LondonJimmy wrote:I really struggle to believe it is just luck. I would not look for picking managers either. I would either dedicate myself 100% if I were picking stocks or I would simple invest in an index fund.
LondonJimmy wrote:Have you ever read the Intelligent Investor? I think that book is outstanding.
LondonJimmy wrote:I have been investing myself for the past couple of years and my roi is roughly 55% over this period.
LondonJimmy wrote:Rather than getting into a debate as to whether you can make above average returns over a long period, I am just trying to grasp the Boglehead mentality and know what your views are.
LondonJimmy wrote:Do you believe Warren Buffett was simply lucky? Also, do you place emphasis on emotional stability and buying more of a stock as its price falls (provided the fundamentals of the business has not changed)?
Gemini wrote:In the initial post by Taylor, three Vanguard funds are stated that essentially cover the 3F portfolio.
What is the equivalent of the 3F portfolio if one only has Fidelity w/o access to VG funds?
You should check with your employer or plan administer. Typically fund minimums do not apply within 401k plans. If by chance they do apply the usual suggestion is to use a fund of funds such as a target retirement fund with suitable asset allocation until the fund minimums is accomplished.Gemini wrote:Thanks. Fido 401K will be implemented soon and I want to make sure I have an idea as to what to look for and avoid.
Edit - Two questions that I wanted to squeeze in. Are the expense ratios more or less universal for index funds in general? No not universal. Some fund families are even "high" for their ERs. Vanguard is known for their low expenses, but, Fido also has low expenses and in a couple of cases might be lower than VG.
I would be hesitant to choose the aforementioned Fido funds if the expense ratios seemed unreasonable or were inflated because my employer is providing them. I'm reasonably sure that Fido will be reasonable for the index funds being considered. You can check fund ERs at Morningstar or the fund family's web site. I wouldn't think your employer could raise the ER, but, there might be some administrative costs that you will be charged which in most cases will be the same regardless of the funds selected.[/color]
I also see the min $10K for each one of these funds - what is the boglehead course of action if one is just starting out with Fido and doesn't have the minimum to qualify for any of them?
"Too many of us spend countless time and effort poring over fund records, getting information from news articles and television interviews and friends, and from hyperbolic fund advertisements and well-intentioned fund rating services.. In substance, all of these statistics describe the past returns of mutual funds with decimal-point precision, yet have no predictive power to forecast the future returns that a fund may earn."
"Investing in equities entails four risks: stock risk, style risk, manager risk, and market risk. You can easily eliminate the first three of these risks simply by owning the entire stock market."
"When you own the entire stock market through a broad stock index fund, all the while balancing your portfolio with an appropriate allocation to an all-bond-market index fund, you create the optimal investment strategy."
Taylor Larimore wrote:Bogleheads:
Mr. Bogle sent me galley proofs of his latest book, The Clash of the Cultures. Investment vs. Speculation. As always, Jack speaks with great credibility and deep experience. We should not be surprised to see him endorse The Three Fund Portfolio with statements like these:"Too many of us spend countless time and effort poring over fund records, getting information from news articles and television interviews and friends, and from hyperbolic fund advertisements and well-intentioned fund rating services.. In substance, all of these statistics describe the past returns of mutual funds with decimal-point precision, yet have no predictive power to forecast the future returns that a fund may earn."
"Investing in equities entails four risks: stock risk, style risk, manager risk, and market risk. You can easily eliminate the first three of these risks simply by owning the entire stock market."
"When you own the entire stock market through a broad stock index fund, all the while balancing your portfolio with an appropriate allocation to an all-bond-market index fund, you create the optimal investment strategy."
Best wishes.
Taylor
"Owning an index fund is simply a decision to buy and hold a diversified portfolo of stocks representing the entire stock market, both U.S. and possibly non-U.S. companies. Such an index fund is the paradigm of long-term investing, and the antithesis of short-term speculation."
Taylor Larimore wrote:Abuss:
Mr. Bogle has never ruled out international stocks (he has said they are not necessary). In his forthcoming book he writes:"Owning an index fund is simply a decision to buy and hold a diversified portfolo of stocks representing the entire stock market, both U.S. and possibly non-U.S. companies. Such an index fund is the paradigm of long-term investing, and the antithesis of short-term speculation."
