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madsinger monthly report

 
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madsinger



Joined: 29 Sep 2007
Posts: 354

PostPosted: Fri May 02, 2008 3:36 pm    Post subject: madsinger monthly report Reply with quote

Here is a big fat collection of portfolios, with their April 2008 returns, 2008 YTD return, and annualized returns since 1999, 2001, 2003 and 2005 (9 years 4 months, 7 years 4 months, 5 years 4 months, 3 years 4 months). I broke them into four categories, roughly corresponding to 100/0, 80/20, 60/40, 40/60 stock/bond portfolios, sorted by Total Return since 2001. The 3 fund is 50/30/20 Total Stock/Total Int'l/Total Bond. The s&d is 10 each of VFINX, VIVAX, NAESX, VISVX, VGSIX, 25 VGTSX, 5 VINEX, 20 VBMFX. The coffeehouse is a 60/40 described at The Coffeehouse Investor. The Newsletter portfolios are from a newsletter following Vanguard funds. William Bernstein's "Sheltered Sam" is an all stock portfolio which is 20% VFINX, 25% VIVAX, 5% NAESX, 15% VISVX, 10% VGSIX, 3% VGPMX, 5% each VEURX, VPACX, VEIEX, and 7% VTRIX.

New for 2008, I've added the "Hot Hands" fund, and the Newsletter "Growth Index" portfolio. I've also rearranged the columns so the far right is the "longest" time period, and the far left is the shortest.

The madsinger portfolio, my real-money portfolio (slice-n-dice, approximately 66/5/3/26 stock/REIT/PM/bond) is included at the end.

-Brad.
Code:
                                  CAGR    CAGR    CAGR    CAGR
                  Apr     YTD     since   since   since   since
                  2008    2008    2005    2003    2001    1999
Hot Hands         5.06% -10.86%  12.29%  21.32%  15.49%  17.11%
Sheltered Sam     5.07%  -2.35%   9.94%  16.13%   8.47%   8.67%
VFINX             4.85%  -5.08%   5.94%  10.76%   2.30%   2.86%

s&d               3.92%  -1.71%   9.03%  14.59%   8.21%   8.53%
Newsletter G-IND  5.84%  -4.00%  10.49%  14.49%   7.23%   5.92%
Newsletter G      4.30%  -5.50%   9.93%  14.86%   6.72%  10.98%
3 fund            4.10%  -3.17%   8.89%  13.19%   5.80%   5.75%
LS G              4.57%  -4.03%   7.69%  12.25%   4.90%   4.99%

Wellington        2.60%  -1.42%   8.48%  11.19%   7.57%   7.53%
coffeehouse       2.59%  -0.30%   6.93%  11.23%   7.48%   7.54%
STAR              3.63%  -2.83%   6.72%  10.47%   6.07%   6.70%
newsletter CG     3.80%  -4.50%   8.36%  12.83%   6.02%   8.25%
LS MG             3.46%  -2.69%   6.95%  10.38%   5.20%   5.24%

Wellesley         1.18%  -0.58%   5.86%   6.88%   6.64%   6.40%
LS CG             2.32%  -1.62%   6.05%   8.32%   5.18%   5.24%
newsletter Inc    2.64%  -2.70%   5.26%   8.32%   5.16%   4.69%

madsinger         3.49%  -1.37%   8.72%
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madsinger



Joined: 29 Sep 2007
Posts: 354

PostPosted: Fri May 02, 2008 3:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

w00t!

After five straight months of declines, it's nice to have an up month! All of the stock funds were up this month, with big numbers from International (5.85% from Total Int'l, 8.10% from Emerging Market) and REITs (up 5.90% for April, 12.7% for the past two months, and 8.41% YTD). The portfolios holding REITs look "good" again this year (so far!) compared to last year (s&d, Sheltered Sam, and coffeehouse).

The madsinger portfolio got boosts from REITs, EMs, and (at least, YTD) PM.

Of course, one month is but a blip in the long term world of investing...but it's nice to have a positive blip!

