There's a recent rule that they must begin carrying their employee benefit liabilities on their balance sheets. -just like private companies do.
Couple that with lower tax revenues due to poor economy plus higher costs due to govt. inneficiency = panic time.
Our term 'Whoops' comes from a municipal power plant default. (Washington State). It happens, sometimes in droves (all at once).
Now cash Money Markets have been 'guaranteed' supposedly from default by the Feds, with a printing press.
It hasn't happened, but many expect the Feds will end up 'guaranteeing' many of the defaulting debts of our towns, cities, countys & states. -by printing away your earnings & savings.
So yes, the high yields represent real 'danger'. of 'default'. |
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andrewj

Joined: 12 Dec 2008 Posts: 103
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Posted: Sat Dec 20, 2008 11:56 pm Post subject: |
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It seems, based on what I've read on this forum so far, a large number of people have money in the prime money market fund (VMMXX). However, why don't more people have their money in the tax exempt (VMSXX) if you may come out ahead with the tax exemption.
Specifically, wouldn't the 1 yr yield of VMSXX of 2.46% = 3.417% effectively if you're in the 28% tax bracket, higher than VMMXX?
Or am I missing something? |
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Laura
Joined: 19 Feb 2007 Posts: 4717
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vectorizer

Joined: 03 Mar 2007 Posts: 96
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Posted: Sun Dec 21, 2008 12:45 am Post subject: |
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| andrewj wrote: | Specifically, wouldn't the 1 yr yield of VMSXX of 2.46% = 3.417% effectively if you're in the 28% tax bracket, higher than VMMXX?
Or am I missing something? |
Yes, you're assuming the 1 year average yield of the tax exempt funds reflects a steady yield. The short-term 7-day "SEC yield" is 1.03%, which is the right yield to compare. The tax exempt MM funds had a spectacular spike a few months ago which skewed the year-long average. This thread was created and most active during that unusual time.
Tax exempt funds tend to be lower than taxable funds in after tax yield for those in the <30% tax brackets. There are occasional inversions though, and speaking for myself, I do switch to the tax exempt MM when a significant advantage occurs. Right now is not one of those times though. |
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andrewj

Joined: 12 Dec 2008 Posts: 103
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Posted: Sun Dec 21, 2008 12:48 am Post subject: |
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| vectorizer wrote: | | andrewj wrote: | Specifically, wouldn't the 1 yr yield of VMSXX of 2.46% = 3.417% effectively if you're in the 28% tax bracket, higher than VMMXX?
Or am I missing something? |
Yes, you're assuming the 1 year average yield of the tax exempt funds reflects a steady yield. The short-term 7-day "SEC yield" is 1.03%, which is the right yield to compare. The tax exempt MM funds had a spectacular spike a few months ago which skewed the year-long average. This thread was created and most active during that unusual time.
Tax exempt funds tend to be lower than taxable funds in after tax yield for those in the <30% tax brackets. There are occasional inversions though, and speaking for myself, I do switch to the tax exempt MM when a significant advantage occurs. Right now is not one of those times though. |
Thanks for the clarification and pointing this out! |
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richard
Joined: 20 Feb 2007 Posts: 3402
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Posted: Sun Dec 21, 2008 8:52 am Post subject: |
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| You might want to check on the current yield of these funds. The yield on the muni MM has plummeted to under 1% (perhaps due to the federal guarantee) and prime has risen a bit. Prime MM is now preferable on a yield basis. |
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mymer
Joined: 01 Sep 2008 Posts: 43
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Posted: Sun Dec 21, 2008 7:41 pm Post subject: |
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Which funds are participating in the Treasury program?
All of our money market funds are covered. They're listed below.
Fund Name Fund Number Ticker Symbol
Admiral Treasury Money Market 0011 VUSXX
Federal Money Market 0033 VMFXX
Prime Money Market (Institutional and Investor Shares) 0030 VMMXX
CA Tax-Exempt Money Market 0062 VCTXX
NJ Tax-Exempt Money Market 0095 VNJXX
NY Tax-Exempt Money Market 0163 VYFXX
OH Tax-Exempt Money Market 0096 VOHXX
PA Tax-Exempt Money Market 0063 VPTXX
Tax-Exempt Money Market 0045 VMSXX
Treasury Money Market 0050 VMPXX
Vanguard Variable Insurance Fund–Money Market Portfolio 0064
—
These funds are participating in the Treasury Guarantee program, so the risk to me seems very minimal. |
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