Best wishes.
Taylor
abuss368 wrote:Taylor Larimore wrote:Abuss:
Mr. Bogle has never ruled out international stocks (he has said they are not necessary). In his forthcoming book he writes:"Owning an index fund is simply a decision to buy and hold a diversified portfolo of stocks representing the entire stock market, both U.S. and possibly non-U.S. companies. Such an index fund is the paradigm of long-term investing, and the antithesis of short-term speculation."
Best wishes.
Taylor
Hi Taylor,
Agreed. Thank you for that insight.
I noticed amazon (buy the book via the link here at Bogleheads) has the book release date as of early August.
Does anyone know if Mr. Bogle is going to continue to write additional books?
Dino1 wrote:Do you think this would be a good portfolio for someone who is retired as well? I know that Ben Stein recommends a two fund portfolio for retirees.
Dino1 wrote:Do you think this would be a good portfolio for someone who is retired as well? I know that Ben Stein recommends a two fund portfolio for retirees.
Dino1 wrote:Do you think this would be a good portfolio for someone who is retired as well? I know that Ben Stein recommends a two fund portfolio for retirees.
Dino1 wrote:Do you think this would be a good portfolio for someone who is retired as well? I know that Ben Stein recommends a two fund portfolio for retirees.
abuss368 wrote:I think the three fund portfolio is nearly ideal for all of us in all accounts. The advantages are incredible.
If you want, REITs and TIPS may improve performance, but it can also reduce performance.
Besides, Vanguard experts include these three funds in most of their target retirement funds (with the addition of TIPS in the later funds).
Gemini wrote:"What is the equivalent of the three fund portfolio offered by VG if one has a TIAA-CREF 401a?"
Dave76 wrote:abuss368 wrote:I think the three fund portfolio is nearly ideal for all of us in all accounts. The advantages are incredible.
If you want, REITs and TIPS may improve performance, but it can also reduce performance.
Besides, Vanguard experts include these three funds in most of their target retirement funds (with the addition of TIPS in the later funds).
If you hold a balanced fund -- Wellington, for instance -- how do you integrate that into the 3-fund portfolio?
555 wrote:Gemini wrote:"What is the equivalent of the three fund portfolio offered by VG if one has a TIAA-CREF 401a?"
CREF Stock is equivalent to 70% TSM, 30% TISM.
http://www.tiaa-cref.org/public/perform ... /1001.html
Bond Market is equivalent to TBM
http://www.tiaa-cref.org/public/perform ... /1006.html
So you can do it with a mixture of these two funds.
TIAA-CREF expenses are higher than Vanguard, but lower than most other providers.
LadyGeek wrote:The wiki has a TIAA-CREF article, but I don't see any Vanguard equivalent fund comparisons (under "Mutual funds"). If anyone thinks this would be useful info, I can enter the information (but will need help with the wording). If this takes the thread off-topic, please post in Suggestions for the Wiki.
Gemini wrote:Thanks. I just checked and I do have the above available.
CREF Stock: Expense charge 1 : 0.49%
Bond market: Expense charge 1 : 0.45%
So if I wanted to do 85/15 stocks/bonds, I would just put 85% of the funds into CREF stock and 15% into Bond Market...?
LadyGeek wrote:The wiki has a TIAA-CREF article, but I don't see any Vanguard equivalent fund comparisons (under "Mutual funds"). If anyone thinks this would be useful info, I can enter the information (but will need help with the wording). If this takes the thread off-topic, please post in Suggestions for the Wiki.
The CREF Composite Benchmark is a weighted average of two indexes: the Russell 3000® Index, which measures the performance of the broad U.S. stock market
(70.0%); and the MSCI All Country World ex USA Investable Market Index, which measures the performance of large-, mid- and small-cap stocks in 44 developed
and emerging market nations throughout the world, excluding the United States (30.0%). You cannot invest directly in any index. Index returns do not include a
deduction for fees or expenses.