Wishing you all well as we start to enter the unf*v*r**le s**son! (Gosh, after five months of drops during the favorable season...what can the unfavorable season bring us!)

-Brad.
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gkaplan



Joined: 03 Mar 2007
Posts: 1783
Location: Ventura, California

PostPosted: Fri May 02, 2008 5:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I'm sure I'm up for the month, since I have a sizeable allocation to REITs and emerging markets (ten percent, each), but I only calculate my return at the end of each quarter.
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Bounca



Joined: 26 Feb 2007
Posts: 735

PostPosted: Fri May 02, 2008 7:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thanks as always Brad.

70/30


Code:
ME IRA CAGR (%):   3.08%
WIFE IRA CAGR (%):   4.41%
ME ROTH (%):   3.25%
US TOTAL CAGR (%):   3.55%
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Bounca



Joined: 26 Feb 2007
Posts: 735

PostPosted: Fri May 02, 2008 7:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

p.s. Keep the DW G Index if possible, been tracking for a year or so now. I think its beneficial to the list you present.
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DiehardDoc



Joined: 06 Dec 2007
Posts: 36

PostPosted: Fri May 02, 2008 8:58 pm    Post subject: Thanks Madsinger Reply with quote

I always look forward to reading your post at the start of each month.

According to Vanguard, my 3 year Rtn is 9% and 1 year Rtn is 2%. My mix is S/B/C 69/23/8.

DiehardDoc
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indexfundfan



Joined: 20 Feb 2007
Posts: 769

PostPosted: Tue May 06, 2008 7:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

70 equity / 30 fixed income:

Apr +4.61%
YTD +0.69%

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TimDex



Joined: 19 Feb 2007
Posts: 786

PostPosted: Wed May 07, 2008 2:15 pm    Post subject: x Reply with quote

Brad: Any chance of adding Rick Ferri's "Core Four" portfolio? Roughly, as I recall, 35% TSM, 15 TI, 10 Reit, 40 TBM.

Tim
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madsinger



Joined: 29 Sep 2007
Posts: 354

PostPosted: Wed May 07, 2008 4:11 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thanks to all who have posted. Indexfan --- it's nice to see someone in the plus column, YTD!

Tim, I suspect the "Core Four" will look very similar to the Coffeehouse portfolio. The 40% Bond, 10% REIT would be the same. The 15% Int'l is pretty close to the coffeehouse 10%. The main difference now would be that the 35% Total Stock would compare to the small, value, and small value tilts in the coffeehouse.

I might run some numbers to see how they look. If they differ dramatically, I'll add them to the chart. If they're pretty similar, I'll post what I learn, but may not add them.

-Brad.
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Bounca



Joined: 26 Feb 2007
Posts: 735

PostPosted: Wed May 07, 2008 4:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

indexfundfan wrote:
70 equity / 30 fixed income:

Apr +4.61%
YTD +0.69%


indexfan,

hmmm...Those Mass Mutual funds, specifically the income holding, seem to serve well. The slight PM holding works too these days. I've skimmed your blog in the past but never bookmarked it. You and I are both on the 70/30 train. I like the 50/50 LS mod/growth benchmark approach you take. Perfect. Thanks.
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canyon



Joined: 03 Nov 2007
Posts: 63

PostPosted: Thu May 15, 2008 8:51 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I'd like to second TimDex's request for a look at Rick Ferri's portfolio. I'm drawn to the more basic (simple) portfolios...but keep reading about the advantages of a more sliced and diced set-up. Thanks madsinger for all the info you provide....C
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swonderful



Joined: 17 May 2008
Posts: 103

PostPosted: Wed May 28, 2008 10:03 am    Post subject: madsinger monthly report Reply with quote

what does pm stand for?

thanks
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paulob



Joined: 20 Feb 2007
Posts: 1207

PostPosted: Wed May 28, 2008 10:11 am    Post subject: Re: madsinger monthly report Reply with quote

swonderful wrote:
what does pm stand for?

thanks


Precious Metals (the Vanguard fund)
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