TIAA-CREF retirement annuities make up a large part of the university and research institution employer provided retirement plan market. TIAA-CREF annuity accounts are managed with much lower costs than most variable annuity offerings. [2] Most of the equity based subaccounts (Global Equity, Stock, Growth, and the equity investments in Social Choice) are actively managed using the following three-part strategy:
Active management: one part of the portfolio is devoted to active individual stock selection;
Enhanced indexing: one part of the portfolio employs a quantitative modeled stock selection strategy designed to match the risk characteristics of benchmark market sectors;
Pure Index: one part of the portfolio is managed to match the performance of the benchmark index.
Typically, the account seeks to maintain the weightings of its holdings as approximately 70-75% domestic equity and 25-30% foreign equities.
LadyGeek wrote:555 - how did you arrive at "CREF Stock is equivalent to 70% TSM, 30% TISM"? I'm double-checking the numbers.
LadyGeek wrote:With additional collaboration, there are now 6 ways ...
Sunny Sarkar wrote:Here is a link to Taylor's original post from 1999 on this topic in the old M* forum...
Which is better--15 funds or 4?
All the best,
Sunny

Sunny Sarkar wrote:Here is a link to Taylor's original post from 1999 on this topic in the old M* forum...
Which is better--15 funds or 4?
All the best,
Sunny
Taylor Larimore wrote:
Hi Sunny:
Thank you for the link to my original post recommending the 3-fund portfolio (plus a money market fund). It is gratifying for me to see how well that post has stood the test of time. Vanguard has recognized its merits by adopting it for their Target and Life Strategy Funds.
I made more than 25,000 posts on the old Morningstar Vanguard Diehard forum trying to help investors. I hope I live long enough to do the same here. It is immensely satisfying to be a soldier in Mr. Bogle's crusade "to give ordinary investors a fair shake."
Best wishes.
Taylor
NOLA wrote:Question - When it comes to comparing the 3 Fidelity funds above, and all other funds for that matter, does the total amount of $ include the expenses as well? Or is it based on no ER?
kenyan wrote:SVT wrote:
Thanks for this. So do the Morningstar charts always include all expenses of the fund? I'm comparing some actively managed funds to Vanguard's indexes and was curious about this. I couldn't find this info on the Morningstar webpage.
Morningstar charts will include regular expenses extracted in the form of expense ratios, as well as income from dividends/capital gains/etc. They will not account for excess one-time expenses such as Loads or early withdrawal penalties. Taxes are also (understandably, since it is not possible without knowing the exact situation) not addressed in their charts.
No Vanguard funds have Loads, FYI. Some international funds do have purchase fees, withdrawal fees, and/or early withdrawal penalties.
pingo wrote:Other than the exceptions Kenyan points out, the expenses are included in Morningstar fund returns, especially asset turnover. If I understand correctly, no one even has to subtract the transaction costs of asset turnover from a fund's return. Rather, the fund pays the costs of transactions from money in the fund, which results in less money in the fund. Whatever's left is the fund's return, so returns from a source like M* will always be net of turnover.
It's like a pitcher of water: we just look at the water inside the pitcher. Water that has been poured out is not there for us to measure.
The calculations (or digging into SAI's or whathaveyou) that M* has to do is in order to figure out what a fund's asset turnover is, so that we can have an accurate understanding of unseen costs that produce a drag on returns. That, however, is an additional step they have to take. It is not one that is taken to accurately measure fund returns. (At least, that is how I understand it.) ...
LadyGeek wrote:With additional collaboration, there are now 6 ways to do this without Vanguard mutual funds: Three-fund portfolio
Please review the table in Other than Vanguard, Boglehead-style as well as the linked articles.
Blackrock Ishares and Charles Schwab are in a new table under "Three-fund Portfolios using ETFs."
555- your post is referenced in TIAA-CREF, thanks.
NOLA wrote:Thanks for taking the time to answer so quickly. So the funds with higher ER performed better in the example above, however due to the ER they all ended up with the same return?
abuss368 wrote:The three fund portfolio rocks!
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